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*Poll says McClintock could win 1-0n-1 matchup*
National Review (The Corner) ^ | 9/22/03 | Peter Robinson

Posted on 09/24/2003 7:54:23 AM PDT by TheBigB

Brother Hugh, some news.

John Eastman, a professor of law at Chapman University and a frequent guest on your radio program, has just brought to my attention a poll that will interest you. Commissioned by the Lincoln Club of Orange County, the poll includes the following results:

If Arnold Schwarzenegger found himself in a head-to-head race against Cruz Bustamante--that is, in effect, if Tom McClintock dropped out of the race--then Schwarzenegger would win, 44 to 37 percent.

But if Tom McClintock found himself in a head-to-head race against Cruz Bustamante--that is, in effect, if Schwarzenegger dropped out of the race--then McClintock would win, 42 to 40 percent.

From the beginning, Hugh, you have made a single argument against McClintock, insisting that he cannot win.

But he can.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; cruz; mcclintock; recall; schwarzenegger
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From Peter Robinson to Hugh Hewitt. I had no idea how to search to see if this had been discussed, so apologies if it already has been brought out. The Lincoln Club endorsed Arnold.
1 posted on 09/24/2003 7:54:24 AM PDT by TheBigB
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To: TheBigB; Admin Moderator
Isn't there a rule about posting fictitious headings? If not, wouldn't this be a vanity post?
2 posted on 09/24/2003 7:57:00 AM PDT by NYC Republican
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To: NYC Republican
What exactly is fictitious?
3 posted on 09/24/2003 7:58:37 AM PDT by TheBigB ("Liberalism is a philosophy of sniveling brats." --P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: TheBigB
Hewitt said Simon would win and supported him in the primary.

He said Lundgren would win.

He said Bush CA would win in 2000.

Hugh is great. But he usually wrong.

4 posted on 09/24/2003 7:59:34 AM PDT by tallhappy
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To: TheBigB
Actually, the poll would prove that Arnold CAN WIN and McC is in a dead heat.

A two percentage point lead in a poll by a Republican group is at best a toss up.
5 posted on 09/24/2003 7:59:40 AM PDT by 11th Earl of Mar
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To: TheBigB
Obviously Hugh and the CA GOP have rejected conservatism.
6 posted on 09/24/2003 7:59:41 AM PDT by skeeter (Fac ut vivas)
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To: TheBigB
The heading should be the same as the heading on an article, or it should be posted as Vanity, according to my understanding of the rules... I checked the NRO site, and couldn't find it.
7 posted on 09/24/2003 8:00:12 AM PDT by NYC Republican
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To: TheBigB
42 vs. 40 is a statistical deadheat. Its same as tossing a coin. The lead by Arnold is real and would take something really significant to wipe it out. A sunny day could bring out enough Dems to put Bustamante over the edge in a 42-40 race.
8 posted on 09/24/2003 8:02:24 AM PDT by Dave S
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To: TheBigB
Since McClintock is still within the margin of error, I suspect that Mr. Robinson will need more ammo than this in his debate with Mr. Hewitt.
9 posted on 09/24/2003 8:03:10 AM PDT by LenS
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To: TheBigB
"...has just brought to my attention a poll that will interest you."

I would interest me too - just where IS this poll ?

Perhaps it was of Lincoln Club members ?
10 posted on 09/24/2003 8:04:42 AM PDT by RS (nc)
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To: NYC Republican
It's not an article. It's from The Corner, where the writers post opinions and such throughout the day.
11 posted on 09/24/2003 8:04:55 AM PDT by TheBigB ("Liberalism is a philosophy of sniveling brats." --P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: NYC Republican
Isn't there a rule about posting fictitious headings?

I pity the fool, who can't tell fact from fiction.

Here is the link. It's from yesterday.

I'd suggest you learn to keep that thing you eat with closed when not eating as a publ;ic service.

12 posted on 09/24/2003 8:05:11 AM PDT by tallhappy
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To: NYC Republican
"I checked the NRO site, and couldn't find it."

The poll is not there, just a report that a friend of a friend of a friend had heard that such a poll exists.

13 posted on 09/24/2003 8:07:02 AM PDT by RS (nc)
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To: Dave S
A sunny day could bring out enough Dems to put Bustamante over the edge in a 42-40 race.

True, and that's just counting the legitimate votes.

14 posted on 09/24/2003 8:07:23 AM PDT by Charles Martel (Liberals are the crab grass in the lawn of life.)
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To: TheBigB; Admin Moderator
OOPS! I just added this to frontpage news, because it it were true, it probably would be front page news.

BUT it's only a POST/letter to the editor, a response on the web, with unverifiable information, NOT even a legitimate letter to the editor, just a post, that anyone can post.

I could post to the same site that I saw a poll, where Arnold is leading Bustamante by 30 % points, then post it here on FR.

Could you please adjust the location of this, or even pull the thread.

15 posted on 09/24/2003 8:08:19 AM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: tallhappy
I pity the fool, who can't tell fact from fiction. Here is the link. It's from yesterday. I'd suggest you learn to keep that thing you eat with closed when not eating as a publ;ic service.

Hey happy- calm your engines... The title of this post is totally different from the title on the linked news source. It's called "California Crunch". I didn't say the whole thing was fictitious, I certainly didn't imply that he made up the story.

You should ensure that you're right before ripping into someone else and coming across as wrong.

16 posted on 09/24/2003 8:09:44 AM PDT by NYC Republican
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To: tallhappy
Who is the Lincoln Club of Orange County?
17 posted on 09/24/2003 8:10:02 AM PDT by rftc
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To: TheBigB
It's not an article. It's from The Corner, where the writers post opinions and such throughout the day.

I have no problem with that, it's a Blog site, and that's fine. Where I have a problem is when you intentionally change the title to suit your own purpose. That shouldn't be allowed. It's called "California Crunch", bit the title as you portrayed it.

18 posted on 09/24/2003 8:11:38 AM PDT by NYC Republican
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To: FairOpinion; Admin Moderator
I emailed Peter Robinson to ask if he'd post more info about this poll on the site--sample size, etc. I don't know if he'll respond. Pull if you wish, but I did not make this up.
19 posted on 09/24/2003 8:12:06 AM PDT by TheBigB ("Liberalism is a philosophy of sniveling brats." --P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: TheBigB
but I did not make this up.

May I ask, where did you get the title "Poll Says McClintock Could Win 1 On One..."

20 posted on 09/24/2003 8:13:43 AM PDT by NYC Republican
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