Skip to comments.Religious Voters Favor McCain, Poll Claims
Posted on 08/13/2008 1:00:57 PM PDT by Salvation
|15-July-2008 -- Catholic News Agency|
Princeton, Jul 15, 2008 (CNA).- A new Gallup Poll claims to show that registered voters who say religion is important in their lives tend to support presumptive Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain by a margin of 50 to 40 percent, while those who say religion is unimportant to their lives tend to support presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Sen. Barack Obama by a margin of 55 to 36 percent.
About two-thirds of the registered voters surveyed by Gallup said that religion is important to them.
According to the Gallup Poll, which surveyed 95,000 registered voters from March through June 2008, the divide in voting preference is not confined to white Protestants but is manifested among non-Hispanic white Catholics as well.
Non-Hispanic white Catholics who say religion is important in their daily lives support McCain over Obama by 53 percent to 37 percent. Those who say religion is not important slightly favor Obama by a margin of 47 percent to 45 percent.
Hispanic Catholics, black non-Catholic Christians, and those who do not have a specific religious identity reportedly tend to support Barack Obama, but their support apparently is little affected by the importance of religion in their lives.
Hispanic Catholics who say religion is important in their lives support Obama over McCain 57 to 31, while those who say religion is not important support Obama by a margin of 63 to 30 percent.
Among non-Catholic Christians, those who say religion is important in their daily lives support McCain 63 percent to Obamas 27 percent. Those who say religion is not important are split between the candidates, with 46 percent support McCain and 45 percent supporting Obama.
About 12 percent of Americans who say they have no specific religious identity strongly support Obama. Those among this group who say religion is not important in their lives support Obama over McCain by a margin of 65 to 26 percent.
Among those with no specific religious identity who say religion is important in their lives, Obama wins by a margin of 61 to 28 percent, according to Gallup.
Not hard to see or predict the outcome of this poll.
LOL, there was just a thread claiming just the opposite.
Of course this was religious minded voters whatever that means.
LOL! Exactly opposite titles. Unbelievable.
I’m an atheist for McCain. They didn’t even ask me.
I have a hard time believing anyone who is Christ-centered would support Obama or any other liberal, for that matter.
Same thing applies for Catholics, regardless whether they are Hispanic or identified by whatever other word is tacked onto “Catholic.” The abortion issue should nip that in the bud.
Using those numbers on a sample of 1500 people would result in the following:
Yeah, that had BS written all over it.
Although Gallup is not the greatest; I trust it much more than the Barna poll.
“Religious” covers a lot of territory. For example, I would imagine that support would be near-unanimous for Baraq among muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, new agers, rustlers, cutthroats, murders, bounty hunters, desperados, mugs, pugs, thugs, nitwits, halfwits, dimwits, vipers, snipers, con-men, Indian agents, Mexican bandits, muggers, buggerers, bushwhackers, hornswogglers, horse thieves, bull-dykes, train robbers, bank robbers, ass-kickers, sh**-kickers, and Methodists!
I love you math and statistics guys. Thanks for your brainwork.
So then it would seem that this poll would fall in line with all the predictions that this is going to be a close election.
Secretly, however, I pray for a McCain landslide. He’s not the greatest conservative, but he’s sooooooooo much better than Obamanation.
woa, there, kiddo! I’m Methodist. LOL.
Well, of course they do. Obama favors killing babies who survive an abortion. People of faith find that absolutely appalling.
No offense, then. That was just the famous Hedley Lamarr quote from Blazing Saddles!
No offense taken. Besides, Hedley Lamarr had horrible taste in clothes.
Re: “Im an atheist for McCain. They didnt even ask me”
I’m one who has not been in a church other than for weddings and funerals since age 14, and I like to keep religion and politics separate, but I am a Republican and favor McCain as well. No pollster, NOT ONE, has ever asked my opinion about an election. How did I reach age 58 and never get asked my opinion about presidential candidates?
“No pollster, NOT ONE, has ever asked my opinion...”
Nor I...of course having an unlisted phone number helps.
Uh...well, better the devil you know...? Neither one of them is as transparent as Dubya WRT beliefs.
Amen to that. One (of countless) disturbing thing about this campaign is seeing some "Christians" line up behind Obama. Abortion. Homosexuality. Name the issue, and Obama is as abiblical on it as you can possibly be. The same applies to almost any liberal, as you say, but Obama is particularly disturbing given his demonstrated passion for abortion of any kind.
MM (in TX)
I notice this thread discusses a Gallup Poll, while the others concern a similar Barna Poll. I had posted a thread that covered the Barna numbers, and also mentioned the different spins put on those numbers. You can see that thread here.
BARNA (1003 polled):
61% McCain, 17% Obama: Evangelicals
28% McCain, 44% Obama: nominal Christians
29% McCain, 39% Obama: Catholics
32% McCain, 43% Obama: Protestants
24% McCain, 56% Obama: "faiths other than Christianity"
17% McCain, 55% Obama: atheists and agnostics
GALLUP (95,000 polled):
("religion is important" group)
53% McCain, 37% Obama: Catholic non-Hispanic whites
31% McCain, 57% Obama: Catholic Hispanic
63% McCain, 27% Obama: Christian "non Catholic"
28% McCain, 61% Obama: no specific religion
("religion is not important" group)
45% McCain, 47% Obama: Catholic non-Hispanic whites
30% McCain, 63% Obama: Catholic Hispanic
46% McCain, 45% Obama: Christian "non Catholic"
26% McCain, 65% Obama: no specific religion
I remember taking a course in statistics many years ago, One of the text books was called, How To Lie With Statistics.
Since than I have taken all polls with a grain of salt.
The only guy I would be willing to believe is Michael Barone. That man is a walkin', talkin encyclopedia.
No Compromises: Kansas State Bishops Declare Voting for Abortion Candidate is “Evil”
By Peter J. Smith
What’s it about Hispanics that they like Obama enough not to see the wolve in sheep’s clothing?
There's another interesting statistic that's hidden in both polls. Check out the missing voters! In the Barna poll, the number of undecided/undeclared religious voters runs an average of 26%! The Catholic group ran highest with 32% undecided, and the "other than Christianity" ran lowest with 20%.
Now compare that to the Gallup poll, where every group ran about 9 - 10% undecided.
Just way to disguise that fact it cuts more along racial lines than religion..
Many do not want a Muslim in charge, like my parents.
Or put another way...
"Godless Voters Favor Obama"
Was that posted by someone?
I missed that one. Thanks.
Sooooo many bitter people.
Thank you Sal, for all your pings. May God bless!!!
Fantastic! It's about time the Church speaks up and fights back against this dire evil!
Thank you! I won’t ping this only because it is a month old but it is true that John is making inroads here. Religious voters are like a super-bloc!
I know that sometimes I’m a pain. LOL!
Did you see the link in that post?
Yes, too bad we didn’t catch it last month! Better late than never, I guess.
It's getting past the time when Christians, who are tired of holding their noses time and time and time again in order to vote for the "lesser of two evils," need to seriously consider putting an effort into the creation of a new party, or giving their support to an existing party like the Constitution Party, that is truly conservative and strictly constructionist in its Constitutional philosophy. This might involve the effective concession of elections to a high proportion of Democrats for a term or two in places where the tide could go either way. But, at the rate we are going, it is quickly getting to the point where there is no real difference between candidates anyway. If we could reform under honest principles, a real impetus for change would be driven into the hearts of the machine Republicans, since they could not win an election anywhere without the Christian base they've smugly taken for granted for decades.
But, sadly, the chances of this happening are next to nil. Most of the conservatives who bother to vote will put on their happy-smiley faces when asked about McCain, and will vote for him "to stop Obama." Stopping Obama, in and of itself, is a laudable goal! But continuing to let the Republican Party front these terrible candidates will, over time, only serve to ensure that nothing but Obama-types get the nod from either party.
Eight years. I give this country eight more years before all of the stuff that naive Christians have been trying to forestall takes root as normative, never again to even have a chance at being uprooted. Christian ideals are dying in this country because next to no one is willing to take bold action to wake up the beltway Republicans who collect their paychecks and don't give a rat's tail about principles. Eight years. On the outside...four wouldn't be out of the question.
This is from a month ago after the Gallup from June you cited. I am confident it has continued to move in McCain’s direction since. While Zogby’s methodology may be “sloppy” - no I am not a big fan of his - the trend is clear.
Apples and oranges. Your claim on the other thread was that the so-called “Catholic vote” has moved in McCain’s direction. This says the churchgoing vote, including the churchgoing Catholic vote, is McCain’s.
The Catholic vote, as defined by pollsters, is not the same as the religious vote, as this article clearly states. As I posted to you on the other thread, and as this article highlights, churchgoing Catholics tend to vote like other churchgoers, while non-churchgoing CINOS tend to vote like other non-religious people.
That churchgoing Catholics support McCain is not to say that Catholics overall will. Sadly for McCain, fewer than half of self-identified Catholics attend mass.
So McCain leads among churchgoing Catholics 53-37 and trails among non-churchgoing Catholics by 47-45, how exactly is he not leading overall among Catholics? Fewer than half may attend Mass but he is overwhelmingly winning that group and very close with those who don’t. And this is July 15. It is August 15. It’s moving further in our direction and will continue to do so as Catholics will overwhelmingly support mainstream issues such as drilling and reject PBA and anything approaching infanticide.
“how exactly is he not leading overall among Catholics?”
Only about one-third of self-described Catholics attend mass every week, and only about 40% attend mass at least once during the year. Sixty-percent, therefore, attend mass only to get married and buried. My numbers are from Georgetown University, BTW. Yet they will tell pollsters they are Catholic since by the Church’s own definition, if one has been baptised Catholic, one is a Catholic. I have plenty of CINOs in my own family. They consider themselves Catholic even though they only attend mass to witness my children receiving sacraments, if then, and yes, they are Democrats. Rabid, Bush-hating, Obama-voting Democrats.