Free Republic
Browse · Search
Religion
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Will Evangelicals Sink Romney?
The Atlantic ^ | May 20, 2011 | Ronald Brownstein, political director

Posted on 05/20/2011 9:15:37 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Mike Huckabee, judging by the early opinion polls, would have been among the most formidable challengers to Mitt Romney, the putative front-runner for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination. But Huckabee's departure from the race, paradoxically, could make it more difficult for Romney to prevail.

The reason is that with Huckabee off the field, the former Baptist minister's core constituency -- the evangelical Christians who represent nearly half of the GOP's primary electorate -- are now back in play for all competitors. If Romney can't defang the resistance he encountered from those voters in 2008, he faces the threat that they will eventually consolidate behind another contender, such as former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, with potentially wider support than Huckabee demonstrated last time. "The risk for Romney is that some other candidate with broader appeal may attract them, someone who could stitch together a majority coalition in a way that Huckabee was not going to do," says veteran GOP pollster Whit Ayres, who is not affiliated with any of the 2012 candidates.

Even many Republicans underestimate the centrality of evangelical voters in the GOP's nominating process. In 2008, self-identified evangelical Christians constituted 44 percent of all Republican presidential primary voters, according to a cumulative analysis of state exit polls by former ABC polling director Gary Langer. Candidates who rely almost entirely on evangelicals -- such as Huckabee, Gary Bauer in 2000, and televangelist Pat Robertson in 1988 -- have never come close to winning the GOP nomination. But evangelicals are plentiful enough that any candidate whom they deem completely unacceptable faces a formidable obstacle -- and not only in the Deep South, where they are most heavily concentrated.

Evangelical Christians represented a majority of 2008 GOP primary voters in 11 of the 29 states in which exit polls were conducted.....

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: Charismatic Christian; Evangelical Christian; Religion & Culture; Religion & Politics
KEYWORDS: blameothers; huckabee; neverblamemitt; palin; pawlenty; protectromney; romney; romneyispure
This is like a report from a Martian scout spacecraft, judging Earthlings from their TV shows. Pawlenty? Hahahahaha!
1 posted on 05/20/2011 9:15:41 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

My answer to the question posed in the article title:

“I sure as heck hope we do!!”


2 posted on 05/20/2011 9:18:10 AM PDT by mn-bush-man
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Evangelicals don’t need to sink Romney. Romney sinks Romney.


3 posted on 05/20/2011 9:19:17 AM PDT by txrangerette ("...HOLD TO THE TRUTH; SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
South Park will sink Romney:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/22/us-stage-bookofmormon-idUSTRE72L2W120110322

4 posted on 05/20/2011 9:22:40 AM PDT by jonrick46 (2012 can't come soon enough.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Romney care has already sunk Romney. Dead man walking.


5 posted on 05/20/2011 9:22:46 AM PDT by pgkdan ( "Wherever the Catholic sun doth shine / There's always laughter and good red wine / ...Belloc)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

RINO Romney is doing a fine job of sinking himself, thank you.

Given that virtually every Mormon I know is completely honest and trustworthy, it is proof that associating with politics is very very dangerous to one’s morality.


6 posted on 05/20/2011 9:22:46 AM PDT by Da Coyote
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: txrangerette

Amen!

people expecting resonsible, conservative, small government will sink Romney.

If Romney campaigns as Romney, he indeed sinks himself.


7 posted on 05/20/2011 9:23:27 AM PDT by Blueflag (Res ipsa loquitur)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

A certain percentage of evangelicals will not support a Mormon because they believe that Mormons are a cult, not “true” Christians. (This is not my belief but it must be considered politically).

But many Christians were willing to back Romney when it came down to Romney vs McCain in 2008 so it may not be enough to stop Romney from getting the nomination however it’s a dynamic that could cost Romney some primary states.


8 posted on 05/20/2011 9:24:18 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (Washington, we Texans want a divorce!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Da Coyote

Yup! When a RINO is playing with rope, it is counterprocutive to jump in there and try to help him. Just get out of the way and let nature take its course.


9 posted on 05/20/2011 9:26:55 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Rommycare will be the chief reason, with the Mormon factor not far behind, since it violates the teaching of not adding or subtracting from the Bible, in the book of Revelations.


10 posted on 05/20/2011 9:26:55 AM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Romney’s incessant use of his religion
is the last refuge of the miserable,
backstabbing scoundrel whom he is.


11 posted on 05/20/2011 9:29:08 AM PDT by Diogenesis ( Vi veri veniversum vivus vici)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Post number 10 means, not to add on, (Book of Mormon) as well as subtract from.


12 posted on 05/20/2011 9:29:15 AM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Let’s hope so!


13 posted on 05/20/2011 9:33:36 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I don’t care if space aliens sink him, as long as somebody does. Go home to your nice family and live on your dividends, Willard. WE’RE JUST NOT THAT INTO YOU.


14 posted on 05/20/2011 9:34:12 AM PDT by Tax-chick ( "Nearly everything Obama said was either factually incorrect or deliberately misleading." ~VDH)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: txrangerette

Liberalism will sink Romney.


15 posted on 05/20/2011 9:36:53 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet; All

OK, of the 14 posts before mine, everyone here just DETESTS Romney. And you all hated Huckabee, a true evangelical, as well.

Since Christ Himself is not running, who do YOU think can win the nomination AND beat 0bama?


16 posted on 05/20/2011 9:50:16 AM PDT by Joann37
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Depends on whether they’re Evangelicals In Name Only or not.


17 posted on 05/20/2011 9:50:30 AM PDT by Rashputin (Obama is insane but kept medicated and on golf courses to hide it)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Joann37

most here would say Palin


18 posted on 05/20/2011 10:06:25 AM PDT by truthfreedom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: truthfreedom

It sure got quiet in here all of a sudden!

But thanks for your response, TF. Maybe she will be the one.


19 posted on 05/20/2011 10:10:06 AM PDT by Joann37
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: OrangeHoof
A certain percentage of evangelicals will not support a Mormon because they believe that Mormons are a cult, not “true” Christians. (This is not my belief but it must be considered politically).

The Catholic church does as well, as does the Greek Orthodox church, all Christian churches are on the same page in regard to the Mormon religion.

20 posted on 05/20/2011 10:44:37 AM PDT by ansel12 ( JIM DEMINT "I believe [Palins] done more for the Republican Party than anyone since Ronald Reagan")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Joann37
Since Christ Himself is not running, who do YOU think can win the nomination AND beat 0bama?

Realistically?

Only Palin.
21 posted on 05/20/2011 10:54:00 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Evangelicals will not support a Mormon. Not Huntsman. Not Romney. Not Hatch. Not even Archuleta.


22 posted on 05/20/2011 11:20:57 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Circular firing squad has killed GOP's 2012 chances.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Pro-lifers will sink Romney
Gun owners will sink Romney
conventional marriage advocates will sink Romney
Conservatives will sink Romney
Small government advocates will sink Romney
RomneyCare will sink Romney
The AMNESTY Bill will sink Romney


23 posted on 05/20/2011 12:21:42 PM PDT by Tennessee Nana
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Joann37

Yeah, I agree with another poster and think that the best choice among those who have a chance at the nomination is Sarah Palin. Sarah will have to overcome 90% of the GOP establishment, and 95% of the MSM to win it, so at that time she will be an extremely formidable challenger to the anti-Semitic, Marxist Punk. Cordially, Bob


24 posted on 05/20/2011 1:06:54 PM PDT by alstewartfan (While we lay under our roofs, the whole night filled up with the beating of hooves. Al Stewart)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

..to quote the Prime Minister of Israel in a different context: “..it’s not going to happen.”


25 posted on 05/21/2011 11:15:25 AM PDT by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Religion
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson