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Former NTSB Official Doubts Accident Caused Flight 587 Crash
NewsMax.com ^ | 11/12/01

Posted on 11/13/2001 3:32:01 AM PST by vrwc54

Aviation expert and former National Transportation Safety Board official Vernon Grose said late Monday that he's increasingly skeptical that the crash of American Airlines Flight 587 was purely accidental.

"I am backing away from the ready idea that this is simply an accident," Grose told Fox News Channel's John Scott.

The veteran air crash prober said that he questions the sequence in which the plane broke up over Jamaica Bay before slamming into a residential area in Rockaway, Queens.

"Photographs you've already shown tonight [indicate] the vertical stabilizer of the aircraft with the American Airlines insignia right on it [fell into] Jamaica Bay long before the engine falls off in Queens," he told Scott.

Grose said that if the vertical stabilizer detached from Fight 587 over Jamaica Bay, which the plane traversed before plummeting to the ground in Rockaway, it suggested that catastrophic engine failure alone may not have caused the crash.

"No, I don't think that's the situation at all," he told FNC.

"The engine that came free, which apparently was the number 1 left engine, crashed on land. That was well after the vertical stabilizer was detached from the aircraft, and that tells me that somehow ... the airplane was progressively disintegrating, not just losing an engine and then diving into the ground."

"Earlier today I thought it was simply the loss of an engine that caused this," Grose said. "But I'm not convinced now. ... I am becoming more skeptical."



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I heard this last night on Fox. This article is an accurate account of Grose's comments.
1 posted on 11/13/2001 3:32:01 AM PST by vrwc54
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To: vrwc54
Have they recovered the Flight Data Recorder yet, or still just the Cockpit Vocie Recorder?
The FDR has scores of inputs from virtually every section of the plane, if there was a progresive mechanical failure, it would be pretty easy to follow looking at the data.
However, if there was a bomb to blame then you'd see an instant and unexplained knockout of hyd/elec parts in the blast area.
As soon as they find the FTR it shouldn't take the NTSB too long to figure out what happened.
2 posted on 11/13/2001 3:38:13 AM PST by maquiladora
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To: vrwc54
I don't believe that this plane crash was an accident.

And by the way, I'll probably have to get another keyboard after seeing the picture in your profile. LOL!
3 posted on 11/13/2001 3:39:51 AM PST by firewalk
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To: maquiladora
Oops...already posted here. My search didn't show find it.
4 posted on 11/13/2001 3:46:51 AM PST by vrwc54
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To: vrwc54
Just heard former FAA official on MSNBC, his problem with the accident theory was how come the tail came off first.

Plus an FBI guy said the NTSB and FBI were essentially doing a parallel investigation.

5 posted on 11/13/2001 3:49:02 AM PST by dawn53
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To: BeforeISleep
On other threads, 'they' said that they heard no one rushing into the cockpit, etc, to indicate a terrorist crash. So, therefore, 'they' think it was 'just' an accident.

If a bomb went off in the baggage compartment, does it usually announce' I think it's time for me to blow up'????

6 posted on 11/13/2001 3:49:53 AM PST by mommadooo3
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To: mommadooo3
But would a bomb in the luggage comparment blow off an engine at the end of a wing and sheer off the tailsection at different times but leave the rest if the plane intact?

This is still quite strange, the more I think about it, the less sure i am about anything

7 posted on 11/13/2001 3:54:07 AM PST by maquiladora
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To: mommadooo3
It could have also been an act of sabotage during maintenance? Whatever it was, I don't believe this plane crash was an accident.
8 posted on 11/13/2001 3:58:54 AM PST by firewalk
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To: maquiladora
I just got done reading another thread that said eye witnesses saw an explosion while the plane was still in the sky, on its way down.
9 posted on 11/13/2001 3:59:08 AM PST by mommadooo3
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To: BeforeISleep
I don't believe it's an accident either.

They haven't released the passenger list. I keep wondering if there was some govt hot-shot on that plane. LOL...tin foil is REALLY hard to remove.

10 posted on 11/13/2001 4:01:55 AM PST by mommadooo3
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To: mommadooo3
I did see a passenger list this morning on some site. But it was only a partial list, and from first view most of the passengers had ties to Dominican Republic.
11 posted on 11/13/2001 4:04:24 AM PST by dawn53
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To: mommadooo3
Just remembered where I saw it, Drudge has a partial list of passengers.
12 posted on 11/13/2001 4:05:04 AM PST by dawn53
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To: dawn53
Thanks!
13 posted on 11/13/2001 4:09:10 AM PST by mommadooo3
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To: vrwc54
Deja Vu. Shades of TWA 800, 90 people witnessed a bright light going up from the ground in an arc toward flight 800 just before it blew up.

Clinton's FBI said it was a accident.

Funny, that's the same thing they said about an hour after this plane hit the ground.

I really have a tough time believing the FBI, especially so quick, after the crash and in light of TWA800

14 posted on 11/13/2001 4:14:57 AM PST by chatham
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To: mommadooo3
Tin Foil Hat...LOL! If I had said before Sept 11, that I thought a bunch of planes would be intentionally crashed within moments of eachother, I would've been laughed off this forum. And I wouldn't have blamed anyone back then. We're in very different times now. No tin foil here.
15 posted on 11/13/2001 4:16:40 AM PST by firewalk
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To: chatham
Vernon Grose is on FOX RIGHT now!!!
16 posted on 11/13/2001 4:16:53 AM PST by MasonGal
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To: MasonGal
BUMP
17 posted on 11/13/2001 4:19:16 AM PST by MasonGal
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To: MasonGal
Vernon Grose will be on again -right after the break - taking phone calls.
18 posted on 11/13/2001 4:20:18 AM PST by MasonGal
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To: MasonGal
One more BUMP
19 posted on 11/13/2001 4:23:34 AM PST by MasonGal
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To: vrwc54
Bump
20 posted on 11/13/2001 4:24:02 AM PST by Fiddlstix
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To: MasonGal
bump
21 posted on 11/13/2001 4:24:10 AM PST by vrwc54
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To: BeforeISleep
Different times, indeed!

I suppose 'we' should have realized that a WTC event was probable. But the govt is truly negligent in not taking the proper precautions to keep these lands secure. NOW, that the horse is escaping the barn, they are trying to close the door on it, but it's too late. Plus the fact that they are neglecting the BACK door to the 'barn'....the inflow of foreigners...STILL.

Hate to say it... but thank GOD that this IS the land of a certain Constitutional right.

22 posted on 11/13/2001 4:24:57 AM PST by mommadooo3
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To: MasonGal
Thanks for letting us know that Vernon Grose was on.
23 posted on 11/13/2001 4:28:03 AM PST by firewalk
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To: MasonGal
I came in at the end of the interview. Can you tell us what was said and if there was anything new?
24 posted on 11/13/2001 4:30:44 AM PST by vrwc54
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To: MasonGal; All
Does anyone remember, when the airways re-opened after 911, the story (it was widely reported) about the United pilot in Denver who made the anouncement encouraging passengers to rise up and retaliate in the event of a hijacking?

As I recall, it was on UA flight 587. Am I wrong?

25 posted on 11/13/2001 4:31:34 AM PST by TheRightGuy
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To: mommadooo3
Well put. Your on the right track.
26 posted on 11/13/2001 4:34:01 AM PST by Nimitz
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To: vrwc54
Didn't that Air Egypt flight also have a problem with a stabilizer?
27 posted on 11/13/2001 4:35:36 AM PST by aristeides
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To: mommadooo3
Good points. If the tortured, labyrinthine explanations of an accident don't play in Peoria, can you imagine anyone, anywhere believing a government statement again? In a way, this whole atrocity thing has a bright spot: sheeple will begin looking at government the way the Founders did and the way it should be viewed.

The bad thing about the bright spot is that everyone will be as cynical as Jammer.

28 posted on 11/13/2001 4:37:53 AM PST by jammer
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To: aristeides
Air Egypt had a problem with an unstable pilot! Probably because there were some high up Israeles on and he was doin his damn jihad!
29 posted on 11/13/2001 4:42:04 AM PST by DooDahhhh
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To: jammer
Jammer, I wish we were all as cynical as you. This thing doesn't fly at all. I think that we will see more questions being raised as the day progresses. We may even see a complete reversal in theory being espoused by the NTSB and FBI. My take on it is that these two orgs have newly developed PR teams that are staying aprised with the sentiment of the nation. Hell, they may even have lurkers here.

My guess is that Bush's media/PR machinery is not going to risk negating the good will and support of the overall populace by espouzing a lie that will not be bought. The gaging of the lie is being surveyed and assessed RIGHT NOW! A decision will be made in the next few hours whether to support the lie or go with people.

30 posted on 11/13/2001 4:48:17 AM PST by Nimitz
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To: Alabama_Wild_Man
Ping
31 posted on 11/13/2001 4:48:35 AM PST by KentuckyWoman
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To: Nimitz
My guess is that Bush's media/PR machinery is not going to risk negating the good will

Good Point! I think we've already seen that. Ari's press conference was more balanced than statements from the NTSB or others. And Bush used the word "incident" not "accident."

32 posted on 11/13/2001 4:54:19 AM PST by dawn53
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To: Nimitz
Oooooooo, cynicism is NOT a dreaded disease. One that leads to a longer life! LOL...and FreeRepublic goes a LONG way to feeding the 'cynic'.

Mr. Bush....if you and your spin machine are reading this, don't try the lies and cover-up schtick. It didn't work with klintler/hitlery/gorsky, it WON'T work for you! Besides.....it would go against your religious beliefs, the one about 'bearing false witness'. I know, I live it, and so a LOT of OTHER Americans. LOL.

33 posted on 11/13/2001 4:55:45 AM PST by mommadooo3
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To: vrwc54
--tell ya what is really being glossed over. Several of the eyewitness reports a pop-pop-pop BANG noise. They also report helicopters and military fighter jets very close by. Sounds a lot more to me like cannon fire than anything else, leading to an el kaboom, and the pieces falling off in a weird pattern.

So then, you'd have to ask "Say what? Why?", well maybe since 9-11 they have some panic button, voice not needed, anything going wrong with a plane, the pilot pushes a button, this signal is transmitted down and around the command and control food chain in a timely manner, to whomever is flying aircap, and I doubt that NYC DOESN'T have 24/7 armed military aircap right now. So, someone in that chain misinterprets a warning signal, someone else gets the nod to "do their duty", and a whoopsie daisy is the result.

The government already said clearly "no more hijackings", zero tolerance, they get shot down, so perhaps a minor mechanical problem got misinterpreted as a hijacking, one thing leads to another in a very short time span, and you got plane A on ground B, minus parts C, D, and E which got blown off and fell elsewheres, the biggest chunk out over the water where the noises were when it all started, and where it might have been safer for a "takedown" move...

Look at various governments "zero tolerance" attemtps with other issues, tweety bird keychains leading to a suspension at a school, pictures of an army man, suspension, travelers getting on an airplane, nailfiles and fingernail clippers confiscated. On and on, thousands of examples of misinterpreting reality. some poor slob just sells a car, got 4 grand cash on him, gets pulled over for something, cops sees the cash, the poor slob is now an automatic drug dealer.

Government always acts as a drunken eleephant, it really has little finesse or grace, not really, it blunders this way or that, either completely ignores a problem-like security up to 9-11, or over-reacts, uses a howitzer as a flyswatter.

34 posted on 11/13/2001 4:56:25 AM PST by zog
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To: MasonGal
Vernon Grose is on FOX RIGHT now!!!

Who is this guy? What is his background? I know that they say he is a former NTSB investigator, but he sure doesn't sound like he know too much about aircraft or accident investigations. Anyone know about him?

35 posted on 11/13/2001 4:58:21 AM PST by TankerKC
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To: jammer
Gotta run...just wanted to let ya know....'cynicism' is our friend. LOL.
36 posted on 11/13/2001 4:59:38 AM PST by mommadooo3
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To: zog
Too many eyewitnesses, IMHO, for your theory to hold water.
37 posted on 11/13/2001 5:00:12 AM PST by vrwc54
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To: vrwc54
My hunch is the same group of right wing extremists behind the anthrax deaths brought down Flight 587. White supremist Neo-Nazi conservatives. Most of the passengers were Dominican. It all fits.
38 posted on 11/13/2001 5:02:41 AM PST by LarryLied
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To: vrwc54
The truth is out there.

...somewhere amongst all the BS.

39 posted on 11/13/2001 5:03:07 AM PST by rogers21774
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To: Nimitz
Thank you!

My take on it is that these two orgs have newly developed PR teams that are staying aprised with the sentiment of the nation. Hell, they may even have lurkers here.

I believe both those sentences strongly. I believe a poster whose initials are K.C. and one whose screen name begins with an "_" are. I don't post their full names because this reply may be removed.

A decision will be made in the next few hours whether to support the lie or go with people.

Good point. Do you think the FBI has focus groups to try out various explanations?

40 posted on 11/13/2001 5:03:25 AM PST by jammer
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To: vrwc54
I just wish they would take a good long look at each and every mechanic and other personnel who were involved with that plane as it sat beyond it's take-off time due to some problem. I just have this gut feeling about it. I hope I am wrong.
41 posted on 11/13/2001 5:03:29 AM PST by Republic
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To: BeforeISleep; vrwc54
And by the way, I'll probably have to get another keyboard after seeing the picture in your profile. LOL!

I had to look too. Great pic. vrwc54 needs to post it.

42 posted on 11/13/2001 5:04:01 AM PST by FR_addict
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To: TankerKC
More about Grose from the other thread.
43 posted on 11/13/2001 5:05:34 AM PST by vrwc54
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To: zog
Now THAT's a tantalizing (and good) theory! Why didn't I think of that? Good job. It's the Reno Doctrine. Disarm the good guys, then kill them to protect everyone. Hmmmm.
44 posted on 11/13/2001 5:09:49 AM PST by jammer
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To: mommadooo3
LOL--to my knowledge, we don't have anounceable bombs yet! That's one of the things I found odd too, but there are more. I do believe coincidences occur, but so many? It happened 2 months and 1 day after 9/11. It happened in NYC. It happened in the time frame the terrorists seem to prefer--8-9 a.m. It occurred just after (yet another) "general" warning to be on alert for terrorist activity. It occurred after OBL gave a speech saying more planes would fall out of the sky.

It does not particularly comfort me when people who have not yet retrieved the wreckage--let alone examined it--immediately and forcefully state that it was an accident. It comforts me still less when they mention this just after stating that if it's a terrorist attack, it will kill off the airline industry. (As if mechanical defaults will make any of us feel more comfortable about flying!)

45 posted on 11/13/2001 5:09:53 AM PST by MizSterious
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To: BeforeISleep
It could have also been an act of sabotage during maintenance?

I think that's very likely. Also someone pointed out this plane was making round trips to Santo Domingo so the sabatage could have been done there out of the US, even the planting of a bomb.

46 posted on 11/13/2001 5:11:38 AM PST by FITZ
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To: vrwc54
This was also my initial thought but after considering it for a while I've concluded that there might be another explanation.

The area where the engines and most of the aircraft came down is only three or four blocks wide, with Jamaica Bay on one side and the Atlantic Ocean on the other.

1. The vertical stabilizer is a lot lighter than an engine.

2. From observing the smoke plume, it is obvious that there was a fairly strong breeze off of the ocean - toward Jamaica Bay.

3. Depending on the altitude of the aircraft when the "engine came off", and the distance "off-shore" where the stabilizer and other "light" parts fell in Jamaica Bay it is conceivable that the engine could have knocked these parts off. The engine would have dropped almost vertical but the lighter parts could have been blown back the several blocks toward Jamaica Bay.

Just a thought. We'll soon know for sure.

47 posted on 11/13/2001 5:18:08 AM PST by jackbill
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To: mommadooo3
Hate to say it... but thank GOD that this IS the land of a certain Constitutional right.

Well, it once was. I don't know if it is anymore other than lip service.

I remember the AA Chicago O'Hare crash in 1979. An engine fell off that plane too. But they didn't find the tail in Lake Michigan. The plane fell down; it didn't disintegrate.

This crash is far different.

Any confirmation that this flight originated in Boston?

48 posted on 11/13/2001 5:19:39 AM PST by Mad-Margaret
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To: vrwc54
Thanks. I found through Google that he is specialist in Risk Management and has designed some sort of investigation model that can be applied to any kind of accident. He apparently has no specific aviation expertise...which shows when he is yammering on TV.
49 posted on 11/13/2001 5:22:33 AM PST by TankerKC
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To: vrwc54
--not saying I completely support this, but the theory is based on some of these 'too many eyewitnesses" reports from yesterday,I didn't just poof make it up, I read it here in fact, it's someplace close in the threads..

The helicopter was really reported close by, by eyewitnesses, the fighter plane also close by to the airbus, like, where's these guys testimony, and why were those first inital eyewitness reports being ignored now? Where's the statements from the crews on those military aircraft, they were even closer eyewitnesses in the area then the guys in the boats and on the ground when it all went down. Haven't heard an official peep from government about those eyewitnesses, nor heard any talking head ask any questions about them.

If I don't ask it, someone else is going to remember and ask it, and never been a-skeered of a tinfoil label, never. It really is simple, the still alive eyewitnesses who were in closest proximity to the airbus at the start of the incident are remaining un-quoted and ignored by the press, just wondering what their story is. I offered a possible explanation, which is not all that farfetched. there is precedent, iranair is one example, twa800 *might* be another example.

Just a rhetorical question, doesn't require an answer, but last year,just a year ago, would you have believed a 'shoot down" order on civil aircraft from the government, instead of just arming the pilots and crew? In a perceived emergency? "Shoot down" means shoot down. The nation is jumpy, these military protectors are jumpy, signals can get crossed, stuff happens. I know a guy misread a number over a radio, just a number, up and down the c and c chain it went, all the way to a pretty spectacular "friendly fire" episode. stuff happens.

This is a possibility, and I wonder aloud about it because the closest eyewitnesses are not being questioned about it, the government has not even offered a synopsis of what they might have seen, which you would think they would have been extremely fast to do, but they haven't done so. One leads to the other. If they haven't, 'why not"? they didn't see anything? Doubt that. If they saw the plane just start breaking up in flight, what's the odds joe government would be crowing about what they saw? Odds are highly in that favor you would think. Instead, nothing, no reports from those pilots or crew, even massaged reports.

50 posted on 11/13/2001 5:23:40 AM PST by zog
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