I think West is 50-50 to take the Florida seat, and Ryan Frazier about the same odds to win a seat in Colorado (He should beat McCain’s candidate Lang Sias in the primary.)
I agree. West’s race is a tossup. I’d bet on him. Obama failed to do much better than Kerry did in the district (1 point better). West lost by only 10 despite little attention.
But 1 black Republican is now guaranteed.
There’s also State Sen Bill Hardiman who faces a crowded primary for a safe seat in Michigan.