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GALLUP: One Of Republicans' Biggest Advantages Has Evaporated At The Worst Possible Time
Business Insider ^ | Sep. 20, 2012 | Brett LoGiurato

Posted on 09/20/2012 7:47:27 AM PDT by granada

Democratic enthusiasm has surged both in swing states and nationally, according to a new Gallup poll, topping Republican enthusiasm and, in the process, wiping out what was thought to be a major advantage for Republicans and presidential nominee Mitt Romney.

Democrats have seen a rise in enthusiasm since July. In 12 swing states, Gallup found that 73 percent of Democrats now say they are "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting for president in the upcoming election. Previously, that percentage had lagged behind at just 53 percent in June.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2012issues; 2012polls; gallup
Comrade Barry is invincible.......
1 posted on 09/20/2012 7:47:33 AM PDT by granada
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To: granada

Business Insider might be the most politically clueless website in the US today...and that’s not an easy distinction to earn. :)


2 posted on 09/20/2012 7:49:00 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves (CTRL-GALT-DELETE)
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To: granada

Funny cbs showed the opposite among likely voters barry the weasel cant run from his record


3 posted on 09/20/2012 7:49:17 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: granada

Republics don’t trust pollsters (for good reason) and are not responding or flat-out lying about their intent.

This season, polls are worthless...even Ras


4 posted on 09/20/2012 7:50:52 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Alterations - The acronym explains the science.)
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To: granada

for later


5 posted on 09/20/2012 7:51:45 AM PDT by Doctor 2Brains (If the government were Paris Hilton, it could not score a free drink in a bar full of lonely sailors)
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To: italianquaker

One of the chief reasons the media is so mistaken in their zeal to proclaim Obama the election winner is that most of the polls they’re basing their predictions on are wildly inflating Democrat turnout. The overwhelming majority of media polls are an assuming an electorate that is at least as Democrat as the one in 2008, with many polls assuming a higher Democrat turnout. This is just daft. The latest CBS poll of 3 swing states is the most recent to show that GOP has a huge turnout advantage over Democrats.
Yesterday, CBS/NYT released its latest Quinnipiac poll of Colorado, Virginia and Wisconsin. With the exception of CO, the polls had heavy Democrat skews, so the head-to-head match-ups aren’t particularly informative. What was telling though was the differences in enthusiasm between the two parties.
In all three states, a majority of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic about voting this year, compared to about a third of Democrats who are. In Colorado and Virginia, GOP voters are more enthusiastic than Democrats by a 15 point margin. In Wisconsin, GOP enthusiasm outpaces Democrats by 16 points.
Particularly interesting is that GOP voters have become more enthusiastic about voting in the past month. GOP enthusiasm has increased 9 points in CO, 10 points in WI and 12 points in VA. Democrat enthusiasm, meanwhile has increased only modestly; 5 points in VA, 4 in WI and 10 in CO (from a very low 28% of Democrats who were more enthusiastic about voting).
If these trends continue, today’s head-to-head numbers will be wildly off base, as the electorate this November will be very different than the one that voted in 2008.
Keep in mind, GOP voters in these swing states have become more enthusiastic about voting in the midst of a weeks-long assault on Romney by the Democrat-media industrial complex. Since the beginning of the Democrat convention, the media have reported that Obama was surging, Romney was flailing, and the election was all but over. And yet, GOP voting enthusiasm increased.
The media reports of the death of the Romney campaign are not just exaggerated, they are flights of fantasy made up from whole cloth. GOP voters are clearly ready to rumble this


6 posted on 09/20/2012 7:52:04 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel

Yep. 3 times this week.


7 posted on 09/20/2012 7:52:06 AM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature ($1.84 - The price of a gallon of gas on Jan. 20th, 2009.)
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To: granada

Gallup’s been on a roll lately. That call from Axelrod must have scared the shiite out of them.


8 posted on 09/20/2012 7:52:50 AM PDT by ComputerGuy (HM2/USN M/3/3 Marines RVN 66-67)
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To: Mr. Jeeves

Gallup just wants to explain why Dems need to be oversampled.


9 posted on 09/20/2012 7:52:58 AM PDT by granada
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To: granada
Spare us. You just signed up 10 days ago to post this crap?

Ooooh noooo, I'm so depressed and dispirited now. Guess I'll just stay home on Election Day and cry into my latte. Man, you idiots are so transparent...

10 posted on 09/20/2012 7:53:16 AM PDT by liberty_lvr (Drill Gaia like a 3 am prom date)
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To: granada

Axleshaft is smiling this morning.


11 posted on 09/20/2012 7:54:22 AM PDT by Fresh Wind ('People have got to know whether or not their president is a crook.' Richard M. Nixon)
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To: granada

This was taken right after the RAT convention. It is gone just like Zero’s supposed 150 point convention bounce.


12 posted on 09/20/2012 7:54:29 AM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: granada
♫Fake Polls, Fake Polls, watcha gonna do, when nobody with a brain believes in you?♫

ALL Public Polls from now to election including exit polls WILL claim its a very tight race or Obama is leading. Reality is Obama had to cut back his coronation venue from 77 thousand to 20 thousand of which the 3 No Vote video showed to be not even half full. He also is way down on number of donors having to beg people to send him their wedding gifts, etc. Stop paying attention to Public Polls, they lie for money.

13 posted on 09/20/2012 7:54:42 AM PDT by Mechanicos (When did we amend the Constitution for a 2nd Federal Prohibition?)
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To: granada
This is surprising to whom?

An almost exact re-reun of the McLame candidacy. A Presidential candidate that elicits no trust or excitement from conservatives, a vice-president candidate that most conservatives would prefer over the president candidate.

Conservatives (me included) will go to the polls in November, hold our noses, and vote for Mittens. Will I go out and work my a$$ off for the guy? Not hardly. Will many of the most hard core conservatives decide not to even bother to vote at all? Probably. Will all of the liberal idiots and all of the cancers that slop at the public troth vote for Zero? Absolutely. Will the brainless sheeple vote for whoever the lamestream media tells them to? Check.

Without the second coming of Reagan (which I sure can't find on the horizon) GWB may the last thing ‘resembling’ a conservative in the White House in my lifetime.

14 posted on 09/20/2012 7:56:17 AM PDT by I cannot think of a name
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To: granada
"Gallup found that 73 percent of Democrats now say they are "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting for president in the upcoming election. Previously, that percentage had lagged behind at just 53 percent in June."

"This months chocolate ration has been raised to 12 grams from the previous months level of 16 grams. doubleplusgood!"

15 posted on 09/20/2012 7:56:34 AM PDT by Mad Dawgg (If you're going to deny my 1st Amendment rights then I must proceed to the 2nd one...)
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To: granada

Clearly in a poll of [enthusiastic Democrats] +15 over unenthusiastic Democrats.


16 posted on 09/20/2012 7:57:39 AM PDT by libh8er
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To: granada

Comrade Barry is invincible.......

no ,the Dem propaganda machine is at full speed


17 posted on 09/20/2012 7:58:08 AM PDT by molson209
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To: granada

“Democratic enthusiasm has surged both in swing states and nationally, according to a new Gallup poll,”

This is absolute BS! As we have talked about in several threads, I have noticed a tremendous reduction in the number of Obama bumper stickers and signs as opposed to 2008. In 2008 they were everywhere. I see a huge dropoff in enthusiasm for Bozo, even in these heavy Rat states around here. Last weekend I drove from NYC to Boston, and back, and saw a grand total of 4 bumper stickers. Two of which were for R&R. As we know, conservatives are very leery to put stickers on their cars for fear that the Rat mutants will key them. (I am using a magnetic bumper sticker when I am on the highway and take it off before I get home!) However, Rats usually love putting crap on their cars, but this time around (47 days left) they just are not! I think it is a very good sign for R&R!


18 posted on 09/20/2012 7:58:30 AM PDT by Batman11 (We came for the chicken sandwiches and a Sweet Tea Party broke out!)
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To: granada

I can’t imagine what the Democrats have to get “fired up”, over? My observation is that they seem demoralized to some extent.


19 posted on 09/20/2012 7:59:41 AM PDT by swamprebel (a Constitution once changed from Freedom, can never be restored.)
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To: Mr. Jeeves
You don't know what you're taliking about.

I just bought 1,000 shares of amalgamated enthusiasm and I'm led to believe it'll grow at least 3% in the next 40 days.

My wife just left for the weekly shopping trip and right under milk, bread and eggs I penciled in 2 16oz. jars of buttered enthusiasm.

Not the bland kind, but the Asian stuff (it's purer .. and besides .. my wife's Asian)

You ain't lived 'til you've got your feet propped up in front of the computer, watching HULU episodes, back to back from season 1 to season 9 of the X Files, munchin' on some cool, crisp buttered enthusiasm.

20 posted on 09/20/2012 8:00:00 AM PDT by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but they're true)
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To: granada
I predicted voters in WI were spring-loaded to vote in support for Walker. I was right and he won with 53% of the vote. I have the same sense in this presidential race. I think Romney wins with ~51% to 52%.

I live in Madison. In 2008 the Madison campus has scores and scores of bumper stickers and signs plastered in student's windows. Now, in 2012 an ocassional bumper sticker on some white-bearded prof's Subaru or Pruis. I have yet to see any Obama window signs.

Is this all anecdotal? Sure, but with each election you get a certain feeling in the air regarding what's about to happen, and this election is no different.

21 posted on 09/20/2012 8:00:53 AM PDT by Obadiah (The Hunger Games -- Obama's vision for America)
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To: ComputerGuy
This wouldn't shock me:

October 1, 2012 — A USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows 47% of Americans would support the removal of George Washington on the one-dollar ($1) bill in favor of current President Barack Obama. It is the highest showing yet in monthly polling.

22 posted on 09/20/2012 8:01:38 AM PDT by ConservativeStatement (Obama "acted stupidly.")
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To: I cannot think of a name
Conservatives (me included) will go to the polls in November, hold our noses, and vote for Mittens. Will I go out and work my a$$ off for the guy? Not hardly. Will many of the most hard core conservatives decide not to even bother to vote at all?

What utter garbage!

NO REAL CONSERVATIVE IN SPIRIT AND IN TRUTH NEEDS ROMNEY TO MOTIVATE THEM TO FIGHT IN THIS ELECTION AGAINST THE GRAVEST THREAT TO THEIR COUNTRY IN THEIR LIFETIME!

Any "so called conservative" who sits this one out is fraud!

23 posted on 09/20/2012 8:04:14 AM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: Mad Dawgg

Gallup failed to publish results that 99% of Republicans will definitely vote inspite of the Black Panther Party swearing on their mother’s graves to stop them.... Come Hell or High Water, Republican’s and most Independent’s will vote against Obama.


24 posted on 09/20/2012 8:05:04 AM PDT by Jumper
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To: ConservativeStatement

His minions have already put his pic on the Flag. I’m guessing ~47% of us will soon think that’s a great idea.


25 posted on 09/20/2012 8:05:13 AM PDT by ComputerGuy (HM2/USN M/3/3 Marines RVN 66-67)
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To: italianquaker; All

they evidently also think we have a huge advantage as far as voters in November: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2933459/posts


26 posted on 09/20/2012 8:05:18 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Obadiah

“I live in Madison. In 2008 the Madison campus has scores and scores of bumper stickers and signs plastered in student’s windows. Now, in 2012 an ocassional bumper sticker on some white-bearded prof’s Subaru or Pruis. I have yet to see any Obama window signs.”

Yup, this is what I am seeing as well. There is no where near the enthusiasm for Obama this time around.


27 posted on 09/20/2012 8:06:56 AM PDT by Batman11 (We came for the chicken sandwiches and a Sweet Tea Party broke out!)
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To: granada

The polls must be in zeros favor so the libs can claim election fraud when their messiah loses.


28 posted on 09/20/2012 8:09:18 AM PDT by KittenClaws (You may have to fight a battle more than once in order to win it." - Margaret Thatcher)
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To: Batman11

What the lamestream media is doing isn’t just shameful, it’s borderline dangerous. Are they going to be held responsible for the riots and people going nuts when Obama has his butt handed to him in November? They’re setting up these expectations and a scenario where when he loses, it creates a situation that makes the Watts Riots look like a church picnic.


29 posted on 09/20/2012 8:14:36 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: granada
This website corrects for the oversampling of Democrats in major polls
http://www.unskewedpolls.com/

30 posted on 09/20/2012 8:20:00 AM PDT by preacher (Communism has only killed 100 million people: Let's give it another chance!)
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To: NoobRep

They will try to use these polls as proof that the voter ID laws area poll tax. Then they will file massive law suits to contest the Romney victory. Scary stuff. It will happen, unless the margin of victory is huge. The riots will happen no matter what if Romney wins. I am not as worried about that as I am the voter ID shenanigans.


31 posted on 09/20/2012 8:22:51 AM PDT by Batman11 (We came for the chicken sandwiches and a Sweet Tea Party broke out!)
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To: MrDem
“What utter garbage! “

Ah, the one advantage of being old. I've lived through these movies before and know exactly how they turn out.

In ‘92, too many people fell under Perot's spell and we were stuck with Clintoon. We also almost got a worse health care bill and the destruction of the 2nd amendment. I took almost the entire year of 1994 and worked my butt off to make sure we riled up every conservative to be found. And with hundreds of thousands just like me across the country, the 1994 Congressional elections tied Clintoons hands and pretty much saved the country. All that was left was to boot the “bend one” out of office and say “good riddance.”

What happened?

In 1996 Dole hung around until he got the nomination. Unfortunately he had a track record of being all over the place on many issues, and most conservatives had a high degree of distrust about his policies (almost everyone respected the man himself). All of the people that I had been able to call just two years before and get any help I needed, were now all “really busy.”

I'm sorry to burst anyone’s bubble, but the sad fact is this: If you want to fire up the base, you have to have a candidate that can fire up the base. It really doesn't matter how much they hate the other guy, it won't be enough. People have to be fired-up about their candidate, to be fired-up! And Mittens just doesn't seem to have the spark to fire up anybody.

32 posted on 09/20/2012 8:24:12 AM PDT by I cannot think of a name
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To: Batman11; Obadiah
Yup, this is what I am seeing as well. There is no where near the enthusiasm for Obama this time around.

I live in South Philadelphia and in 2004 it looked like a John Kerry theme park, but that was nothing compared to 2008. It seemed that every non-moving object was plastered with the "hope" poster or Obama Biden stickers.

This year, you wouldn't know it was an election year at all.

33 posted on 09/20/2012 8:24:26 AM PDT by South Hawthorne (In Memory of my dear Friend Henry Lee II)
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To: Batman11

“They will try to use these polls as proof that the voter ID laws area poll tax.”

Oops, that should read: They will try to use these polls as proof that the voter ID laws are poll taxes.


34 posted on 09/20/2012 8:24:40 AM PDT by Batman11 (We came for the chicken sandwiches and a Sweet Tea Party broke out!)
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To: I cannot think of a name

They are forgetting we aren’t going to the polls to vote for just a president. We also need the House and Senate
as well as state and local candidates elected.


35 posted on 09/20/2012 8:24:51 AM PDT by Average Al (The Democrat party is a free range zoo.)
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To: Batman11

Not in my world! Romney stickers and signs 10-1 over Barry.


36 posted on 09/20/2012 8:25:19 AM PDT by King Hawk
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To: King Hawk

“Not in my world! Romney stickers and signs 10-1 over Barry.”

Well that’s good news! Where in the country are you located?


37 posted on 09/20/2012 8:26:53 AM PDT by Batman11 (We came for the chicken sandwiches and a Sweet Tea Party broke out!)
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel
I got polled by PPP on the Dan Lungren race out here and I wish I could have recorded the questions. They made you think that Congressman Lungren was single-handedly responsible for global warming, starving children, and the Batman shootings. I'm surprised the polls would show him with a lead after that line of questioning. Of course I pressed the buttons to describe myself as an 18-23 year old, Hispanic, female Democrat. Polls are absolute nonsense now that people are using them as propaganda.


Damn It Feels Good to Be a Gangsta...er...Pollster

38 posted on 09/20/2012 8:36:36 AM PDT by ScottinSacto (Liberals support abortion on demand and gay marriage....sounds like a great strategic plan!)
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To: King Hawk

I need to move to your part of the country!


39 posted on 09/20/2012 8:38:39 AM PDT by Obadiah (The Hunger Games -- Obama's vision for America)
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To: Obadiah

I hope you are right. You, and others, are the reason I read FR...to get a sense of what is going on in battleground states...from people who actually live there and who see it everyday.

I know no one can know for sure...but it is encouraging none-the-less.


40 posted on 09/20/2012 8:46:34 AM PDT by yellowdoghunter
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To: Average Al
“We also need the House and Senate
as well as state and local candidates elected.”

Absolutely. And this time even more.

We will end up with either an outright communist, or a weak kneed kind-of conservative for President. Only a bunch of fire eaters in the Senate and House can save us at this point. We need to re-run the 1994 Congressional results, although this time I hope more of the people we think are conservative actually turn out to BE conservative.

41 posted on 09/20/2012 8:50:05 AM PDT by I cannot think of a name
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To: LS
If you're out there, you might want to bring some friends to this Poll party.....from Gallup

Regards....

42 posted on 09/20/2012 8:52:56 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: God luvs America
I'll call you ...and raise it.... with this thread http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2933626/posts

If case you missed it, you'll want to read it. It's really good!

43 posted on 09/20/2012 9:02:46 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: thingumbob

lets hope...


44 posted on 09/20/2012 9:15:59 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: granada

Now will you drop the lawsuit against us, Mr Holder? See what we’ve done for Obama? Please, Mr. Holder?


45 posted on 09/20/2012 9:22:20 AM PDT by Wiser now (Socialism does not eliminate poverty, it guarantees it.)
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To: granada

Rush talking about the bogusness of this. But let them spin.
We’ll see who is “unenthusiastic” on Nov. 6.


46 posted on 09/20/2012 9:22:24 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: granada

Trends in polling show up first in national polling then are followed a few weeks afterward in state polling. Current state polling reflects the bump received from Clinton’s speech.

People voting for Romney shouldn’t be concerned as it will fade. They should be focused instead on the surge upward reflected in Rassmussen’s polling just released and the fact Romney wasted his opportunity to even his standing with Obama at his own convention. Instead of being at a tie or statistically slightly ahead once polling has faded imo Obama still slightly leads. That’s on Romney.

The debates are his last opportunity to convince apathetic and/or hostile voters towards him that a vote for him is more then just the “slightly less bad” choice. Otherwise some people will just vote Obama again while others that cannot tolerate either of them sit home.


47 posted on 09/20/2012 9:35:38 AM PDT by Soul Seeker (I will work every day to make Washington, D.C., as inconsequential in your lives as I can - Perry)
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To: All

Gallup is owned by the regime but we can’t discount the polls that don’t agree with us. I can ignore them and just encourage my neighbors to vote .. but either way, the American public will be surprised if Obama wins and the media will be surprised when Romney wins..


48 posted on 09/20/2012 9:39:13 AM PDT by newnhdad (Where will you be during the Election Riots of 2012/2013?)
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