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Pollsters miss mark again on Trump voters in Virginia Republican governor’s primary
The Washington Times ^ | June 17, 2017 | Stephen Dinan and Seth McLaughlin

Posted on 06/17/2017 2:48:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Pollsters had major trouble spotting the surge of support for Corey Stewart in Virginia’s Republican governor’s primary this week, suggesting they still can’t figure out how to successfully survey Trump supporters.

Mr. Stewart, chairman of the Prince William Board of County Supervisors and onetime Trump campaign chairman in Virginia, ran as the Trump figure in the race, pursuing an anti-establishment message that centered around a tough approach to illegal immigration.

Polling — which was strikingly infrequent — showed Mr. Stewart failing to crack 20 percent support, trailing Ed Gillespie, the putative front-runner, by as much as 27 percent. In the end, Mr. Gillespie nipped Mr. Stewart by just 1 point, 44 percent to 43 percent. That left a lot of Trump-style Stewart supporters hidden in earlier polls.

Michael McKenna, a Virginia-based pollster and strategist, said the results should be another wake-up call.

“Researchers have to do a much better job of making sure that they are getting responses from all kinds of relevant populations,” Mr. McKenna told The Washington Times.

The sentiment swept through the polling community last year when surveys, while correctly catching Hillary Clinton’s popular vote lead, missed Donald Trump’s performance in a number of battleground states......

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: Virginia; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2017polls; coreystewart; edgillespie; gillespie; gop; polling; polls; primary; republican; republicans; stewart; trump; va2017; virginia
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To: House Atreides
Vote for Gillespie — at least he won’t actively war against the Trump agenda as the ‘RAT would certainly do,

ROFL! Yeah, like RuPaul and Yertle don't!


21 posted on 06/17/2017 3:35:00 PM PDT by COBOL2Java (RuPaul and Yertle - our illustrious Republican leaders up the Hill - God help us!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I guarantee if polled by a news organization, they will never get a straight answer out of me.

Just to screw up their pre determined bias...

All polls have a bias built in to reflect their agenda.

Either by the way the questions are set up or the demographics they poll.


22 posted on 06/17/2017 3:37:20 PM PDT by Popman
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To: House Atreides

No guarantee of that, he’s a Cheap Labor Express stooge.


23 posted on 06/17/2017 3:41:58 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents - Know Islam, No Peace -No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Now with the idiot Gillespie, the Dems are sure to win


24 posted on 06/17/2017 3:43:17 PM PDT by montag813
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To: montag813

Rancid Prius without the gravitas.


25 posted on 06/17/2017 3:44:45 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: Luke21
Their polls are propaganda based. They deliberately slant them to demoralize conservatives and convince people not to support certain candidates. I don’t believe any poll ever, not one. They are weaponized information.

If true, isn't that LEGALLY actionable by Stewart? After all, his campaign was derailed because of deliberately-false polling.

26 posted on 06/17/2017 3:45:27 PM PDT by montag813
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To: All

I’m afraid it doesn’t matter l think we’ve lost VA statewide races. Too many deep staters who work in DC and live in VA. That plus McCaulif killed any attempts to stop the voter fraud.


27 posted on 06/17/2017 3:48:10 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Pollsters had major trouble spotting the surge of support . . . “Researchers have to do a much better job of making sure that they are getting responses from all kinds of relevant populations,”

Do a better job? There are options, but it's tough and expensive. There is no inexpensive way to get the opinions of people who at best hang up and more often (1) share a few choice expletives, or (2) never answer calls from unknown numbers. While I would enjoy the challenge and even worked on (successful) methods of reaching what used to be a small fraction of voters, I'm glad I retired before it reached this point.

28 posted on 06/17/2017 4:05:34 PM PDT by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The American people and American voters have to realize reality. There are very few (Maybe Rasmussan), if any political polls that are any where near accurate these days!!!

Just one week ago, every political poll taken in the Georgia 6th CD Special Election Congressional seat race, being held on June 20th, 2017, showed that Obama’s pretty boy man servant, Democrat, Jon “Pajama Boy” Ossoff was beating his Republican opponent, Republican, Karen Handel by seven (7) points and climbing. Everyone of these polls was Democrat, left-wing, progressive or media, biased polls!!!

Effective yesterday...all these polls had closed to a tie. This never was a seven point spread race. This tie now represents a “Democrat/Media” attempt to CYA on the polls, just in case Republican, Karen Handel defeats Democrat, Jon “Pajama Boy” Ossoff, which now appears quite likely!!! Fake News/Fake Polls!!!

Folks in the Georgia, 6th CD, cast your votes for the Republican candidate, Ms. Karen Handel!!! Go Karen Handel, Go POTUS, Donald J. Trump....MAGA!!! Help good, decent, loyal, patriotic, Americans defeat & destroy the entire Democrat Party, politically!!!


29 posted on 06/17/2017 4:12:03 PM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

WMAL’s Chris Plante took callers on the day of the primary and was blown away by the enthusiasm for Corey.


30 posted on 06/17/2017 4:15:18 PM PDT by nicollo (MAGA)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I crossed over and voted for the Bernie sanders socialist for gov and the Hillary clone for LT gov. I wonder how many others did?


31 posted on 06/17/2017 4:19:02 PM PDT by Bulwinkle (Alec, a.k.a. Daffy Duck)
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To: Luke21

Anyone who believes any poll after the 2016 election is hopeless.


32 posted on 06/17/2017 4:23:34 PM PDT by JennysCool
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

I’m in GA 6th and today alone I’ve been called three times by pollsters. I hung up each time. These polls coming out of GA are nonsense. Multiple times a day for the past 6 weeks we get polling calls. I hang up and when my husband gets the call he gives them silly answers to mess with them. I dont think we are alone in our distaste of these callers. Republicans have never been to keen on polling.


33 posted on 06/17/2017 4:37:26 PM PDT by Republican Red
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To: DanZ

Always a tough decision. In this case I think I would vote RINO just to keep it Republican.


34 posted on 06/17/2017 4:41:29 PM PDT by Kalamata
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To: Republican Red

Would love to get your feel & input on how this election is going. Not much on the internet, other then Democrat, left-wing, progressive, swooning over, Jon “Pajama Boy” Ossoff!!!

This is such a great, grand opportunity to sink the entire Democrat Party to political failure. I wonder if the voters in the Georgia, 6th CD realize the true importance of what is at stake?

Simple: A Karen Handel win destroys the entire Democrat Party, politically!!!


35 posted on 06/17/2017 4:47:49 PM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: House Atreides
Vote for Gillespie — at least he won’t actively war against the Trump agenda as the ‘RAT would certainly do,

Just another pussbag Republican. I guess if he'd just keep his mouth shut and go into hiding rather than war FOR Trump it would be OK by GOP standards.

The only people (/s) I hate more than Republicans are Democrats.

36 posted on 06/17/2017 4:49:42 PM PDT by Roccus (When you talk to a politician...ANY politician...always say, "Remember Ceausescu")
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To: hal ogen
Stay home...until you move out of state.

I do not live in Virginia. And I do not understand your comment.

In Texas the Primaries are in early March. I will be voting for challengers to incumbents

Too many RINOs in Texas is a problem that needs to be addressed

37 posted on 06/17/2017 4:52:15 PM PDT by DanZ
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To: House Atreides
Vote for Gillespie — at least he won’t actively war against the Trump agenda as the ‘RAT would certainly do

Gillespie is a RINO, a member in good standing of the Anti-Trump Washington ESTABLISHMENT. Former Chairmen on the RNC.

Your comment he won’t actively war against the Trump agenda is a non sequitur

38 posted on 06/17/2017 4:57:01 PM PDT by DanZ
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To: Kalamata
Always a tough decision. In this case I think I would vote RINO just to keep it Republican.

And prey tell, what is so good about a RINO Republican?

39 posted on 06/17/2017 5:00:33 PM PDT by DanZ
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To: DanZ

Really? Well you can take it to the bank that the ‘RAT candidate CERTAINLY will wage war on Trump CONSTANTLY.


40 posted on 06/17/2017 5:01:52 PM PDT by House Atreides (Send BOTH Hillary & Bill to prison.)
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