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Kerry Gaining Ground (Bush 45%, Kerry 42%)
RasmussenReports.com ^ | Tuesday, January 27, 2004 | RasmussenReports.com

Posted on 01/27/2004 11:51:52 AM PST by Momaw Nadon

January 27, 2004--Senator John Kerry has pulled to within three points of George W. Bush in the Rasmussen Reports national tracking poll. Yesterday, Kerry trailed by five points.

Kerry is the most competitive of all Democrats in a general election match-up with the President. He is also the top choice among all Democrats to win the party's Presidential nomination.

Senator John Edwards trails the President by just five points, 45% to 40%.

Before the Iowa caucuses, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean and retired General Wesley Clark were the most competitive Democrats. Both now trail Bush by double digit margins.

Survey results show that a generic Democrat polls better than any individual candidate at this point in time.

These results are from a national telephone survey of 1,500 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports over the past three nights. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.

Survey data showing the race between President Bush and a generic Democrat is updated daily on this site by noon.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; bush; election; georgebush; georgewbush; johnkerry; kerry; poll; polls; president; presidentbush; presidential; rasmussen
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To: oceanview
I hope you can "educate" them yourself, you seem to be the only one smart enough.

(The Arkansas hillbillies thought that too.)

101 posted on 01/27/2004 7:18:07 PM PST by Protagoras (When they asked me what I thought of freedom in America,,, I said I thought it would be a good idea.)
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To: Protagoras
actually, its what most people on this board are trying to do, I guess with the exception of you.
102 posted on 01/27/2004 7:21:10 PM PST by oceanview
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To: oceanview
Actually, I have met very few elitists on this board. Certainly no one nearly as smart as you.
103 posted on 01/27/2004 7:24:32 PM PST by Protagoras (When they asked me what I thought of freedom in America,,, I said I thought it would be a good idea.)
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To: Protagoras
i don't know why you are tossing this "elitist" word around. ask anyone on this board if they think the typical Dem voter is ignorant. Sean Hannity does a radio segment everyday where he finds some random people at Penn Station and asks them a few simple questions and makes this point everyday, is he an "elitist" also?
104 posted on 01/27/2004 7:30:33 PM PST by oceanview
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To: Dan from Michigan
How dare you speak of this lovely Irish-Catholic gentleman in such tones of anger! Did you not know that Ted Kennedy is campaigning for him and that Ted is none other than the brother of the holy saint and martyr, St. John Fitzgerald Kennedy himself?

How can you be living with yourself? America is in grievous trouble and these two have come forward to save us out of nothing but their love for those whom a whimsical god hath fortunately placed beneath them. Support this effort, my good man. Put Ketchup on everything, wash it down with Scotch Whiskey. Funds will pour into the Kerry-Kennedy War Chest and America will be saved.

105 posted on 01/27/2004 7:34:52 PM PST by Kenny Bunk
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To: Protagoras
Elitist slap at fellow citizens.

Most people think Clinton was impeached for having sex.

106 posted on 01/27/2004 7:35:31 PM PST by lasereye
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To: lasereye
of the ones who recall that he was impeached, yes.
107 posted on 01/27/2004 7:36:37 PM PST by oceanview
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To: Kenny Bunk
As an Irish-Catholic myself, I have to PROUDLY say that there is no Irish blood in John F'n Kerry whatsoever.

His surname was changed from Kohn when his family came from Austria, and his mom's side is blueblood Brahmin.

108 posted on 01/27/2004 7:37:01 PM PST by Dan from Michigan (Take me down to the paradise city where the grass is green and the girls are pretty. Take me Home)
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To: TwoSue
Actually, I am not sure that was true because he actually used a phone automated method to get responses. He probably was getting responses from real ghosts or aliens for all he knows.
109 posted on 01/27/2004 7:40:05 PM PST by David1
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To: Impeach the Boy
Relax it is early yet. The Demorats have been in the spotlight for the last couple of months, the media being more that willing, and the Republicans have not fired one shot yet. It might be closer than we would like but Bush will prevail. Ask yourself this question; Can a raving liberal from Mass. with a voting record more lefty than his bloated fellow Mass. senator win in a general election. Rove has plenty of ammo to fire at this turkey! Relax man.
110 posted on 01/27/2004 7:48:43 PM PST by Right Wing Puppy
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To: Impeach the Boy
Relax it is early yet. The Demo-rats have been in the spotlight for the last couple of months, the media being more that willing, and the Republicans have not fired one shot yet. It might be closer than we would like but Bush will prevail. Ask yourself this question; Can a raving liberal from Mass. with a voting record more lefty than his bloated fellow Mass. senator win in a general election. Rove has plenty of ammo to fire at this turkey! Relax man.
111 posted on 01/27/2004 7:56:47 PM PST by Right Wing Puppy
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To: oceanview
Absolutely!! They have gotten 24-hr. coverage for days now....free!! The media has devoted ALL ITS RESOURCES to the Dems. I am mad and am not going to take it anymore. I do not understand why conservative talkshow hosts, i.e. Hannity, Boortz, felt it necessary to give these morons all the free campaigning!! Don't they know that we have no use for them!

GW has had a bad few wks since the immigation debacle, SOTU, WMD's! Going to NH now will be a bit anti-climatic! Someone needs to take the GOP message out there quick and outdo these libs on the AIR!!
112 posted on 01/27/2004 9:06:40 PM PST by whadizit
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To: Meldrim
People in Maine may sniff out phonies, but this campaign has Democrats not voting for policies, character, etc. but for the one that has the best chance of beating Bush.

They do not care who the Dem. nominee is. The only thing impt to them now is electability. Popularity has nothing to do with it. Policies have nothing to do with it. Their whole energy totally devoted to whipping Bush...no matter who it is.

When that is the goal, and nothing else, it will be quite difficult for Bush and Co. to combat..esp. with question marks among conservatives.
113 posted on 01/27/2004 9:12:11 PM PST by whadizit
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To: whadizit
I think you are getting a bit too worried without waiting for the real campaign to start.

With all the hype about polls, they are notoriously wrong. Rasmussen is a big time Leftie himself and a Dem pundit.

Wait till the Pubbies launch their ads as well as start counter punching the DUm's lies.

The idea of such false information getting out to the lukewarm voters out there who would otherwise stay home because they think plenty of Pubbies will show up and win without needing their vote, this may have the opposite effect. They may become extremely motivated and get out to the pols because they don't want a repeat of last election.

114 posted on 01/27/2004 9:27:15 PM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (Careful! Your TAGS are the mirror of your SOUL!)
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To: Impeach the Boy
---It simply is so hard to accept that 41% of the American people are either blind, stupid, or socialists.---

Kerry will be a good candidate for the Dems. If they're anti-war, well, Kerry was a big-time anti-war leader. If they're pro-military, well, Kerry was a war hero. And so on. The trick is, if Kerry starts to look inevitable, to pick the aspect of Kerry that they find attractive and discount the rest.

Remember Bubba!
115 posted on 01/27/2004 9:38:17 PM PST by claudiustg (Go Sharon! Go Bush!)
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To: Right Wing Puppy
You KEEP forgetting...the Supreme Court TOOK 3 months of ads AWAY from us...time is short...Moveon.org is beginning their attack ads against BUSH NOW...so is the group that Soros is funding....the dark side KNOWS how to fight..the GOP leadership does not...never has....

It was the INSURANCE company ads that killed Hillary-care, NOT the GOP....Now is the time...later is too late.
116 posted on 01/28/2004 3:33:12 AM PST by Moby Grape
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To: FlipWilson
Wow!! So, in other words, if the election were held today and the President was not allowed to campaign, the Democrats might stand a chance.

So true! Things will be different later won't they?

117 posted on 01/28/2004 3:40:49 AM PST by billva
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To: oceanview
i don't know why you are tossing this "elitist" word around. ask anyone on this board if they think the typical Dem voter is ignorant.

Nice try at changing it from dumb to "ignorant" and people to "democrats". It didn't work, but nice try.

Is Sean Hannity thinks that people in general are dumb and he or some group or Republicans are smart, then he is an elitist too. But I don't think you will hear him say that.

Heaven help the country if you and Sean Hannity are examples of the smart ones.

118 posted on 01/28/2004 6:43:27 AM PST by Protagoras (When they asked me what I thought of freedom in America,,, I said I thought it would be a good idea.)
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To: lasereye
Most people think Clinton was impeached for having sex.

Cite statistics please.

119 posted on 01/28/2004 6:45:08 AM PST by Protagoras (When they asked me what I thought of freedom in America,,, I said I thought it would be a good idea.)
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To: Dan from Michigan
....that there is no Irish blood in John F'n Kerry whatsoever.

Surely now you have that wrong. Is this not the same Celtic Kerry boyo who has been prancing around the Bay State lo these many years doing every thing but a Galway Reel and tearfully singing "Mother McCree?" In fact, I claim the Massachusetts voters actually think Kerry IS a Kennedy!

It's dark in those MA voting booths, and as the typical Boston voter bends over, all he can read is the K and the Y. This has allowed the Kennedys and the Kerry to slip into office, along with Barney Frank.

120 posted on 01/28/2004 9:14:31 AM PST by Kenny Bunk
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To: Protagoras
you're kidding right? you think that most americans understand the details of the impeachement proceedings against clinton? many of these same people don't know who the vice president is, don't know basic elements of US history. I guess you are lucky enough to only encounter very well informed, educated people every day.
121 posted on 01/28/2004 9:30:36 AM PST by oceanview
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To: oceanview
I asked for stats to back up a statement, if you have them, please share, if not, back to whatever you were doing before you started speculating about what I think.
122 posted on 01/28/2004 9:38:49 AM PST by Protagoras (When they asked me what I thought of freedom in America,,, I said I thought it would be a good idea.)
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To: Protagoras
I deduce most people think he was impeached over sex because of the following two indisputable facts:

1) His defenders said repeatedly that he was being impeached over sex

2) His poll numbers went UP dramatically, leading to GOP losses in the midterm election, the first time the party controlloing the Whitehouse gained after being in power for 6 years in something like 60 or 70 years.

If you need documentation of either 1) or 2) I can give it to you.

I therefore put 2 and 2 together and get 4. If you have a more rational explanation for what happened, I'd like to hear it. And no, something like, "Everybody's sick of politics" is not a rational explanation.

There's also plenty of anecdotal evidence - man on the street interviews saying "I don't think his personal life is anyone's business" etc.

I'm not aware of a poll that's been done asking people "Why do you think Clinton was impeached". I doubt you have "stats" indicating that most people understand why he was impeached. So all we have is logical inferences, which are pretty strong to indicate as I stated.
123 posted on 01/28/2004 3:27:54 PM PST by lasereye
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To: Kenny Bunk
It's dark in those MA voting booths, and as the typical Boston voter bends over, all he can read is the K and the Y. This has allowed the Kennedys and the Kerry to slip into office, along with Barney Frank.

Now that's funny!

124 posted on 01/28/2004 3:43:24 PM PST by AmishDude
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To: Final Authority
On the democrats side I see it as a run for control of their party at this stage....

Gore = Dean
Kennedy = Kerry
Clinton = Clark

125 posted on 01/28/2004 4:13:53 PM PST by deport (BUSH - CHENEY 2004.........)
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To: Impeach the Boy
I think the numbers are excellent. All that mudslinging by the democrats, that's all you hear.
Bush hasn't said a word yet, hasn't started campaigning and he is still in the lead. It's quite impressive.
126 posted on 01/28/2004 4:18:53 PM PST by americanbychoice
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To: Momaw Nadon
Rasmussen is about as reliable as Newsweak. In 2000 he had Bush beating Gore by about 8%.
127 posted on 01/28/2004 4:18:58 PM PST by anncoulteriscool
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To: oceanview
NYC will be nuked within 10 years.

Regretably, I think that is possible regardless of which party is in power.

Regards

128 posted on 01/28/2004 4:29:01 PM PST by biffalobull
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To: joesnuffy
Hmmm. This makes my suspicions about Dick Cheney's replacement all the more likely.

However, please understand that Bush is barely on the radar right now. Kerry will wrap up the nomination in early March. He will also be out of money. That's when the carpet bombing in selected swing states will begin.

Right now the media loves Kerry because he sounds good, is a known Senate liberal, and goes to the same parties they do. I'm surprised Bush is holding at this level. This will change as Bush gets out there and gets his base up and running.

By mid-May, we should be fighting in Pakistan. Not wagging the dog, mind you; it appears that now is as good a time as any to wrap up the Mystery Sheik and send him and his buddies to meet the 72 virgins. Bin Laden presumed that we would be preoccupied with the Ba'athist rebels to come after him.

What if it turns out that he thought poorly?

Be Seeing You,

Chris

129 posted on 01/28/2004 4:29:19 PM PST by section9 (Major Motoko Kusanagi says, "I have John Kerry's medals! No, really, their in my purse!")
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To: Impeach the Boy
we CAN'T run ads to tell the truth about the dark side 90 days before the elections?


Who's we...... the direct campaign can run ads as long as they are paid with 'hard' money....... can't they?

Ads right now would be a waste until we get to at least Super Tuesday, Mar. 2 at which time the democrat nominee may be known.... Remember President Bush hasn't been campaigning to get equally time, no primary debates or daily events in these states, no media following him around making the daily deadline back to the newsroom, etc. etc.

Once they get a defined candidate then the Bush/Cheney campaign can unleash the $100+ they have on hand at this time and start defining the issues...... start holding campaign events, appearing with other Republican candidates, etc.. Also the democrat is going under the FEC money one month earlier than the President, so he can essentially spend more.
130 posted on 01/28/2004 4:32:19 PM PST by deport (BUSH - CHENEY 2004.........)
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To: biffalobull
anything is possible.

but just as 8 years of clinton gave us 9/11, 7 months after his departure, give kerry a term and/or toss hillary in there for a term or two, and you can bank on it.
131 posted on 01/28/2004 4:37:20 PM PST by oceanview
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To: claudiustg
---It simply is so hard to accept that 41% of the American people are either blind, stupid, or socialists.---

Never sell your opponent short. If I remember right GW won the last election by a narrow margin. Both in the electoral college and the popular vote. Regards

132 posted on 01/28/2004 4:44:32 PM PST by biffalobull
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To: deport
I understand why you think NOW is too early....however, the dark side doesn't think that way (and never have). They begin running ads early (the unions, the special interest liberal groups)....The GOP has a history of waiting...by then a hole is dug...the KEY is to destroy what the liberals are saying, with the truth, EARLY so that what the dem canidate says is ALREADY defeated....

It is time for the GOP to learn from the left....the left is running anti-Bush ads NOW.
133 posted on 01/28/2004 6:11:00 PM PST by Moby Grape
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To: deport
To your point about HARD money...who is that on our side?...we don't have a MOVEON.ORG or PETA, or NEA, or UNIONS, or Time Warner, CNN....so on and so on.
134 posted on 01/28/2004 6:12:23 PM PST by Moby Grape
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To: Impeach the Boy
To each his own...... it's evident that the Bush/Cheney campaign feels differently than you.....
135 posted on 01/28/2004 6:21:20 PM PST by deport (BUSH - CHENEY 2004.........)
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To: billorites

136 posted on 01/28/2004 6:26:51 PM PST by Kaslin ("The way to dishonor a fallen soldier is to quit too early." President George W. Bush)
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To: Miles Vorkosigan
Welcome to FR
137 posted on 01/28/2004 6:47:01 PM PST by Kaslin ("The way to dishonor a fallen soldier is to quit too early." President George W. Bush)
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To: deport
I am NOT talking about the Bush/Chenney group...I am talking about the RNC.
138 posted on 01/29/2004 3:22:07 AM PST by Moby Grape
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To: deport
By the way, it is obvious that Bush SR and his campaign had a different view than me to...I recall DAILY calls to them to get off their asses and start getting the truth out...I recall Rush saying surely they would soon...they didn't, they lost....
139 posted on 01/29/2004 3:24:12 AM PST by Moby Grape
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To: Impeach the Boy
Super Bush to the Rescue ... Not to worry........
140 posted on 01/29/2004 7:29:46 AM PST by deport (BUSH - CHENEY 2004.........)
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To: Big Horn
Haven't yet read M. Steyn, but do
you recall THIS? After Wes Clark
jumped in & was media-hyped, at
least one nat'l poll showed him
defeating President Bush, with
both of them in the 40s, %-wise.

Insane!
141 posted on 01/29/2004 7:53:55 AM PST by txrangerette
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