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Kerry Gaining Ground (Bush 45%, Kerry 42%)
RasmussenReports.com ^ | Tuesday, January 27, 2004 | RasmussenReports.com

Posted on 01/27/2004 11:51:52 AM PST by Momaw Nadon

January 27, 2004--Senator John Kerry has pulled to within three points of George W. Bush in the Rasmussen Reports national tracking poll. Yesterday, Kerry trailed by five points.

Kerry is the most competitive of all Democrats in a general election match-up with the President. He is also the top choice among all Democrats to win the party's Presidential nomination.

Senator John Edwards trails the President by just five points, 45% to 40%.

Before the Iowa caucuses, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean and retired General Wesley Clark were the most competitive Democrats. Both now trail Bush by double digit margins.

Survey results show that a generic Democrat polls better than any individual candidate at this point in time.

These results are from a national telephone survey of 1,500 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports over the past three nights. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.

Survey data showing the race between President Bush and a generic Democrat is updated daily on this site by noon.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; bush; election; georgebush; georgewbush; johnkerry; kerry; poll; polls; president; presidentbush; presidential; rasmussen
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To: Dan from Michigan
Your too kind with your words! ;^)
41 posted on 01/27/2004 12:31:25 PM PST by RetiredArmy (We'll put a boot in your ass, it's the American Way! Toby Keith)
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To: Byron_the_Aussie
Post of map @ 29. Bush will not carry WA state. Way too may socialist here. Won't happen.
42 posted on 01/27/2004 12:32:19 PM PST by RetiredArmy (We'll put a boot in your ass, it's the American Way! Toby Keith)
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To: auboy
LOL! I was teasing a friend of mine who prior to Iowa was a big Dean fan. After the Iowa debacle, I said, "what about your man Dean?" He chuckled and said "well, it's Kerry now." I said, "you democrats are so frickin' fickle, won't even stick with a guy for two weeks." He agreed and shrugged his shoulders.
43 posted on 01/27/2004 12:34:35 PM PST by Wphile (Keep the UN out of Iraq)
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Comment #44 Removed by Moderator

To: Momaw Nadon
This could be interpreted another way. Since Newsweek said Kerry now led Bush just three days ago, we could say that now "Kerry has fallen behind Bush" and is sinking fast.
45 posted on 01/27/2004 12:38:51 PM PST by TommyDale
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To: DrDeb
Just in case you missed it bump
46 posted on 01/27/2004 12:45:54 PM PST by mystery-ak (Almighty God, Embrace with Your invincible armour our loved ones in all branches of the service.)
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To: mystery-ak
BTTT!!!
47 posted on 01/27/2004 12:47:27 PM PST by Lael (Politicians who forget those who brung 'em...Let them walk home ALONE from the Dance!)
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To: oceanview
take a look at the top rated network TV shows and then make the case for the intelligence level of the typical american.

I'm not making any case, I'm commenting on your insult to everyone but some group of elite people, presumably you are among them.

Hillary etal took that opinion to an art form.

So, if Bush is reelected the dumb people all of a sudden got smart?

48 posted on 01/27/2004 12:49:34 PM PST by Protagoras (When they asked me what I thought of freedom in America,,, I said I thought it would be a good idea.)
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To: Momaw Nadon
I remember that the August before the election, the loser from Mass. was up about 9 over W's dad - of course that's just me, remembering stuff again.
49 posted on 01/27/2004 12:55:53 PM PST by jmaroneps37 ( lurch and teddy perfect together!)
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To: Protagoras
So, if Bush is reelected the dumb people all of a sudden got smart?

No........it means they did't vote!

50 posted on 01/27/2004 12:56:50 PM PST by PISANO (God Bless our Troops........They will not TIRE - They will not FALTER - They will not FAIL!!!!!)
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To: notorious vrc
Got a letter from Carville yesterday. DNC needs money, can RightWhale help out?

Tell you what: they are desperate if RightWhale made their mailing list.

51 posted on 01/27/2004 12:57:59 PM PST by RightWhale (Repeal the Law of the Excluded Middle)
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To: PISANO
No........it means they did't vote!

All the people who I know who are threatening to not vote are,,, Republican.

52 posted on 01/27/2004 12:59:40 PM PST by Protagoras (When they asked me what I thought of freedom in America,,, I said I thought it would be a good idea.)
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To: Protagoras
the election is decided by a small group of "independent" people in the middle. So you have to divide the electorate into segments. Make your case that the Democratic base, from what is known of them, are intelligent people? The "elites" you refer to are Dems for the most part, they consider themselves the "intelligensia" and chuckle that they have fooled so many and brought them to their side.

so the election comes down to is how many of the independents you can educate about what is going on. Alot of them listen to Rather/Brokaw/Jennings every night and that is their reality. And its being reflected in these polls, with nothing to counter it.
53 posted on 01/27/2004 12:59:43 PM PST by oceanview
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To: oceanview
I trust the majority in the long run. They often get it wrong, but not usually for long. In anycase, they get what they deserve in the end.

IMO they are smarter than you.

You insult a whole lot of people, I guess that's what smart people do.

54 posted on 01/27/2004 1:03:19 PM PST by Protagoras (When they asked me what I thought of freedom in America,,, I said I thought it would be a good idea.)
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To: Momaw Nadon
The fight hasn't started yet. The combatants and fields of battle have yet to be determined.
55 posted on 01/27/2004 1:17:52 PM PST by pt17
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To: oceanview
These numbers should make a lot of *freepers* happy....can we all say President Kerry?
56 posted on 01/27/2004 1:21:34 PM PST by mystery-ak (Almighty God, Embrace with Your invincible armour our loved ones in all branches of the service.)
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To: Protagoras
there isn't alot of margin for error anymore. the next time they "get it wrong", we could end up with nuclear devices going off in a couple of major US cities, instead of crashed airliners and downed buildings and 3000 dead. when that happens, there won't be much of a "in the long run" left to get it right again.

this country is at the tipping point right now, and I don't want the people deciding the fate for all of us to be "educated" by the new york times, CBS, NBC, ABC and CNN.
57 posted on 01/27/2004 1:29:09 PM PST by oceanview
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To: oceanview
Actually, it is not the seven and a half percent you have to worry about. It is the State by State analysis, which I'd guess make things look much brighter for Bush. Long Term however it is the Hispanic immigration you have to worry about. Republican politics don't translate well into South/Central American Spanish; and it gets worse at the second generation.
58 posted on 01/27/2004 1:33:51 PM PST by Meldrim
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To: Momaw Nadon
believe it, pure nonsense
59 posted on 01/27/2004 1:35:50 PM PST by The Wizard (Saddamocrats are enemies of America, treasonous everytime they speak)
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To: Byron_the_Aussie
Yes, looks about right and I see you were prescient enough to pick up that Maine probably will not support Kerry or Dean. Kerry is particularly unpopular up there; they are often good at sniffing out phonies, at least on the national level.

Once upon a time I had a web site bookmarked that allowed you to play "What If" with the electoral college. Alas, it was deleted.

60 posted on 01/27/2004 1:38:05 PM PST by Meldrim
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