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New FL Poll: Bush 51 - Kerry 47 (Rasmussen 7-Day)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/4/2004 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/04/2004 2:39:01 PM PDT by rwilliam

October 4, 2004--In Florida, after a month filled with hurricanes and a Presidential Debate, it's Bush 51% Kerry 47%. Roughly half the survey interviews were completed after the Presidential Debate.

Before the Republican National Convention, the President was ahead by two -points in Florida, 49% to 47%. For most of the year, the state has been too close to call.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Florida voters have a favorable opinion of the President. Fifty-one percent (51%) say the same about Senator Kerry.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2004; polls
In addition to this FL poll, here are the 7-day numbers for other states:

MI: Bush 46 - Kerry 46
MN: Bush 46 - Kerry 48
OH: Bush 48 - Kerry 45
PA: Bush 48 - Kerry 46

So, in the 3 primary battleground states of FL, OH and PA, Bush has leads of 4, 3 and 2. Plus, MI is a tie.

Not bad numbers considering that about half the data would now be post-debate.

1 posted on 10/04/2004 2:39:01 PM PDT by rwilliam
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To: Darth Reagan

poll ping


2 posted on 10/04/2004 2:40:04 PM PDT by marblehead17 (I love it when a plan comes together.)
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To: rwilliam

Plus the post debate data is from the weekend. Persevere.


3 posted on 10/04/2004 2:41:41 PM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: rwilliam

I think the numbers will decline for a couple more days as the impact of the debate media spin fully gets incorporated, but by the weekend because of good performances by Cheney and Bush at the debates, plus a great jobs report the tide will turn back our way... and by next tuesday we will be ahead by 5 or 6 nationally and have only 3 weeks to go!!!


4 posted on 10/04/2004 2:41:42 PM PDT by Gustafm1000
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To: COURAGE

Bush is tied in Michigan? MICHIGAN???? OH my the bleeding in the Kerry camp is now GUSHING


MI: Bush 46 - Kerry 46
MN: Bush 46 - Kerry 48
OH: Bush 48 - Kerry 45
PA: Bush 48 - Kerry 46


5 posted on 10/04/2004 2:42:09 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We have solutions, not slogans)
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To: marblehead17

Looks good!

If Bush doesn't win Florida after all the billions of aid, how can he win Iowa or Wisconsin?


6 posted on 10/04/2004 2:42:34 PM PDT by USA_Soccer (Try a better (free + open source) browser -> Mozilla Firefox @ mozilla.org)
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To: Dales; Coop; ambrose

PING


7 posted on 10/04/2004 2:50:30 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: MNJohnnie

"Bush is tied in Michigan? MICHIGAN???? OH my the bleeding in the Kerry camp is now GUSHING "

This is remarkable, and I wonder if it is related to the effect of the influx of moslems in various Michigan towns, agitating for the right to disturb the peace by having calls to prayer on loudspeakers etc.

IE, maybe the michiganders are getting a glimpse of the "clash of civilizations" Europe has lapping at its doorstep, and making the obvious connection to the threat of terrorism.


8 posted on 10/04/2004 2:52:17 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: MNJohnnie
Many more Bush bumper stickers today here in Ann Arbor, MI. Saw two cars in line at the bank, and both had Bush stickers. Many more Bush yard signs out along the roads as well.

Also drove by a large, vandalized Bush sign at a busy interesection (K/E spray-painted). When I returned past 45 min later it was being repaired.

Things are heating-up.

9 posted on 10/04/2004 2:52:22 PM PDT by IonInsights
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To: rwilliam

If the Presidential race were a stock, I would say Kerry got a dead cat bounce from the debate. That Luch headed b*tch is going down and I would short that French twit for every cent you got. The fact is, call me crazy, but the majority of Americans don`t like communist/socialist poodle boys who call our troops baby killers and who insisted over 30 years ago that pulling out of Vietnam "would not result in a massacre of the Vietnamese"...I can`t wait till this jackass loses, and George Soros, Michael Moore and all the rest should get it shoved right up their wazoo when that happens. "The American people have spoken...Observe ye olde middle finger gentlemen."


10 posted on 10/04/2004 3:10:38 PM PDT by Imaverygooddriver ( What`s the difference between Windows XP and John Kerry? Windows XP works once in a while.)
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To: rwilliam
I wonder what breakdown is in the number between pre-debate and post-debate interviews. Regardless, this 4 point lead is the same as the Survey USA poll done over the weekend. Good stuff.
11 posted on 10/04/2004 3:13:56 PM PDT by Clump
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To: Imaverygooddriver

Does anyone know how many percentage points the dem fraudsters can perpetrate?


12 posted on 10/04/2004 3:15:07 PM PDT by cajungirl (Jammies Up!!)
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To: rwilliam

Bush lost Minn, Michigan and PA last time. If he wins these this time, Florida could be lost without harm.


13 posted on 10/04/2004 3:17:17 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (The time is coming for all true Patriots to rise up and take back this Republic!)
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To: rwilliam
Early on in the campaign, I saw many more Kerry/Edwards stickers & lawn signs (3 to 1), granted I live in Liberal Broward County FL. Little by little the Kerry stickers and signs have been dissapearing to a now 50/50 rate since the middle of September. The Kerry won the debate furor will soon dissipate and Bush will regain a larger lead IMHO. By Nov 1st I predict the lead in Fl will be 6-10 % Bush. Keep in mind that the hurricanes probably kept many people's minds here from the election and those people are mostly Republican homeowners & not Demo trailer dwellers (Nothing against trailer dwellers, my mom is one.
14 posted on 10/04/2004 3:32:23 PM PDT by silverNblackcuban (Kerry = 20 years of WELL paid slacking.)
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To: rwilliam

"MI: Bush 46 - Kerry 46
MN: Bush 46 - Kerry 48
OH: Bush 48 - Kerry 45
PA: Bush 48 - Kerry 46"



I went to the Rasmussen site, and the latest PA poll was Bush 47 Kerry 47, the latest OH poll was Bush 48 Kerry 47, and the latest MN poll was over a week old and had Bush and Kerry tied at 46%. It seems like only the Michigan numbers are correct. Where did you get your numbers?


15 posted on 10/04/2004 3:44:25 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

"I went to the Rasmussen site, and the latest PA poll was Bush 47 Kerry 47, the latest OH poll was Bush 48 Kerry 47, and the latest MN poll was over a week old and had Bush and Kerry tied at 46%. It seems like only the Michigan numbers are correct. Where did you get your numbers?"

These are the numbers provided to premium members. Various members post the numbers elsewhere on the web each day. I monitor those places.


16 posted on 10/04/2004 3:49:50 PM PDT by rwilliam
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To: diamonddlm

good news battleground state poll ping!


17 posted on 10/04/2004 3:58:34 PM PDT by Kylie_04
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To: Gustafm1000

By the way, any advance word, rumor, or speculation on the Sept Jobs reports, due Friday?


18 posted on 10/04/2004 5:22:35 PM PDT by gswilder
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To: Gustafm1000

I expect this debate to be worse than the first. It doesn't matter if Bush is sharper. They'll have phony "noncommitted" voters that are really Democrats asking loaded questions. Baker must be a numbskull for agreeing to this. He made the same mistake with Bush I. Why he's considered a good negotiator is beyond me. And why Bush let him do it is beyond me. I think everyone in the Bush campaign is unconscious.


19 posted on 10/04/2004 7:19:35 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: rwilliam
Here are today's numbers: FL: Bush 51 - Kerry 45
MI: Bush 47 - Kerry 47
MN: Bush 45 - Kerry 48
OH: Bush 48 - Kerry 46
PA: Bush 48 - Kerry 47
20 posted on 10/05/2004 2:44:30 PM PDT by rwilliam
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