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Bush Can Win Michigan - The GOP’s year here
National Review ^ | October 22, 2004 | Trent Wisecup

Posted on 10/22/2004 6:24:33 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

Detroit, Michigan — In 2000, George W. Bush won the presidency because West Virginia, a reliably Democratic state went his way. In 2004, President Bush could secure a big win in the electoral-college by picking off Michigan, another blue state that John Kerry must win to have any chance at the presidency.

.....There are several issues that provide President Bush with the opportunity to do just that. Macomb County is where the term :"Reagan Democrat" originated. It is home to a large population of Polish Catholics, many of whom depend on the auto industry for their livelihoods. As an east-coast liberal, Kerry has spent much of his Senate career pandering to left-wing environmentalists who despise the cars and trucks made in Michigan. In 2002, Kerry proposed legislation to raise fuel-economy standards by 50 percent. His legislation was so draconian that the UAW and Michigan Democratic Senators Carl Levin and Debbie Stabenow worked with Republicans to kill it on the Senate floor.

Kerry's fuel regulations would have benefited foreign automakers at the expense of General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler............

Kerry's auto regulations would have driven up the cost of SUVs and other light truck models to the point where ...........

Kerry's support for job-killing auto regulations complicates his goal of capitalizing on the loss of manufacturing jobs ..........

........Macomb County has one of the largest Polish populations in the country. The fact that Kerry was disrespectful of Poland's contributions to the war effort will hurt him dearly with Polish voters.

Kerry also alienated Catholics, another critical voting group in Michigan, with his statements on abortion during the debates.....

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: battleground; bush; campaign; election; electoralvotes; granholm; michigan; napalminthemorning; purplestates; votes
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1 posted on 10/22/2004 6:24:34 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Macomb County has one of the largest Polish populations in the country. The fact that Kerry was disrespectful of Poland's contributions to the war effort will hurt him dearly with Polish voters

If I remember correctly the President of Poland was livid at Kerry for his comments. This should have a backlash.

2 posted on 10/22/2004 6:27:40 AM PDT by KJacob (All polls are equal: Some more equal than others.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife


"A Detroit News poll conducted October 20-21 has President Bush leading Kerry by a narrow margin of 47 percent to 43 percent"


3 posted on 10/22/2004 6:27:55 AM PDT by hoosiermama (Pray without ceasing for our President and our nation.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I hope this and you are right Cinc.


4 posted on 10/22/2004 6:28:02 AM PDT by ALWAYSWELDING
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha - Hey Kerry, better head to Detroit! Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha!


5 posted on 10/22/2004 6:29:12 AM PDT by andyland (Terrorists are such nuisances)
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To: hoosiermama

Mitchell Group out of Lansing has as of today:

Bush 46%
Kerry 43%
Other 2%
Nader 1%
Undecided 8%

Bush needs 48.5% to win Michigan.

Remember Spence Abraham had 49% and lost


6 posted on 10/22/2004 6:31:14 AM PDT by Mikey_1962
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Isn't he planning a trip to Michigan this week too??


7 posted on 10/22/2004 6:32:40 AM PDT by zr2hammer
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Gay marriage being on the ballot is the biggest factor. 67% support the ban versus 24% oppose it. There are polls that suggest this factor alone will increase voter turnout among Christians by about 20%.


8 posted on 10/22/2004 6:32:45 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: zr2hammer

Monday he'll be in town.


9 posted on 10/22/2004 6:35:44 AM PDT by Springman (I'm sick today who's fault is it, Sen. Kerry)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

As a citizen of Macomb County I can only say "let's smoke him!"

Very strong Bush Cheney lawn sign presence. F'in will be in Macomb next week. We'll see how the turnout was compared to 15,000 two weeks ago for W.


10 posted on 10/22/2004 6:37:05 AM PDT by cyclotic (Cub Scouts-Teach 'em young to be men, and politically incorrect in the process)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Am I dreaming here or what?

If Bush wins Michigan, it will be great.


11 posted on 10/22/2004 6:38:36 AM PDT by RedRepublic
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To: Always Right
There are polls that suggest this factor alone will increase voter turnout among Christians by about 20%.

Do you have a link to that poll? Such an effect would be enormous and would sweep every state with this ballot measure into the Bush column. I would like to hear more before I repeat the 20% number.
12 posted on 10/22/2004 6:38:56 AM PDT by HostileTerritory
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Let's hope, this would be a big win.


13 posted on 10/22/2004 6:39:51 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I'm glad that MI is in play and will continue to work hard to bring the state home. However, the points in your excerpts don't ring true. Remember, Al Gore openly expressed his desire to eliminate, thru legislation, the gas combustion engine. Therefore, the UAW endorsed the candidate that would have destroyed the very industry that employs their memebers.

The UAW worked to have election day off as a holiday, then they endorse the candidate that would eliminate their industry. Stupid is as stupid does.

BTW, I think MI is in play for national security reasons, not the anti-auto industry position of JFnK and all Dems.


14 posted on 10/22/2004 6:45:59 AM PDT by CSM
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Even though I live in northern Michigan, I have many relatives in the Detroit/Ann Arbor area and they tell me that they have never seen so many Bush signs in traditionally Democrat areas. Also, the churches are speaking out about same-sex marriage and thus many people will be voting Republican. Many of my relatives are Catholic and they tell me that more and more Catholics will be voting Republican. That is my prayer.


15 posted on 10/22/2004 6:51:06 AM PDT by bella1 (bella1)
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To: Mikey_1962

I think our chances at Michigan are 60/40 in favor of Bush. We have the opposite chance in PA, 40/60, IMHO.


16 posted on 10/22/2004 6:54:05 AM PDT by RockinRight (Bush's rallies look like World Series games. Kerry's rallies look like Little League games.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
There is another reason that Michigan is in play. The democratic governor has decided to use the Lame Duck session to pass several taxes on Michigan.

She has decided to wait until after Nov. 2nd to begin the work on tax increases. Some of the ideas for tax increases are a tax when you visit your doctor or drop your kids off to day care.
17 posted on 10/22/2004 6:54:12 AM PDT by joldnir
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To: joldnir

What a loon!


18 posted on 10/22/2004 6:58:52 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: CSM

"BTW, I think MI is in play for national security reasons, not the anti-auto industry position of JFnK and all Dems."

You got it! Dearborn MI is America's Arab magnet and the outstate residents in Michigan know, and fear, this fact.


19 posted on 10/22/2004 7:00:21 AM PDT by bowzer313
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To: joldnir

Sounds like Granholm's tax schemes could sink Kerry. And after Kerry is president we will ALL have even LESS $$ in our pockets. Pretty scary.

This news from MI, and the poll shwoing GWB ahead by 2 in Minn. is very encouraging! I think he can win it even without Ohio.


20 posted on 10/22/2004 7:05:03 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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