Posted on 11/03/2004 9:25:29 AM PST by finnman69
for some reason I don't recall aything Zogby ever wrote or said projecting Bush as the all-time popular vote winner, eclipsing Reagain in 1984. And what is this about no mandate, like that ever stopped Clinton with his < 50% repeated victories.
I'm laughing my @ss off at this one. This is the kind of statement a pollster should be making before an election, when he's looking to promote the accuracy of his polling. This is the equivalent of John Madden picking one team to win the Super Bowl, then stating that he "feels strongly that his pick was accurate" even after his team loses.
The election is over, so there's no room for "feeling strongly" about anything. Either Zogby's pre-election polls were accurate, or they weren't. The evidence is now in, and they weren't.
In regard to his own future as a pollster, he may be right...
Zogby should have had a plan like John Kerry
Zogby has completely blown it as a credible pollster. His income has just gone down the drain.
Polling Dissonance: Ohio
The Pre-Election Polls
Date: October 17, 2004.
Source: ABC News.
Poll: Kerry leads by three points, 50-47, with three percent undecided.
Date: October 20, 2004.
Source: CNN/Gallup/USA Today.
Poll: Kerry leads by one point, 48-47, with four percent undecided.
Date: October 21, 2004.
Source: Univ. of Ohio/Scripps News Service.
Poll: Kerry leads by four points, 50-46, with three percent undecided.
Date: October 25, 2004.
Source: Survey USA.
Poll: Kerry leads by three points, 50-47, with two percent undecided.
Date: October 26, 2004.
Source: Los Angeles Times.
Poll: Kerry leads by six points, 50-44, with six percent undecided.
Date: October 31, 2004.
Source: CNN/Gallup/USA Today.
Poll: Kerry leads by four points, 50-46, with four percent undecided.
The Actual Result
George Bush wins the state, by well over 100,000 votes, and by a margin of 51.0-48.5.
http://polipundit.com/
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1266944/posts
Zogby's Election Final Presidential Polls Bush 49.4% 213EV Kerry 49.1% 311EV (barf alert)
Just add 5.6% to the Bush numbers on each state, and you are accurate.
Zogby is kidding no one but himself!
Every clear thinking American knows that Z is just another 'Rat political hack.
Put a fork in yourself, Z
'cause you DONE!
Semper Fi,
Kelly
Zogby Predicts Kerry Will Win
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1261753/posts
One of the nation’s most respected pollsters predicts that John Kerry will win the presidency Tuesday. Zogby gave his take on the heated presidential contest to New York Daily News columnist Sydney Zion in Friday’s paper.
"It's close," Zogby said, "but in the last couple of days things have been trending toward Kerry - nationally and in the swing states. Between this and history, I think it will be Kerry."
Zogby also rebutted an article by Robert Novak published this week that indicated Zogby was predicting a Bush Victory.
Zogby Bombed ~ Bump!
Jay Cost was fantastic.
Zogby built up capital in the United States for decades, and spent it all last night. This was an all-or-nothing election for Zogby, and he did everything he could to push Kerry over the top. But in the end it was not enough.
After this, Zogby should never be taken seriously again. He tipped his hand. He is obviously partisan, and was willing to act on it.
Look on the bright side, John. Now that you're out of the polling business, you can concentrate on recruiting 16-year-old Palestinian suicide bombers...
I've been in Zogby polls quite a bit and I can say he/they have absolutely no clue how to frame a proper poll question, so of course they got lousy results.
Save for later.
Another case of Credibility Crash.
Last time I ever have anything todo with a Zogby poll.
I was filling out 2-3 Zogby polls at a time. His polls are crap.
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