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Skip to comments.Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part VI
Posted on 09/23/2005 9:39:06 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Dangerous Hurricane Rita is expected to make landfall in the northeast Gulf of Mexico within 24 hours. Tornados have spawned in Louisiana. Water is filling the Ninth Ward of New Orleans again. A bus carrying elderly evacuees was gutted by fire this morning outside Dallas, with multiple fatalities. Television crews have positioned their hurricane reporters throughout the region to attain maximum drama effects. Whoooooa.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Rita Forecast Track Archive
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Jefferson Co TX NWS Weather
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail
Lake Charles Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar Still image, with loop link
Lake Charles Experimental Radar Outages and Delays May Occur
Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
KPLC-TV/DT Lake Charles/Lafayette
FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.
|Category||Wind Speed||Barometric Pressure||Storm Surge||Damage Potential|
|< 39 mph
< 34 kts
|39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
|74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
|28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
|4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
|Minimal damage to vegetation|
|96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
|28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
|6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
|Moderate damage to houses|
|111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
|27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
|9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
|Extensive damage to small buildings|
|131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
|27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
|13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
|Extreme structural damage|
|Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
|Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
|Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
|Catastrophic building failures possible|
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18
Thanks--I knew the song was from HAIR--but I never could remember its name.
City managers and police are telling locals to get off the roads and GO HOME. There have already been reports of fights at gas stations. People are tired and nervous. I'm nervous. My husband is out delivering the mail. I spoke to his supervisor and he said they are "monitoring the situation." My confidence level isn't high about that situation but that's all I'll say about that. I'll be better once hubby's home cuz we're supplied up and will be locked and loaded.
I miss Texas.
But this is nice too, until we get more snow than I like.
000 WTNT33 KNHC 231748 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2005
...RITA ON A SLOW WEAKENING TREND...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN ...AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO PORT ARANSAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.
RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF RITA WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND UPPER TEXAS COASTS EARLY SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A FURTHER SLOW WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL...BUT RITA IS STILL EXPECTED TO COME ASHORE AS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES. AN ELEVATED PLATFORM ON ISLE DENIERES NEAR THE SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST JUST REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 58 MPH.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... LOCALLY UP TO 20 FEET AT HEAD OF BAYS AND NEARBY RIVERS...WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA. TIDES IN THOSE AREAS WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCE COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RITA WILL LIKELY AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST.
RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AS IT MOVES INLAND. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SINCE RITA IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA
REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...27.8 N... 92.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 931 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT.
On that note; I'm taking the next few hours off. Be back later.
That is obviously not true, they are still around.
I'm getting more and more annoyued at the media's collective "rooting" for Rita to be as bad as possible..Every time it's downgraded, you can hear the "disappointment" in their voices..every time it get upgraded back to a 5..they get so exicted..It is despicable....
Crew members of the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance squadron, better known as the "hurricane hunters" said Rita is one of the most impressive storms they have ever seen after flying through it, according to a Local 6 News report.
The crew of six reservists flew a C-130 into Rita to measure temperature, pressure and wind of the system.
After punching through the eye wall of the storm Thursday, the crew said Rita should be taken seriously.
"It is probably one of the strongest storms in the short period of time I've seen and it's been a pretty good ride, I would say so," pilot Major Rob Light said after flying through the storm.
"The most impressive eye wall I have ever seen," hurricane navigator Major Mike Shannon said. "The radar presentation inbound is tremendous and the ride through the eye wall is totally one of the roughest I have ever been through." (cont'd)
Last time I looked, they arrest people for letting down their gaurg, don't they? :)
I used to also fill my washing machine before hurricanes, clean water was always precious after.
I am glad you are prepared....
I was just thinking that it is about time for Shephard Smith to come on TV and say "Whew, Rita is down to a cat. 3, we dodged another bullet!"
LOL---seriesly, though, I wondered when I saw that it had gone down to a Cat 3, if this is going to turn out to be "much ado about nothing"....but how is one to know??
Also, Janice Dean just said that the hurricane has slowed down, and the eye isn't as distinct...BUT, it could revamp up by it hits tomorrow...
What do ya'll think?
You mean that stupid reporter's name is actually Bastardi? Just take off the i and there you have it!
Maybe there's something wrong with my thinking. (And I'm sure some freeper will come right along to tell me).
But it seems to me that New Orleans can't suffer much more water damage than it's already suffered. And there's basically no one there so loss of life isn't a concern.
Frankly, all this coverage of watching New Orleans flood again is making me, and I'm sure lot of other people, even more convinced that the rebuilding of New Orleans cannot happen in anything close to the same way it was before.
BTW--hurts that NO is getting re-flooded, but on the bright side, maybe it will destroy all that loot those corrupt cops stole!
Saw a few of them here the other day. Didn't realize it was that time of the year again. Fortunately, we don't have too many of them on the coast. Five miles inland is a whole different story. They can do a job on car paint.
We have a similar name for them...'Little F^@#er Bugs'
They make quite a satisfying crunch when you step on them...
You are not the only one.
I hope you all stay safe and that those poor people stuck on the roads find somewhere safer and better to take shelter than their cars!
Your right. Days ago Dr. Frank talked of the wobbling the hurricane might do to the east, and he knows it could wobble back.
Don't think there's anything wrong with that. There's about nobody there, it's already been destroyed, and there's very little more that Rita could do to the place.
Well- we know they aren't real keen on any good news--especially Good News!
Yesterday, at lunch, I told a colleague that my "internal personal computer modeling" had Rita striking land just a bit to the East of the TX/LA border. If this continues, he's going to be afraid of me - believing that I'm psychic...
The front of your car is the only "natural" enemy the love bug has.
Especially bad for oil/gas?
Houston likely more at risk?
Thanks for the report. Im praying everyone will stay calm and patient.
Last week I read on FR that in Iraq gas costs five (5) cents per gallon.
What's even worse is how they root for high death counts both in Iraq and in the hurricanes. They are truly despicable people. If the media wants a high death count maybe these could find a hotel near the beach where the next Cat 4-5 hurricane will make landfall.
If this turns out to be true as well, you just may be!
She went down as fast as she went up....
I'll pitch a tent for them. :)
353 URNT12 KNHC 231805Z VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 23/1746Z B. 27 DEG 45 MIN N 92 DEG 15 MIN W C. 700 MB 2489 MA D. NA E. NA F. 146 DEG 129 KT G. 051 DEG 19 NM H. 930 MB I. 12 C/ 3064 M J. 19 C/ 3041 M K. 14 C/ NA L. OPEN SE M. C20 N. 12345/7 O. 1/1 NM P. NOAA3 2318A RITA OB 04 MAX FL WIND 129 KT NE QUAD 1741Z EYE OPEN NE THRU SEItems of note (I hesitate to call this a comparison between this and NOAA2's noon eye fix) -
- Movement 7 degrees north, 7 degrees west
- Eye 20 nm in diameter (NOAA2 found it at 30)
- Max flight-level wind at 129 knots in the NE quad (NOAA2 came in from almost due east and found 124-knot winds)
I've heard them called F&K bugs......
first you see F....then "you see K"
More prayers headed your way. God Bless!
Stay locked and stay loaded, let us know if you are ok. What about Athens, Kaufman in there? Any news?
There ARE people there! National Guard, and regular troops. The Army Corp of Engineers are there. The only reconstruction of NO that I believe should happen, must be done under strict federal oversight. Their state and local pols could not manage to pour p!ss out of a boot, with the instructions on the heel.
why aren't they using the helo sandbag drop on that levee break?
How much rain can Houston expect to get on the West, or dry, side of Rita?
"That is what is so strange right now in Houston. I have lived in Houston most of my life and have never felt heat like this in September with very low humidity. My own prediction is once this thing starts to get close to land, the dry air will suck the energy out of this thing. I think it will be a true miracle of God."
I decided to stay put. I am in NW Houston and was going to leave for San Antonio at 4 a.m. on Wednesday but my brother left earlier and he said he went 10 miles in 2 1/2 hours and was worried about running out of gas. I have 4 kids and 1 on the way. I was concerned if we would have gotten the dirty side of the storm but decided to hunker down when I saw we were getting the western side. Lucky decision but good decision. I prayed about it and felt good about my decision. I would have definitely left yesterday if if looked like Houston would be taking a direct hit.
A stall in 6 hours would give it a chance to stregthen and change direction, a stall and slide back over HOUSTON COULD BE DEVESTATING.
100% correct....and let's not forget that only a few days ago the idiot Mayor was inviting the people to come back...
FNC: 9th ward in 6 hours or less completely swallowed by water: heavy bands of rain now in N.O... St Bernard's parish expecting worse - adding insult to injury industrial canal is now "breached" or "overflowing",,.. in addition to 2 other breaches... text on screen: "significant breaches getting larger"
I just want to thank The Almighty publicly that I am not still in that disaster 20 miles outside of Lufkin trying to get there.
YES! Yes it can! ;-)
stick around - Landrieu and Vitters will be asking for NO to be rebuilt - twice.
AR, I'm only getting news from KTRE (ABC) in Lufkin and B 100.1FM, also in Lufkin, which cover Lufkin/Nacogdoches. Will post if I hear anything about those areas though. www.kltv.com in Tyler might have info about Athens.
Let me add, prayers to everyone there
Can't. Bush isn't in charge. Governor is. And the evacs were done as per plan (I'm assuming), even in light of record gas needs. Might be a good idea if he is with Gov., to keep congratulating him every time Gov gets any air time. Think positive! Help me out here.
The winds whipping through NOLA could be a factor. Also, I don't know how many of those sandbags they had on standby.
Ya'll got prayers right along with the folks staying on the coast. But for some wobbles in the storm we'd be sitting in the situation ya'll are.