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Future of Conservatism: Darwin or Design? [Human Events goes with ID]
Human Events ^ | 12 December 2005 | Casey Luskin

Posted on 12/12/2005 8:01:43 AM PST by PatrickHenry

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To: longshadow

800


801 posted on 12/13/2005 6:22:47 PM PST by PatrickHenry (Virtual Ignore for trolls, lunatics, dotards, common scolds, & incurable ignoramuses.)
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To: CarolinaGuitarman

Speaking of "Whole Science", the theory that the lunar cycle has anything to do with a woman's menstrual cycle has a bit of a hole in it, insofar as it's new-agey crystal-gripping junk. The lunar month is 29-1/2 days, versus 28 days for a normal menstrual cycle - the cycles will be constantly drifting in and out of phase with each other.


802 posted on 12/13/2005 6:29:55 PM PST by Senator Bedfellow
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To: Quark2005

[Astrology predicts PMS] placemarker


803 posted on 12/13/2005 6:32:29 PM PST by Quark2005 (No time to play. One post per day.)
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To: Virginia-American

It's possible to generate a system that nearly "appears random." That's what Pseudo-Random-Number-Generators do. "Random" is more appropriately applied to a process, not the result of such process.

No written string of numbers is "random"; it merely is. The best one can do is say that a string of numbers obeys certain laws that randomly generated strings do.

Champernowne's number (.12345678910..., as you gave) does have the property that "any string occurs with the proper frequency." Thus (if mapped to a alphabet), it would contain the complete works of Shakespeare, the complete works of Shakespeare with one error, etc. (and the complete text of "Contact.") However, it can be proved (somewhere, I don't have access to review journals) that Champernowne's number does not obey the Law of the Iterated Logarithm. (I don't know how to generate a number that does except by ad hoc post hoc adjustments to the output.)


804 posted on 12/13/2005 6:33:48 PM PST by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch ist der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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To: Fester Chugabrew
It particularly explains why there is, on a universal scale, the presence of organized matter that behaves according to predictable laws.

It doesn't explain this. It asserts a cause without evidence for the cause. There's a key difference, but because you insist upon lying about the very nature of science you will never acknowledge this.
805 posted on 12/13/2005 6:36:55 PM PST by Dimensio (http://angryflower.com/bobsqu.gif <-- required reading before you use your next apostrophe!)
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To: CarolinaGuitarman
But we can test the force of gravity. We can indirectly observe it. No such luck with astrology.

Astrology was not interested in the "forces", or if it was, it was a peripheral matter. It was interested in direct observation of both heavenly bodies and human behavior and then correlating the two.

I find it noteworthy that you allow the indirect observation of gravity to suffice as evidence of a force, but do not allow the direct observation of organized matter to suffice as indirect evidence of a designer.

. . . they predicted, as they do today, all sorts of things about love and romance, fortune or misfortune in wealth, the rise and fall of kings. That was the nature of the predictions made. These are all nonsense.

It would not be "nonsense" if they observed recurring patterns on a consistent basis over a large population for hundreds of years. It was the best they had at the time.

That has nothing to do with astrological aspects of their work.

Not if you want to distill astrology into sheer mysticism and superstition. Otherwise the analog clock is one of many tangible benefits of the direct observations of ancient astrologers.

But menstrual cycles occur at all different times of the month.

I always thought they were somehow connected to lunar cycles. I can assure you the menstrual cycle is one of many physical and direct observations discussed by astrologers from ancient times to this day. Did people need to see an astrologer to "know the schedule?" No.

806 posted on 12/13/2005 6:37:34 PM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: js1138

I agree entirely with post 743.


807 posted on 12/13/2005 6:38:05 PM PST by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch ist der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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To: Baraonda
I thought this is more meaningful and truthful.

What evidence do you have for either the meaning or truth of your assertion?
808 posted on 12/13/2005 6:38:13 PM PST by Dimensio (http://angryflower.com/bobsqu.gif <-- required reading before you use your next apostrophe!)
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To: PatrickHenry

Good shot, even if it took two.


809 posted on 12/13/2005 6:38:25 PM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: Coyoteman; Fester Chugabrew
Some people spin in place simply so they can experience dizziness.
810 posted on 12/13/2005 6:39:38 PM PST by b_sharp (Science adjusts theories to fit evidence, creationism distorts evidence to fit the Bible.)
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To: Dimensio
It asserts a cause without evidence for the cause.

The evidence is in the result. How could one assert a cause and evidence of the cause without either pointing to a result or indulging a tautology? You want me to say the Designer is evidence of a designer? Screw that.

Intelligent agent = cause
Organized matter behaving according to predictable laws = result = evidence for cause.

Understand?

811 posted on 12/13/2005 6:43:48 PM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: bobdsmith
But such an observation would not refute an intelligent designer...

Not entirely, no. But it would serve as good evidence.

812 posted on 12/13/2005 6:50:33 PM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: Senator Bedfellow
"Speaking of "Whole Science", the theory that the lunar cycle has anything to do with a woman's menstrual cycle has a bit of a hole in it, insofar as it's new-agey crystal-gripping junk. The lunar month is 29-1/2 days, versus 28 days for a normal menstrual cycle - the cycles will be constantly drifting in and out of phase with each other."

If the phase of the moon affected menstruation then all women would experience menstruation at roughly the same time independent of other factors. If that were the case then births would also tend to clump together (note the use of the word 'tend'). What does affect the timing of menstruation are the pheromones released at that time. Women grouped together will tend to eventually have their periods clump together.

813 posted on 12/13/2005 6:52:09 PM PST by b_sharp (Science adjusts theories to fit evidence, creationism distorts evidence to fit the Bible.)
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To: Fester Chugabrew
The evidence is in the result.

The "result" is the initial observation. You're just making up a random cause for the observations and then declaring that the existince of the observations is evidence for your cause. Only an idiot would reason like that and only an idiot would fall for that line of reasoning.
814 posted on 12/13/2005 6:55:31 PM PST by Dimensio (http://angryflower.com/bobsqu.gif <-- required reading before you use your next apostrophe!)
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To: b_sharp
Women grouped together will tend to eventually have their periods clump together.

I've read that this happens in sorority houses. I imagine that this would be something to consider if one kept a harem.

815 posted on 12/13/2005 6:57:49 PM PST by PatrickHenry (Virtual Ignore for trolls, lunatics, dotards, common scolds, & incurable ignoramuses.)
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To: Dimensio

"What evidence do you have for either the meaning or truth of your assertion?"

I can't say a rock or other inaninmate object as evidence since they're, well, inanimate.

I AM the source of the evidence.



816 posted on 12/13/2005 6:58:35 PM PST by Baraonda (Demographic is destiny. Don't hire 3rd world illegal aliens nor support businesses that hire them.)
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To: b_sharp
Some people spin in place simply so they can experience dizziness.

Other people spin unnecessary words so they can experience temporary relief in the face of organized matter that behaves in accord with predictable laws (as designed from the beginning.)

817 posted on 12/13/2005 6:59:06 PM PST by Fester Chugabrew
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To: b_sharp
Women grouped together will tend to eventually have their periods clump together.

Which will still have nothing to do with the lunar cycle, of course.

818 posted on 12/13/2005 6:59:46 PM PST by Senator Bedfellow
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To: Fester Chugabrew; RussP
Gumlegs: How?

By ascribing detail to the "stuff," namely organization and predictbility.

This is so vague as to be meaningless. In any case, I can "ascribe detail" without resorting to ID. It contributes nothing.

Gumlegs: As it happens, I notice the air I breathe because I'm allergic to much of what it carries.

Is it all you think about? How about gravity. You may say it is "natural," but why? Is it because it is really natural, or only because you've lived with it all your life? The distinction between natural and supernatural is arbitrary, moreso than the distinction between species. It is not a scientifc distinction, but a semantic one that depends upon each observer.

Fester, you brought up air, not me. We have an explanation for gravity that is entirely natural. It doesn't depend on "intelligent designers" or angels pushing stray bits of matter to earth. You might want to read up on it before you lump it into the inexplicable.

Your post-modern critique is noted. Not respected, but noted. Were you one of those surprised that Alan Sokal's "Transgressing the Boundaries: Toward a Transformative Hermeneutics of Quantum Gravity," turned out to be a hoax?

Gumlegs: Intelligent design explains nothing, it predicts nothing, and it has nothing to do with science.

As I said, intelligent design predicts organized matter that behaves according to predicatable laws will be found. That is far more than nothing. It fairly well fits everything. Take a single drop of water out of the ocean and descibe all of its attributes. The fact you can see it in the first place is but one small sign that it is designed. It's organization and predictability can be described in great detail.

Explains everything = explains nothing. You can spin this forever, but "organized matter that behaves according to predictable laws will be found" is meaningless. Your own claim, "It fairly well fits with everything" is as damning as it gets insofar as ID's being scientific.

Anything could be predicted with ID. Precambrian humans? The "intelligent designer did it." No precambrian humans? It's that ol' "intelligent designer." A change in allele frequency over time? It's the intelligent designer, for sure. A new generation of pigs sprouting wings (thanks, RussP)? Why, that intelligent designer is at it again. ID's predictive power is nil.

Gumlegs: Can you state something that ID doesn't explain?

Not yet. Can you enumerate something science can do with out making use of either intelligence or design or some combination of the two? I'm not surprised that you can't name something that ID doesn't predict. AFIK, it predicts everything and nothing.

I'm not going to dignify your question with an answer, except to note that you persist in confusing intelligence in humans with supernatural intelligence.

819 posted on 12/13/2005 7:00:00 PM PST by Gumlegs
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To: Baraonda
I can't say a rock or other inaninmate object as evidence since they're, well, inanimate.

I don't quite see how that relates to anything.

I AM the source of the evidence.

That's great. What is the evidence?
820 posted on 12/13/2005 7:01:04 PM PST by Dimensio (http://angryflower.com/bobsqu.gif <-- required reading before you use your next apostrophe!)
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