Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Dems seem likely to pick up midterm seats (NBC/WSJ Poll)
PMSNBC ^ | 09/13/06 | Mark Murray

Posted on 09/13/2006 7:13:08 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat

WASHINGTON - Less than two months until Election Day, the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds that more than half of registered voters disapprove of President Bush's job performance, even more disagree with his handling of Iraq and a strong plurality prefer a Congress controlled by the Democrats — all suggesting that Democrats are still poised to pick up seats in the upcoming midterms.

But the poll, which comes out more than a week after administration officials have made a series of speeches on terrorism and after gasoline prices have declined, also shows that Bush and the Republican Party have established a slightly stronger footing than they've held in months. Bush's job approval among registered voters is up two points — giving him his highest rating in the poll since November — and his handling of Iraq is up three, although both gains are within the margin of error.

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; bush; crap; democrats; leftistpropaganda; poll; predictions; republicans
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-65 next last
I didn't see the internals on this poll. I suspect they will tell the story better. 1009 registered voters (not likely), and it was conducted by a Republican and Democrat...Bill McInturff for the GOP and Peter D. Hart for the 'rats.

According to Mark "Let's make some news by publishing a poll" Murray, 61 percent believe Bush's recent comparison of the Iraq war to the fight against the Nazis and fascism during World War II was inappropriate and was made only to justify his policies in Iraq.

1 posted on 09/13/2006 7:13:12 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
The only poll that matters in on election day.
2 posted on 09/13/2006 7:14:54 PM PDT by msnimje (What part of-- "DEATH TO AMERICA" --do the Democrats not understand?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: msnimje

Isn't this the third straight election cycle we've heard this?


3 posted on 09/13/2006 7:17:10 PM PDT by gogeo (The /sarc tag is a form of training wheels for those unable to discern intellectual subtlety.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
All these polls point to one inescapable conclusion:

George Bush will not win reelection this year.

4 posted on 09/13/2006 7:17:53 PM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

Got news.

Bush isn't running.


5 posted on 09/13/2006 7:18:10 PM PDT by Shermy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: msnimje
The only poll that matters in on election day.

Thats the only poll I have ever been asked to participate in!

6 posted on 09/13/2006 7:18:55 PM PDT by operation clinton cleanup
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

They called Florida in 2000 for Gore based on polls.... and damn near gave it to him. These polls are a waste of HTML.


7 posted on 09/13/2006 7:19:12 PM PDT by kerryusama04 (Isa 8:20, Eze 22:26)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gogeo
The "polling field" is a totally useless and self-perpeutating industry.

They are about as accurate as a monkey throwing feces at a dart board (hey, maybe THAT is what they do.)
8 posted on 09/13/2006 7:19:32 PM PDT by msnimje (What part of-- "DEATH TO AMERICA" --do the Democrats not understand?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: msnimje
You are right. That will be influenced by falling gas prices and the WOT. We are going to pick up seats in both the House and Senate.
9 posted on 09/13/2006 7:20:23 PM PDT by Talking_Mouse (wahhabi delenda est)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
Go read the questions at the PSMBC website. Pure push polling. Way too many "if or" questions. Clearly designed to push the respondent to a predetermined response.

Then read below. Weekend poll, no mention of how they weighted the sample, registered not likely voters. Based on the result pretty obvious they over sampled Democrats and "Independents" yet again.

The NBC/Journal poll was conducted of 1,009 registered voters from Sept. 8-11, and it has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points. It comes after several major events, including the news of the thwarted terrorist plot in London, the end of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, the one-year anniversary of Hurricane Katrina and the buildup to the fifth anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.
10 posted on 09/13/2006 7:21:13 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (New Democrat Talking Point: Rove made us do it!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

They've quickly learned to hide their sample because for them too many people are on to the rigged game.


11 posted on 09/13/2006 7:23:21 PM PDT by tobyhill (The War on Terrorism is not for the weak.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

what's interesting about this article is that it no longer speaks about taking over both houses of congress! i think things are definitely trending in the GOP's favor... Demonicrat expectations are starting to fade (i hope), regardless of the typical MSM hype...


12 posted on 09/13/2006 7:24:38 PM PDT by chilepepper (The map is not the territory -- Alfred Korzybski)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MNJohnnie

hmmm Sept 8 to 11.. Seems like this does not fully include the combo of the Path to 9/11 and then the Presidents Speech on Monday night..

Seems like the next poll will show are bigger uptick.


13 posted on 09/13/2006 7:25:06 PM PDT by Chuzzlewit
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
"Likely to pick up seats"??

Isn't that a step down from "Likely to take over Congress" or "likely to take over the House"?

14 posted on 09/13/2006 7:27:33 PM PDT by Tanniker Smith (I didn't know she was a liberal when I married her.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kerryusama04

Wasn't it PMSNBC that said Kerry would win?


15 posted on 09/13/2006 7:27:52 PM PDT by Perdogg (If you stay home in November, you will elect Pelosi speaker)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: All
Dems seem likely to pick up midterm seats...

I thought it was a sure thing that they'd take control of the House but now the left stream media is telling me it only SEEMS likely that they'll pick up some seats.

I'm confused........[sarcasm]

16 posted on 09/13/2006 7:28:39 PM PDT by Doofer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Tanniker Smith

Historically it would be just about unprecedented for the party out of power in the sixth year of a U.S. President NOT to pick up seats.
Soooo if the line has moved from "likely to be in majority" to "likely to pick up seats" then it's line with historical projections.
If the GOP somehow manages a stalemate or actually picks up seats, it will be an indictment of Emanuel and Pelosi and the hard left lurch they took the candidates in.


17 posted on 09/13/2006 7:31:40 PM PDT by WoodstockCat (General Honore: "The storm gets a vote... We're not stuck on stupid.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
Boy, the Dems are going to be tearing their hair and slitting their throats in November when they find they've lost out again! But then they are doing that already.....

We should really feel sorry for the poor, angry, frustrated baseturds!

18 posted on 09/13/2006 7:32:16 PM PDT by expatpat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

Well, they have stopped talking about winning the House, and are now talking about "gains". But the trends are going our way. By the time Election Day comes around, the only question is how many seats the Democrats are going to lose.


19 posted on 09/13/2006 7:34:05 PM PDT by gridlock (The 'Pubbies will pick up at least TWO seats in the Senate and FOUR seats in the House in 2006)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
My family comes from a long-line of republicans, and painting the democrats as cut and run and middle class tax increaser's is fair.
20 posted on 09/13/2006 7:34:29 PM PDT by FreeRep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
"likely to pick up midterm seats"

The MSM is backing down from its position several months ago when it was bleating about the dems taking over the House AND Senate. These stupid "polls" are a waste of time.

21 posted on 09/13/2006 7:34:49 PM PDT by hsalaw
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MNJohnnie

You know, in reading your post, I find it amazing how sophisticated us lil ol freepers are with respect to polls.


22 posted on 09/13/2006 7:34:58 PM PDT by AmishDude (`[N]on-state actors' can project force around the world more easily than Canada". -- Mark Steyn)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: gogeo
Isn't this the third straight election cycle we've heard this?

Yes

23 posted on 09/13/2006 7:35:00 PM PDT by COEXERJ145 (Free Republic is Currently Suffering a Pandemic of “Bush Derangement Syndrome.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg
Wasn't it PMSNBC that said Kerry would win?

Beats Me. I watch FNC.

24 posted on 09/13/2006 7:35:02 PM PDT by kerryusama04 (Isa 8:20, Eze 22:26)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
The Dem-rats are still trying to will the election into
their favor.

The strategy of wishful thinking has been stopped since our
beloved President Reagan stepped into the Oval Office, and
the Internet and cable gave alternatives
to the false propaganda.
25 posted on 09/13/2006 7:36:16 PM PDT by MaxMax (God Bless America)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

Newspapers listed as sources + headline = DUH


26 posted on 09/13/2006 7:37:28 PM PDT by NordP (America: There are more Patriots than Punks!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

Democrat and MSM wetdream


27 posted on 09/13/2006 7:41:22 PM PDT by pissant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

http://www.tradesports.com , GOP House contract going thru the roof back at 50% up 20 points in 4 days. DEMS are toast.

McInturff is the hack who leaked the 30 Seat DEM pickup crap to Robert Novak this summer, he is a loser


28 posted on 09/13/2006 7:43:02 PM PDT by Welike ike
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

http://www.tradesports.com , GOP House contract going thru the roof back at 50% up 20 points in 4 days. DEMS are toast.

McInturff is the hack who leaked the 30 Seat DEM pickup crap to Robert Novak this summer, he is a loser


29 posted on 09/13/2006 7:44:06 PM PDT by Welike ike
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Shermy

Bush's popularity rating will have a direct effect on how Republicans will do in the mid term.


30 posted on 09/13/2006 7:49:42 PM PDT by ruschpa
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Izzy Dunne
"George Bush will not win reelection this year.",

And, in other news tonite, it was learned that John Kerry served in Viet Nam..........

31 posted on 09/13/2006 7:50:29 PM PDT by traditional1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Welike ike

Notice how they did not go race by race. CD by CD.


32 posted on 09/13/2006 7:52:24 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Drill ANWR, Personal Accounts NOW.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: hsalaw
The MSM is backing down from its position several months ago when it was bleating about the dems taking over the House AND Senate.

:) I was wondering who would be the first to post something about that major league "back off" (rhymes with) from the LameStream Media!!!

For months we've been hearing "take over by the Dems!" Now we're hearing "gain seats"...I wonder if in a month or two we might be hearing "Dems hope to contain their losses", and that will be considered a victory!! :) BWA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!

In all seriousness, the Dems just might gain a seat or two. I don't think they'll take over either house of Congress, though.

I also wish the Republicans would've done a better job cleaning out the RINOs. Oh well, we can do it again in a couple years. :)

33 posted on 09/13/2006 7:56:38 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of "dependence on government"!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat; ohioWfan; Coop; new yorker 77; mystery-ak; Common Tator; NordP; Howlin; ...

QUESTION: Could Murray have framed the poll results more negatively? . . . If one were cynical (which I am), one could conclude that Murray purposely manipulated his analysis to reflect current Democrat talking points!

NOW FOR THE REST OF THE STORY . . .

According to this poll, the President's JA rating has reached its highest level since September of 2005:

9/06 42% approve 53% disapprove (-11)
7/06 40% approve 55% disapprove (-15)
6/06 38% approve 57% disapprove (-19)
9/05 40% approve 55% disapprove (-15)
9/04 47% approve 48% disapprove

*Two years ago and only 2 months before the President's HISTORIC re-election++, this poll posted a JA rating for the President only 5 points higher than it is today -- so much for the President's JA rating falling off the proverbial cliff!!

[++In 11/04, President George W Bush earned 63 million votes (the most votes for a presidential candidate in American history) and become the first candidate since 1988 to garner over 50% of the vote!]

http://pollingreport.com/bushjob2.htm


COMPARATIVE BENCHMARKS:

RASMUSSEN
9/13/06 45% approve 52% disapprove

REALCLEARPOLITICS (RCP) AVERAGE now over 41%!
[Remember, it was only 3 months ago that the Democrats/MSM were salivating at the prospect of the President's JA rating sinking to the mid 20s!!!]


BOTTOM LINE: The trend line is up! [AND the President is maintaining an historically high 80-85% approval rating among Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents.]

FYI: With such a high approval rating from his base, the President's JA rating is actually near or at 50%! Unfortunately, MSM pollsters continue to artificially lower the President's JA ratings by OVERSAMPLING Democrats/Democrat-leaning Independents! . . . In retrospect, this could be an advantage for the Rs -- the Democrats seem to be setting themselves up for another big SURPRISE in November!


34 posted on 09/13/2006 8:00:03 PM PDT by DrDeb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DrDeb


Polls don't vote and voter sampling on election day has caused them grief.


35 posted on 09/13/2006 8:02:34 PM PDT by onyx (1 Billion Muslims -- IF only 10% are radical, that's still 100 Million who want to kill us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

This should be posted on every thread about polls between now and the election. It's from the episode of Penn & Teller's show, "Bulls**t," about polls. If you don't want to watch it all, just go to the 2:53 mark for the summation. WARNING! EXTREMELY ROUGH LANGUAGE! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jW-iPfZbUIY


36 posted on 09/13/2006 8:04:05 PM PDT by HHFi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ruschpa
Bush's popularity rating will have a direct effect on how Republicans will do in the mid term.

And you're basing this on....what?

37 posted on 09/13/2006 8:04:55 PM PDT by eddie willers
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

It's just comical how the MSM touts these "wishful thinking" stories as news. They actually seem to believe there are people out there who think, "Wow, a poll says the Democrats are going to win! I'd better vote Democrat!"

Amazing.


38 posted on 09/13/2006 8:07:06 PM PDT by JennysCool (Roll out the Canarble Wagon!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat; DrDeb
I still remember the polls in the fall of 1980 that said that Jimmy Carter was going to beat Ronald Reagan handily.

I've never believed one of them since......

39 posted on 09/13/2006 8:08:02 PM PDT by ohioWfan (George W. Bush - "Take his character all together, and we shall not look upon his like again.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ruschpa
That's good then, because HIS popularity is significantly higher than THEIRS.

(That's probably why they all want him to campaign for them, and he's going to a couple of fundraisers a week and pulling in lots of money and support).

40 posted on 09/13/2006 8:10:10 PM PDT by ohioWfan (George W. Bush - "Take his character all together, and we shall not look upon his like again.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
All these polls will leave the Dems fat and happy and so secure that they are taking over, they won't bother to show up at the polls.
41 posted on 09/13/2006 8:10:32 PM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hsalaw
"The MSM is backing down from its position several months ago when it was bleating about the dems taking over the House AND Senate. These stupid "polls" are a waste of time."

AND, don't forget to mention the IMPEACHMENT OF W AS SOON the bastardly RATS gain control of both...remember? They were licking their chops mid summer!

42 posted on 09/13/2006 8:12:42 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: MNJohnnie

I don't see the breakdown of the oversampled Islamocrats.


43 posted on 09/13/2006 8:28:52 PM PDT by rewrite
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: DrDeb

My post #43 .... We are thinking along the same lines I see.


44 posted on 09/13/2006 8:32:55 PM PDT by rewrite
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: operation clinton cleanup

I came home tonight and found "Rasmussen Reports" on my caller ID.
What would they want from me?


45 posted on 09/13/2006 8:40:49 PM PDT by Salamander (And don't forget my Dog; fixed and consequent.........)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat
The answers, Hart says, could determine the size of the wave Democrats will be riding in November. "It's going to be a hurricane. What's yet to be determined is whether it's Category 1, Category 3 or Category 5 in terms of severity."

Whatever. It looks more like a tropical storm to me, at the moment. Hart is such a boring partisan hack. How he makes a living in the polling business (supposedly an objective art) escapes me.

46 posted on 09/13/2006 8:44:00 PM PDT by Torie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Comment #47 Removed by Moderator

To: msnimje

I got politically poled once. I chose to answer the questions the opposite of how I really felt. I suggest everyone start doing that and maybe we will soon have no more polls. Now wouldn't that be wonderful?


48 posted on 09/13/2006 10:10:16 PM PDT by raftguide
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

Yeah well its that time of the year... This is the leftist trying their best to discourage the right from voting.. They do this EVERY year..


49 posted on 09/13/2006 10:24:53 PM PDT by Sprite518
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

Polls always show the RATS winning, right up til the votes are counted.


50 posted on 09/13/2006 10:37:00 PM PDT by ozzymandus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-65 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson