Isn't that a step down from "Likely to take over Congress" or "likely to take over the House"?
Historically it would be just about unprecedented for the party out of power in the sixth year of a U.S. President NOT to pick up seats.
Soooo if the line has moved from "likely to be in majority" to "likely to pick up seats" then it's line with historical projections.
If the GOP somehow manages a stalemate or actually picks up seats, it will be an indictment of Emanuel and Pelosi and the hard left lurch they took the candidates in.