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Vanity: If the election were today.
9-19-2006 | self

Posted on 09/19/2006 10:45:46 AM PDT by staytrue

According to Rasmussen pollling, Chafee is down by 8, Burns is down by 9, Dewine is down by 6, Talent is down by 3, Santorum is down by 8.

That makes for minus 5 for the republicans.

Rasmussen also has the Corker up by 1 over Ford in TN and Kean up by 5 over Menedez.

If Ford and Menedez pull out wins along with the other dems holding the leads, the dems take control of the Senate.

We need a win somewhere in these 7 races to get a 50-50 tie.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: election; senate

1 posted on 09/19/2006 10:45:47 AM PDT by staytrue
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To: staytrue

I think Santorum, at least, is going to win.


2 posted on 09/19/2006 10:46:31 AM PDT by jdsteel ('nuff said (old Marvel Comics reference....))
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To: staytrue

If frogs had wings.


3 posted on 09/19/2006 10:46:46 AM PDT by tigtog
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To: staytrue

as they say, if this doesn't fire up the base..


4 posted on 09/19/2006 10:48:16 AM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ......Help the "Pendleton 8' and families -- http://www.freerepublic.com/~normsrevenge/)
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To: staytrue

You forget the incumbent edge present in all elections.

Only Tennessee gives inspiration to those who dream of a turnover absent some defining moment come election day.


5 posted on 09/19/2006 10:48:36 AM PDT by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: staytrue

Your mistake is confusing junk polling for reality.


6 posted on 09/19/2006 10:51:43 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Ann Coulter: "I love Freepers!" Told to Freeper eeevil Conservative)
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To: tigtog

"If frogs had wings."

Would Hooters waitresses wear green?


7 posted on 09/19/2006 10:51:54 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz ("Freedom by its nature cannot be imposed, it must be chosen")
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To: staytrue

Tell us more about the poll. Was this likely voters or registered voters? Did they poll an equal amount of Dems and Republicans? How many Independents? I am always suspicious of polls-even from Rasmusson.


8 posted on 09/19/2006 10:52:47 AM PDT by Merry
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To: staytrue

If the election were today Burns would win, Talent would win, Corker as much as it makes my teeth hurt would win, Chafee would lose, kean would probably lose and Santorum it's hard to say.

You can cite polls.

I'll cite my belief in conservatives who are too angry to give good poll ratings to turn out the vote in red states to save the "better" Republicans. I make no such promises for RINO's (Chafee) or those in Dem leaning states (santorum). I DO want santorum to win, but it's going to be hard fought to the end.


9 posted on 09/19/2006 10:53:36 AM PDT by Soul Seeker (Kobach: Amnesty is going from an illegal to a legal position, without imposing the original penalty.)
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To: staytrue

The election is NOT being held today and there is a lot of electioneering to be done between now and November 7th. Many of the campaigns are just now switching from primary to general mode. There will be ups and downs, but we can all hope that our side hits election day on an up. Don't panic!


10 posted on 09/19/2006 10:58:08 AM PDT by RebelBanker (We must not and cannot let the perfect be the enemy of the good.)
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To: Old Professer

I believe that Santorum and Talent will win.


11 posted on 09/19/2006 10:58:45 AM PDT by juliej (juliej)
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To: staytrue

Of those races, I suspect the GOP will win:

1. MT, if the Dim is a loony as I have seen described MT is not going to ultimately vote for him.
2. MO
3. TN this is called the Harvey Gant effect.
4. NJ
5. OH again ultimately a GOP state and the Dim is seriously left.
6. maybe MD in a reverse Harvey Gant effect.


12 posted on 09/19/2006 10:59:35 AM PDT by JLS
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To: staytrue

Ummm. The election is on November 8, right?

I didn't think it was today!

Keep your eye on the ball. The 'Pubbies are trending in the right direction. Things are gonna turn out just fine...

...And sign up for GOTV, just to make sure.


13 posted on 09/19/2006 11:01:44 AM PDT by gridlock (The 'Pubbies will pick up at least TWO seats in the Senate and FOUR seats in the House in 2006)
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To: gridlock
Ummm. The election is on November 8, right?

OOps! Republicans vote on November 7th. Democrats vote on November 8th. My mistake!

14 posted on 09/19/2006 11:03:55 AM PDT by gridlock (The 'Pubbies will pick up at least TWO seats in the Senate and FOUR seats in the House in 2006)
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To: Merry

go here for the polling data

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/Election%20Polls%202006.htm


15 posted on 09/19/2006 11:04:15 AM PDT by staytrue
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To: staytrue

From what I can see, one of the problems in this election cycle is that a lot of truly conservative Republicans, both on the secular and Christian sides, are tired. They're tired of RINOs, in particular. What difference does that make?

Well, I think that it's cut down on the number of enthusiastic campaigners out there, and that's got to hurt GOP chances in some races.

It's tough to get disgruntled conservatives out to work on campaigns to elect or re-elect candidates they don't particularly like very much.

Some folks right here on Free Republic have indicated that they may just sit this election out. A lot of those won't follow through with that, and will go and vote. But their energy is not there for the campaigns, and that's going to hurt general GOP turnout, as well as campaign funds.

How many times have we seen people saying that they're simply not giving the GOP any more money until one thing or another gets changed?

Personally, I think that the optimism I'm seeing for some of these highly questionable races is not justified.


16 posted on 09/19/2006 11:12:05 AM PDT by MineralMan
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To: NormsRevenge

"as they say, if this doesn't fire up the base.."

Do you really think "the base" will be fired up to support the likes of Caffee or Dewine?


17 posted on 09/19/2006 11:18:03 AM PDT by Prokopton
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To: staytrue

The only poll that counts is the one caused by the voters on election day. All else is Barbra Striesand.


18 posted on 09/19/2006 11:21:12 AM PDT by Don Corleone (Leave the gun..take the cannoli)
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To: staytrue

If the election were today, I'd vote for the tax cut....


19 posted on 09/19/2006 11:27:06 AM PDT by Pondman88
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To: staytrue
At Tradesports.com, the odds favour GOP retaining control of the Senate -- contracts are going for 80.3 (out of 100).

Betting on control of the House of Representatives is a lot more iffy -- latest contract prices 52.1 (for GOP control).
20 posted on 09/19/2006 11:29:26 AM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: staytrue
Santorum will win going away. Republicans are not going to lose the Senate, so be hap-hap-happy!
21 posted on 09/19/2006 11:38:19 AM PDT by redstates4ever
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To: staytrue

Where are you getting these numbers realclearpolitics is showing these races are much much closer. Do you have the latest Rasmussen Poll?????


22 posted on 09/19/2006 12:46:12 PM PDT by Courdeleon02
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To: Prokopton

I can't wait until the Rino whiners here chime in after the election ..


23 posted on 09/19/2006 1:38:51 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ......Help the "Pendleton 8' and families -- http://www.freerepublic.com/~normsrevenge/)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

For the senate, we just need one or two wins somewhere.

Kean or Talent or Corker will probably be enough.


24 posted on 09/19/2006 5:00:12 PM PDT by staytrue
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To: staytrue
The punters at Tradesports.com are leaning your way. Here are some of today's contract prices.


Santorum: 22.0

Kean: 55.0

Talent: 51.2

Corker: 60.0
25 posted on 09/19/2006 5:38:41 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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