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Polls: GOP losing grip on Senate
McClatchy News ^ | 10/2/6 | Steven Thomma

Posted on 10/02/2006 7:57:49 AM PDT by SmithL

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To: soccermom
Each state poll was conducted by phoning 625 likely voters in the final week of September.

That was a misleading statement on the part of the person who wrote the article.

If you go to the article about the Virginia race, it says the interviews were with REGISTERED VOTERS who said they were likely to vote in November. I don't believe that is the standard way to qualify someone as a LIKELY VOTER. It takes more than simply asking a person if they are likely to vote. You have to inquire about their behavior. Gallup uses 7 questions as I recall.

If you look on the Real Clear Politics website, the Mason Dixon Virginia poll is classified as a Registered Voter (RV) poll, I assume for this very reason.

81 posted on 10/02/2006 12:13:03 PM PDT by freespirited (A racist is a conservative who is winning an argument with a liberal.)
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To: ConservativeDude
We will keep both houses of Congress.

We will lose 5 to 7 seats in the House and 2 to 3 seats in the Senate.

82 posted on 10/02/2006 12:27:07 PM PDT by jveritas (Support The Commander in Chief in Times of War)
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To: MaestroLC

and Frist...


83 posted on 10/02/2006 12:42:35 PM PDT by fhlh (Polls are for Strippers.)
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To: jveritas

I'll tell you one thing I recall with 100% accuracy.

NO pundit, except Morton Kondracke on McLaughlin, called the House takeover in 1994. Many were on the fence for the Senate, but the House was a total shocker to the MSM.

I guess that is to say, if Morto says the GOP is going down, then....

WE SHOULD PANIC!!!!




(just kidding...sort of)


84 posted on 10/02/2006 12:47:49 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude

Whether we agree with him or not Mort Kondrake has been right on many predictions, did he say who is going to control the Congress?


85 posted on 10/02/2006 12:58:25 PM PDT by jveritas (Support The Commander in Chief in Times of War)
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To: jveritas

did he say who is going to control the Congress?"

I don't know what Morto has said this cycle. Good question, perhaps others can chime in.


86 posted on 10/02/2006 1:03:48 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Perdogg
The ideological balance will not shift in the Senate in this election.

Not on the Shamnesty travesty. Just as liberal. But on other issues....such as the Law of Sea Treaty? You can kiss U.S. Sovereignty good bye if the RATs get in now. W has been signalling he wants to sign the damn thing...just have all those pesky conservative GOP Senators still in the way....

87 posted on 10/02/2006 2:37:09 PM PDT by Paul Ross (We cannot be for lawful ordinances and for an alien conspiracy at one and the same moment.-Cicero)
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To: freespirited

Oh, ok -- thanks for telling me that.


88 posted on 10/02/2006 6:16:10 PM PDT by soccermom
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To: Red Steel

11 states have marriage amendments on their ballots...you can bet that will encourage conservatives to get to the polls!


89 posted on 10/10/2006 9:23:31 AM PDT by mdmathis6 (Proof against evolution:"Man is the only creature that blushes, or needs to" M.Twain)
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