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Tropical depression may form in Caribbean Thursday (Would be Joyce)
Reuters ^ | Oct. 12, 2006 | Reuters

Posted on 10/12/2006 7:40:47 AM PDT by varina davis

Tropical depression may form in Caribbean Thursday

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Oct 12, 7:32 AM (ET)

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A low-pressure system in the northeastern Caribbean Sea could develop into a tropical depression over the next day or so, the National Hurricane Center said in an outlook issued Thursday.

The system, moving northwestward at about 10 to 15 miles per hour, could cause some flooding and mudslides over mountainous terrain. It was located about 50 miles south of Nevis and St. Kitts.

The weather models split on what the system will do over the next several days.

A couple of the models projected the storm would turn west across the Caribbean, remaining south of the Greater Antilles, and heading toward Nicaragua and Honduras. Other models showed the storm continuing northwest toward Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.

The Greater Antilles include Cuba, Jamaica, Hispaniola (Haiti and the Dominican Republic) and Puerto Rico.

If the system ultimately strengthens into a tropical storm, packing maximum wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph, the NHC would name it Joyce.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: caribbean; depression; thursday; tropical
Looks like a player.
1 posted on 10/12/2006 7:40:48 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: varina davis

Hurricane Hugo was an October storm.


2 posted on 10/12/2006 7:41:12 AM PDT by Pyro7480 ("Give me an army saying the Rosary and I will conquer the world." - Pope Blessed Pius IX)
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To: NautiNurse; nwctwx; Howlin

Ping!


3 posted on 10/12/2006 7:41:30 AM PDT by Pyro7480 ("Give me an army saying the Rosary and I will conquer the world." - Pope Blessed Pius IX)
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To: varina davis
Oops, I was wrong. I think I was thinking of the earthquake in California.

Hurricane Hugo

4 posted on 10/12/2006 7:44:18 AM PDT by Pyro7480 ("Give me an army saying the Rosary and I will conquer the world." - Pope Blessed Pius IX)
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To: Pyro7480

I thought October might ramp up since we've had such a quiet tropical season so far.


5 posted on 10/12/2006 7:46:25 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: varina davis

What the heck. We're not out of names yet or at least down to the Zelda, Zebra letters yet?

Oh that's right. Global warming took a hurrican season "off".


6 posted on 10/12/2006 7:46:42 AM PDT by Chuck54 ( "It's NOT the economy stupid; that's great. It's the media".)
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To: varina davis

The MSM waits, hoping for a disaster.


7 posted on 10/12/2006 7:47:45 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle (Without the Media, the Left and Islamofacists are Nothing.)
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To: varina davis

This is Rove's October surprise?


8 posted on 10/12/2006 7:47:51 AM PDT by neodad (USS Vincennes (CG-49) Freedom's Fortress)
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To: varina davis
Not good:


9 posted on 10/12/2006 7:49:35 AM PDT by Pyro7480 ("Give me an army saying the Rosary and I will conquer the world." - Pope Blessed Pius IX)
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To: varina davis

It looks like it may divide. Twins?:')


10 posted on 10/12/2006 7:50:45 AM PDT by CindyDawg (l.)
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To: varina davis

Well the TV weathermen down here on the Gulf Coast can now get their cookies off....they've been sorely depressed (yep - a pun intended)over the lack of any hurricanes this year!


11 posted on 10/12/2006 7:52:26 AM PDT by BamaDi (God bless Corey Lidle - may he rest in piece.)
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To: Pyro7480
Hurricane Hugo was an October storm.

Hurricane Kate (1985) was a November storm that hit just before Thanksgiving.

Here in the Florida Panhandle, we have a series of cold fronts coming through, the first being tonight.

Cold fronts are sudden death to hurricanes, as we have found out on several occasions, so it looks like we're safe from whatever this one turns out to be.

12 posted on 10/12/2006 7:55:33 AM PDT by capt. norm (Liberalism = cowardice disguised as tolerance.)
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To: varina davis
...northeastern Caribbean Sea could develop into a tropical depression
...could cause some flooding and mudslides
If the system ultimately strengthens into a tropical storm...

Is this what they consider journalism these days?

13 posted on 10/12/2006 7:55:46 AM PDT by Lekker 1 (("...the world will be...eleven degrees colder by the year 2000" -- K. Watt, Earth Day, 1970)
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To: Pyro7480

There is no such thing as a FRee Lunch. Stop By and Bump the FReepathon.

14 posted on 10/12/2006 7:56:01 AM PDT by bwteim (Support FreeRepublic.)
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To: varina davis

J-Joyce? Shouldn't we be up into the second set of storm names? That's the panicked voices I heard last year.


15 posted on 10/12/2006 7:57:11 AM PDT by sandbar
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To: varina davis

They are getting desparate for something (ANYTHING!) bad to happen beore election day.

Weather reports with "may" in them are useless.


16 posted on 10/12/2006 7:57:46 AM PDT by JimRed ("Hey, hey, Teddy K., how many girls did you drown today?" (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help m)
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To: varina davis

Joyce -- Perfect -- That's my borther's ex-wife's name, and boy was she a windbag!


17 posted on 10/12/2006 7:59:18 AM PDT by CWW
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To: Pyro7480; varina davis

Thanks for the pings. The models look favorable to avoid a U.S. landfall. Will watch to see if this develops.


18 posted on 10/12/2006 8:04:44 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Katherine Harris for U.S. Senate)
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To: CindyDawg

I don't think so Cindy, but they just issued another advisory for Invest 91L in the East Atlantic, right behnd 90L, so the season might be ramping up a bit!


19 posted on 10/12/2006 8:04:58 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: varina davis

Heard a rumor that the Republicans are already planting the explosives in the dikes in N.O.......


20 posted on 10/12/2006 8:05:28 AM PDT by CommandoFrank (Peer into the depths of hell and there you will find the face of Islam...)
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To: capt. norm

That's true, but given the latitude of possible TS Joyce, I don't think it will be affected that much.


21 posted on 10/12/2006 8:06:02 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: varina davis

It was just something I was looking at WU. Thinks do seem to be heating up.


22 posted on 10/12/2006 8:07:01 AM PDT by CindyDawg (l.)
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To: JimRed
"Weather reports with "may" in them are useless."

Not really. If you've ever been through a TS or 'Cane, you would want to be forewarned as early as possible.

23 posted on 10/12/2006 8:07:49 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: JimRed
desparate

desperate...spell check doesn't help a lot when there are hominyms...

24 posted on 10/12/2006 8:08:15 AM PDT by JimRed ("Hey, hey, Teddy K., how many girls did you drown today?" (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help m)
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To: Lekker 1

We're all (potentially) DOOMED!


25 posted on 10/12/2006 8:16:59 AM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (Bush Assassination Flick. Save your liberal friends a few bucks: the black guy in the tux dunnit.)
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To: varina davis
That's true, but given the latitude of possible TS Joyce, I don't think it will be affected that much.

Didn't say it would. What will likely happen is that the cold airmass approaching Florida will prevent the storm from making landfall here.

I retired from 32 years of hurricane forecasting here and I have seen this scenario a number of times. It's not a function of the calendar. It's all about continental air-masses and the change in the winds aloft that accompany them this time of year.

Today's upper air soundings over Tallahassee show that we already have vigorous westerlies up there and they will increase and become northwesterly. This is the current SKEWT from Tallahassee:

Winds at that level (and velocity) can easily steer a tropical storm or hurricane....or destroy one.

26 posted on 10/12/2006 8:22:52 AM PDT by capt. norm (Liberalism = cowardice disguised as tolerance.)
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To: capt. norm

That's very true. Thanks for the info and graph.


27 posted on 10/12/2006 8:30:11 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: bwteim

Might go east, north, or west. Well, that narrows it down.


28 posted on 10/12/2006 8:48:06 AM PDT by ecomcon
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To: CWW

Hey that's my middle name and only SOME people think I'm a windbag!!! : )


29 posted on 10/12/2006 8:54:55 AM PDT by mpackard (Proud mama of a Sailor.)
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To: mpackard

Every Joyce that I know is a "talker" :')


30 posted on 10/12/2006 11:39:48 AM PDT by CindyDawg (l.)
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