this has a very negligible effect on online poker. every site I play at except one (PartyPoker) has made it clear that for US players it's "business as usual".
even though this is a bipartisan bill - payback to the Indian casino lobbying money, most of the blame among poker players is landing on the Republicans. it could hurt them in November.
I don't play at PartyPoker, but the two sites I do play at have locked me out of real money play. So it isn't just party poker.
This WILL cost Republicans everywhere votes they can't afford. I play both online and brick-and-mortar, and as you say this is being laid, universally, at Republican's feet.
A LOT of folks who say they don't usually vote are vowing to vote this time, on this one issue. The poker radio shows are full of it, the talk around live tables is full of it...
This was a gift by Frist to the evangelicals to boost his Presidential bid, and could cost House seats where they are close.