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Absentee vote in Iowa: Better for the GOP than 2002, at least in one county (NRO's Geraghty)
Blog Row (NRO) ^ | 11/4/06 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 11/04/2006 12:18:05 PM PST by LS

In Black Hawk County, Iowa, usually Democratic territory, the election office has seen an interesting shift in who's requesting absentee ballots this year: Through Wednesday, absentee ballots have been returned to the county election office by 3,994 registered Democrats, 2,264 registered Republicans and 1,396 voters who list no party affiliation. But compared to six days before the 2002 election, the number of absentee ballots returned by Democrats are down 780 ballots while Republicans enjoyed a net gain of 391 ballots. Absentee balloting among those listed with another party or "no party" also are up 331 ballots over 2002.

Black Hawk County Republican Chairman Steve Schmitt said he thinks the surge in GOP absentee ballots this year may have something to do with a more upfront and aggressive approach being taken by President George Bush in recent weeks.


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; gop
1,000 votes difference and figure the indies split 50/50, this bodes VERY badly for the Dems. This directly affects the Mike Whalen seat, which I had as a loss. Geraghty thinks it can now be won with this kind of turnout.

What he doesn't tell us is the % increase over 2002. THAT would be helpful as a yardstick for the rest of the country.

1 posted on 11/04/2006 12:18:06 PM PST by LS
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To: LS

Maybe--just maybe, the pelosi cancer is sinking in.


2 posted on 11/04/2006 12:22:19 PM PST by BamaAndy (Heart & Iron--the story of America through an ordinary family. ISBN: 1-4137-5397-3)
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To: LS
1,000 votes difference and figure the indies split 50/50, this bodes VERY badly for the Dems.

BTTT 

3 posted on 11/04/2006 12:26:51 PM PST by 1035rep
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To: BamaAndy
Actually .. I want to think that America is NOT stupid ... is NOT lazy ... and is NOT uninformed.

What IS ... is ... the socialists have been, in their death throes, trying a last ditch attempt to pre-empt the vote with Geobbels best .. The Republicans are losing .. they should just stay home.

Pelosi and the et al et cetera's are nothing more than all they have for 'validity' of their position.

We keep the House, we keep the Senate and .. though I see no viable candidate yet .. we keep the Executive.

4 posted on 11/04/2006 12:33:32 PM PST by knarf (Islamists kill each other ... News wall-to-wall, 24/7 .. don't touch that dial.)
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To: LS; All

I have a question which I know someone here will be able to answer. We have 3 kinds of voting, absentee, early and voting on election day. I have heard that the absentee ballots are NOT counted until several days after the election has been called. I have no idea if this is the case. Also, are early votes counted with election day votes? Thanks.


5 posted on 11/04/2006 12:34:15 PM PST by Bahbah (Support the military and their mission, vote Republican.)
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To: Bahbah

In many areas--that is the case. The election officials will hold them and if numerically, there's no way the number of absentees could affect the outcome, then they are not counted. I guess it saves these districts a few bucks--


6 posted on 11/04/2006 12:36:43 PM PST by BamaAndy (Heart & Iron--the story of America through an ordinary family. ISBN: 1-4137-5397-3)
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To: Bahbah

I don't know about early votes. Absentees are always counted, but usually last.


7 posted on 11/04/2006 12:39:37 PM PST by LS
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To: LS

Please continue to ping me to all this really cool insider stuff right through Tuesday night.

Thanks!


8 posted on 11/04/2006 12:45:50 PM PST by Petronski (CNN is an insidiously treasonous, enemy propaganda organ.)
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To: Bahbah

I am an election judge in Illinois and they told us that all the absentee ballots will be counted in downtown Chicago and will be tabulated before the polls open. In the past, they used to deliver them to the precincts and we counted them before the we totaled our votes at the end of the day. Also, the people that voted early used electronic machines so their votes have been counted already.


9 posted on 11/04/2006 12:46:01 PM PST by Merry
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To: LS

Early votes are generally counted first, absentee last. The early votes are on the same machines as the Tuesday votes, so they get included in the Tyesday counts.


10 posted on 11/04/2006 12:48:31 PM PST by KingKongCobra
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To: LS
The DUmbasses in the lame-stream, has-been, drive-by dinosaur media have to cover Saddam's sentencing tomorrow.

If he's sentenced to DEATH, any further trials are moot and we are again reminded of why our troops are in Iraq - depose Saddam (or REGIME CHANGE as it was referred to when Clinton adopted it as policy). DUmocrats wanted the election to be about Iraq, and so it is.

1. Jean-Fraud Kerry infers that soldiers in Iraq are dumb.

2. Soldiers respond

3. NYT admits Saddam had nuke program.

4. Families of fallen visit Iraq (no quagmire)

5. Saddam sentenced (death by wood chipper)

News cycle seems to be working for GOP advantage thus far. DUmocrats today counter with "Rusmsfeld must resign" and "recruiters caugh lying" stories. Wow. That's new....NOT!

In addition to Saddam sentencing, Fox will be running OBSESSION - THE MOVIE, and we get to see the face of the enemy today and tomorrow. Fox is also showing "waterboarding" (Steve Harrigan, a Fox reporter volunteered to show how it is done) all day today.

I don't know what Monday brings, but I've got a good idea about the day after.


11 posted on 11/04/2006 1:04:45 PM PST by RasterMaster (Winning Islamic hearts and minds.........one bullet at a time!)
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To: RasterMaster

bttt


12 posted on 11/04/2006 1:07:37 PM PST by 1035rep
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To: LS

LS, I am on the ground in Iowa and I can tell you that turnout is on track to rival turnout in 2004. Whalen is also from the Quad Cities, an area rich in Republican votes. If Braley cannot turnout the Dem vote in tradition strongholds like Black Hawk, he is gonna have real trouble. Plus, Nussle is from that district and will be campaigning there Monday. I would not bet the ranch that the Dems will pick off this one. Mike Whalen is a good candidate and is in good shape to win it.


13 posted on 11/04/2006 1:14:20 PM PST by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: Bahbah
As absentee ballots are paper ballots that have to be counted by hand, they have usually been put aside until after the machine vote is in. Only if they could make a difference to the outcome are they then counted.

By the way, I think the information in this report should remain confidential. Election results can definately be affected by dribbling out results. That is why we voted on Election Day.

14 posted on 11/04/2006 1:18:22 PM PST by ClaireSolt (Have you have gotten mixed up in a mish-masher?)
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To: Merry
all the absentee ballots will be counted in downtown Chicago and will be tabulated before the polls open.

Hmmm, what do you think of that? And thank you for your answer.

15 posted on 11/04/2006 1:19:28 PM PST by Bahbah (Support the military and their mission, vote Republican.)
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To: ClaireSolt

Like you, I will only vote on election day unless I could not for some reason, and that has not happened yet.


16 posted on 11/04/2006 1:21:25 PM PST by Bahbah (Support the military and their mission, vote Republican.)
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To: RasterMaster
News cycle seems to be working for GOP advantage thus far.

At least with respect to the stuff that isn't being made up out of whole cloth.

17 posted on 11/04/2006 1:23:59 PM PST by Bahbah (Support the military and their mission, vote Republican.)
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To: Bahbah

DUmmies do look worried today, I see it in their eyes. Watch any talking head on the DUmmie networks.


18 posted on 11/04/2006 1:26:48 PM PST by RasterMaster (Winning Islamic hearts and minds.........one bullet at a time!)
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To: LS
Local polls (Davenport) have Whalen as a win. Should be close.
19 posted on 11/04/2006 1:27:41 PM PST by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: RasterMaster
Watch any talking head on the DUmmie networks.

I have been, and you are right. I can't wait until the 8th, really.

20 posted on 11/04/2006 1:30:47 PM PST by Bahbah (Support the military and their mission, vote Republican.)
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To: Bahbah

Actually absentee votes are not counted at all unless there is a race close enough that they could be a determining factor. For instance if there is a race with a winner having only 200 votes more than the loser and there are 300 absentee votes, then the absentees will be counted. Because there is a possibility that 201 or more of the 300 absentees could be for the losing candidate thereby changing the outcome of the race.


21 posted on 11/04/2006 1:35:20 PM PST by pepperdog (I hate the lying MSM)
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To: Bahbah
LOL! me too!


22 posted on 11/04/2006 1:38:06 PM PST by RasterMaster (Winning Islamic hearts and minds.........one bullet at a time!)
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To: Bahbah
I have heard that the absentee ballots are NOT counted until several days after the election has been called.

Only if the number of absentee ballots could not change the outcome..

For example if one candidate had 10,000 votes and the other had 9,000 votes and the number of absentee votes is 500 would they call the race. Obviously if all 500 votes went for the candidate with 9,000 votes, the candidate with the 10,000 votes would win 10,000 to 9,500.

If the absentee ballots could cause the leader to change they do not call the race untill the absentee ballots are counted.

23 posted on 11/04/2006 1:49:28 PM PST by Common Tator
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To: Common Tator

Thanks, CT. Did you see the comment at #9? It appears that Illinois has altered its procedures for this election amd will count the absentees in advance. Would that not make it easier to let local precients know what numbers they needed to turn in? But who would ever do that, right!


24 posted on 11/04/2006 2:07:00 PM PST by Bahbah (Support the military and their mission, vote Republican.)
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To: redgolum

The key to the 1st is the QC. Whalen is well known and liked there and I understand that Nussle will be there Monday. He should pull in votes that would counter any Dem majorities in the other cities.


25 posted on 11/04/2006 3:57:05 PM PST by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

QC?

Sorry, I'm not familiar with that. Is that a city or a region?


26 posted on 11/04/2006 4:21:12 PM PST by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief
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To: Bahbah; Merry

That doesn't seem to bode well.


27 posted on 11/04/2006 4:25:43 PM PST by streetpreacher (What if you're wrong?)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

Never mind, I see QC stands for Quad Cities. Stupid me, I forgot to read further up the thread. :P


28 posted on 11/04/2006 5:46:07 PM PST by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief
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To: Merry
I am an election judge in Illinois and they told us that all the absentee ballots will be counted in downtown Chicago and will be tabulated before the polls open. In the past, they used to deliver them to the precincts...watched a very interesting documentary on the voting process on PBS (sorry) late last night - I believe it was taped in Marian (sp?) Indiana - absentees were handled by being sent to the precincts as you say was done previously in your area - the program emphasized that all across the country voting is supposed to be a local/county process - that absentees will now be counted in downtown Chicago rather than locally makes me suspicious that only enough will be counted as are needed to win various races for the 'rats - I hope the 'pubs are on top of this development......
29 posted on 11/04/2006 5:57:57 PM PST by Intolerant in NJ
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To: Bahbah

as far as I know, in Iowa, Early Voting is the same as absentee, you just do it in person.

they may set up an actual booth differently a few days ahead of NOV 7, but I voted a few weeks ago and there was just a booth where you filled out an absentee ballot that I got from the clerk after filling out papers.


30 posted on 11/05/2006 11:24:29 AM PST by IOWAfan (We're not discussing Iowa Football this week... we are tired.)
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To: LS

is there an election thread ping list? are you running it?

I would like to be on it if there is...

thanks


31 posted on 11/05/2006 11:26:45 AM PST by IOWAfan (We're not discussing Iowa Football this week... we are tired.)
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To: Merry

What exactly does an election judge do?


32 posted on 11/05/2006 11:30:55 AM PST by Hildy
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To: IOWAfan

Thanks. It seems that how these things are handled differs and there is no set procedure.


33 posted on 11/05/2006 11:37:07 AM PST by Bahbah (Support the military and their mission, vote Republican.)
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To: IOWAfan

I am not, nor would I run it. I may be busy the whole day.


34 posted on 11/05/2006 1:28:19 PM PST by LS
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To: pepperdog
Actually absentee votes are not counted at all unless there is a race close enough that they could be a determining factor.

Actually, this is NOT the case everywhere. In my county, Absentee ballots are counted on Monday and are the first to be reported on Tuesday night when the polls close.

35 posted on 11/06/2006 2:59:12 AM PST by Iowa Granny (People who live in glass houses should always undress in the dark)
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To: Galactic Overlord-In-Chief
QC?

Quad Cities. Davenport (IA), Rock Island (IL), Moline (IL)& Bettendorf (IA).

36 posted on 11/06/2006 3:02:02 AM PST by Iowa Granny (People who live in glass houses should always undress in the dark)
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To: All

Eastern Iowa votes can be tracked at: KGAN.com, KCRG.com and gazetteonline.com

Central Iowa votes can be tracked at KCCI.com

Please ad other sites known to be reporting results to this list.


37 posted on 11/06/2006 3:06:01 AM PST by Iowa Granny (People who live in glass houses should always undress in the dark)
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To: BamaAndy

Maybe--just maybe, the pelosi cancer is sinking in.
__________________________________________________

Pelonoma?


38 posted on 11/06/2006 3:07:51 AM PST by wally-balls
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To: Iowa Granny

I should not have assumed it was the same all over the country should I? I like the way your country (state?) does it as it assures all votes are counted. I wonder what the percentage of actually counted absentee votes is throughout the country.


39 posted on 11/06/2006 7:28:10 AM PST by pepperdog (I hate the lying MSM)
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