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Following the Election Returns [Hour by Hour Guide]
Opinion Journal ^ | November 7, 2006 | John Fund

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:41:39 AM PST by RobFromGa

This year the networks say they are guarding their exit poll results as if they were crown jewels. The results will be delivered to a "quarantine room," access to which will be granted to only two staffers from each network...

Given that the longer election night might not suit everyone's bedtime, I've prepared an hour-by-hour guide to tonight's results...

All times are Eastern. In a bow to tradition, we've listed states that went for George W. Bush two years ago in red and those that went for John Kerry in blue. The letters after state names indicate governor and senate races, with the incumbent party in the appropriate color (independents in black).

6 p.m.

Polls close in these two states at 6 p.m. local time, which means the eastern portions will end voting at 6 EST. The key races in both states will be a bevy of close House races featuring GOP incumbents.

In Indiana, three GOP House incumbents have been trailing their Democratic challengers in October polls, albeit with survey samples so small the margin of error is large. Watch Rep. Mike Sodrel in the Ninth District. If he wins, it will mean it's unlikely Republicans will face a huge Democratic wave and lose 30 seats or more. If Rep. Chris Chocola in the Second District should survive, the GOP may wind up losing 20 seats or fewer. If Rep. John Hostettler also comes home to victory in the Eighth District, there is a good chance the GOP will retain its House majority. Indiana's Senate race isn't competitive; Republican Dick Lugar will easily win a sixth term.

Kentucky has two barn burners. Republican Rep. Anne Northup has held Louisville's Third District for five terms...

(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006; elections; midterm; vote2006
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Excellen guide to the elections at link...
1 posted on 11/07/2006 4:41:40 AM PST by RobFromGa
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To: uscabjd; Kahuna; GOPsterinMA; george76; Russ; Don'tMessWithTexas; UNGN; ClaireSolt; ...

Senate 2006 Midterm ping.

If anyone wants on or off the Senate 2006 ping list, send me Freepmail.


2 posted on 11/07/2006 4:42:17 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: All

My FINAL predictions:

I think we win in VA, MO, TN, MT, MD, NJ, OH, and RI. (+2: MD, NJ)
I think we lose in MI, PA, MN, and WA. (-1: PA)

Net +1 in the Senate. These are my final predictions, I changed OH to Win, PA to lose, MI to lose, RI to win, still 56-42-2.

We keep the House with a loss of 7 to 9 seats net. I think we pickup 3-4 Dem seats and lose about 10-14 GOP seats

New Jersey and Ohio I am not confident about, but I think we will win close ones.


3 posted on 11/07/2006 4:43:21 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa

Bump


4 posted on 11/07/2006 4:43:26 AM PST by MEG33 (GOD BLESS OUR ARMED FORCES.)
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To: RobFromGa

Bump for later reference.


5 posted on 11/07/2006 4:46:05 AM PST by The G Man (The NY Times did "great harm to the United States" - President George W. Bush 6/26/06)
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To: RobFromGa
I agree. The GOP should hold on with a 222-223 seat majority in the House. Since 1934, the average rule for the President's party has been to lose 30-40 seats in mid-term elections. That rule was broken in 1998 and again in 2002. There's no reason to believe we'll ever it see return in America politics.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus

6 posted on 11/07/2006 4:46:38 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: RobFromGa

I'm going with your positive attitude!

Of the 3 or 4 gains in the house, are 2 of them in GA?


7 posted on 11/07/2006 4:46:40 AM PST by Minn. 4 Bush
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To: RobFromGa
Lieberman was just on F&F. He says he will continue to caucus with the Dems, even though many of them stabbed him in the back. He says he will be Independent [snicker].


Dems may try this technique in future elections -- run a Dem and run an Independent (Dem in disguise) -- and hope either get elected.

Hey, it seems to have worked in Connecticut.
8 posted on 11/07/2006 4:47:10 AM PST by TomGuy
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To: The G Man

I'd be very happy with this outcome...


9 posted on 11/07/2006 4:47:16 AM PST by The Wizard (DemonRATS: enemies of America)
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To: RobFromGa

Please add NaughtiusMaximus (no space) to the Senate 2006 Midterm pinglist.


10 posted on 11/07/2006 4:48:07 AM PST by NaughtiusMaximus (Let's all be Magnificent Bastards. Turn out those Republican votes!)
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To: RobFromGa

Bump for later.


11 posted on 11/07/2006 4:48:25 AM PST by NittanyLion
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To: Minn. 4 Bush

Yes, I think we pickup GA-08 and GA-12.


12 posted on 11/07/2006 4:48:33 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa

The really depressing thought is how awful Dole was as NRCC chair.

We could have had a real shot at

Nebraska
North Dakota
Florida
West Virginia

if she would have recruited good people


13 posted on 11/07/2006 4:50:14 AM PST by watsonfellow
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To: TomGuy

Hannity and other pseudo conservatives should be pushing for the Republican, not a LIEberal who wants Rummy to step down. Or they could STAY OUT OF IT if they couldn't support the GOP.

14 posted on 11/07/2006 4:50:40 AM PST by RasterMaster (Winning Islamic hearts and minds.........one bullet at a time!)
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To: TomGuy
Dems may try this technique in future elections -- run a Dem and run an Independent (Dem in disguise) -- and hope either get elected.

This would normally be a recipe for splitting the liberal vote, and allow a Republican to get elected. The only way it works is if you can get GOP voters to support the Independent to stop the ultra-lib from getting elected.

15 posted on 11/07/2006 4:50:54 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa

I`m praying that where I live (New York), the people here will lose their insanity long enough to elect the beast Hellary out and Spencer in (or ANYONE for that matter, I`ll take ANYBODY over Hellary!), but I think hell will freeze over before that happens. It`s amazing how this beast who has done absolutely nothing can win so easily.


16 posted on 11/07/2006 4:51:52 AM PST by Screamname (I`m Screamname and I approve this message.)
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To: RobFromGa

"Yes, I think we pickup GA-08 and GA-12."

I agree.


17 posted on 11/07/2006 4:52:30 AM PST by Preachin' (Enoch's testimony was that he pleased God: Why are we still here?)
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To: watsonfellow
No time to cry over that now, we just need to be sure that in 2008 we field the right candidates in the Red and Purple States.

In the 2008 election cycle, we have

TAKEOVER OPPORTUNITIES:
DEMOCRATS IN RED STATES: Rockefeller(WV), Johnson(SD), Baucus(MT), Pryor(AR),Landrieu(LA),
DEMOCRATS IN PURPLE STATES: Harkin(IA), Levin(MI)

UPGRADE OPPORTUNITIES:
RINOS IN RED STATES: Graham*(SC), Hagel*(NE),
RINOS IN PURPLE STATES: Coleman(MN), Smith(OR)

HOLD SITUATIONS:
CONSERVATIVES IN PURPLE STATES: Sununu(NH),Domenici(NM),Allard(CO)

HOLD OR ABANDON?:
RINOS IN BLUE STATES: Collins(ME)

18 posted on 11/07/2006 4:53:19 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa

Don't write off Minnesota just yet - remember it was the MN National Guard that did the "Halp Us Jon Carry" banner.

Now I really am leaving to go vote.


19 posted on 11/07/2006 4:54:31 AM PST by nina0113
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To: TomGuy
Hey, it seems to have worked in Connecticut.

I wouldn't use Connecticut as an example given there are no Republicans in the state. They are RINO's.
20 posted on 11/07/2006 4:55:07 AM PST by Man50D (Fair Tax , you earn it , you keep it!)
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To: nina0113

I hope Kennedy pulls it out. Stranger things have happened.


21 posted on 11/07/2006 4:55:20 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa

bttt


22 posted on 11/07/2006 4:55:34 AM PST by Guenevere
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To: All; RobFromGa


.


JOHN KERRY =


Pictures of a vietnamese Re-Education Camp

http://www.Freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1308949/posts


.


23 posted on 11/07/2006 4:56:49 AM PST by ALOHA RONNIE ("ALOHA RONNIE" Guyer/Veteran-"WE WERE SOLDIERS" Battle of IA DRANG-1965 http://www.lzxray.com.)
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To: NaughtiusMaximus

You are #137 on the Midterm Senate ping list. Let me know if you see something of interest to the list...

Rob


24 posted on 11/07/2006 5:02:32 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa

Will do. Thanks


25 posted on 11/07/2006 5:04:24 AM PST by NaughtiusMaximus (Let's all be Magnificent Bastards. Turn out those Republican votes!)
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To: RobFromGa

It will be easier than this. Just watch Katie Couric this evening. If she looks as if her best friend just died, you know news is not good for DEMS.


26 posted on 11/07/2006 5:06:15 AM PST by randita
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To: NaughtiusMaximus

How is FL looking? I never hear anything about it.


27 posted on 11/07/2006 5:07:06 AM PST by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: RobFromGa

If hold the House and Senate by narrow margins, are there any potential "Jeffords" out there?


28 posted on 11/07/2006 5:12:41 AM PST by edpc (Violence is ALWAYS a solution. Maybe not the right one....but a solution nonetheless)
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To: edpc

Chafee is one potential Jeffords if it a tie. No one else.

In the House, if it is that close, it is VERY unlikely of a switch, two years is just too short of a time till the next election. Plus, if it that close, there will be a number of "conservative" dems, and it is more likely of a shift to the GOP than vice versa, IMHO.


29 posted on 11/07/2006 5:17:30 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa
I hope Kennedy pulls it out. Stranger things have happened.

LOL! Gov. Jesse Ventura comes to mind.

That said, I'm still thinking Mark Kennedy can pull this one out. I'm in a heavily red county and look forward to a big turnout here.

30 posted on 11/07/2006 5:19:55 AM PST by mplsconservative
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To: mplsconservative

Yes, TURNOUT is the only thing that matters at this point.

I would love to see the GOP sweep both Senate seats in the land of Humphrey, Mondale, and the Wellstone Memorial Service.


31 posted on 11/07/2006 5:24:46 AM PST by RobFromGa (The GOP will retain the Senate and House in 2006- Let's Do Something With It!)
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To: RobFromGa

I agree with your predictions. Unfortunately, I don't think Santorum will make it. It will be the biggest upset of this Election if he does. I think we will hold the House. I was just looking at Real Clear Politics and they put two Seats in the Dem's 14 pick ups that I'm pretty sure we will hold. They are Foley's Seat and DeLay's Seat. Both are in heavily Republican districts. I think Charlie Crist may have hurt the Republicans a bit by snubbing the President last evening. I can't believe he did that! I also heard, on our local TV Station, that Katherine Harris was there and asked to be on Stage and was told NO by the Handlers there. Bush did mention her, she was sitting in the Audience, I thought that was SHAMEFUL for our Party!


32 posted on 11/07/2006 5:26:26 AM PST by grannylinedancer
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To: RobFromGa

I'll check back in with my anecdotal evidence around 9:30 central time. :)


33 posted on 11/07/2006 5:26:45 AM PST by mplsconservative
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To: nina0113
Voter number 14 in my Precinct. Turn out heavy. Hard to judge the mood of the crowd at 7am. Everybody so sleepy. Crowd pretty quite. My Precinct was a 55-60% R/40-45% D area in 2004.
34 posted on 11/07/2006 5:33:51 AM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: RobFromGa

Voter number 14 in my Precinct. Turn out heavy. Hard to judge the mood of the crowd at 7am. Everybody so sleepy. Crowd pretty quite. My Precinct was a 55-60% R/40-45% D area in 2004.</p>


35 posted on 11/07/2006 5:34:56 AM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: randita
It will be easier than this. Just watch Katie Couric this evening. If she looks as if her best friend just died, you know news is not good for DEMS.

Not possible. Katie is her OWN best friend. These people do not have friends. They would back stab each other for first place in line to kiss one of the Klinton's butts.

36 posted on 11/07/2006 5:36:26 AM PST by RetiredArmy (ANYONE who votes for the Abortion Democrats are enemies of the Republic, and ME!)
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To: RobFromGa

I love elections! It is almost as if lightning is in the air. The feel of battle! After months of preparation we now see how we will fare!


37 posted on 11/07/2006 5:40:51 AM PST by burzum (Despair not! I shall inspire you by charging blindly on!--Minsc, BG2)
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To: edpc

Chafee is always a worry.


38 posted on 11/07/2006 5:42:33 AM PST by traderrob6
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To: RobFromGa

ping.


39 posted on 11/07/2006 5:42:44 AM PST by steadcom
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To: Screamname

It is unlikely that she'll lose, but we can hope that she wins by 12% or less (the # by which she beat Lazio). If she can't increase her margin how can she be a viable national candidate for the liberals?


40 posted on 11/07/2006 5:42:46 AM PST by InvisibleChurch (The default mode of the heart is set for Drift.)
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To: All

Well...I voted this morning... now, let's hope for the best but I am ready for anything! :)


41 posted on 11/07/2006 5:44:47 AM PST by ElPatriota (Let's not forget, we are all still friends despite our differences)
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To: TomGuy

That's an interesting strategy, but it really only works in the Northeast. For all intents and purposes, there are a bunch of "independent" senators in New England these days -- including Chafee, Snowe, Dukakis, Jeffords, etc. Basically, the Northeast is the kind of place where the Republican Party doesn't really exist.


42 posted on 11/07/2006 5:47:23 AM PST by Alberta's Child (Can money pay for all the days I lived awake but half asleep?)
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To: RobFromGa
We voted around 6:45 this morning. Cold and rainy and the forecast looks like that will hold for the day. There were about 8 people voting at the time but more were just starting to pull in to the station when we were leaving. There are a lot of self-employed/work from home people in this area so there really is no need for people to come in early prior to heading to the office/work place.
43 posted on 11/07/2006 5:55:18 AM PST by jennyjenny
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To: RobFromGa

bump for later reference.


44 posted on 11/07/2006 5:59:14 AM PST by Truth29
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To: RobFromGa

BUMP!


45 posted on 11/07/2006 6:02:03 AM PST by sofaman (Pvt 1st Class Joel K. Brattain, 21, 82nd Airborne DIV, KIA 03/13/04. RIP, American Hero.)
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To: Man50D

I wouldn't use Connecticut as an example given there are no Republicans in the state. They are RINO's.

Try again - this ultra conservative Republican lives here with all of my ultra conservative voting family - and proud of it. Take a look at the county map from 2004 - I live in the ONLY red county in the state!


46 posted on 11/07/2006 6:03:43 AM PST by CT Little Tiger
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To: RobFromGa

We voted at about 8:00. Straight Republican and "No" on all ballot questions.


47 posted on 11/07/2006 6:08:05 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: RobFromGa

Seems like a good turnout in Virginia. Radio call ins talking about it. My voting station had a good steady stream coming in and going out.


48 posted on 11/07/2006 6:10:40 AM PST by commonguymd
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To: RobFromGa
GOP Keeps Both Houses PING!!!
49 posted on 11/07/2006 6:12:49 AM PST by TampaDude (If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the PROBLEM!!!)
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To: RobFromGa

Lord help us if Chaffee is the swing vote!


50 posted on 11/07/2006 6:16:21 AM PST by dynachrome ("Where am I? Where am I going? Why am I in a handbasket?")
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