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Following the Election Returns [Hour by Hour Guide]
Opinion Journal ^ | November 7, 2006 | John Fund

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:41:39 AM PST by RobFromGa

This year the networks say they are guarding their exit poll results as if they were crown jewels. The results will be delivered to a "quarantine room," access to which will be granted to only two staffers from each network...

Given that the longer election night might not suit everyone's bedtime, I've prepared an hour-by-hour guide to tonight's results...

All times are Eastern. In a bow to tradition, we've listed states that went for George W. Bush two years ago in red and those that went for John Kerry in blue. The letters after state names indicate governor and senate races, with the incumbent party in the appropriate color (independents in black).

6 p.m.

Polls close in these two states at 6 p.m. local time, which means the eastern portions will end voting at 6 EST. The key races in both states will be a bevy of close House races featuring GOP incumbents.

In Indiana, three GOP House incumbents have been trailing their Democratic challengers in October polls, albeit with survey samples so small the margin of error is large. Watch Rep. Mike Sodrel in the Ninth District. If he wins, it will mean it's unlikely Republicans will face a huge Democratic wave and lose 30 seats or more. If Rep. Chris Chocola in the Second District should survive, the GOP may wind up losing 20 seats or fewer. If Rep. John Hostettler also comes home to victory in the Eighth District, there is a good chance the GOP will retain its House majority. Indiana's Senate race isn't competitive; Republican Dick Lugar will easily win a sixth term.

Kentucky has two barn burners. Republican Rep. Anne Northup has held Louisville's Third District for five terms...

(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006; elections; midterm; vote2006
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To: musikman

I saw Schumer on with Sissy Chrissy last night...and he didn't smile ONCE the whole interview.

BUT, I think he is "acting" like they are losing...to try to get people to panic vote.


61 posted on 11/07/2006 6:49:41 AM PST by Txsleuth (EVERYONE VOTE---AND VOTE REPUBLICAN,...even if you have to hold your nose!)
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To: Txsleuth
..I have heard all kinds of praise for what Lieberman did...but, it actually makes me sick....

:)) Oh... once the elections are over we all have a lot of talking to do. I also have "issues" but I will wait :)

62 posted on 11/07/2006 6:51:57 AM PST by ElPatriota (Let's not forget, we are all still friends despite our differences)
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To: RobFromGa

Hey Rob, thanks.


63 posted on 11/07/2006 6:55:55 AM PST by AliVeritas (Mr. Webb, who is Melissa Harrington, Dorothy Tran and Joe Cato?)
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To: ElPatriota; Peach

I totally agree with you...I know Peach has some ideas..and it is time that we realize that our "power" is getting greater, and by 2008 will be greater still.

That means we need to figure out the best way to "use" it.


64 posted on 11/07/2006 6:56:05 AM PST by Txsleuth (EVERYONE VOTE---AND VOTE REPUBLICAN,...even if you have to hold your nose!)
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To: RobFromGa

BUMP


65 posted on 11/07/2006 6:56:46 AM PST by Right_in_Virginia
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To: Txsleuth

He will caucus with the Dems because he is essentially a Dem. He has supported the president on the war, but other than that, he's very, very liberal. I appreciate his war stand, but he really doesn't belong in the Republican party.


66 posted on 11/07/2006 6:56:51 AM PST by twigs
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To: Txsleuth

Just voted in Western Michigan. Big Republican district. Per polling person very high turnout. Spoke to the person doing the exit polls( CNN AP CBS ALL OTHER) and asked how it was going( nice person) He said it sucked. He had to get 30 responses on how they voted per the turnout and he had 60 people who would not talk to him. He had the list of rejections and showed it to me. Not sure what that means other then do not trust the exit polls. He said this was very high.


67 posted on 11/07/2006 6:58:15 AM PST by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: CT Little Tiger

" I live in the ONLY red county in the state!"

That serves to prove his point.


68 posted on 11/07/2006 6:59:51 AM PST by EnochPowellWasRight
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To: RobFromGa

Everyone remember to vote Republican!

You can always vote Democrat when you are dead.


69 posted on 11/07/2006 7:01:22 AM PST by Free Vulcan (Show them no mercy, for you shall receive none!)
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To: RobFromGa

I just voted. I think Senator Snowe will get about 70% of the vote. Anyway if turn out is high, I like your predictions. And I hope as the returns roll in, people don't get too stressed out. I suspect the rural votes will come in later, giving a false impression of what is really going on. I'm setting my alarm to go off at 1am tomorrow, hopefully it will be a great wendsday morning.


70 posted on 11/07/2006 7:01:49 AM PST by jsmaineconservative
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To: TomGuy
Dems may try this technique in future elections -- run a Dem and run an Independent (Dem in disguise) -- and hope either get elected.

CT this year is an extreme case. The GOP put up a candidate that had no chance at all to win the election, probably so they could just get him out of the way for future races. They figured they were going to be running against Lieberman as a democrat, and thus had no chance. They had no way of knowing that Ned Lament would come along and primary Lieberman; otherwise they would have put up a much better candidate.

It's doubtful that this series of events would be easily duplicated in future elections in other places.

71 posted on 11/07/2006 7:03:22 AM PST by CFC__VRWC (AIDS, abortion, euthanasia - Don't liberals just kill ya?)
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To: Txsleuth
Well, first off, I am now convinced that these jerks of the MSM, are definetaly agains us, the Republicans. I also learned this time around that homosexuals have done a fantastic job advancing their agenda... again protected by the MSM who gives them cover.

Also we should also star helping and promoting the NEW MEDIA by visiting and buying their producs and avoid as much as possible the OLD MEDIA (See Picture)...

quick tip: if you see something in CNN, try finding it in Fox or Townhall.com or hotair.com or one of "ours" :) - THEN LINK IT - so that they get the "hits" rather than CNN or WP.


Well we have done our job!
72 posted on 11/07/2006 7:08:08 AM PST by ElPatriota (Let's not forget, we are all still friends despite our differences)
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To: EnochPowellWasRight

I don't think it does; if ALL of Ct were RINOS we wouldn't have any red counties, would we?


73 posted on 11/07/2006 7:10:53 AM PST by CT Little Tiger
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To: RobFromGa

Thanks for the ping. Voted straight Republican ticket this morning, and talked both son and daughter into voting for them too....:-)


74 posted on 11/07/2006 7:13:02 AM PST by pattty
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To: Soul Seeker
Lieberman is one of the only Dems who I would trust to b our President.

I would never vote for him because I disagree with his social policies, but if he were elected, I would at least feel secure that he was working hard to protect and defend our nation. There aren't many Ds out there who I could say that about.

75 posted on 11/07/2006 7:14:08 AM PST by comebacknewt
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To: CFC__VRWC

CT this year is an extreme case. The GOP put up a candidate that had no chance at all to win the election, probably so they could just get him out of the way for future races.

Very true - hopefully they're going to re-invest some time to run Schlesinger against Dodd - he's smart, he's optimistic, and he wiped both of them on the floor at the debates. If we could finally unseat Dodd it would be a great day in CT.


76 posted on 11/07/2006 7:14:35 AM PST by CT Little Tiger
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To: musikman
You rule! Voter 1! I tried to be early but for some reason my line to verify register always fills up fast. I was number 7 in waiting for the polls to open line half an hour early to poll open but my line took longer to move thur the registry signing so I ended up #14
77 posted on 11/07/2006 7:14:59 AM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: musikman

I lived in FL until Nov 2004. My whole family, registered Republicans, received calls pretty much every other day going in to the election to get out and vote. GOP get-out-the-vote programs in FL are better than the Dem's. At least in '04, the Dems were still suffering from the substantial disorganization and chaos in the FL Dem party.


78 posted on 11/07/2006 7:20:26 AM PST by Thane_Banquo ("Give a man a fish, make him a Democrat. Teach a man to fish, make him a Republican.")
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To: RobFromGa
Good list and predictions. I would however disagree on the Michigan US Senate race, and heres why.

The polls have tightened and only show Stabacow ahead by about 4.
The Republican candidates wound up being listed at the top in every race on the ballot. ( good for 1%)
Rove's weather machine is working perfectly according to plan. Code name "OWR" (operation wet rat) and a cold steady rain is falling in southern Mich. ( good for 1-2%)

In my very Republican district I noticed that those in line were 10-1 Men over women ( that sounds funny but normal...lol). That hurts Grandstand and Stabacow, helps Bouchard.

I think Bouchard will pull an upset.
79 posted on 11/07/2006 7:21:12 AM PST by Beagle8U (Getting the FReepers to bring down the Dixie Chix is hard work......G.W. Bush)
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To: MNJohnnie

NOt sure when I will get to vote...depends on when the baby takes her nap.

Glad that you got done early!!!


80 posted on 11/07/2006 7:27:39 AM PST by Txsleuth (EVERYONE VOTE---AND VOTE REPUBLICAN,...even if you have to hold your nose!)
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