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Following the Election Returns [Hour by Hour Guide]
Opinion Journal ^ | November 7, 2006 | John Fund

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:41:39 AM PST by RobFromGa

This year the networks say they are guarding their exit poll results as if they were crown jewels. The results will be delivered to a "quarantine room," access to which will be granted to only two staffers from each network...

Given that the longer election night might not suit everyone's bedtime, I've prepared an hour-by-hour guide to tonight's results...

All times are Eastern. In a bow to tradition, we've listed states that went for George W. Bush two years ago in red and those that went for John Kerry in blue. The letters after state names indicate governor and senate races, with the incumbent party in the appropriate color (independents in black).

6 p.m.

Polls close in these two states at 6 p.m. local time, which means the eastern portions will end voting at 6 EST. The key races in both states will be a bevy of close House races featuring GOP incumbents.

In Indiana, three GOP House incumbents have been trailing their Democratic challengers in October polls, albeit with survey samples so small the margin of error is large. Watch Rep. Mike Sodrel in the Ninth District. If he wins, it will mean it's unlikely Republicans will face a huge Democratic wave and lose 30 seats or more. If Rep. Chris Chocola in the Second District should survive, the GOP may wind up losing 20 seats or fewer. If Rep. John Hostettler also comes home to victory in the Eighth District, there is a good chance the GOP will retain its House majority. Indiana's Senate race isn't competitive; Republican Dick Lugar will easily win a sixth term.

Kentucky has two barn burners. Republican Rep. Anne Northup has held Louisville's Third District for five terms...

(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006; elections; midterm; vote2006
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To: TomGuy

Lieberman's unique. There is no other Democrat currently on the hosizon that Republicans would vote for enmasse. Without strong Republican support that third route wouldn't work.

I'm excluding Zell because he retired.


51 posted on 11/07/2006 6:25:12 AM PST by Soul Seeker (Kobach: Amnesty is going from an illegal to a legal position, without imposing the original penalty.)
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To: jennyjenny

Voted in Ohio at 7:45AM..pouring down rain...Place was packed...Good thing imho as Ohio need all the help we can get...Republicans will vote in the rain...Dems don't if history stays true. I vote about the same time for every election and was happy to see the turn out.


52 posted on 11/07/2006 6:26:19 AM PST by travelagent (Ohio)
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From a friend on another board:

"My firm in DC is a lobbying firm and obviously has quite a stake in these elections so we're going to be getting turnout updates throughout the day. (For full disclosure my firm is 90-10 Republican so there may be some noise coming in that makes it 'look better' but it's still a nice resource to have)

My thoughts on turnouts and reports at 9:20 in the morning are that it's just a way to make the waiting game go by faster.

With that said in the two states that they are following closely this morning (MD and VA) they are reporting:

Larger than normal turnout in Rep districts in VA
Larger than normal turnout in Dem districts in MD
A "steady pace but nothing earth-shattering" in Northern VA*


*This is key because obviously Northern VA is typically a Dem stronghold. Some in the office are claiming this is a sign that Democrats are not getting out in Arlington/Alexandria. Others are saying that because of the nature of the Metro system(our public transportation) no good turnout info will be available until around noon. You can take a guess as to which side is saying what. "


53 posted on 11/07/2006 6:30:37 AM PST by DJnVa
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To: randita

Sort of what Chuckie Schumer looked like yesterday?


54 posted on 11/07/2006 6:34:12 AM PST by musikman
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To: travelagent

The Mrs. and I arrived at the polling place 5 mins before it opened. Lots of Republican volunteers there cheerfully handing out 'R' voting guides. One lone Democrat volunteer who wasn't at her post, either as we arrived, or as we left. I spotted her once, running around asking if anyone needed a Democrat voting guide. Nice old lady, if misguided.

The polling place had about 15 of us stalwart voters standing in line as it opened. As we headed back to our car, there appeared to be about 3 dozen more arriving.

I'm in the northern "Blue" part of VA, so can't say if the turnout is good or bad for Republicans.


55 posted on 11/07/2006 6:34:21 AM PST by COBOL2Java ("No stronger retrograde force exists in the world" - Winston Churchill on Islam)
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To: MNJohnnie

Voter #1 at my very republican precinct. Very, very crowded. Rainy & cool in our part of FL today (Tampa).


56 posted on 11/07/2006 6:36:18 AM PST by musikman
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To: randita
Just watch Katie Couric this evening. If she looks as if her best friend just died, you know news is not good for DEMS.

Do you think she brought a black outfit to change into?

57 posted on 11/07/2006 6:40:26 AM PST by nina0113
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To: InvisibleChurch

That`s true, but it just goes to show what makes it in politics, especially the liberal states...It`s not what they do, it`s what party they belong to and how well known they are. I mean you can whittle Hellarys accomplishments down to two things while in office; She went on a 8 month book tour and blamed Bush for every problem. That`s all this beeyatch has done, yet she is above Spencer by almost 50% in the polls, it`s incredible. Any other profession a person who has that kind of job record would have their arse kicked out in a second.

She has literally done worse than nothing, for example here in Queens New York, when she first came into office we had an electrical blackout that lasted about 2 days. She of course immediately blamed Bush, and promised while she was in office this would never happen again. Well this past summer, the first day that hit 100 degrees and everyone immediately put on their air conditioners, the power went out again. Only this time it wasn`t for 2 days, or three days or four days or five days or six days or seven days, but EIGHT full days without power! I ended up having to live with my brother that entire week, entire businesses around here lost 1000`s of bucks, people couldn`t get to work being that the subways were off, yet what happens? This bitch gets re-elected.


58 posted on 11/07/2006 6:44:24 AM PST by Screamname (I`m Screamname and I approve this message.)
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To: commonguymd; RobFromGa

I was voter 172 in the A-L line in my precinct at 8:30. I asked, there are ~3200 registered voters. The 60-ish Democrat woman behind me was swapping gloats with the 70-ish Democrat man in the M-Z. I couldn't help it, I turned around and said, so you're okay with voting for a man who writes about women cutting bananas with their vaginas? She had never heard of it and looked shocked. Probably too late to change her mind though.


59 posted on 11/07/2006 6:45:43 AM PST by nina0113
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To: TomGuy

I have heard all kinds of praise for what Lieberman did...but, it actually makes me sick.

I also don't like his attitude...that the reason he will caucus with the Dems is to keep his "power"..his committee assignments.

Like you said...how many times is this going be done in 2 years??? Especially if nothing changes...and you get to keep committee assignments based on your membership in ONE party...


60 posted on 11/07/2006 6:47:09 AM PST by Txsleuth (EVERYONE VOTE---AND VOTE REPUBLICAN,...even if you have to hold your nose!)
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To: musikman

I saw Schumer on with Sissy Chrissy last night...and he didn't smile ONCE the whole interview.

BUT, I think he is "acting" like they are losing...to try to get people to panic vote.


61 posted on 11/07/2006 6:49:41 AM PST by Txsleuth (EVERYONE VOTE---AND VOTE REPUBLICAN,...even if you have to hold your nose!)
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To: Txsleuth
..I have heard all kinds of praise for what Lieberman did...but, it actually makes me sick....

:)) Oh... once the elections are over we all have a lot of talking to do. I also have "issues" but I will wait :)

62 posted on 11/07/2006 6:51:57 AM PST by ElPatriota (Let's not forget, we are all still friends despite our differences)
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To: RobFromGa

Hey Rob, thanks.


63 posted on 11/07/2006 6:55:55 AM PST by AliVeritas (Mr. Webb, who is Melissa Harrington, Dorothy Tran and Joe Cato?)
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To: ElPatriota; Peach

I totally agree with you...I know Peach has some ideas..and it is time that we realize that our "power" is getting greater, and by 2008 will be greater still.

That means we need to figure out the best way to "use" it.


64 posted on 11/07/2006 6:56:05 AM PST by Txsleuth (EVERYONE VOTE---AND VOTE REPUBLICAN,...even if you have to hold your nose!)
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To: RobFromGa

BUMP


65 posted on 11/07/2006 6:56:46 AM PST by Right_in_Virginia
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To: Txsleuth

He will caucus with the Dems because he is essentially a Dem. He has supported the president on the war, but other than that, he's very, very liberal. I appreciate his war stand, but he really doesn't belong in the Republican party.


66 posted on 11/07/2006 6:56:51 AM PST by twigs
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To: Txsleuth

Just voted in Western Michigan. Big Republican district. Per polling person very high turnout. Spoke to the person doing the exit polls( CNN AP CBS ALL OTHER) and asked how it was going( nice person) He said it sucked. He had to get 30 responses on how they voted per the turnout and he had 60 people who would not talk to him. He had the list of rejections and showed it to me. Not sure what that means other then do not trust the exit polls. He said this was very high.


67 posted on 11/07/2006 6:58:15 AM PST by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: CT Little Tiger

" I live in the ONLY red county in the state!"

That serves to prove his point.


68 posted on 11/07/2006 6:59:51 AM PST by EnochPowellWasRight
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To: RobFromGa

Everyone remember to vote Republican!

You can always vote Democrat when you are dead.


69 posted on 11/07/2006 7:01:22 AM PST by Free Vulcan (Show them no mercy, for you shall receive none!)
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To: RobFromGa

I just voted. I think Senator Snowe will get about 70% of the vote. Anyway if turn out is high, I like your predictions. And I hope as the returns roll in, people don't get too stressed out. I suspect the rural votes will come in later, giving a false impression of what is really going on. I'm setting my alarm to go off at 1am tomorrow, hopefully it will be a great wendsday morning.


70 posted on 11/07/2006 7:01:49 AM PST by jsmaineconservative
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To: TomGuy
Dems may try this technique in future elections -- run a Dem and run an Independent (Dem in disguise) -- and hope either get elected.

CT this year is an extreme case. The GOP put up a candidate that had no chance at all to win the election, probably so they could just get him out of the way for future races. They figured they were going to be running against Lieberman as a democrat, and thus had no chance. They had no way of knowing that Ned Lament would come along and primary Lieberman; otherwise they would have put up a much better candidate.

It's doubtful that this series of events would be easily duplicated in future elections in other places.

71 posted on 11/07/2006 7:03:22 AM PST by CFC__VRWC (AIDS, abortion, euthanasia - Don't liberals just kill ya?)
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To: Txsleuth
Well, first off, I am now convinced that these jerks of the MSM, are definetaly agains us, the Republicans. I also learned this time around that homosexuals have done a fantastic job advancing their agenda... again protected by the MSM who gives them cover.

Also we should also star helping and promoting the NEW MEDIA by visiting and buying their producs and avoid as much as possible the OLD MEDIA (See Picture)...

quick tip: if you see something in CNN, try finding it in Fox or Townhall.com or hotair.com or one of "ours" :) - THEN LINK IT - so that they get the "hits" rather than CNN or WP.


Well we have done our job!
72 posted on 11/07/2006 7:08:08 AM PST by ElPatriota (Let's not forget, we are all still friends despite our differences)
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To: EnochPowellWasRight

I don't think it does; if ALL of Ct were RINOS we wouldn't have any red counties, would we?


73 posted on 11/07/2006 7:10:53 AM PST by CT Little Tiger
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To: RobFromGa

Thanks for the ping. Voted straight Republican ticket this morning, and talked both son and daughter into voting for them too....:-)


74 posted on 11/07/2006 7:13:02 AM PST by pattty
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To: Soul Seeker
Lieberman is one of the only Dems who I would trust to b our President.

I would never vote for him because I disagree with his social policies, but if he were elected, I would at least feel secure that he was working hard to protect and defend our nation. There aren't many Ds out there who I could say that about.

75 posted on 11/07/2006 7:14:08 AM PST by comebacknewt
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To: CFC__VRWC

CT this year is an extreme case. The GOP put up a candidate that had no chance at all to win the election, probably so they could just get him out of the way for future races.

Very true - hopefully they're going to re-invest some time to run Schlesinger against Dodd - he's smart, he's optimistic, and he wiped both of them on the floor at the debates. If we could finally unseat Dodd it would be a great day in CT.


76 posted on 11/07/2006 7:14:35 AM PST by CT Little Tiger
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To: musikman
You rule! Voter 1! I tried to be early but for some reason my line to verify register always fills up fast. I was number 7 in waiting for the polls to open line half an hour early to poll open but my line took longer to move thur the registry signing so I ended up #14
77 posted on 11/07/2006 7:14:59 AM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: musikman

I lived in FL until Nov 2004. My whole family, registered Republicans, received calls pretty much every other day going in to the election to get out and vote. GOP get-out-the-vote programs in FL are better than the Dem's. At least in '04, the Dems were still suffering from the substantial disorganization and chaos in the FL Dem party.


78 posted on 11/07/2006 7:20:26 AM PST by Thane_Banquo ("Give a man a fish, make him a Democrat. Teach a man to fish, make him a Republican.")
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To: RobFromGa
Good list and predictions. I would however disagree on the Michigan US Senate race, and heres why.

The polls have tightened and only show Stabacow ahead by about 4.
The Republican candidates wound up being listed at the top in every race on the ballot. ( good for 1%)
Rove's weather machine is working perfectly according to plan. Code name "OWR" (operation wet rat) and a cold steady rain is falling in southern Mich. ( good for 1-2%)

In my very Republican district I noticed that those in line were 10-1 Men over women ( that sounds funny but normal...lol). That hurts Grandstand and Stabacow, helps Bouchard.

I think Bouchard will pull an upset.
79 posted on 11/07/2006 7:21:12 AM PST by Beagle8U (Getting the FReepers to bring down the Dixie Chix is hard work......G.W. Bush)
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To: MNJohnnie

NOt sure when I will get to vote...depends on when the baby takes her nap.

Glad that you got done early!!!


80 posted on 11/07/2006 7:27:39 AM PST by Txsleuth (EVERYONE VOTE---AND VOTE REPUBLICAN,...even if you have to hold your nose!)
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To: RobFromGa
FYI.

I just heard the voting machines in PA have started walking around and eating people!

I saw that here in MN but it was only this long hair maggot infest dope smoking FN type wearing an Impeach Bush button so apparently they are programed to only eat Rabid Moveon.org Leftists. Freepers should be safe. The Election Judge just game me a wink and a nod and said "nobody saw nothin' "

BTW, Karl says HI, GW says call him. Laura wants to know when you and Heather Locklear are coming by for dinner again.

81 posted on 11/07/2006 7:31:43 AM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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Does anyone have a link or email that I can send to my fence sitting friends? Something of a humerous nature that will show the less imformed in a concise manner why they should vote Republican. I see some hilarious stuff on here. thanks


82 posted on 11/07/2006 7:42:54 AM PST by Hones
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To: MNJohnnie

The machines are eating people? We can only know this if Dems lose, because if they win the machines must be benign. (sarcasm)


83 posted on 11/07/2006 7:46:54 AM PST by dinoparty
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To: Beagle8U
Rove's weather machine is working perfectly according to plan. Code name "OWR" (operation wet rat) and a cold steady rain is falling in southern Mich. ( good for 1-2%)

The rain is so important as it put John Engler in office in 1990. I had no idea it was raining in DTW as the Western Side of MI is not. Great news for both DeVos and Bouchard.
84 posted on 11/07/2006 7:58:10 AM PST by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: MNJohnnie

I just heard some guy from Vermont call into Glenn Beck..and said that he voted for "the socialist"...

When Glenn asked him why the heck he did THAT...he said "Because with the socialist I KNOW what I am getting, with a dem or GOP candidate I can't believe a word they say"...

Glenn said that perhaps this guy has hit on what this election is about..not the Iraq war...but people not believing the ones in office.


85 posted on 11/07/2006 8:00:00 AM PST by Txsleuth (EVERYONE VOTE---AND VOTE REPUBLICAN,...even if you have to hold your nose!)
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To: commonguymd

"Seems like a good turnout in Virginia."

Good turnout in my ward, but it's not the kind of ward where you want a good turnout. Webb central.


86 posted on 11/07/2006 8:17:44 AM PST by angkor
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To: crosslink
"The rain is so important as it put John Engler in office in 1990. I had no idea it was raining in DTW as the Western Side of MI is not. Great news for both DeVos and Bouchard."

Steady cold drizzle in S. central Mi. but I hear its raining like pouring Pi$$ out of a boot in Detroit.
87 posted on 11/07/2006 8:17:48 AM PST by Beagle8U (Getting the FReepers to bring down the Dixie Chix is hard work......G.W. Bush)
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To: RobFromGa

bttt


88 posted on 11/07/2006 8:19:44 AM PST by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand; but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: watsonfellow
Dole is the NRSC chair, and blaming her is pretty lame. Every election has recruiting failures.

You've had a long time to get over it, but apparently have not yet succeeded. Perhaps if you'd put more effort into getting conservatives elected, you wouldn't be wasting so much negative energy on old news now.

89 posted on 11/07/2006 8:20:03 AM PST by Coop (FR = a lotta talk, but little action)
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To: RobFromGa

Dude, I SO hope you got it right.


90 posted on 11/07/2006 8:20:15 AM PST by Lee'sGhost (Crom!)
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To: TomGuy

Connecticut is an exception. Try that in the wrong place with the right people and you split the dem vote -- GOP wins!


91 posted on 11/07/2006 8:22:03 AM PST by Lee'sGhost (Crom!)
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To: Beagle8U
I sure hope you're right. DeVos and Bouchard are superior candidates, but Michigan voters (I am one) by and large have been stupid for a few years. I hope few saw the debates with Granholm and DeVos. He doesn't come off as well as she does. She's a very good debater.
92 posted on 11/07/2006 8:22:51 AM PST by TheRake (Taxed to death in Michigan)
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To: GarySpFc; TexasGreg

Ping - ELECTION RESULTS


93 posted on 11/07/2006 8:24:10 AM PST by GarySpFc (Jesus on Immigration, John 10:1)
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To: RobFromGa

Ping for later.


94 posted on 11/07/2006 8:26:05 AM PST by thingumbob (Dead terrorists don't make more terrorists!)
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To: commonguymd
Seems like a good turnout in Virginia. Radio call ins talking about it. My voting station had a good steady stream coming in and going out.

Where's your voting station?

95 posted on 11/07/2006 8:27:27 AM PST by Right_in_Virginia
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To: RobFromGa

I say Ohio is a loss (I live hear and I don't think he's going back although I voted for him) and PA is a win (I think Rick's secret weapon is the Amish vote) otherwise I agree.


96 posted on 11/07/2006 8:28:58 AM PST by thingumbob (Dead terrorists don't make more terrorists!)
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To: Txsleuth; MNJohnnie

Good morning folks. Got to the polls 35 minutes after they opened. I was number 73 which means a good turnout here even though it is raining.

We had touchscreen voting machines, they growled some but I wasn't bitten a single time!

It was a lot of fun voting straight Republican.


97 posted on 11/07/2006 8:30:10 AM PST by A.Hun (Common sense is no longer common.)
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To: CT Little Tiger
Try again - this ultra conservative Republican lives here with all of my ultra conservative voting family - and proud of it. Take a look at the county map from 2004 - I live in the ONLY red county in the state!

Tell that to the RINOs voting for Socialist Democrat Joe Lieberman.
98 posted on 11/07/2006 8:31:18 AM PST by Man50D (Fair Tax , you earn it , you keep it!)
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To: Man50D

If I lived in CT, I'd vote for Lieberman. So I guess that makes me a RINO, too.


99 posted on 11/07/2006 8:35:02 AM PST by Coop (FR = a lotta talk, but little action)
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To: RobFromGa
Every radio talk show and every cable news outlet already have Pelosi the Speaker with the Senate a toss up.

Hard to listen and even harder to watch all the negative and biased news!!

If the Dims win, so do all of our nation's ENEMIES, foreign and domestic. The Commie and the Socialist Parties of the US will be dancing in the streets along with Al Qaeda and terrorists everywhere!

A GIANT STEP BACKWARDS!!

100 posted on 11/07/2006 8:36:26 AM PST by PISANO
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