[Jim W N]

I think Rudy has about a 10% chance of getting the Republican nomination.

Why do you think this? Who do think will take it and why?

I think Hillary has about a 90% chance of the democrat nomination.

I think that's good news for Republicans. I think if the Republicans picked Daffy Duck he could beat her.

[BigSkyDream]

I just hope to be spared from a subway series.

[Forgiven_Sinner]

I said: "I think Rudy has about a 10% chance of getting the Republican nomination."

You said: "Why do you think this? Who do think will take it and why?"

Rudy is pro-abortion, pro-gay, and anti-gun--all against the Republican party platform and the majority of the primary voters. The killer is the pro-abort position, since that is life and death issue to many Republican, primary voters. They will vote for anyone but Rudy.

Rudy can still get in if he repudiates his pro-abort position and picks an anti-abort VP and if the other candidates split the anti-abort vote.

I said: "I think Hillary has about a 90% chance of the democrat nomination."

You said: "I think that's good news for Republicans. I think if the Republicans picked Daffy Duck he could beat her."

You're assuming the electorate votes rationally. I lost faith in that in 1976 and in 1996.

[wai-ming]

I think if the Republicans picked Daffy Duck he could beat her.

Perhaps they should pick Daffy, then.
Unfortunately, they'll probably settle for someone less conservative, less popular, and less likely to win.