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Zogby: Romney Rockets! (NH poll shows Romney tied with McCain at 25%; Giuliani trails at 19%)
Zogby.com ^ | April 5, 2007 | John Zogby

Posted on 04/05/2007 8:14:01 AM PDT by Unmarked Package

Latest New Hampshire telephone poll shows Romney's support nearly doubles to 25% to tie McCain; Giuliani trails at 19%

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has rocketed to the top of the field of contenders for the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary crown, running dead even with Arizona Sen. John McCain at 25% each, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows. With Romney’s ascension, the GOP presidential race looks just like the Democratic contest – a three–way battle!

While McCain has held mostly steady at the top of the Republican field in New Hampshire, losing just one point since January, Romney has made the big move up from 13% two months ago. Rudy Giuliani, the former mayor of New York who is the toast of Republican primary voters nationally, finds himself in third place in the Granite State at 19% support, falling slightly from 20% in January to 19% this week.

Fred Thompson, the actor and former senator from Tennessee won 6% support in this latest survey of 502 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, which was conducted April 2-3, 2007, and contains a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Pollster John Zogby: “Score this as a big week for Mitt Romney. These poll numbers, together with the small increase in Iowa and a huge fund–raising effort, puts him into the top tier and makes him a major player in the race for the GOP nomination. John McCain’s support stays steady and makes him a contender and gives him a boost in an otherwise lackluster week. Move over, Rudy. You’ve got a real race on your hands!”

Romney has a slight edge over McCain among men – 27% support Romney while 25% favor McCain. Giuliani gets 19% support among men. McCain wins support from 25% of women, followed by Romney (23%) and Giuliani (18%).

McCain is the favored candidate among younger respondents – nearly half (48%) of those 18-29 said they would vote for the former war hero–turned senator. There is also strong support for Romney among this age group, as 37% said they would support the former Massachusetts governor. Giuliani gets the most support from those age 30 to 49 at (28%) and leads the field over all other candidates among this age group.

Asked about the strength of support for their candidate, McCain shows a slight edge over the other top candidates – 88% of McCain supporters said their backing was strong, compared to 86% of Romney supporters and 85% of those supporting Giuliani.

Republicans in New Hampshire – 2007

Apr. 3

Jan. 18

 

 

 

Romney

25%

13%

McCain

25%

26%

Giuliani

19%

20%

Hagel

1%

3%

Huckabee

1%

1%

Hunter

1%

1%

Paul

2%

1%

Brownback

<1%

<1%

Tancredo

1%

3%

Fred Thompson

6%

--

Tommy Thompson

<1%

--

Not sure

17%

15%

More than half of respondents (54%) said they were more likely to vote for a candidate who is generally more conservative, while 37% said they would favor a more moderate candidate. Romney is the top choice of those who identify themselves as “conservative” and “very conservative”.

The vast majority respondents (85%) said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who stands up for what they believe in, regardless if they can win the general election. Younger respondents (age 18 to 29) were more likely than older respondents to favor a candidate who will stand by his or her beliefs – 96% in this age group feel this way, compared to 79% of those age 65 and older. Women (89%) are also more likely than men (82%) to say they would vote for the candidate who puts their beliefs first. Overall, 11% said they would rather have a candidate who can win.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; electionpresident; elections; fred; fredthompson; giuliani; mccain; romney; runfredrun; thompson; zogby
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To: LIConFem
At this stage of the game, there is no “first”.

There is no first place in a poll?
51 posted on 04/05/2007 8:51:02 AM PDT by msnimje (True Conservatives will not support a pro-abortion candidate.)
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To: potlatch; PhilDragoo; ntnychik; MeekOneGOP; dixiechick2000; Grampa Dave; areafiftyone

Who do the Muzzie terrorists fear the most?

(Zogby’s brother works for CAIR)

Who told several Muzzies long ago to stuff it?

(When was Zogby last correct in Presidential election polling?)


52 posted on 04/05/2007 8:51:15 AM PDT by devolve ( ........upload images free & fast at tinypic.com or Photobucket or Imagecave)
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To: msnimje

Not if the poll is meaningless, no.


53 posted on 04/05/2007 8:52:41 AM PDT by LIConFem (Thompson 2008. Lifetime ACU Rating: 86 -- Hunter 2008 (VP) Lifetime ACU Rating: 92)
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To: jatopilot99

The duplication was my bad because UP beat me under the wire. What’s your reason?


54 posted on 04/05/2007 8:52:49 AM PDT by sevenbak
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To: zarf

Oh, good, we agree!!!!! : )


55 posted on 04/05/2007 8:53:33 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (Giuliani is a democrat in Republican drag!)
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To: Fierce Allegiance

LOL! I’ll not go there. That guy was too weird! LOL!


56 posted on 04/05/2007 8:54:54 AM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: sevenbak

I told you my reason, you guys have a duplicate thread going.

Admit it, you and Unmarked planned to post duplicates, thinking that it would look better for your CINO Mitt.


57 posted on 04/05/2007 8:55:55 AM PDT by jatopilot99 (Mitt Romney is pro-abortion, pro-gay, and pro-euthanasia!)
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To: Fierce Allegiance
You are funny!

In the next few months, they'll be spinning like tops. We'll have to make sure they don't spin FR off the net.

58 posted on 04/05/2007 8:56:04 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (Giuliani is a democrat in Republican drag!)
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To: jatopilot99

Yes, we had a secret plot to post the same thing 4 posts apart so casual browsers would see them both and become indoctrinated.

Ya got me.


59 posted on 04/05/2007 8:58:55 AM PDT by sevenbak
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To: Unmarked Package; LIConFem
Let’s face it;

Though I personally like him and think he would be fine on the WOT Guiliani is a liberal.

McCain has lost the respect of all conservatives.

Of the “Big Three” running right now Romney is the choice by default.

I’m a Fred Thompson supporter but he has to enter the race in order to win it. I know all the signs point that way but it is stating the obvious to say that Fred is not in the race until he’s in the race.

60 posted on 04/05/2007 9:01:33 AM PDT by Artemis Webb
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To: Artemis Webb
"I’m a Fred Thompson supporter but he has to enter the race in order to win it. "

Ditto that, and pretty much everything else in your post.

61 posted on 04/05/2007 9:03:19 AM PDT by LIConFem (Thompson 2008. Lifetime ACU Rating: 86 -- Hunter 2008 (VP) Lifetime ACU Rating: 92)
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To: sevenbak
"You beat me to it, sorry for the double posting!"

No problem, your thread is not a duplicate strictly speaking because the source is different (NewsMax). Thanks for being vigilant with breaking news and posting it at Free Republic!

62 posted on 04/05/2007 9:04:26 AM PDT by Unmarked Package (<<<< Click to learn more about the conservative record of Governor Mitt Romney)
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To: massadvj

“Fred Thompson at 6 percent? Don’t they know that he is the salvation of the social conservatives? “

Tell me how many dollars rudy has spent to get to 19%, and how many fred thompson had to spend to get to 6% - without even being a declared candidate.


63 posted on 04/05/2007 9:05:01 AM PDT by flashbunny (<--- Free Anti-Rino graphics! See Rudy the Rino get exposed as a liberal with his own words!)
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To: Unmarked Package

Rudy in third in NH.

Go Mitt.


64 posted on 04/05/2007 9:05:56 AM PDT by NeoCaveman (Giuliani: A strict constructionist judge can come to either conclusion about Roe against Wade.)
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To: narses

Rudy came out supporting PUBLIC funding of abortions. I suspect this has cost him dearly with the conservative base.


65 posted on 04/05/2007 9:12:35 AM PDT by taxcontrol
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To: Unmarked Package
Just trying to keep up with your vigilance, though I will never come close.

Keep up the great Mitt research and grassroots efforts to get him elected. Honestly, I think he’s the only one who can get elected who can save our beleaguered nation.

66 posted on 04/05/2007 9:13:27 AM PDT by sevenbak
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To: massadvj

....and Fred doesn’t seem to need the money that the others will need. Everyone already knows him and loves him.

...and he’ll singlehandedly return the Congress to the GOP too.

What REALLY matters this far out is the money race. How’s THAT going Rudy?


67 posted on 04/05/2007 9:13:40 AM PDT by ElectricStrawberry (27th Infantry Regiment....cut in half during the Clinton years......WOLFHOUNDS!!!!)
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To: zarf
True conservatives will stick with Duncan Hines or commit suicide.

I hope not.

68 posted on 04/05/2007 9:17:17 AM PDT by outofstyle
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To: sevenbak

“Just like they did in the last election?!?!! Your “true conservatives” just sent Pelosi to Syria and is taking the funding from our troops. Keep up the good work!”

I blame it on the GOP for supporting Liberal Republicans over Conservatives.


69 posted on 04/05/2007 9:18:52 AM PDT by GovernmentIsTheProblem (Capitalism is the economic expression of individual liberty. Pass it on.)
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To: GovernmentIsTheProblem

by staying home.


70 posted on 04/05/2007 9:19:48 AM PDT by sevenbak
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To: sevenbak

“by staying home.”

That’s not what really happened.

A lot of races were very close. The Dems were better mobilized and turned out more.

In most, not all, cases the GOPers who lost were liberals. In the rest, it was because the Dems lied and ran to the right.

Using that lesson to support more liberal Republicans is courting failure.


71 posted on 04/05/2007 9:22:48 AM PDT by GovernmentIsTheProblem (Capitalism is the economic expression of individual liberty. Pass it on.)
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To: massadvj

New Hampshire has notoriously been a bellweather of absolutely nothing but this is interesting nonetheless.


72 posted on 04/05/2007 9:24:55 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: GovernmentIsTheProblem
The races were close yes, but there sere so many conservatives who thought there was not enough difference between Bush’s policies on Immigration and that of the dems that they stayed home.

We all learned the hard way. At least I hope the lesson was learned.

73 posted on 04/05/2007 9:25:41 AM PDT by sevenbak
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To: zarf

“Romney’s a Mormon and a flip flopping baby killer. True conservatives will stick with Duncan Hines or commit suicide.”

BWAAAAAHAHAHAHA!


74 posted on 04/05/2007 9:27:02 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: Zechariah11
Not really. Rudy still leads nationally, and we need TWO strong candidates for a ticket. It’s good news actually.
75 posted on 04/05/2007 9:28:11 AM PDT by veronica
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To: Unmarked Package
zogby is the best radical islamic terrorist polster in the US!

LLS

76 posted on 04/05/2007 9:31:31 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Preserve America... kill terrorists... destroy dims!)
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To: Unmarked Package; P-Marlowe

The combined strong conservative vote is about 13%. The undecided is 17%.

13% of the conservative base not interested in the 3 front runners is the end of the election.

17% undecided is a bit indecipherable. Are these ID’d Republican voters?


77 posted on 04/05/2007 9:46:38 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who support the troops will pray for them to WIN!)
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To: JohnnyZ

Because I’m sure that’s what everyone is most concerned about.


78 posted on 04/05/2007 10:05:44 AM PDT by ilovew (Strong leadership. Romney '08.)
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To: jatopilot99

**Telephone Polling is inherently flawed**

And you base this conclusion on what?


79 posted on 04/05/2007 10:08:34 AM PDT by ilovew (Strong leadership. Romney '08.)
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To: LIConFem

“Running neck and neck with McQueeg isn’t much of an accomplishment.”

Especially in the State next door.


80 posted on 04/05/2007 10:09:09 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (The Clintons: A Malignant Malfeasance of the Most Morbid)
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To: sevenbak

“The races were close yes, but there sere so many conservatives who thought there was not enough difference between Bush’s policies on Immigration and that of the dems that they stayed home.

We all learned the hard way. At least I hope the lesson was learned.”

No one owns my vote. They have to earn it. I don’t owe it to anyone. I disagree with your whole premise!!!

I did vote straight R, but I held my nose. If Rudy is the nominee, I will vote in all the races except his. Neither McCain or Romney are acceptable to me either.

The GOP should learn the lesson. Not the voters.


81 posted on 04/05/2007 10:13:13 AM PDT by GovernmentIsTheProblem (Capitalism is the economic expression of individual liberty. Pass it on.)
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To: jatopilot99

82 posted on 04/05/2007 10:13:25 AM PDT by ilovew (Strong leadership. Romney '08.)
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To: ilovew

lol


83 posted on 04/05/2007 10:19:51 AM PDT by jatopilot99 (Mitt Romney is pro-abortion, pro-gay, and pro-euthanasia!)
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To: taxcontrol
Rudy came out supporting PUBLIC funding of abortions. I suspect this has cost him dearly with the conservative base.

I was wondering how Rudy was going to handle being the pro-choice head of a pro-life party? I figured he'd promise a sort of status quo along with a promise for good judges. I figured wrong.

84 posted on 04/05/2007 10:22:12 AM PDT by NeoCaveman (Giuliani: A strict constructionist judge can come to either conclusion about Roe against Wade.)
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To: GovernmentIsTheProblem

You and others like you did and will stay home if you don’t get the “pure” conservative, but to what end? To what dangerous road would you have the replacement party lead our contry down? There are battles to be fought yes, but there is a bigger war to be won. Such narrow focus is dangerous to our very existance and way of life.


85 posted on 04/05/2007 10:27:06 AM PDT by sevenbak
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To: jatopilot99
He's a conservativePhoto Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
86 posted on 04/05/2007 10:29:24 AM PDT by redgirlinabluestate
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To: narses

I think you are right. Rudy is who he is.


87 posted on 04/05/2007 10:29:41 AM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: Unmarked Package

Outliar.


88 posted on 04/05/2007 10:32:51 AM PDT by RWR8189 (Fred Thompson for the GOP Nomination; A Republican for President)
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To: Unmarked Package
Zogby: Romney Rockets! (NH poll shows Romney tied with McCain at 25%; Giuliani trails at 19%)

Yes, but how are the Republican candidates doing?
89 posted on 04/05/2007 10:38:56 AM PDT by mysterio
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To: Unmarked Package
If the primary does come down to McCain, Rudy, or Romney, Romney has my vote.
I'd like to see a real conservative running though. Two of them are east coast liberals, and McCain will cave to anyone who puts a camera in his face. We don't have any good candidates to vote for this time. This is a pretty sad bunch.
90 posted on 04/05/2007 10:56:00 AM PDT by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: xzins
"Are these ID’d Republican voters?"

At the bottom of the linked article at Zogby.com is this

For a detailed methodological statement on this survey, please visit: http://www.zogby.com/methodology/readmeth.dbm?ID=1181

Excerpt from link:

"This is a telephone survey of [Republican Primary Voters] conducted by Zogby International. The target sample is [502] interviews with approximately [26] questions asked."


91 posted on 04/05/2007 11:21:06 AM PDT by Unmarked Package (<<<< Click to learn more about the conservative record of Governor Mitt Romney)
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To: areafiftyone

Laura Ingraham was not thrilled with Rudy’s CNN interview, to put it mildly. And he gaffed with Baba Walter about putting his wife in cabinet meetings.

What’s the point in supporting an imperfect non-conservative for the GOP nomination?


92 posted on 04/05/2007 11:21:59 AM PDT by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: yuta250

Romney will be the compromise candidate.


93 posted on 04/05/2007 11:22:54 AM PDT by Democratshavenobrains
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To: WOSG
Laura Ingraham was not thrilled with Rudy’s CNN interview, to put it mildly.

Thank God we have a conservative host blasting this RINO for his liberal views. I bet Sean Hannity won't say a thing about.

94 posted on 04/05/2007 11:23:59 AM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: Artemis Webb

” Though I personally like him and think he would be fine on the WOT Guiliani is a liberal.

McCain has lost the respect of all conservatives.

Of the “Big Three” running right now Romney is the choice by default.”

Correct.

And you are also correct to discount the non-entrants until such time they do enter. Gingrich and Thompson need to throw their hat in the ring and tell us what they are made of before we consider them ‘the answer’.


95 posted on 04/05/2007 11:23:59 AM PDT by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: Unmarked Package

Can’t we find someone who isn’t a limp-wristed RINO or a total nutjob?

There’s at least 60 million of us who bothered to vote in 2004, it can’t be that difficult.


96 posted on 04/05/2007 11:25:25 AM PDT by Constantine XIII
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To: WOSG

Laura Ingraham is not someone I depend on to pick my president. Rush Limbaugh said Yesterday that Rudy was honest! That’s even better than Laura.


97 posted on 04/05/2007 11:25:29 AM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: outofstyle

“True conservatives will stick with Duncan Hines or commit suicide.

I hope not.”

We have SoCons, we have BushBots, we have cut-n-run conservatives and now ... we have the Masada coservatives.

The conservative meltdown continues.


98 posted on 04/05/2007 11:26:36 AM PDT by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: NeoCaveman

“I was wondering how Rudy was going to handle being the pro-choice head of a pro-life party? I figured he’d promise a sort of status quo along with a promise for good judges. I figured wrong.”

Either he doesnt want to be President or he really thinks the pro-lifers will just go away.


99 posted on 04/05/2007 11:27:36 AM PDT by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: Unmarked Package
I would never have thought that Captain Queeg had 25%...


100 posted on 04/05/2007 11:29:38 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (The most dangerous place in the world is between Hillary and the Oval Office)
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