Posted on 04/20/2007 6:37:02 AM PDT by areafiftyone
I am a marketing PhD. We thrive on polling, so I believe that whenever you make a decision, in business or politics, it is better to make the decision with at least one eye open than to go in blind. You take what imperfect information you have and make of it what you will.
This poll is roughly the same as yesterday's Gallup poll, so that adds more credence to it. But no poll has Rudy out of his front-runner status, nor Fred Thompson getting any traction, and that is what really matters. The numbers vary from poll to poll, but the message does not.
So far, Fred Thompson hasn’t made any attempt at gaining traction. So what? A national poll is meaningless when the elections are individual state-by-state elections. All that is revealed in a nationwide poll is name recognition and positive/negative appeal.
I will take your word for it because I believe you know what you are talking about. Thank you!
“Rudy Giuliani=Howard Dean. Rudy will fizzle out.”
Yawn....
Thompson down to 8. I am wondering if this is the public’s verdict on his lymphoma announcement.Not according to Bill Hobbs of Elephant Biz:
The Washington Post downplayed it in its story yesterday about the latest WaPo/ABC News poll regarding the presidential campaign, but the pollsters got some interesting data when they asked a few questions about presidential candidates and cancer.The pollsters asked this question:
"If a candidate for president has been treated for cancer, but is now in remission, would that make you (more likely) to vote for that candidate for president, or (less likely) to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it matter?"
The results: 89 percent said it "wouldn't matter," while only 9 percent said it would make them "less likely" to vote for that candidate. One percent said it would make them "more likely" to vote for that candidate, while one percent had no opinion.
If you look at it state by state, the case for Thompson is even weaker. Fred polls weak in OH and PA. He must take at least one of these two to win in November 08. Rudy loses in OH but takes PA and NJ, and that makes him the only Republican candidate at present capable of beating the Dim nominee.
These numbers will not change appreciably in the next 6 months, but if Fred Thompson ever gets to a point that he can beat the Dims in PA or OH I will rethink my support for Rudy.
I live in PA and I can tell you it ain't gonna happen. He's 14 points back in the general here. A generic Republican would poll higher.
Just wondering....anyone in the forum contacted for this particular poll?
Freepers are very rarely contacted for polls. I’ve noticed that. But then again maybe the way things are on this website they are too scared to call! ;-)
Is your objection to the number in the sample or to the use of registered rather than likely voters?
Its been my experience nobody gets these calls. I don’t think there is a viable way of screening out ‘freepers’ for example.
It appears they call the same 500 people time after time.....(chuckle)
LOL! I was really teasing! I thought maybe they were afraid of the Rudy haters! ;-)
(chuckle)
Why anyone would waste ‘hate’ on Rudy is a bit confusing to me, but I get the point.
LOL! Its a jungle in here! ;-)
What the Bolshecrats want most is to win. As we have seen campaign promises mean nothing to them and everything will be on the table when they take power. No matter what they say about civil rights, if you are on their right, that includes moderates, your rights will be suspect. When they realize that Obama will bring 97%, instead of 95%, of the black vote and whether he can increase the black vote over what he may lose elsewhere. Listening to Obama, he says nothing.
Why Hillary is still a mystery, unless, they think having a rapist in the White House is a good thing. Bolshecrats want a winner, that is why they chose a fraudulent war hero the last time. The Bolshies are top heavy in senators. In that list Richardson is probably the closest thing to electable. Fortunately, they are not that smart.
Disclaimer: I thought that 2006 would be the year Bolshecrats were destroyed, 60 senators and a bigger majority in the house. Please make my day in 08.
3 days ago? The latest Rasmussen poll was done (4/9-12/07) over a week ago. Speaking of Rasmussen, compared to their previous poll done (4/2-5/07), Rudy is (+6), McCain is (+3), and Thompson is (-1). Explain that?
&RSQUOT:@#
When you announce on national television that you are giving serious thought to running for president, you are entering the race. He made that move with the full knowledge that such an announcement would cause his name to be polled along with everyone else, and now he is seeing what it is yielding, for better or worse. And he will make a decision to take the next step or not based on that.
Technically, Rudy and McCain are not in the race, either, since they have not formally announced but only have exploratory committees.
Just to be clear, we are not angry with the Rudy-bashers over here on the Rudy side of the fence. Many of us, including myself, are good, decent conservatives with well-established conservative credentials. Steve Forbes, T. Boone Pickens and many others are over here waiting for the rest to join us. Yesterday we had milk and cookies for you, but alas they were all eaten up by the newcomers who moved us from 27 to 35. Today we have tuna fish sandwiches. Yum.
LOL! speaking of Food - John McCain was giving away free hotdogs during his Bomb Iran speech. Very nice touch!
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