Skip to comments.Rudy Giuliani Leads John McCain by More Than 2-to-1 in Race for Republican Nomination (Harris Poll)
Posted on 04/20/2007 7:43:30 AM PDT by areafiftyone
Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson Not Far Behind McCain
ROCHESTER, N.Y., April 20 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is now the front runner by a wide margin in the race for the Republican nomination for the 2008 presidential election, even though the first primary elections will not take place until February 2008. Giuliani leads Senator John McCain by fully 39 percent to 18 percent among those who think they will vote in the Republican primaries or caucuses. Former Governor Mitt Romney (14%) and former Senator (and movie and TV star) Fred Thompson (13%) are not very far behind McCain. The only other candidate with more than two percent of Republican preferences is former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (9%). This Harris Poll surveyed 2401 U.S. adults online and was conducted by Harris Interactive(R) between April 3 and 16, 2007. This survey included 522 adults who expect to vote in a Republican primary or caucus and like all polls conducted well before an election, it should not be read as a prediction. Rather, it is a snap shot of the presidential "horse race", at a very early stage in the race. A previous column assessed the standing of the leading Democrats(1). Early in the survey, all adults were shown a list that included candidates in both major political parties as well as other Republican and Democratic leaders, and asked for whom they would consider voting. Among Republicans, Rudy Giuliani (59%) leads Colin Powell (46%), John McCain (40%), Condoleeza Rice (39%), Mitt Romney (37%), Fred Thompson (31%) and Newt Gingrich (29%). Among all adults, the rank order of Republican leaders is almost identical to the rank order among potential Republican voters. This is because none of the Republican leaders have exceptionally strong appeal among Democrats and Independents. At this time it seems that Republican candidates face an uphill battle against the Democrats. Overall 68 percent of all adults would consider voting for one of the listed Democratic leaders, compared to 59 percent who would consider voting for one of the Republicans.
PLEASE CHECK THE LINK FOR THE TABLES. I simply cannot get these tables in HTML format! YEESH! Sorry!
I just heard this run-down on FoxNews.
And I was surprised that the Talking Heads
were surprised (!) about Giuliani being so
far ahead of everyone else in this poll,
especially over McCain. That just tells me
how far off the pulse of the nation these
Talking Heads are! McCain lost his credibility
with the GOP rank and file over that long
time span he played footsey with every
Democrat in the Senate. Talk about your
Hey the GOP might nominate their first Catholic candidate.
LOL! Don’t say that too loudly around here! ;-)
Rudy has his faults. Serious ones as a Republican candidate like his views on gun control, homosexuals,illegals,abortion but at least he isn’t a loonie tune like McCain.
Fox News is getting worse every day!
Yes, McCrazy appears to be falling, though not in collapse. Fred T. hanging in at 10-15%, despite not having announced. It will be interesting to see what happens if Newt and Brownback throw in with Fred, and if McCrazy continues to sink.
BTW...what do you think was the reason
Bill Clinton just announced his wife would
be OK if she lost in her bid for the Office?
THEN turned right around and announced in his
“opinion” Algore might just get into the race?!!!
Sounds like a serious pitch for a Clinton/Gore
ticket to me! And here 2 months ago, we were
thinking of a Clinton/Obama ticket from the
One thing about Bill Clinton — the man knows politics every bit as well as Nixon did.
I find this VERY interesting. Bill and Hill might be realizing that she just can’t win the Presidency - the negatives are too high and they are not likely to improve.
No way Hillary is going to run and lose.
Al Gore is their strongest candidate. Pathetic, but true. Who else do they have?
2008 is shaping up to be one of the more fascinating Presidential races in a very long time.
Who else do they have?
Obama. People absolutely love Obama. Many Dims I know loathe Hillary, and are wildly enthusiastic about Obama.
He’s raising more money than Hildebeast, has much higher favorables, and his name recognition is rapidly spreading.
We’re headed out for the day with our CT friends, but I can see the mantra that Rudy is slipping in the polls has been unproven.
Maybe that’s the answer - Bill and Hill would prefer Gore to Obama for whatever reason.
I think there is a chance that Obama is this cycle’s Dean — lots of publicity, moeny, popularity, committed young volunteers (possibly including my clueless college-age daughter) — but I’m not sure success in 2007 will be followed by votes in 2008.
Nah, Sam Brownback doesn't have a chance and neithe Jeb nor Santorum are running.
LOL! I posted 4 polls, Fox News, Harris, and two strategic Vision polls (one for PA and one for MI). Rudy is leading for all of them. Have a great time today.
You could be right. Dean attracted early and very intense support, which then vanished after The Scream. But Obama seems less likely to pull a gaffe like Howie. He’s pretty slick.
I agree that Obama is much less likely to die by the gaffe. His problem is that politically he’s a lightweight. There’s just not that much there — it’s all image and very little substance.
That PING list is getting a little bit shorter there, eh A51? ROFL
“It’s all image and very little substance.”
When has that ever bothered Dim voters?!
I’d say averaging closer to 10%. Let’s see, before Rudy announced the formation of his exploratory committee back on November 14th of '06 he was averaging about 27%. Mmmmmm, interesting!
Good news bump.
What are you talking about?
Many in blue-state PA would rejoice over this possibility.
Well, I have been consistent in saying that Algore is the SINGLE most dangerous foe any GOP candidate will face. He has a massive base of sympathy, combined with a certain percentage who think they “blew it” by voting for Bush in 2000, and who “won’t make that mistake again.”
The near-hysteria on the Rudy team of Fred getting in suggests he is a serious threat to Guliani. Note they don't give a crap about Newt getting in.
Apparently Obama is equating the deaths of 32 Virginia Tech students with outsourcing jobs! I just got the tail end of it on Dennis Prager’s program.
As bad as VT’s “Resident Poetess” equating them to the killing of baby elephants for their ivory tusks.
Guess I’m just out of the loop. :)
I think exSnook was talking about Guiliani,
the Catholic. <>g<>
Doesn’t matter, neither have a chance of winning the nomination.
McCain because he’s spent years demeaning the very people he is trying woo today, for the benefit and amusement of the MSNBC types.
Guiliani because he’s anti gun, pro gay rights, and flips and flops on abortion related questions as we saw in the past 48 hours.
I don’t know who the nominee for President will be in the GOP, I just know it won’t be either of these men.
It's a link to a thread by Jim Robinson. Owner of Free Republic.
The thread is about not surrendering to Pro-Infanticide candidates, like Rootie.
Thank goodness for Fred Thompson and Duncan Hunter.
Like I said “Nice Try”.
I know exactly what that thread is and I’m not going on. He was on one of my threads calling us Rudy people trolls. So we trolls should not be on his thread because we don’t belong there. I guess I”m a 7 year troll who gave money to FR. So I’ll take my title and stay here.
That was yesterday by the way it happened.
But wait, I thought we had to sacrifice our principles to vote for Rudy because he'll "win" with all of those "crossover" votes?
43. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you yourself support, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president?
—————————— 4/15/07 2/25/07
Rudy Giuliani -————42 -——— 44
John McCain -————16 ———— 26
Mitt Romney ——————7 -——— 3
Newt Gingrich -—————3 -——— 2
Fred Thompson -————3 -——— NA
Tommy Thompson ———1 -——— 1
Duncan Hunter —————1 -——— 0
Chuck Hagel ——————* -——— 0
George Pataki -—————* -——— 1
Sam Brownback ————* -——— *
Tom Tancredo —————* -——— 0
Other (vol.) ———————1 -——— 3
No opinion ——————25 -——— 17
You’re right, of course. But then again,
how many disgruntled GOPers angrily voted
against the BUSH BUNCH because of the stand
on Immigration...and NOW wish they hadn’t
allowed the Pelosi, Reid, Leahy, Rangel,
and the ever-mouthing Maxine Waters back
into the leadership positions!
Good poll! Thanks! ;-)
Actually, Giuliani’s numbers have been down in every poll I’ve seen posted, including this one, Fox News and Gallup.
Do the practicing Catholics here support Rudy as “one of their own?” After all, he is considered an adulterer at this time since his 2nd marriage was considered authentic by the church and was never annulled, and his 3rd marriage was not in the church.
Rudy Giuliani Tops All Others in New Jersey Poll (4-20-07)
New Jersey hasnt supported a Republican for president for nearly 20 years, but a new poll released Thursday shows former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leading all presidential challengers in New Jersey.
The Quinnipiac University poll found the Republican with similar leads over the three leading Democratic presidential candidates.
Giuliani leads New York Sen. Hillary Clinton 49 percent to 40 percent, the poll found. He leads Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 48 percent to 38 percent, and 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards 48 percent to 41 percent.
New Jersey hasnt supported a Republican for president since 1988.
It makes no difference who the Democrats put up Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama or John Edwards former Mayor Giuliani continues to knock out all challengers in the New Jersey presidential race, said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute......
Can you say landslide? ;-) or Dare I say it?
Certainly there are a lot. Barring a Fred Thompson entry, people here will have to make a choice between Romney, who hasn’t exactly inspired confidence; Rudy, who is a lib on half of the issues; and McCain, who is a lib on the other half. We’ll see how they deal with that, when and if.
If you’re not a Catholic, why do you care?
Wait until the debates.
They've spent the last 20 years supporting liberals, and according to this poll, they're doing so again.
The Catholics I know don’t publicly offer to pay to have their grandchildren killed in the womb.
So you won’t go read the other post?
Or do you mean some other definition of “nice try”?