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Countrywide Crushed Again (Lost another 16% of their stock value to Ditech)
http://www.thestreet.com/s/countrywide-crushed-again/newsanalysis/banking/10373527.html?puc=_dm ^ | 8-10-07

Posted on 08/10/2007 5:53:06 AM PDT by Hydroshock

Countrywide (CFC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr - Rating) plunged 16% in early trading a day after the struggling mortgage lender warned in a regulatory filing that mortgage market disruption could hurt the company's financial condition.

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"Since the company is highly dependent on the availability of credit to finance its operations, disruptions in the debt markets or a reduction in our credit ratings could have an adverse impact on our earnings and financial condition, particularly in the short term," Countrywide said in the risk factors section of a filing made late Thursday.

Countrywide shares have been tumbling since problems with the subprime mortgage market came to light back in February. The stock hit a 52-week high of $45 just before rivals like HSBC (HBC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), New Century (NEWCQ - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and NovaStar (NFI - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr - Rating) said they would take big losses on loans gone sour to homeowners with poor credit histories. New Century subsequently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

Countrywide dropped as low as $23 Monday amid worries about the health of the credit markets before bouncing back during a widespread market rally earlier this week.

Shares fell $4.61 early Friday to $24.05.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: countrywide; hsbc; mortgage; stocks; wallstreet
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To: Hydroshock
We saw part of the bail out yesterday. The ECB and the Fed stepped in and flooded the market with money.

Maintaining target rates isn't a bail out.

21 posted on 08/10/2007 6:22:50 AM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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To: Moonman62

Yes it is. They should have let the market sort itself out.


22 posted on 08/10/2007 6:25:59 AM PDT by Hydroshock ("The Constitution should be taken like mountain whiskey -- undiluted and untaxed." - Sam Ervin)
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To: Moonman62

Time to buy calls on the cheap........

Fed fund futures point to emergency Fed rate cut

By Steve Gelsi
Last Update: 7:56 AM ET Aug 10, 2007

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Fed fund future prices suggest the U.S. Federal Reserve will be forced to do an emergency inter-meeting rate cut within the next week, Merrill Lynch analyst Joseph B. Shatz said in a note to clients late Thursday. Fed Funds futures appear to be pricing in a substantial risk that the Fed may make the move after a series of recent events, including a move by the European Central Bank to inject $130 billion into banks. On Friday, the European Central Bank injected 61 billion euros ($84 billion) in a tender auction.


23 posted on 08/10/2007 6:26:47 AM PDT by Orange1998
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To: Malacoda
I’m guessing nothing, if you have a fixed-rate mortgage.

That was my guess, but I figured I would ask anyway.

24 posted on 08/10/2007 6:29:07 AM PDT by Gabz (Don't tell my mom I'm a lobbyist, she thinks I'm a piano player in a whorehouse)
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To: stefanbatory
I’m guessing nothing, if you have a fixed-rate mortgage.

Darn :)

25 posted on 08/10/2007 6:30:45 AM PDT by Gabz (Don't tell my mom I'm a lobbyist, she thinks I'm a piano player in a whorehouse)
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To: Hydroshock
This is the "calm" before the real storm.

The next year will be a wild one in the financial markets.

This may be the first time ever that drops in home values actually cause a deep recession.

A lot of folks around here are still in deep denial, but they better start paying attention--resetting ARMS (based on higher interest rates which reflect the perceived risk in the mortgage market) in the next few months will affect a lot of middle class folks with decent credit, not just the subprime market everyone is discussing.

Higher interest rates will also keep potential financially qualified buyers on the sidelines--delaying their purchases in the hope that rates come down and sellers lower their unreasonable expectations.
26 posted on 08/10/2007 6:30:47 AM PDT by cgbg (Hillary's mob has plans for our liberties--hanging fruit.)
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To: Moonman62

Yes they meet the target rate but had to flood the market to do it.


27 posted on 08/10/2007 6:31:29 AM PDT by Orange1998
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To: Orange1998
"The game is played over and over and the music never stops."

Kudos! Just the tunes and verses change. A+++

28 posted on 08/10/2007 6:32:08 AM PDT by BlabItGrabIt (Get Away from the Blind Side of Life--S.R. Vaughn)
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To: econjack
What you fail to see is that problems like this spread beyond the companies that make bad decisions. That makes it a problem of the government's concern.

And the government didn't bail out the S&L's. We covered that yesterday. The government was the insurer of S&L deposits. The government had to provide money to its insurance corporation.

29 posted on 08/10/2007 6:32:48 AM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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To: econjack

Right, we don’t need any more of the “privatize the profit, socialize the risk” nonsense, that’s fascism. They took the chance let them take the lumps.


30 posted on 08/10/2007 6:33:34 AM PDT by Hawk1976 (747 superliners crashed into the WTC on 9/11, Steny Hoyer told me so on 8/7/07.)
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To: Hawk1976

The government just prints more money.


31 posted on 08/10/2007 6:36:33 AM PDT by Orange1998
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To: cgbg

....could be but I would inject two thoughts.....
1. if recession does loom the Feds are gonna lower interest rates big time.....
2. once all this shakes out, the market will price in the future credit crap and they psychology won’t play out..
.....just like in Feb when market lost 400 points on the China market loss......after that one time, it never even blushed when China went down.....the market hates uncertainty so once it has seen it before, it usually is not phased unless fundamentals are weak.....


32 posted on 08/10/2007 6:36:53 AM PDT by NorCalRepub
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To: Malacoda

ARM’s still can’t adjust beyond their parameters - i.e., the margin and index. The only way this affects ARM rates is if the indexes like MTA, LIBOR, and COFI go up, and, if anything, they’ll probably go down once all this hubbub calms down.


33 posted on 08/10/2007 6:38:33 AM PDT by RockinRight (Fred's Campaign: A hell of an opening, coast for a while, and then have a hell of a close.)
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To: cgbg
You are grossly overstating the situation. The vast majority of mortgages outstanding are fixed-rate loans. Countrywide has enough cash right now to take defaults on every single one of the ARMs it has, and that isn't going to happen. Most other lenders didn't get into the ARMs or subprime loans as heavily as Countrywide did, either. Countrywide still does the bulk of its business in Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac loans and those agencies are still buying everything they can.

People REALLY need to calm down about this situation. Investors have temporarily pulled back from mortgage-backed securities but they will be back.

34 posted on 08/10/2007 6:38:54 AM PDT by Dems_R_Losers (Thanks anyway, Nancy, but we already have a Commander-in-Chief!)
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To: cgbg

I agree...Going to get ugly soon...Hate to sound negative/pessimistic but the facts are we’ve been extremely spoiled for sometime now....The writing is on the wall as they say...The economic policies that the congress(mob) has implented years ago are starting to come to roost...Just look at the situation with China for example...The last 5-6 years anyone with a pulse got a mortgage...Somewhere down the line someone(us) got to pay for it, just the way it is I guess...


35 posted on 08/10/2007 6:41:21 AM PDT by manonfire
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To: Orange1998

Yes, that could goose the market. And better yet, Bernanke and Paulson will have to choke on their words that the subprime mess was contained.


36 posted on 08/10/2007 6:44:12 AM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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To: Dems_R_Losers
The only one panicking is the ones holding the paper. Liquidity has temp dry up.
37 posted on 08/10/2007 6:45:50 AM PDT by Orange1998
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To: cgbg

“-resetting ARMS (based on higher interest rates which reflect the perceived risk in the mortgage market) in the next few months will affect a lot of middle class folks with decent credit, not just the subprime market everyone is discussing.”

Most of those people will be able to refinance into decent rates.
Some are doing it right now, others are waiting.


38 posted on 08/10/2007 6:47:19 AM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (Never bring a knife to a gun fight, or a Democrat to do serious work...)
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To: RockinRight

You’re a voice a reason buddy! ;^)


39 posted on 08/10/2007 6:47:58 AM PDT by DCPatriot ("It aint what you don't know that kills you. It's what you know that aint so" Theodore Sturgeon))
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To: Hydroshock
filing that mortgage market disruption could hurt the company's financial condition

In the real world that can be translated as, if someone don't buy our worthless paper we are going broke!

40 posted on 08/10/2007 6:48:20 AM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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