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Skip to comments.Hurricane Dean Live Thread [Now Cat 4]
Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Three Day Tracking Map
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Model Tracks
Storm Surge graphic
Visible Satellite Still Image
Central Florida Hurricane Center
|Category||Wind Speed||Barometric Pressure||Storm Surge||Damage Potential|
|< 39 mph
< 34 kts
|39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
|74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
|28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
|4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
|Minimal damage to vegetation|
|96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
|28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
|6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
|Moderate damage to houses|
|111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
|27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
|9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
|Extensive damage to small buildings|
|131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
|27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
|13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
|Extreme structural damage|
|Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
|Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
|Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
|Catastrophic building failures possible|
Lot’s of change and ones too. Bigger bills can be a problem.
I wonder if it has the Rovian pentagram cloud pattern in the eye yet? That’s how you can tell it is being steered by HAARP. /sarc
Air Canada is running an extra section to Montego Bay as AC7060, a 767-200.
Looks like they are moving to get the Canadians out.
American has canceled 4 flights to Santo Domingo for this afternoon,
USAirways and Jet Blue have both canceled as well...
Looks like the next recon will be treated to stadium effect in the eye. Amazing graphic.
Thanks for that link. That is one mean Dean.
This thing needs to go a little N and miss Jamaica. Otherwise it could make NOLA look like Disneyland.
Stores and gas stations are very busy with people preping for the storm. I avoided the crowds by going to a Dollar store for supplies.
I frankly would not live in a place in a home that mandated evacuation. Hurricane evactuation around here is a joke - unless you leave days early and then 99% of the time you leave wrong.
Statement as of 5:00 PM AST on August 18, 2007
...Outer fringes of Hurricane Dean lashing the South Coast of
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the South Coast of the
Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican
Republic border...and for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from
the Haiti-Dominican Republic border to Port-au-Prince. A Hurricane
Warning is also in effect for Jamaica. A Hurricane Warning means
that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area
within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning is still in effect along the South
Coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo engano westward to
Barahona...and for coast of Haiti north of Port-au-Prince to the
northern Haiti-Dominican Republic border. A Tropical Storm Warning
is also effect for portions of Cuba...from the province of Camaguey
eastward to the province of Guantanamo. A Tropical Storm Warning
means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Cayman Islands. A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within
the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean...including
western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula...should closely monitor the
progress of Dean.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
At 500 PM AST...2100z...the eye of Hurricane Dean was located
near latitude 16.1 north...longitude 70.2 west or about 455 miles...
735 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica and about 165 miles...
270 km...south of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic.
Dean is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph...30 km/hr...
and this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24
hours. On this track...the core of the hurricane will continue to
move south of Hispaniola today and will be near Jamaica on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 150 mph...240 km/hr...with
higher gusts. Dean is an extremely dangerous category four
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Some fluctuations
in intensity are likely during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230
miles...370 km. Punta Cana in the Dominican Republic has been
experiencing tropical storm force wind gusts for the past several
Estimated minimum central pressure is 930 mb...27.46 inches.
Storm total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches can be expected over
Jamaica...with maximum amounts of up to 20 inches possible. Amounts
of 4 to 6 inches are possible over southern Haiti with maximum
totals of 10 inches possible. The remainder of the Dominican
Republic...Haiti and eastern Cuba...could receive 2 to 4 inches of
rain with maximum amounts up to 7 inches possible. Additional rain
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are possible over Puerto Rico...with
isolated storm total amounts of 5 inches. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 7 to 9 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...is
possible near the center of Dean in the Hurricane Warning area.
Repeating the 500 PM AST position...16.1 N...70.2 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...150
mph. Minimum central pressure...930 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 800 PM AST followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
That is true. I wonder if Texas has a bunch of people evacuating if the NOLA evacuees will head back to LA. HMMMMM!!!!
What did you buy?
One would want to consider whether their RV’s gas tank would run a generator on full tilt for two weeks. Anyway that’s what we’ll be considering if we come on down and the power is out.
Rule of thumb for larger RV generators is a gallon per hour to run them. Also, factor in that the generator supply line is usually restricted from drawing fuel from the bottom 1/4 of the vehicle tank (to prevent the RV from running out of engine fuel).
So, if you had a full 100 gallon tank, that means ~75 gallons available for the generator, at 1gal/hour = approx 3 days of continuous run time.