Collins won’t lose this seat. She’s incredibly popular and matches Maine’s politics well.
She’s actually more conservative than the state. Allen would not give up his safe congressional seat unless he believed he could defeat her. He’s counting on a huge win by Hillary to carry him over the top. It could be as close as the Allen-Webb or Burns-Tester races.
I’m not originally from Maine. I’ve been here for about 15 years and have seen it fall hopelessly into ruin. We’re over-taxed, and people elect representatives to state offices that raise taxes. Our economy is a mess, and more welfare programs are the solution. Collins wins because she’s a woman, and she is very likable. A real good person. However if the election in ‘08 becomes issue oriented, Hillary fires up the liberal majority here, Allen has a legit chance of winning.