Thanks, Ned Flanders.
I think God would appreciate a good, honest man like Fred more than a pharisee or a phony holier than thou preacher who would use Jesus for personal gain.
Posted on 01/12/2008 7:44:27 PM PST by TornadoAlley3
Just days after announcing his campaign was literally moving to South Carolina, Fred Thompson is enjoying a remarkable spike in support across the state and from donors around the country. "From contributors on the internet, to voters packing his South Carolina events, even to pundits praising his debate performance, Fred Thompson is on a roll. We see the fight in South Carolina as critical. And we see Fred in fine fighting form,” declared campaign manager Bill Lacy. Key Stats and Information: The campaign has raised more than $300,000 online just since Fred’s dominating debate performance on Thursday night. Fifty-six percent of all online donors since Thursday night are first-time contributors. We have had 14,296 contributions since the Iowa Caucus with an average contribution of $98.
(Excerpt) Read more at canadafreepress.com ...
Maybe FRed is uncomfortable with the church Jeri likes, due to his more conservative upbringing. But you prefer to gossip and put your own interpretation on it without any facts.
You know what, I’d rather he didn’t attend “church” that be a minister that attends church and preaches SOCIALISM and LIES like a rug - I’m describing the Hickster, er the Huckster, er Mike Huckabee. Mike is a DISGRACE and doesn't preach Christianity - it’s HUMANISM fueled by socialism - totally UNCHRISTIAN.
Agreed! Bygones! :-)
Accepted. Thank you.
That’s true! Moses in all likelihood was an Egyptian idol worshipper since he’d been raised Egyptian for the first 40 years of his life!
SURGE, FRED, SURGE!! :-)
I have been praying for a few days for Fred to even win in MI...
So how’d Clinton get elected, eh? :p
lol, sorry, just read the rest of the thread.
If god selected our presidents, please tell me why Bill Clinton was president for 8 years. Your comment reminds me of the Pharisees in the bible. How holyer than thou of you...
“PRAISE GOD!
Pray Fred wins!!!!!!”
Amen, and I am.
I presume it was punishment for something I did. :-)
He allows people to make choices - foolish, stupid, insane - you name it. People can chose to follow Him or REJECT him. If you chose to follow Him you will be blessed. If yo chose not to follow Him, you will not be blessed.
I can honestly say I have NO envy towards the Clinton’s or the phony Christians like Huckabee of this world. Charlatans come in all stripes and flavors ... .
I think I’ll trust results rather than some pretzel-twisting redefinition of the terms.
The Efficacy Of Prediction Markets The Liberty Papers ^ |
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts
I think so, something like that.
I don’t get why the betting lines generate so much interest. All they are is a reflection of current polls. People bet according to who they believe will win. How do they know that other than what they read in polls?
***Well, let’s take the New Hampshire primary as a place to start. The polls had Obama ahead of Clinton and so did Intrade. There were a few who bought Clinton and went short on Obama over at Intrade, and a lot more who followed the conventional wisdom. The few out-of-the-box thinkers cleaned house and made money off the conventional thinkers. So in those kinds of instances, the winners get money and can reinvest it, the losers slunk away. The process favors those who can make accurate predictions and punishes those who can’t, and all the data it generates is more reliable than polls.
The Efficacy Of Prediction Markets The Liberty Papers ^ |
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts
Maybe it can be considered a consolidation of other polls, but there are others who do that as well. Why all the fuss over intrade or whatever it is called?
***Because predictive markets are more accurate than polls, and it’s a unique time in history that a person can put his money where his mouth is on his candidate and make money if he’s right (aside from bribery). Are there poll resuts for dropout percentages? Not that I’m aware of. But right now, you can go over to Intrade and see that the market thinks it’s 80% likely that Thompson will drop out in January (~5 point improvement) and 85% likelihood in February. That’s just one data point. There are dozens of others that tell interesting stories, such as Rudy staying in the lead even though he was toast for the first few primaries but kept his lead in his last stand state, Florida until recently. That little piece of data makes me feel pretty good.
We hit $905,278 we are going to have a million by eod tomorrow. People are flocking to Fred in South Carolina. His easy going straight talking is working wonders. We just need to wait till the next round of polls. I’m sure there is going to be movement. Fred has gotten a lot of positive media and Huckabee has looked like a fool talking about Metamucile. He even fights like a liberal. God save us from the HuckaChrist!
The problem, again, is that efficacy depends on what it is you are predicting, and how stable the market is. Politics is about as unstable as you can get, making prediction markets for political figures likewise unstable and reduces confidence levels greatly.
But fine, go with your prediction markets when they look bad for Fred. I’ll look forward to you dissing them when they make him look good a month down the road.
How can Intrade be more accurate than polls when it is completely based on polls? Maybe someone believes the longshot will win because he and his relatives will vote that way, but most people are trying to predict the winner (unless you also get $$ for place and show like in horseracing). The most accurate way to predict the winner is to follow the polls, or conduct your own, which is really impractical. So forgive my ignorance again, but how does Intrade predict better than a poll?
Thanks, Ned Flanders.
I think God would appreciate a good, honest man like Fred more than a pharisee or a phony holier than thou preacher who would use Jesus for personal gain.
Read the efficacy article, it answers your question.
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