Skip to comments.ARG Poll: Florida GOP Primary
Posted on 01/25/2008 8:32:06 PM PST by Norman Bates
Conducted Jan. 23-24
Sample: 600 LVs
MoE: ± 4%
As much as I disagree with most of his positions, I hate to see Rudy trailing the pack (the irrelevant moonbat aside). I think Romney and Rudy are the only two candidates who have ANY chance at winning the general election, and if Rudy gets knocked out of the box, it’s a win for the media and RATS, since our chance for a successful candidate is down to one.
From their previous poll Mitt is up 4% and McQueeg is up 2%. It looks like Mitt is gaining on McQueeg even in a ARG poll. Good news for Mitt Romney.
Rudy’s decline has been staggering. I kind of feel sorry for him. Whoever designed his campaign strategy seriously miscalculated.
That is exactly the way I have seen it from the beginning.
McCain beats any democrat as well.
This is an ARG poll. If their recent track record holds true, either Romney or Huckabee are on top.
If Rudy backers sense he can’t make it, there may be a mass defection, in which case Romney would be toast.
Not necessarily. Although you are right, their record is quite mixed.
For Florida, Real Clear Politics isn’t including the ARG polls into the Florida averages.
Yes, I know. ;-)
ARG is the most unreliable polling firm nexxt to Fox News Polls and Newsweek polls.
For the thousandth time, the NH polls were “right.” They just didn’t have time to register Hillary’s cry session which occurred the day before the vote.
You are siting the ARG poll? This has been one of the biggest failures this season. Until someone can back it up with another poll, this is an outliar.
You should be happy. Your guy’s in third!
Survey USA today has McCain leading by 2. IA has a tie. So it doesn’t seem too far off.
LOL- I know. But look at the polling firm.
“McCain beats any democrat as well.”
Yeah, lets all vote for Ted Kennedys’ favorite Republican.
That's probably why they do the worst in head-to-head match-ups with Hillary and Obama?
I don't know where people come up with these theories....
“For Florida, Real Clear Politics isnt including the ARG polls into the Florida averages.”
You are factual, sensible, accurate and reasonable.
I want you to stop posting here immediately ;)
“So it doesnt seem too far off.”
If Mitt wins by 4 or more, ARG needs to be investigated for ties to Campo Juan.
I don’t know who Ted’s favorite Republican is, but McCain can carry Ted’s state. That’ll give him heartburn!
(SUSA: Mass., 1/23)
“but McCain can carry Teds state. Thatll give him heartburn!”
I don’t know why it would, they are apparantly very good friends and they both hate conservatives.
I couldn’t help myself! :-)
They included 35 independents. I bet they freaked out. They can’t vote! Independents cannot vote in primaries. I say this is flawed.
Norman RCP took that one poll off the front page. when you look at the totals by party Mitt leads it by 7 and they list dems and indys who cannot vote in the republican primary. Very strange.they took it off the front page after I emailed them,it is still underneath if you click for “all polls”.
And the poll above included 35 independents WHO CANNOT vote in the republican primary. Rasmussen market - Mitt went up 6 between the debate starting and ending, mcpain went down 5.
Everybody says ARG is bad, but it is so bad that RCP left them out of their famous averages. Ouch.
IA isn’t a tie as I posted above. Mitt is up by 7..... when you take out the dems and indys who cannot vote in the republican primary.
I don’t know what the explanation is for that but Romney’s not up 7 in FL. No poll shows that. Even when you take out the 6% of ind in this poll, McCain leads among Republicans. Don’t ask me. All I know is RCP has IA cited and if they felt it strange they would’ve pulled it. A tie makes sense.
Thank you for the graphic.
My tagline reflects that assessment, not what I want to be.
I'd think Mitt would pick a Southerner for VP (DU is already ripping apart Blunt) but he may well keep Rudy.
We can beat the Clinton machine with Romney. We just have to go medieval, every day, all day on 'em.
The more moral of their rat base is disgusted by their co-ordinating the rat primaries as a Jerry Springer Show, and they're losing their base every day.
Reagan Democrats are disgusted, and can be swayed to Romney if we push the same wave for him as we did Fred.
Sniff. I hope you're happy, Fred.
My vote is already cast...early voted this afternoon for Romney. Killed me that I wanted to vote for Fred but Mitt was my 2nd choice and I wanted it to mean something as I know he will need every vote he can get in this state.
If Florida goes McCain..it will go Clinton in November.
But even if he does they still win.
That Ron Paul revolution is just about over I would say with those numbers.
With Rudy, primaries are like marriages. The first few don't really count...
Gotta see if this comes out right.
I assure you they took these polls off after I emailed them about it, and the underneath link is now broken.
Obviously, it’s only one poll. But, it holds little good information for McCain and much encouraging news for Romney. Very, very interesting.
1 posted on 01/23/2008 10:11:18 PM EST by Reaganesque
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To: Abbeville Conservative; ajay_kumar; americanophile; Austin1; bethtopaz; BlueAngel; ...
Mitt Romney Ping List
Send FReep Mail to Unmarked Package to get [ON] or [OFF] the Mitt Romney Ping List
2 posted on 01/23/2008 10:13:03 PM EST by Reaganesque (Romney ...is manifestly the best candidate. - Ann Coulter [01/17/08])
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Link to the rest of the poll’s internals.
3 posted on 01/23/2008 10:14:30 PM EST by Reaganesque (Romney ...is manifestly the best candidate. - Ann Coulter [01/17/08])
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ARG are the same pollsters who said Fred had 22% the night before SC. These guys suck!
My money, especially after last nights debate, McPain’s endorsement by the NYT and Bill’s floating of the story that Hill and Johnny are best buddies, is on Mitt!
Stick a fork in McCain! He’s done!
the stats are in the second post.look at the republican row.
Mitt is up by 4 in a couple of polls, 7 isn’t that far off.
Go no clear front runner.
Brokered convention Rah rah rah!
Discard the four liberal jokers and draw a new hand.
Good night, y’all. I away for now.
“If Rudy backers sense he cant make it, there may be a mass defection”
Why would they defect to the guy who couldn’t admit to saying he didnt know much about the economy????
I guess these retirees dont care about the destruction of the economy, eh?
Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!
If Rudy doesn't win FL, my prediction is that he will do FAR better than is being prognosticated.
The only GOOD news from the poll is that ARG is cr*P so who knows what is going on ...