Skip to comments.ARG Poll: Florida GOP Primary
Posted on 01/25/2008 8:32:06 PM PST by Norman Bates
Conducted Jan. 23-24
Sample: 600 LVs
MoE: ± 4%
This is going to be interesting.
McCain lead by only 3 among the ‘in person’ voters.
The gender gap is bizarre.
That will help Romney big time when he goes up against Hillary.
I'm not so sure about that. Romney is definitely going to have to persuade the 2A folk and the social conservatives that he will represent them or they will stay home. His mormonism and its indemic racism will make him extremely vulnerable as well. He's going to have to do something about his political schizophrenia, and he is going to have to somehow hide his big business, finance company roots that can easily be associated with todays economic woes. It won't be a cakewalk.
He has demonstrated an ability to adapt his message, and it does appear that the party might be beginning to gravitate toward him, but like all the other republican contenders, he has a long row to hoe. The Clintons are serious major league, search and destroy politicians with a long history of success despite tremendous baggage. We must put our best guy against them, so we have to think long and hard about whether or not it is Romney.
RCP latest insider advantage poll has McCain and Romney TIED at 23% each:
Norman Bates: “Sounds like some former Fred backers might not have found a home yet.”
Conservatives without candidates. That, alas, is our fate.
It’s taken a year ... the best guy is Mitt Romney.
1) Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!
2) Huck and Rudy have MAJOR baggage, Mitt Romney has a small valise. Huck and Rudy and would split the party with their deviations ... Mitt Romney has “reagan coalition” positions that are acceptable to all factions.
3) the other guys are out of the race
Ergo, IT’S MITT.
Grunthor: “Yeah, lets all vote for Ted Kennedys favorite Republican.”
Did you really need to use the “K” word? Please try and refrain from vulgarity, OK?
The Clintons will leave your Huckhead in the dust.
Come to the Mitt side. We have hair AND cookies.
I just saw a video in a gubernatorial debate about his strong stance to protect a wonman's right to choose. I wouldn't be too sure about all factions.
I definitely think McCain is a no go and a serious loser in a general.
TIED? They are separated by 0.1%!
Not looking good for Rudy’s florida or bust strategy. Suprised to see the spread between McCain and Romney so large.
Count me in that bunch, I haven't got a home among any of the remaining candidates. Now that Hunter and Fred are out this is the poorest field of GOP candidates I have seen since I started voting in 1960. I don't know if I can hold my nose long enough to vote for any of them, but I do know that I definitely won't vote for Rudy.
My primary objective now is to stop Rudy from being nominated. I will vote for whoever appears to have the best chance of doing that, and at this point that seems to be McCain. That's not very encouraging because he's not much better than Rudy, but then none of the other choices are exactly outstanding examples of presidential timber themselves.
If all three of the Democrat candidates were not anti-American socialist traitors I wouldn't vote for any of the remaining Pub candidates next November, and If Rudy wins the GOP nomination I won't anyway. If the GOP voters nominate Rudy the party is over AFAIC, and I will be checking out the minor parties to see if there is one I can support without gagging. If not I'll skip over the presidential portion of my ballot and just vote for the Pub candidates for state and local offices.
This entire primary situation really sucks, how did the party of Reagan ever get into this sorry state of affairs anyway?
As we all know, the different pollsters have different criteria for likely voter. No one knows which criteria is correct.
Therefore, when all seem close, the only real data is change in a given pollster’s sample from its previous. That tells you who is gathering undecideds or changing minds.
The Romney people really shouldn’t be calling McCain or anyone else on not supporting the Bush tax cuts. Romney did not either.
The new IA poll.. shows Mit in the lead. It still has dems and indys, but significantly fewer. Mitt edges out McCain in already voted by less than 1%. when you look at the undecided it is heavily in the dem and indy columns. Anyway it has romney up.
“The Romney people really shouldnt be calling McCain or anyone else on not supporting the Bush tax cuts. Romney did not either.”
Big difference - McCain outright voted AGAINST the Bush tax cuts on multiple occassions, and stated multiple ‘class warfare’ type arguments in the process - see Human Events. Romney decided not to weigh in on them as a blue-state Governor (more in the mode of Discretion is the better part of valor.)
“If McCain wins florida in a republican only primary, I will mostly climb Mt. Washington next week. In a t-shirt and jeans. If Im lucky Ill freeze to death before the winds blow me off the mountain and I plunge to a painful and meaningless demise.”
This being Texas, I’ll have to settle for covering myself in honey and sitting on a fire ant hill with scorpions shoved up my nose.
That’s IF McCain wins.
Mitt Romney for President. Say NO to proamnesty-proCO2caps-CFR-nannystate-RINO John McCain
When the Gov. of Florida endorsed McCain I checked to see if I had any of that freeze dried ice cream left I got when I visited the Smithsonian in middle school. That will be part of my surival pack up the mountain. Along with some coca-cola and snicker bars.