SurveyUSA Florida Poll: Romney 32, McCain 31

SurveyUSA ^ | 01/28/2008 | SurveyUSA

[JohnnyZ]

Looks like Romney's gonna take you down.

Your first graph shows McCain at 27%, the second at 24%, but the lowest ANY reputable poll has him at is Strategic Vision at 26%, 1 point behind Romney, and the RealClearPolitics average has him at 29.8%.

[Rumierules]

Go I-4 people, that is, if you’re for Romney.

[Rumierules]

Florida adults were interviewed 01/27/08. Of them, 1,790 were registered to vote. Of them 608 were determined by SurveyUSA to be Republicans who had either already voted in the GOP Primary, using early voting, or who were likely to vote at the precinct on 01/29/08.
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My, that is a mighty big sample you’ve got there SurveyUSA.

[Spiff]

Your first graph shows McCain at 27%, the second at 24%, but the lowest ANY reputable poll has him at is Strategic Vision at 26%, 1 point behind Romney, and the RealClearPolitics average has him at 29.8%.

I just put all the polls in and make a graph. RCP seems to hold some bias lately, picking and choosing which polls to report and even excluding some they report from their averages. I'm starting to trust RCP less and less.

Datamar was pretty darned close in their final poll in SC. Possibly closer than any other poll.

"Reputable" is a matter of opinion. I don't play that game. I just plug all the polls in and make a graph.

[Spiff]

Pollster.com has the two polls that you don't seem to like.

[Lakeshark]

Heh.

I was trying to be kind........

[for-q-clinton]

Well out of this bunch that’s left Romney is the ONLY candidate that I can stomach to vote for. So GO ROMNEY!

[Vigilanteman]

Here are the Senators who voted against the Cornyn amendment , which would have established a permanent bar for gang members, terrorists, and other criminals looking to snag a shamnesty visa. Republicans underlined:

Never forget McCain not only pushed the amnesty bill, he refused to allow exclusions for the worst of the lot. And he unloaded his infamous temper on his mild-mannered senate colleague for having the audacity to introduce this amendment.

Apologies to any who feel I am spamming this message on campaign threads, but it is an important message on a key vote which needs to get out.

[freespirited]

My, that is a mighty big sample you’ve got there SurveyUSA

Not sure what you mean; 608 is a nice size sample but I would not call it mighty big. Zogby often has a larger one.

[devere]

You picked the correct vote to highlight.

In my opinion no one who voted against the Cornyn amendment is worthy of our votes for any office at any level of government.

[Ingtar]

NRTL said they would not be endorsing any of the remaining candidates during the primaries.

[mwl1]

just checked the networks — MSNBC s pimping big-time for MCaCain, using only the Zogby poll

[Ingtar]

Good. Now who takes Romney down?

[Spiff]

Good. Now who takes Romney down?

January 2015.

[Ingtar]

More likely November, 2008.

[TheThirdRuffian]

Apparently Obama.

The RINOs are a real opportunity for a serious conservative third party run.

[libbylu]

THIS IS FLAWED!!!! IT HAS MCCAIN UP IN THE NE AND CENTRAL, MITT UP IN THE SE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Spiff]

More likely November, 2008.

So, you're pulling for the Democrat?

[mwl1]

I gathered that as well... bottom line is, it’s gonna be very close, turnout will dictate the winner... hopefully there will be an anti-McCain conservative vote that will flock to the polls.

[Ingtar]

I cannot see much difference between McCain, Romney 2.005, Romney 2.006, Hillary, Obama, and Edwards, especially in regards to judges and Social Conservative issues. The only Conservative I see on the ballot is Keyes with his Hunter-like numbers.

I say November, 2008 as I cannot see a way for Romney to take Virginia, Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana, and probably Florida in that election. I might find it amusing to see him in a debate. How can he challenge a Democrat on positions he himself held not very long ago?