New Sunspot Cycle 24?
Posted on 02/13/2008 7:53:28 AM PST by Rurudyne
Sun's low magnetic activity may portend an ice age
The Canadian Space Agency’s radio telescope has been reporting Flux Density Values so low they will mean a mini ice age if they continue.
Like the number of sunspots, the Flux Density Values reflect the Sun’s magnetic activity, which affects the rate at which the Sun radiates energy and warmth. CSA project director Ken Tapping calls the radio telescope that supplies NASA and the rest of the world with daily values of the Sun’s magnetic activity a “stethoscope on the Sun”. In this case, however, it is the “doctor” whose health is directly affected by the readings.
This is because when the magnetic activity is low, the Sun is dimmer, and puts out less radiant warmth. If the Sun goes into dim mode, as it has in the past, the Earth gets much colder.
Tapping, who was originally from Kent, says that “Typically as you go through the ten or eleven year solar activity cycle you see the numbers go up or down. The lowest number is 64 or 68. The numbers 71 or 72 are very low, but they usually start to go up. We are at the end of a cycle, but the numbers still haven’t gone up. We have been joking around coffee that we may be seeing the Sun about to shut down.” (To date Tapping has been far more concerned about global warming.)
Here is the link to the latest flux report: http://www.drao-ofr.hia-iha.nrc-cnrc.gc.ca/icarus/www/current_flux.shtml
(Excerpt) Read more at britsattheirbest.com ...
Though the Gore-Hansen Minimum (which is still the name I favor) may have the legs: I don’t.
Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:09:20
Julian Day Number : 2454730.447
Carrington Rotation Number : 2074.788
Observed Flux Density : 0067.1
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0067.6
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0060.8
Flux Density Values in sfu for 17:00 on 2008:09:21
Julian Day Number : 2454731.197
Carrington Rotation Number : 2074.815
Observed Flux Density : 0068.5
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0069.0
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.1
New Sunspot Cycle 24?
I’m not sure, but is that a sunspot or a dead pixel?
Do you know what NASA said today in the press conference? Anyone?
Looks like it may end up being a cold winter....
Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:10:02
Julian Day Number : 2454742.447
Carrington Rotation Number : 2075.228
Observed Flux Density : 0065.6
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0065.7
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0059.1
Notice this original post was referencing data from FEBRUARY 2008. It’s now OCTOBER 2008 - and the “low levels” of solar activity are STILL true.
I have a feeling it’s going to be a hard winter too. I wonder what fuel prices are going to do this winter.
I have a feeling it’s going to be a hard winter too. I wonder what fuel prices are going to do this winter.
Hey man you need to update this thing. I’m sitting here in Florida and I’m freezing my ass off!
Day 290 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:10:29
Julian Day Number : 2454769.447
Carrington Rotation Number : 2076.217
Observed Flux Density : 0064.8
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0063.9
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0057.5
Is it really cold in Florida?
Sorry about the lack of updates but it’s just kinda depressing how changeless things are. Right now SC23 has been going on longer (12+ years) than any solar cycle since the Dalton Minimum (there is a correlation between SC length and warming cooling). If we hadn’t had 4 of the last 5 SC be shorter, warmer cycles we really would be outta luck.
I want my sins washed away ... not my sun spots.
Two nights ago it was 34 degrees here at my home just outside of Tampa.
And yes my thermometer is is dead-on!
Wow, that’s even colder than North Texas has been.
No spots. Nice and cool in Florida. Any updates?
Yes. Sort of.
While Solar Flux values have been minimal, October at least had 5 sunspot groups (only 22 for the year before October) and 4 were of solar cycle 24 polarity.
The good news is that the minimum may “end” over the next few months.
The bad news is that the “maximum” may end up being as strong as the fifth cup of hot tea made with the same tea bag.
SC23 has lasted longer than any solar cycle since the Dalton Minimum (as you know there’s a correlation between cycle length and warming/cooling) and there is no reason to believe that SC24 will be a shorter and warmer cycle either.
As for today’s values:
Flux Density Values in sfu for 22:00 on 2008:11:19
Julian Day Number : 2454790.406
Carrington Rotation Number : 2076.986
Observed Flux Density : 0068.3
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0066.7
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0060.0
... they don’t inspire confidence.
No spots today.
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