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Obama and McCain tied in daily Rasmussen tracking(first time since June 3)
Rasmussen ^

Posted on 07/12/2008 2:18:45 PM PDT by maccaca

The race for the White House is tied. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama and John McCain each attract 43% of the vote. When "leaners" are included, Obama holds a statistically insignificant 47% to 46% advantage. Today is the first time that McCain’s support has moved above 45% since Obama clinched the nomination on June 3. It’s also the first time the candidates have been tied since Obama clinched the Democratic nomination (see recent daily results). Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day (see recent demographic highlights).

For most of the past month-and-a-half, Obama has led McCain by approximately five percentage points. It remains to be seen whether this recent tightening of the race reflects real change or is merely statistical noise. Check out our weekly review—What They Told Us—to see what was on voters’ minds this past week.

McCain is now viewed favorably by 56% of voters, Obama by 54%. Obama receives unfavorable reviews from 44% of voters while McCain is viewed unfavorably by 41%. McCain earns favorable ratings from 32% of Democrats while Obama is viewed favorably by 22% of Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, McCain is viewed favorably by 58%, Obama by 54%.


TOPICS: Extended News; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; elections; mccain; obama; obamamccain; poll; rasmussen; rino; tossups
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1 posted on 07/12/2008 2:18:48 PM PDT by maccaca
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To: maccaca

This is bad for Obamabi when one considers the almost total media saturation that he enjoys. In spite of all the spending on ads, the fawning of the media and his name being uttered almost every hour, this is the best that he can do. He is a one hit wonder who is wearing thin on the public.


2 posted on 07/12/2008 2:24:01 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: maccaca

Sounds about right. In a contest between the two worst nominees perhaps ever, it should be close. The winner will likely be the one who makes the fewest dumb statements, and Obama has been making more dumb statements lately, which would explain his losing his lead against McCain.


3 posted on 07/12/2008 2:25:37 PM PDT by Will88
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To: maccaca

I figure polls are going to be tight and maybe even showing
Obama leading considering the liberal bias of the media and pollsters. But on election day undecideds will break more than 3/4 for McCain , similiar to what happened in swing states with Hillary & Barry. McCain will win.


4 posted on 07/12/2008 2:26:14 PM PDT by RED SOUTH
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To: maccaca

I think McCain released his most recent fund-raising figures (about 20 million in one month, more or less), but Obama’s campaign has yet to do so. There was talk of the high tens of millions, now the word seems (for the same reporting period) to be around 30 million.

Obama peaking?


5 posted on 07/12/2008 2:28:03 PM PDT by bajabaja
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To: maccaca
Seems Big Ears peaked his campaign a little too soon.
6 posted on 07/12/2008 2:28:12 PM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: maccaca

This will tighten the sphincter of the MSM and we will soon see plenty more articles about the meanness of the GOP and the benevolence of the DNC.


7 posted on 07/12/2008 2:28:55 PM PDT by kewlhandluke2
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To: maccaca

Time for obambi to hire the beast


8 posted on 07/12/2008 2:29:19 PM PDT by lookout88 (Combat search and rescue officer's dad.)
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To: RED SOUTH

But if Barry works hard in all 57 states , maybe he will
get a little better than the 43 or 44 he is polling, so the media can say his defeat wasn’t so bad and the republicans stole it.


9 posted on 07/12/2008 2:29:19 PM PDT by RED SOUTH
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To: maccaca
I think where Obama is in the polls will play a big role in who he picks as a veep candidate. If ahead, he will go with someone he believes he can stomach; if behind, he will risk four years of hell with the Hildabeast & Co. I'd rather have him ahead and pick some stiff like Dodd, and McCain to pick the Alaska Governor to woo the female vote.
10 posted on 07/12/2008 2:33:04 PM PDT by Shqipo
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To: Army Air Corps
BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA - CHANGE YOU CAN COUNT ON, BUT DON'T WANT

THE AUDACITY OF TRUTH ABOUT BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA



11 posted on 07/12/2008 2:35:03 PM PDT by Jeff Head
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To: maccaca
Superdelegates could pull their support at the convention.
12 posted on 07/12/2008 2:35:30 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: Army Air Corps
This is bad for Obamabi when one considers the almost total media saturation that he enjoys.

Guess it's time for a full Sunday magazine article from Danielle Allen. Time to loose all of the Manchurian surrogates.

13 posted on 07/12/2008 2:41:16 PM PDT by Stentor
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To: maccaca

Che Guevara must be spinning in his grave.


14 posted on 07/12/2008 2:41:46 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The U.S. Constitution was not written to protect those who want to destroy America.)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
Che Guevara must be spinning in his grave.

Not quite spinning.

15 posted on 07/12/2008 2:48:29 PM PDT by Disambiguator
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To: Jet Jaguar
Superdelegates could pull their support at the convention.

Santa Clause could give me a million bucks for Christmas next year. I'm not holding my breath.

If the Democrats dump Obama for any reason they will lose the majority of black votes for at least a generation. We are not talking about one election, we are talking about a permanent loss of a large portion of their base for many elections to come. The Democrats all know this. If Obama were somehow indicted, tried and convicted of mass murdering children before the convention he would still get the Democrat nomination.

Even Hillary knows this. Her strategy at this point is to make a few minimal campaign appearances for him in exchange for a prime time speaking role at the convention. She will then do whatever she can behind the scenes to torpedo him so that McCain will win and she can get the Democrat nomination in 2012 (running on the "I told you not to pick that loser" platform).

16 posted on 07/12/2008 2:55:13 PM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (DNC = Do Nothing Congress)
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To: BenLurkin
Seems Big Ears peaked his campaign a little too soon.Big Ears

Big Ears wants his name back.

17 posted on 07/12/2008 2:55:34 PM PDT by Stentor
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To: Shqipo

I would love to see Sarah Palin as McCain’s VP. She would be great!!


18 posted on 07/12/2008 2:55:57 PM PDT by RightWingTeen (Caution: homeschooled teen with a Brain that works - LIBERALS you can't control me!!)
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To: Army Air Corps

Keep in mind that the media, for all their fawning over Hussein do NOT have the trust of the public. Upwards of 65% believe the media is liberal and does not fairly represent the facts as they are.

People are simply becoming very unimpressed with what they have to say and as they usually do, the liberals greatly overplayed their hand with obama and he peaked way, way to soon.

Rasmussen today came out with his daily tracking poll showing McCain tied wit Obama for the first time in 5 weeks. This ties in nicely to the poll, yesterday from Newsweek that shows McCain gaining 12 points on Obama in about 2 weeks to close to within the MOE. Add to this Obama’s collapse in fundraising along with McCain’s surge and you have to believe there’s trouble in Obamaland.


19 posted on 07/12/2008 3:02:55 PM PDT by lexusppd
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To: Army Air Corps

Keep in mind that the media, for all their fawning over Hussein do NOT have the trust of the public. Upwards of 65% believe the media is liberal and does not fairly represent the facts as they are.

People are simply becoming very unimpressed with what they have to say and as they usually do, the liberals greatly overplayed their hand with obama and he peaked way, way to soon.

Rasmussen today came out with his daily tracking poll showing McCain tied wit Obama for the first time in 5 weeks. This ties in nicely to the poll, yesterday from Newsweek that shows McCain gaining 12 points on Obama in about 2 weeks to close to within the MOE. Add to this Obama’s collapse in fundraising along with McCain’s surge and you have to believe there’s trouble in Obamaland.


20 posted on 07/12/2008 3:03:00 PM PDT by lexusppd
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To: maccaca

Wow, shifting fast, and Newsweek shows a strong trend toward McCain as well.


21 posted on 07/12/2008 3:08:32 PM PDT by cookcounty (Obama reach across the aisle? He's so far to the left, he'll need a roadmap to FIND the aisle.)
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To: Jeff Head

Bump to bookmark excellent graphics!


22 posted on 07/12/2008 3:21:10 PM PDT by JerseyDvl (BHO-The Manchurian Muslim Candidate)
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To: Army Air Corps
This is bad for Obamabi when one considers the almost total media saturation that he enjoys.

Its outright media fellatio.

23 posted on 07/12/2008 3:31:10 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: maccaca

Hahaha! Obama sucks more than McCain sucks. Great for the US.

It is pretty bad when the messiah can’t get a convincing lead. Hahaha!


24 posted on 07/12/2008 3:32:38 PM PDT by dforest (I had almost forgotten that McCain is the nominee. Too bad I was reminded.)
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To: maccaca

what’s interesting about RCP combined, is that the two polls from June (McLaughlin and CNN) are the only ones showing a significant lead for the Messiah(8% and 5%), all the July polls show tightening including Gallup (6% to 4% in one day).


25 posted on 07/12/2008 3:34:37 PM PDT by cookcounty (Obama reach across the aisle? He's so far to the left, he'll need a roadmap to FIND the aisle.)
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To: Jeff Head

Good stuff in #11. Thanks.


26 posted on 07/12/2008 3:36:27 PM PDT by Canedawg
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To: maccaca

What’s the un bradley factored number? McCain up about 8 and growing.


27 posted on 07/12/2008 3:55:59 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: LS

You were saying McCain can’t get above 45%?


28 posted on 07/12/2008 4:08:41 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Yeah!


29 posted on 07/12/2008 4:08:58 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Army Air Corps

It is bad. Even Mondale, Dukakis, and Kerry had formidable leads this time of year (early summer). That Obama has none is very interesting, especially given that McCain is battling a GOP headwind. McCain might pull it out if he picks an economic heavyweight (like Romney) to watch his back. I still think the electionis Obama’s to lose though—rest assured the MSM will pull out all the stops for him. Look for lots of articles about McCain’s age/health, temper, and the Keating Seven in Ocober.


30 posted on 07/12/2008 4:14:53 PM PDT by rbg81 (DRAIN THE SWAMP!!)
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To: TitansAFC; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; furquhart; ...
Obama's modest bump has faded. Ladies and gentlemen, we have a race (which I expect to win)!

The McCain List.
31 posted on 07/12/2008 4:16:33 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Norman Bates

It was Barry’s move to the center. It killed his brand of being different , bringing change. Now he’s just a liberal who will say anything to get elected.


32 posted on 07/12/2008 4:42:23 PM PDT by RED SOUTH
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To: rbg81
rest assured the MSM will pull out all the stops for him. Look for lots of articles about McCain’s age/health, temper, and the Keating Seven in Ocober.

Meanwhile, FR, Little Green Footballs, etc will continue doing the Media's job and bring forth all of Obambi's back room deals and dirty shenanigans.
33 posted on 07/12/2008 4:43:58 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: maccaca

I think we will have a president Mcain much to my displeasure. I think obama is completely unelectable. The middle of america as well as solid dem voters such as seniors and Jewish will never vote for obama. Personally I dont even think it will be close.


34 posted on 07/12/2008 4:44:43 PM PDT by TheRedSoxWinThePennant
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Comment #35 Removed by Moderator

To: TheRedSoxWinThePennant

“Personally I dont even think it will be close.”

Me either. 40 states R. I think this fall, the growing disconnect between pollsters and the media and the voting public will be more apparent than ever. People are being told it’s Obama’s to lose and that is going to bring up some serious questions when he gets pummeled in November.


36 posted on 07/12/2008 4:59:31 PM PDT by L98Fiero (A fool who'll waste his life, God rest his guts.)
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To: TheRedSoxWinThePennant
I think we will have a president Mcain much to my displeasure

What if all the pundits are wrong and the Republicans actually win the trifecta on the coat tails of a McCain blowout. A republican congress, hopefully with enough real conservatives in it, should cause a lot less damage than a far left POTUS & dem controlled congress. I think it is possible if Barry loses in a blowout. I'm not a McCain fan, but that would be the best of the possible outcomes.
37 posted on 07/12/2008 5:07:43 PM PDT by TimPatriot
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To: Army Air Corps

Total media saturation is a two edged sword. It’s great for getting the average joe to be aware but there is a thing known as overexposure. Too much Obama might induce nausea.


38 posted on 07/12/2008 5:12:54 PM PDT by xp38
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To: xp38

I agree. I have a theory regarding Obama’s efforts with young voters. He is trying to target a group that tires of a Top 40 hit after about a month of airplay. People are already reaching the overload point and are sick of his arrogant smirk and smarm.


39 posted on 07/12/2008 5:27:30 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: maccaca

One has to think as the election approaches that undecideds will shift in greater numbers toward McCain.

Like most here, I’m not thrilled with McCain, however his experience dwarfs that of Obama. And I think McCain ‘gets it’ when it comes to national security issues. That alone will gain him my vote.


40 posted on 07/12/2008 5:36:56 PM PDT by zencat (Obama isn't an option: (www.McCain-Magnets.com))
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To: RightWingTeen
I would love to see Sarah Palin as McCain's VP. She would be great!!

I'd be happy with Michael Palin as VP, but he's not eligible.

41 posted on 07/12/2008 5:40:43 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: lexusppd

Nice summary, something is happening out in America, what that is remains new and unclear, McCain, for his dopey campaigning, may be catching his second or third political wind...

Basically, the more people “get to know” Obamao, the less they like him, he has bought tens of millions of dollars on ads only to see his lead evaporate.


42 posted on 07/12/2008 5:42:52 PM PDT by padre35 (Conservative in Exile/ Is 51/ Heller vindicates GWB...armatismi is libertismi)
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To: maccaca

Considering all the pundits yapping that this is the dems’ year and the fact that Obama has gotten 100% positive press coverage, he should be leading by at least 20 points. Are people catching on that Hopey Changey is a dangerously inexperienced dope?


43 posted on 07/12/2008 6:46:51 PM PDT by hsalaw
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To: Canedawg

You’re welcome. Spread the word!


44 posted on 07/12/2008 7:17:06 PM PDT by Jeff Head
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To: Jeff Head

As much as Nobama hates to do it, he may have to put billary on the ticket, he has peaked, everone is seeing through the smoke and mirrors and he needs to pull out all the stops already. McCain isn’t even putting up a fight and is still lurching to the lead. Nobama may be putting his health at risk with billary on the ticket but it may be his only way to the black house!! Where the clintons go, so follows a path of lifeless bodies!!


45 posted on 07/12/2008 7:34:28 PM PDT by cla62
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To: maccaca

The Obamaniacs are going nuts over this. Bad news for them. Bet the money coming in for him falls off too.


46 posted on 07/12/2008 7:46:34 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: RED SOUTH

**McCain will win.**

I agree!


47 posted on 07/12/2008 7:47:48 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: TimPatriot

If this scenario were to happen (ala 1948), the pundits and Democrats would be devastated. It would be a huge blow to their egos seeing a virtual predestined victory turn into miserable defeat. One can only dream.


48 posted on 07/12/2008 8:11:47 PM PDT by princeofdarkness
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To: lexusppd

I’m sure he hopes his upcoming few days abroad will “strengthen his foreign policy credentials” as one article said, what garbage, if a few days means anything every tourist would be an expert !

Of course Merkel doesn’t want the Brandenburg Gate turned into an American election rally so now they’re blaming Bush for her lukewarm attitude :)


49 posted on 07/12/2008 9:59:22 PM PDT by 1066AD
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To: Army Air Corps

Yes and the great orator BO won’t join a Townhall chat with McCain in Ft Hood TX, what’s he afraid of, he said he’d meet anytime, anywhere didn’t he ?


50 posted on 07/12/2008 10:03:31 PM PDT by 1066AD
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