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Gallup Daily: Obama 47%, McCain 42% (McCain has not led since May, underperforming Bush everywhere)
Gallup ^ | August 9, 2008 | Gallup

Posted on 08/09/2008 11:34:52 AM PDT by nwrep

Comments:

Getting concerned as McCain has not led since May. Even the electoral college tally on Rasmussen has had Obama solidly ahead like a rock.

McCain is underperforming Bush in almost all Republican and swing states, including CO, NV, NM, OH, WI, MT, IA, IN, GA, NC, VA, and so on.

Despite an impressive anti-Obama ad barrage, McCain has still not managed to demonstrate a winning electoral college mosaic so far.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008poll; electionpresident; mccain; obama; theskyisfalling
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1 posted on 08/09/2008 11:34:53 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: nwrep

McCain will be fine.


2 posted on 08/09/2008 11:36:44 AM PDT by Maelstorm (Russians in Georgia? Wait a sec and let me get my gun.)
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To: Maelstorm
McCain will be fine.

Reminds me of "Don't worry, George Allen will be fine."

3 posted on 08/09/2008 11:37:49 AM PDT by nwrep (Obama - the first Mohammedan to run for the White House)
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To: nwrep
Demonstrates a lack of support from conservative base.

President hussein sounds scary...and coming soon.

4 posted on 08/09/2008 11:39:00 AM PDT by newfreep ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." - P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: nwrep

The Gallup results seem to be contradicted by key battleground states where McCain has the lead, Ohio, Missouri, and Florida.


5 posted on 08/09/2008 11:39:28 AM PDT by Red Steel ( nd)
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To: nwrep

You advise we start panicking then? LOL. Rasmussen polls are closer to truth than the Democrat slanted Gallups. McCain and Obama are head to head if you consider the margin of error. McCain will kick Obama’s skinny butt.


6 posted on 08/09/2008 11:39:43 AM PDT by SolidWood (God Bless Georgia and grant them victory over Russia!)
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To: nwrep

Those polled by Gallup are only registered voters and not “likely” voters. And I emailed Gallup to ask what the the percentage of Democrats, Republicans, and African-Americans are polled and they have not returned an answer in over one week nor do they post that information.

Also the Rasmussen presidential tracking poll for 2004 was the most accurate and they poll likely voters.


7 posted on 08/09/2008 11:39:43 AM PDT by avacado
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To: nwrep

I’m concerned. We cannot afford to ever let our guard down.

And we have too many Freepers who will not support McCain.


8 posted on 08/09/2008 11:39:44 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (I have already previewed or do not wish to preview this composition.)
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To: nwrep
The MSM should be concerned. Obama is the one underperforming by historical Democratic standards. He should be up by 15 points! The poll is within the statistical margin of error.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

9 posted on 08/09/2008 11:40:13 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: nwrep

I’m not surprised with this. While ads like ‘celebrity’ or ‘the One’ is good, they cannot rely on materials like that forever. So far, McCain hasn’t really found an effective, consistent message for his campaign.


10 posted on 08/09/2008 11:40:27 AM PDT by paudio (Kerry had Global Test, Obama has Global Tax.)
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To: nwrep

Such a pity. Perhaps he should start stressing his McCain-Feingold bill, his views on amnesty, his opposition to Bush tax cuts in 2001....


11 posted on 08/09/2008 11:40:42 AM PDT by KantianBurke (President Bush, why did you abandon Specialist Ahmed Qusai al-Taei?)
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To: KantianBurke

LMAO!


12 posted on 08/09/2008 11:42:51 AM PDT by commonguymd (A de facto single party country is nigh. The partisan bickering is a mere bilking mechanism.)
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To: KantianBurke
Get the MSM to love him again? Only if they have no choice. But it might be a good idea for McCain to run to Obama's Left. If only to get noticed...

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

13 posted on 08/09/2008 11:42:58 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: nwrep

This is a volatile race with the potential for much greater swings than previous races, in my humble opinion. Rasmussen has this as ‘even’. Was this registered or likely voters? Even the concept of ‘likely’ voters is hard to pinpoint in this election. The other side is nervous too. To quote a great woman, ‘now is not the time to go all wobbly’.


14 posted on 08/09/2008 11:43:32 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: Maelstorm

Yeah, just wait until he selects Lieberman as his running mate.


15 posted on 08/09/2008 11:44:57 AM PDT by kabar
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To: nwrep

Hard to imagine since McCain should win by a large margin. Obama’s IQ and educational; scores are impressive, but so are his anti-American credentials. I don’t think America’s ready to elect a left-of-socialist (communist?)


16 posted on 08/09/2008 11:46:09 AM PDT by Jim 0216
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To: pieceofthepuzzle
McCain is an unexciting, old and a mediocre candidate. Obama's hip, youthful and dynamic. He should be easily putting McCain away!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

17 posted on 08/09/2008 11:46:12 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: nwrep
REGISTERED VOTERS. What are the internals? 52% Dem, 36% Rep, 12% other like in the last poll I saw with Obama ahead by 6 points? (Seriously, not kidding. They polled almost 50% more Dems than Reps and still got the Obamanation up by only 6%.)
18 posted on 08/09/2008 11:46:41 AM PDT by piytar
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To: goldstategop

Today’s Rasmussen poll has McCain and Hussein tied among likely voters and with leaners included McCain leads by one. On 9 of 14 major election issues that Rasmussen is tracking, McCain now leads Obama. His lead is also growing over Obama on the issues in which he leads. The trends are all in McCain’s favor now.


19 posted on 08/09/2008 11:47:32 AM PDT by nailspitter
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To: commonguymd

What does LMAO and IMO mean?


20 posted on 08/09/2008 11:47:34 AM PDT by Jim 0216
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To: nwrep

Huh... they were tied last week.

If you are concerned now, just use it for positive good.
We were further behind in 1988.

Obama is still favored to win, be he has NOTHING THERE. He’s a vacuous and dnagerous extremist empty suit, who will be a disaster as President. He is wrong on marriage, life, judges, spending, taxes, energy, immigratio, social issues, GWOT, Iraq and just about everything else.


21 posted on 08/09/2008 11:47:34 AM PDT by WOSG (http://no-bama.blogspot.com/ - NObama, stop the Hype and Chains candidate)
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To: nwrep

Polls at this point have been a VERY poor indicator of the final winner.

We haven’t even had a single debate yet.


22 posted on 08/09/2008 11:48:14 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: nwrep

Didn’t Kerry also lead in every gallup?


23 posted on 08/09/2008 11:48:16 AM PDT by chris_bdba
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To: Jim 0216

“laughing my arse off” and “in my opinion”


24 posted on 08/09/2008 11:48:59 AM PDT by commonguymd (A de facto single party country is nigh. The partisan bickering is a mere bilking mechanism.)
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To: nwrep

Gallup had Kerry leading Bush in 2004, and we all know what happened there.


25 posted on 08/09/2008 11:49:07 AM PDT by mass55th
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To: Jim 0216

“Laughing my ass off” and “in my opinion”.


26 posted on 08/09/2008 11:49:15 AM PDT by SolidWood (God Bless Georgia and grant them victory over Russia!)
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To: nwrep

He would’ve been had he ignored the stupid macaca crud and then went on air thinking he was going to win more women’s vote buy promoting women in combat. One can always count on stupid mistakes by politicians to mess up the best of plans. I voted for Allen and supported him. He really should be the one running against Mark Warner but Jim Gilmore is solid. He just needs air time and lots of it to inform people about Mark Warner’s lies and tax increases and also to tie him to radical environmentalists who have strangled our energy policy. ALl Republicans should be supporting an America First Energy plan.


27 posted on 08/09/2008 11:49:23 AM PDT by Maelstorm (Russians in Georgia? Wait a sec and let me get my gun.)
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To: commonguymd

Ha. You are quicker.


28 posted on 08/09/2008 11:49:39 AM PDT by SolidWood (God Bless Georgia and grant them victory over Russia!)
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To: nwrep
Even the electoral college tally on Rasmussen has had Obama solidly ahead like a rock.

Nah. Obama is ahead, but not solidly. Not even close.

There are enough states out there that even a one point shift from Obama to McCain gives McCain their EVs and with it the election.

The Obama campaign has to be concerned that Florida, Missouri, Virginia, Nevada, and Colorado are all starting to drift away from them. Ohio is probably their best bet to flip enough EVs to win the election, but McCain has been running strong there as well.

This race is very close to being dead even right now.

29 posted on 08/09/2008 11:49:44 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: chris_bdba

Sure did. So did Gore and Dukakis.


30 posted on 08/09/2008 11:51:04 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy (tHE)
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To: newfreep

McCain is up with leaners in Rasmussen and tied otherwise and most states are getting closer even true blue states like Mass.


31 posted on 08/09/2008 11:51:15 AM PDT by Maelstorm (Russians in Georgia? Wait a sec and let me get my gun.)
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To: nwrep

I’m not crazy about McCain but I hope he CRUSHES Obama, because of what Obama stands for (which is nothing except more government and anti-Americanism).


32 posted on 08/09/2008 11:51:26 AM PDT by Jim 0216
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To: Jim 0216
"What does LMAO and IMO mean?"

You've been on FR for almost four years and just got around to asking that? LMAO!!! ROFL!!! ROFLMAO!!!

33 posted on 08/09/2008 11:51:29 AM PDT by mass55th
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To: KantianBurke

Yeah his maverick ad was a wash.


34 posted on 08/09/2008 11:52:10 AM PDT by Maelstorm (Russians in Georgia? Wait a sec and let me get my gun.)
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To: chris_bdba

No, please don’t rewrite history.


35 posted on 08/09/2008 11:52:23 AM PDT by nwrep (Obama - the first Mohammedan to run for the White House)
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To: nwrep
Reminds me of "Don't worry, George Allen will be fine."

This race is for keeps...I think people are going to consider things very carefully.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

36 posted on 08/09/2008 11:53:32 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: nwrep

What are you talking about?


37 posted on 08/09/2008 11:54:25 AM PDT by chris_bdba
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To: Jim 0216

What, supposedly, is Obama’s IQ?


38 posted on 08/09/2008 11:54:46 AM PDT by Aria (Obama: Potluck for President! "I serve as a blank screen on which people..project their own views")
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To: nwrep
Yes. Kerry led Bush by double digits after his victory in the Iowa Caucus.

Gallup did the poll.

39 posted on 08/09/2008 11:54:55 AM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: nwrep

agreed...people best wake up...better yet McCain’s team best wake up....

hussien has done everything to hand McCain this election yet week after week he’s beating him in the polls....this is not a good sign anyway you want to spin it...


40 posted on 08/09/2008 11:54:58 AM PDT by God luvs America (When the silent majority speaks the earth trembles!)
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To: piytar
REGISTERED VOTERS. What are the internals? 52% Dem, 36% Rep, 12% other like in the last poll I saw with Obama ahead by 6 points? (Seriously, not kidding. They polled almost 50% more Dems than Reps and still got the Obamanation up by only 6%.)

This is Gallup? Polling like this really shows Obama getting trounced.

41 posted on 08/09/2008 11:55:24 AM PDT by Red Steel ( nd)
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To: goldstategop

“He should be easily putting McCain away! “

But he’s not. There is nothing ‘hip’ about associating with people who say things like Rev. Wright has said. There is nothing ‘hip’ about associating with people who have espoused and produced violence against your country. You are right, of course, but I’m hoping that the electorate is wiser than we’ve given them credit for.


42 posted on 08/09/2008 11:55:38 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: comebacknewt

Obama is not going to win Montana. Anyone who believes he is has a drug problem. We aren’t even close to the hard hitting stuff yet. Obama is in trouble. The election has always been McCain’s to lose. The conventional wisdom is wrong. McCain only loses if he refuses to fight which of course is what the mainstream media is encouraging him to do.


43 posted on 08/09/2008 11:55:52 AM PDT by Maelstorm (Russians in Georgia? Wait a sec and let me get my gun.)
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To: SolidWood
Yes, he will. If PIAPS continues to be out the PUMA's will all be voting for McCain.

PUMA=Party Unity My Azz

44 posted on 08/09/2008 11:56:10 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: LdSentinal

Bush reclaimed the Gallup lead shortly afterwards.


45 posted on 08/09/2008 11:56:24 AM PDT by nwrep (Obama - the first Mohammedan to run for the White House)
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To: Red Steel

That information does not bode well for Obama. Clinton is right - he will get trounced in the GA. To McCain of all people.


46 posted on 08/09/2008 11:57:02 AM PDT by commonguymd (A de facto single party country is nigh. The partisan bickering is a mere bilking mechanism.)
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To: comebacknewt
Ohio is probably their best bet to flip enough EVs to win the election, but McCain has been running strong there as well.

Yes, Rasmussen latest Ohio poll has McCain up by 10%.

47 posted on 08/09/2008 11:57:27 AM PDT by Red Steel ( nd)
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To: nwrep
No. Bush reclaimed the lead in early March.

51%-47% - I remember fondly posting that Gallup poll.

48 posted on 08/09/2008 11:57:57 AM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: mass55th

Yup. The others I’ve figured out so far. Acronyms kind of turn me off, but then I’m not a popular-culture kind of guy. Keep me posted. Thanks.


49 posted on 08/09/2008 11:58:40 AM PDT by Jim 0216
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To: avacado
Those polled by Gallup are only registered voters and not “likely” voters.

This Gallup is a three day rolling average that also includes Friday polling. The only polling to pay attention to is the polling reported on Thursday and Friday during the summer.

On the July 28 Gallup/USA Today poll of likely voters, McCain was up by 4 points.

None of the polling reflects the "Bradley Effect", "Republican Summer Vacation Effect", etc. etc. He's doing extremely well in an environment of $4 gasoline (going down) and a war (going very well).

Expect a bounce for Osama following the 'rat convention, maybe even to double digits. If McCain is down by 7 in mid-October, then it's time to panic.

50 posted on 08/09/2008 11:59:01 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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