Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Conservative Dems bailing on Obama; Rasmussen has no Michelle O bounce
hotair.com ^ | August 27, 2008 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 08/27/2008 10:04:06 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY

Barack Obama has had an unprecedented slide in polling over the summer, losing as much as twelve points nationally and squandering momentum gained from besting Hillary Clinton in the primaries. Gallup’s polling has mirrored that of almost every other national survey, and they drill down to find the answer to Obama’s decline:

Barack Obama has been struggling to maintain his Democratic base thus far in August, and according to weekly averages of Gallup Poll Daily tracking, the problem seems to be with conservative Democrats.

Within the Democratic Party, Obama’s losses are primarily evident among the relatively small group that describes its political views as conservative. The 63% of conservative Democrats supporting Obama over McCain in Aug. 18-24 polling is the lowest Obama has earned since he clinched the Democratic nomination in June. At the same time, there have been no similar drops in support for Obama in the preferences of liberal or moderate Democrats.

As a result of this, support for Obama among all Democratic registered voters fell from 81% in early August (Aug. 4-10) to 78% last week (Aug. 18-24). Obama’s support from Republicans over this period also dipped from 9% to 7%, while 42% to 43% of independents have consistently supported him.

It’s not just conservative Democrats, either, although that has to be Obama’s main concern at the moment. Blue-dog Democrats have to run for tough Congressional races in the fall, and they will get linked to Obama regardless of whether they publicly embrace him or not. If Obama is losing credibility among conservative Democrats, the Blue Dogs will find that Obama’s impact on their race will become a net negative and could cost some of them their seats — most of which they won from Republicans in 2006.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008dncconvention; democrats; electionpresident; elections; nobama08; obama; puma
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-75 next last

1 posted on 08/27/2008 10:04:06 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

....and the beat goes on....


2 posted on 08/27/2008 10:05:46 AM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Is this tagline governed by McCain-Feingold?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

Bar Rack Osama is going to roundhouse kick conservative Democraps and Ramussin, because Bar Rack Osama’s vote count will exceed the world’s population several times...


3 posted on 08/27/2008 10:08:55 AM PDT by kcm.org (DRILL LOS ANGLES--DRILL NOW!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

This is a man with no resume.

What little there is can’t be documented. He is the man who never was.


4 posted on 08/27/2008 10:08:56 AM PDT by marron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
I simply cannot imagine some white haired granny who thinks lovingly of the days of FDR shuffling into the voting booth and voting for a guy named Barack Obama.

I am not, by the way, saying his name or his race SHOULD be a reason not to vote for him. I'm simply saying that I can't see old time Democrats marking Obama on their ballots.

5 posted on 08/27/2008 10:09:32 AM PDT by Artemis Webb ("The church is near, but the road is icy. The bar is far away, but I will walk carefully.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
Obambi...professional amateur.
6 posted on 08/27/2008 10:09:45 AM PDT by spokeshave (Joe is a clean dipstick and Obambi has sand in the gears.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

Conservative Dems??? Both of them?


7 posted on 08/27/2008 10:10:33 AM PDT by TruthWillWin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

That’s because nobody cares about the DNC coronation. Practically no one is watching it despite it being on EVERY news network and all three broadcast networks, and PBS. Hell, they could put it on EVERY channel and people would rather read a book or surf the web or watch their toenails grow.


8 posted on 08/27/2008 10:10:51 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (G-d is not a Republican. But Satan is definitely a Democrat.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
A gain by McCain today means that two events from which Obama would have hoped to garner a boost fizzled: the Joe Biden pick and Michelle Obama’s speech on Monday evening.

A lot of us knew Jackie O, and Michelle O is no Jackie O.

9 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:21 AM PDT by freespirited
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

Her dead cat didn't bounce, either......

10 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:29 AM PDT by Red Badger (All that carbon in all that oil and coal was once in the atmosphere. We're just putting it back.....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

I think Republican House members can and should run against Obama this fall...actually use Obama in their ads with Pelosi. Rather than being scared by the “generic dem” number, just go straight at them.


11 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:32 AM PDT by Crimson Elephant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: kcm.org
"DRILL LOS ANGLES--DRILL NOW!!!!"

How many megatons do you think will be needed?
:)

12 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:59 AM PDT by Artemis Webb ("The church is near, but the road is icy. The bar is far away, but I will walk carefully.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

Why does the headline name Rasmussen when the story is about Gallup polling?


13 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:59 AM PDT by bcsco (Obama's just biden his time until McCain wins in November.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kcm.org

Well things are getting interesting as to how the election will turn out. The conventional wisdom has been that Dems. will gain congressional seats in November, but, based on this, they may not be able to build on their gains in the Nov. ‘06 mid term elections.

Stay tuned on that; if we do see a President Obama, he may not have enough good Democrats in Congress to do what he wants to do to the country.


14 posted on 08/27/2008 10:12:04 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

OK I heard the Sistah Michelle Ma Belle o Rama speech. So, Barack is a good husband and father and personally a nice man, she grew up in a home with loving parents and a supportive brother...but it’s not telling of what he would do in the White House....means nothing. She is a good speaker, though. Sistah Michelle, you go girl!-—back to the law firm baby.


15 posted on 08/27/2008 10:12:09 AM PDT by brooklyn dave (VOTE SOCIALIST VOTE OBAMA (that's what he is, isn't he?))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: marron
This is a man with no resume....What little there is can’t be documented. He is the man who never was.

Sounds like a double naught spy...........

16 posted on 08/27/2008 10:13:24 AM PDT by Red Badger (All that carbon in all that oil and coal was once in the atmosphere. We're just putting it back.....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Artemis Webb

It’s not his name, nor his color, it’s the lack of love of country shared by him and his wife.


17 posted on 08/27/2008 10:13:45 AM PDT by Carley
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Blood of Tyrants

You mean you didn’t get all excited about Mark Warner’s keynote speech?

Chrissie Mathews was disappointed. He said Warner’s speech was a speech to help him get elected to the Senate, not one that would fire up the Democrats in the Pepsi Center.


18 posted on 08/27/2008 10:14:24 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant

Speaking of san Fran Gran Nan; she defintiely made an a$$ out of herself when trying to spin the Catholic Church’s position on abortion. Lady, stick to what you know; partisan politics.


19 posted on 08/27/2008 10:14:43 AM PDT by brooklyn dave (VOTE SOCIALIST VOTE OBAMA (that's what he is, isn't he?))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
Would anyone care to speculate why Obama has not suffered the same degree of losses among independents?


20 posted on 08/27/2008 10:16:47 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat attack!" Bull Halsey)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant; Free ThinkerNY
I think Republican House members can and should run against Obama this fall...actually use Obama in their ads with Pelosi. Rather than being scared by the “generic dem” number, just go straight at them.

I agree whole-heartedly. This is not a time for timidity. Timid will lose this year. Obama is fragile. The Dems are getting a good look at what they've bought and aside from the nutballs they are losing their nerve.

They thought they were getting a box of cereal and all they got was sugar and air.

Putin isn't impressed. Ma and Pa Kettle aren't impressed either.

21 posted on 08/27/2008 10:16:48 AM PDT by marron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

Obama is clearly a “net negative.” Even his name starts with a zero: Not Obama, 0bama.

Last night I saw Hillary supporters, apparently, dancing at the convention in NoBama hats. You go, girrrrrrrrrls!

As for Michelle, what do you call the girl who graduated at the bottom of charm school class? Media training cannot cover decades of nastiness and hate.


22 posted on 08/27/2008 10:17:19 AM PDT by Veto! (Opinions freely dispensed as advice)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
No Michelle O bounce???

That can't be true. I got an email from Obama that said she was spectacular!

23 posted on 08/27/2008 10:17:27 AM PDT by libs_kma (NOBAMA. Keep the change)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

Chuck Todd was furious this morning when Joe Scarborough brought up the Gallup Poll showing no convention bounce.

LOL......he gave Joe a look that could kill. Said that it’s only one poll so it doesn’t count.

Wonder how long Joe has till he’s fired.


24 posted on 08/27/2008 10:17:52 AM PDT by Carley
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TexasNative2000

Dems keep pounding arrhythmias to the brain


25 posted on 08/27/2008 10:18:15 AM PDT by A_Former_Democrat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: A_Former_Democrat

~~~~chuckle~~~~~


26 posted on 08/27/2008 10:19:27 AM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Is this tagline governed by McCain-Feingold?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: kcm.org

Yeah. But the question is:

Who would win in a fight, B. Hussein or Chuck Norris?


27 posted on 08/27/2008 10:19:47 AM PDT by WayneS (And now I shall return to my hovel and cling to my guns ... until it is time to go to Church)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: TruthWillWin

Yes, all both of them.


28 posted on 08/27/2008 10:20:32 AM PDT by WayneS (And now I shall return to my hovel and cling to my guns ... until it is time to go to Church)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

.

The empty suit has no clothes.

.

29 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:12 AM PDT by polymuser (Taxpayers voting for Obama are like chickens voting for Colonel Sanders.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

.

The empty suit has no clothes.

.

30 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:19 AM PDT by polymuser (Taxpayers voting for Obama are like chickens voting for Colonel Sanders.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
Conservative Dems bailing on Obama

Thursday night's worship service at the Obamanon should just about finish it.

31 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:26 AM PDT by tbpiper (Obama/Biden: Instead of Ebony and Ivory, we have Arrogance and Insolence.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WayneS

Chuck Norris doesn’t fight girls.


32 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:36 AM PDT by marron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
Conservative Dems bailing on Obama

Thursday night's worship service at the Obamanon should just about finish it.

33 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:37 AM PDT by tbpiper (Obama/Biden: Instead of Ebony and Ivory, we have Arrogance and Insolence.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: marron

Obama is Chance the Gardner of color.


34 posted on 08/27/2008 10:22:36 AM PDT by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY

“Conservative Democrats” are like “moderate Iranians”.


35 posted on 08/27/2008 10:24:42 AM PDT by Deb (Beat him, strip him and bring him to my tent!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dilbert San Diego

Mark Warner is one BORING speaker.

I did not like him when he was governor of the Commonwealth of Virginia and I despise him now.

He does not look like a real human being to me (”wooden” featurs, a’la Pinnochio) and he has an almost palpable insincerity about him despite his “charming” personality.

That is why I call him” “The Affable Android”.


36 posted on 08/27/2008 10:25:11 AM PDT by WayneS (What the hell is wrong with these people?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
When was the last time a candidate had as tight of primary season as Obama did? Lately the usual primary season has ended soon after Iowa and New Hampshire, so the convention is the real first introduction of a candidate to the whole nation, thus he gets a bump in the polls. On the other hand Obama was so overexposed before now it is quite possible that he won't get a bounce. Everyone likely to vote already knows him and isn't likely to be swayed by the convention.
37 posted on 08/27/2008 10:26:24 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (Whale oil: the renewable biofuel for the 21st century.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tbpiper

Why would anyone think a wife would change anyone’s mind anyway? Like she would say anything negative about her husband? Michelle sounded-looked like a black Donna Reed!!! She and her brother gave these speechs about their dad sending them both to college while working at a treatment center - how it was his life and then negated it all with how the government should pay for everyone’s college!!! Her brother before becoming a college coach was an investment banker!! So guess they have lived the American dream and maybe America is not such a bad place after all Michelle!!!


38 posted on 08/27/2008 10:27:15 AM PDT by LYSandra
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: Veto!
As for Michelle, what do you call the girl who graduated at the bottom of charm school class? Media training cannot cover decades of nastiness and hate.

That's just it -- the bottom line. You can put lipstick on a pig and maybe even make the pig look good but at the end of the day its still a pig. As Fred Sanford said, "Beauty may be skin deep but ugly goes right down to the bone."

Michell has spent years showing us just how ugly her core beliefs are and no cosmetic makeover -- no matter how good it was -- can hide who she really is.

39 posted on 08/27/2008 10:27:39 AM PDT by An American In Dairyland
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Free ThinkerNY
they drill down to find the answer to Obama’s decline:

Gotta be racism. There's no other possible answer.

40 posted on 08/27/2008 10:28:44 AM PDT by Graybeard58
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Blood of Tyrants

“Practically no one is watching it despite it being on EVERY news network and all three broadcast networks, and PBS.”

17 Million viewers for the Boring monday night gig isn’t exactly “No One”, and they are hyping the Obama/Nuremburg rally everywhere...


41 posted on 08/27/2008 10:29:22 AM PDT by tcrlaf (Beware Of False Prophets/ME-ssiahs Selling Hopium....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: marron

Good point.


42 posted on 08/27/2008 10:29:25 AM PDT by WayneS (What the hell is wrong with these people?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: tcrlaf

Denveuremburg??


43 posted on 08/27/2008 10:31:09 AM PDT by WayneS (What the hell is wrong with these people?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: Artemis Webb
I agree. The older dems also will be immune to the emotion of thinking how cool it would be to vote for a (half) black man to be POTUS.

But I've said before, if we don't vote for him because of his name, because of his race, because he's a stone cold marxist, or because he's going to tax us into oblivion, the only reason the Obamamedia will print about is because he's black.

Knowing that lets me say without the slightest bit of regret that I could not freakin care less if people don't vote for him because he's black, as long as they don't vote for him.

44 posted on 08/27/2008 10:35:56 AM PDT by libs_kma (NOBAMA. Keep the change)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: TruthWillWin
Conservative Dems???

That and liberal Republican. Both oxymoron. If you are a democrat you are not conservative, and if you are a liberal you are not a Republican.
45 posted on 08/27/2008 10:38:09 AM PDT by rideharddiefast
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Artemis Webb

Unfortunately, the white-haired grannies who remember FDR aren’t around in big numbers.

The “new” grannies love getting their government checks and their free “pills.” The ARP has turned many of them into “Selfish Seniors.”

The Democrats are buying the votes of our young people with soothing messages of “social justice” and “protecting the environment.” They going after seniors with “the right to healthcare.”


46 posted on 08/27/2008 10:39:20 AM PDT by rightinthemiddle (The Mainstream Media Controls Our Party. Go, RINOS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger
This is a man with no resume....What little there is can’t be documented. He is the man who never was.

Sounds like a double naught spy...

Sounds like a Manchurian Candidate to me.

47 posted on 08/27/2008 10:41:04 AM PDT by Nevermore ("A million here, a million there, pretty soon your talking about real money.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Artemis Webb
I know of two very and I mean very long time loyal Democrats who have told me they will not vote for "Da Rack o Bam ma'am" under any circumstances.

One is a widowed single mom with a 6 year old boy and the other is a 70 something grandfatherly friend of my family.

When they both announced they were voting for McCain I nearly fell off my chair....that's how shocked I was.

In all the years I've known these two they have never...ever voted Republican.

48 posted on 08/27/2008 10:41:04 AM PDT by thingumbob (Dead terrorists don't make more terrorists!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Deb

The far left completely mis-read the mood of the people. They thought that they had revved up enough Bush hatred that the people would elect any warm body that had a D after his name. It worked in the 2006 congressional elections and they thought it would carry through the presidential elections. They are making the same mistake that Hillary Clinton made. They accused her of thinking that she was the anointed one!

I heard somewhere that the Greek columns on the mile high stadium aren’t supposed to symbolize a Greek Temple, they are supposed to look like the front of the Whitehouse.

The real problem for Obama, right now is Ayres. Greta had Kurtz from NRO on last night. He said that he had finally obtained the papers regarding the board that Obama was on with Ayers and that they are devastating to Obama. It is clear that he has lied about his relationship and not only that but where the money went that the board was spending looks like it went to his own radical supporters. Kurtz said that it looks very bad for Obama.


49 posted on 08/27/2008 10:42:17 AM PDT by Eva (CHANGE- the post modern euphemism for Marxist revolution.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: Nevermore

Only this Manchurian candidate went to school in Indonesia and Pakistan!.............


50 posted on 08/27/2008 10:44:22 AM PDT by Red Badger (All that carbon in all that oil and coal was once in the atmosphere. We're just putting it back.....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 47 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-75 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson