Skip to comments.Conservative Dems bailing on Obama; Rasmussen has no Michelle O bounce
Posted on 08/27/2008 10:04:06 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
Barack Obama has had an unprecedented slide in polling over the summer, losing as much as twelve points nationally and squandering momentum gained from besting Hillary Clinton in the primaries. Gallups polling has mirrored that of almost every other national survey, and they drill down to find the answer to Obamas decline:
Barack Obama has been struggling to maintain his Democratic base thus far in August, and according to weekly averages of Gallup Poll Daily tracking, the problem seems to be with conservative Democrats.
Within the Democratic Party, Obamas losses are primarily evident among the relatively small group that describes its political views as conservative. The 63% of conservative Democrats supporting Obama over McCain in Aug. 18-24 polling is the lowest Obama has earned since he clinched the Democratic nomination in June. At the same time, there have been no similar drops in support for Obama in the preferences of liberal or moderate Democrats.
As a result of this, support for Obama among all Democratic registered voters fell from 81% in early August (Aug. 4-10) to 78% last week (Aug. 18-24). Obamas support from Republicans over this period also dipped from 9% to 7%, while 42% to 43% of independents have consistently supported him.
Its not just conservative Democrats, either, although that has to be Obamas main concern at the moment. Blue-dog Democrats have to run for tough Congressional races in the fall, and they will get linked to Obama regardless of whether they publicly embrace him or not. If Obama is losing credibility among conservative Democrats, the Blue Dogs will find that Obamas impact on their race will become a net negative and could cost some of them their seats most of which they won from Republicans in 2006.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
“Practically no one is watching it despite it being on EVERY news network and all three broadcast networks, and PBS.”
17 Million viewers for the Boring monday night gig isn’t exactly “No One”, and they are hyping the Obama/Nuremburg rally everywhere...
But I've said before, if we don't vote for him because of his name, because of his race, because he's a stone cold marxist, or because he's going to tax us into oblivion, the only reason the Obamamedia will print about is because he's black.
Knowing that lets me say without the slightest bit of regret that I could not freakin care less if people don't vote for him because he's black, as long as they don't vote for him.
Unfortunately, the white-haired grannies who remember FDR aren’t around in big numbers.
The “new” grannies love getting their government checks and their free “pills.” The ARP has turned many of them into “Selfish Seniors.”
The Democrats are buying the votes of our young people with soothing messages of “social justice” and “protecting the environment.” They going after seniors with “the right to healthcare.”
Sounds like a double naught spy...
Sounds like a Manchurian Candidate to me.
One is a widowed single mom with a 6 year old boy and the other is a 70 something grandfatherly friend of my family.
When they both announced they were voting for McCain I nearly fell off my chair....that's how shocked I was.
In all the years I've known these two they have never...ever voted Republican.
The far left completely mis-read the mood of the people. They thought that they had revved up enough Bush hatred that the people would elect any warm body that had a D after his name. It worked in the 2006 congressional elections and they thought it would carry through the presidential elections. They are making the same mistake that Hillary Clinton made. They accused her of thinking that she was the anointed one!
I heard somewhere that the Greek columns on the mile high stadium aren’t supposed to symbolize a Greek Temple, they are supposed to look like the front of the Whitehouse.
The real problem for Obama, right now is Ayres. Greta had Kurtz from NRO on last night. He said that he had finally obtained the papers regarding the board that Obama was on with Ayers and that they are devastating to Obama. It is clear that he has lied about his relationship and not only that but where the money went that the board was spending looks like it went to his own radical supporters. Kurtz said that it looks very bad for Obama.
Only this Manchurian candidate went to school in Indonesia and Pakistan!.............
I certainly hope the papers get out some time soon, say...before the election.
You go back a ways, don't ya? :-]
Barack is in a free fall ever since his “above my pay grade” remark. The Ayers stuff is getting out and it is not helping, either. No bounce from the VP pick, no bounce from the convention so far. Watch tonite and see if he gets a bounce from his ‘coronation pageant’. By the time the Dems realize or (admit to) the truth, the convention will be over and Obama will be the pick.
Question: How does a “messiah” restore his image, once it begins to sink?
Answer: By dying on a cross, and then rising from the dead, three days later.
It is very important who McCain chooses at this point. It is the South and Midwest dems who will not support Obama, but it is those same Republicans who will not support a liberal republican VP.
Choose somebody like Romney or Guilliani and you have the same republican problem in the Bible Belt and Heartland and tie the race up again. So far I have seen nothing that lets me think we as a party are going to play any card we have in our hand well this year, just like every other year the country-club crowd has gotten in charge though this one does seem worse.
I agree that there is a chance we could pick up seats. Consider that a lot of Democrats don’t want to vote for Obama, (PUMAs, etc.). Some of them may vote for McCain, but the vast majority will not want to vote at all, staying home and leaving the down ballot races for the Repubs to pick up.
As far as I'm concerned, Independents have no courage of convictions and are de facto Liberals.
They can be counted on to vote for the "feel good" candidate who promises them everything for nothing (the Democrat), unless they feel threatened. Then they will vote for the responsible candidate (the Republican) who they count on to save their butts.
Independents are sunshine citizens. That is why their support of Obama hasn't waivered.
I am glad he doesn't call himself a Republican. More to the point though it is pretty obvious that my Mother in laws husband and your Democrat friends might be a little more typical of what might happen in the general election than some might think.
Early this year I said on this forum that the more people know about Obama, the worse his polls would be. McCain was a known entity. Obama was almost completely unknown, and I’ll wager that a lot of his radical past is still unknown to the general public.
Really!!?? There are CONSERVATIVE Democrats??