Skip to comments.Conservative Dems bailing on Obama; Rasmussen has no Michelle O bounce
Posted on 08/27/2008 10:04:06 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
Barack Obama has had an unprecedented slide in polling over the summer, losing as much as twelve points nationally and squandering momentum gained from besting Hillary Clinton in the primaries. Gallups polling has mirrored that of almost every other national survey, and they drill down to find the answer to Obamas decline:
Barack Obama has been struggling to maintain his Democratic base thus far in August, and according to weekly averages of Gallup Poll Daily tracking, the problem seems to be with conservative Democrats.
Within the Democratic Party, Obamas losses are primarily evident among the relatively small group that describes its political views as conservative. The 63% of conservative Democrats supporting Obama over McCain in Aug. 18-24 polling is the lowest Obama has earned since he clinched the Democratic nomination in June. At the same time, there have been no similar drops in support for Obama in the preferences of liberal or moderate Democrats.
As a result of this, support for Obama among all Democratic registered voters fell from 81% in early August (Aug. 4-10) to 78% last week (Aug. 18-24). Obamas support from Republicans over this period also dipped from 9% to 7%, while 42% to 43% of independents have consistently supported him.
Its not just conservative Democrats, either, although that has to be Obamas main concern at the moment. Blue-dog Democrats have to run for tough Congressional races in the fall, and they will get linked to Obama regardless of whether they publicly embrace him or not. If Obama is losing credibility among conservative Democrats, the Blue Dogs will find that Obamas impact on their race will become a net negative and could cost some of them their seats most of which they won from Republicans in 2006.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
I certainly hope the papers get out some time soon, say...before the election.
You go back a ways, don't ya? :-]
Barack is in a free fall ever since his “above my pay grade” remark. The Ayers stuff is getting out and it is not helping, either. No bounce from the VP pick, no bounce from the convention so far. Watch tonite and see if he gets a bounce from his ‘coronation pageant’. By the time the Dems realize or (admit to) the truth, the convention will be over and Obama will be the pick.
Question: How does a “messiah” restore his image, once it begins to sink?
Answer: By dying on a cross, and then rising from the dead, three days later.
It is very important who McCain chooses at this point. It is the South and Midwest dems who will not support Obama, but it is those same Republicans who will not support a liberal republican VP.
Choose somebody like Romney or Guilliani and you have the same republican problem in the Bible Belt and Heartland and tie the race up again. So far I have seen nothing that lets me think we as a party are going to play any card we have in our hand well this year, just like every other year the country-club crowd has gotten in charge though this one does seem worse.
I agree that there is a chance we could pick up seats. Consider that a lot of Democrats don’t want to vote for Obama, (PUMAs, etc.). Some of them may vote for McCain, but the vast majority will not want to vote at all, staying home and leaving the down ballot races for the Repubs to pick up.
As far as I'm concerned, Independents have no courage of convictions and are de facto Liberals.
They can be counted on to vote for the "feel good" candidate who promises them everything for nothing (the Democrat), unless they feel threatened. Then they will vote for the responsible candidate (the Republican) who they count on to save their butts.
Independents are sunshine citizens. That is why their support of Obama hasn't waivered.
I am glad he doesn't call himself a Republican. More to the point though it is pretty obvious that my Mother in laws husband and your Democrat friends might be a little more typical of what might happen in the general election than some might think.
Early this year I said on this forum that the more people know about Obama, the worse his polls would be. McCain was a known entity. Obama was almost completely unknown, and I’ll wager that a lot of his radical past is still unknown to the general public.
Really!!?? There are CONSERVATIVE Democrats??
Wait a minute, I thought Chuck Todd was a Republican? He and Joe are the only ones without venom dripping out of their mouths.
And poor Joe — his days are numbered. I like him, and just hope he makes it through both conventions.
My “FDR Grannie” passed this Spring. If she were still with us I have no doubt that some nurses-aid would be voting her absentee ballot for Obama from the break-room.
I cannot imagine what is going on behind the scenes at MSNBC. Someone is going to take a swing at someone pretty soon. It seems tho, that Mika is being especially nice to Joe.
Absolutely on target!! McCain's VP choice is critical and if he chooses poorly, there could actually be a close race between the people not voting for the Obamessiah, and people not voting for McCain.
They probably will do it anyway.
They both echoed the exact same sentiments about NObama and neither of them were together at the same event. Something big is going out there and I can only guess what it is......gas prices, a do nothing congress, Russian aggression in Georgia, years of empty dimrat promises, tax increases are the answer to everything????
Your guess is as good as mine...all I know is that I don't even remember this kind of anger back 1994 when both houses switched over to the right.
Oh, the papers were released this week. Stanley Kurtz has been reviewing them, but the Obama campaign is trying to have the 527 who made the ad about Obama and Ayres legally investigated. This could have several purposes, one, to shut down all investigation into the Ayres affair (by getting a judge to shut it off until a judicial verdict comes in), two, to warn all media outlets off covering the story, lest they be accused of being an accomplice.
Greta tried to down play the news, which was listed as breaking news, by the way. She said to Kurtz, but this isn’t 100% yet, right? Kurtz said, well, he hadn’t had a chance to review all the documents,yet, but that from what we knew before and what he has read so far, this is very very serious for Obama, that not only did he lie about his relationship with Ayres, but that the money that was supposed to benefit the public schools did no such thing. That the money simply went to the radical far left groups that support Obama politics.
Greta asked Kurtz to keep her updated.
Thanks for that report...I pinged you on another thread, too. Rush has barely touched on this topic, which is odd. Could it be that everyone is waiting to see if Barry will succeed in getting a judge to block all reporting?
Yeh I go back aways-wanna make something of it?! Ha! Guess I thought of Donna Reed because all she was missing was the “house dress”!!! Even the swoop hair!
“..the Blue Dogs will find that Obamas impact on their race will become a net negative and could cost some of them their seats.. “
barack mcgovern will hang around the neck of some down ballot rats like a flaming gosoline filled tire.
he's got his lips firmly placed on the hind quarters of Barak Hussein Obamalamadingdong.
cause doncha know that the mean republicans in the Waco and Bryan-college Station area wouldn't shovel pork to A&M or fund the Waco VA...
Mean old Republicans would chunk the vets under a bridge and somehow make A&M .....what? A poor university....
Someone in Edward's district needs to find us a congressman that will get rid of this putz and hang obabamalamadingdong around his neck for the rest of his life.
Crickets from the mainstreamers. I’ve heard how the Obama brown shirts are attempting a media blockade and assassination of Kurtz.
La de da de de, la de da de da.