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Rasmussen: Obama 51 - McCain 45 (from 49-46 yesterday)
Rasmussen ^ | 09/02/2008 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/02/2008 6:40:33 AM PDT by ubaldus

Obama is up by 6 in today's Rasmussen tracker, by 5 without leaners (48 - 43). It is obviuos that McCain had a very bad polling day yesterday, something like 42-53 daily sample or even worse.

Some of it may be statistical noise, but it appears that all the noise around Palin selection is starting to hurt.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; 2008veep; biden; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; palin; palinattacks
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To: goldstategop
The bad news is Obama cracked 50%.

How bad?

61 posted on 09/02/2008 6:56:32 AM PDT by syriacus (FIRST check out the Alaska state webpages. THEN tell me that governing Alaska is easy.)
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To: ubaldus

Dukakis, Gore and Kerry all had double-digit leads following their conventions. Obama can’t manage more than 5-6 points. And the GOP hasn’t even gotten started on their convention.

This is bad news for the rats not for the Republicans.


62 posted on 09/02/2008 6:56:40 AM PDT by scory
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To: Russ
It’s going to be a cold, dark four years.

Thirty years, more like.

His policies, with a cooperative Congress, will damage this country irrevocably in my lifetime. Our children will simply have to hunker down until the damage is corrected, if it ever is.

63 posted on 09/02/2008 6:57:13 AM PDT by MrB (You can't reason people out of a position that they didn't use reason to get into in the first place)
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To: goldstategop

Yep! McCain polled badly last night because yesterday was a full scale media war against Palin, and because a day which would have been devoted to the GOP convention was instead spent (in part) with Obama preening and claiming families are off limits (even as his supporters were engaging in smears).

This is like the Clarence Thomas situation. Palin needs to perform as well as Thomas to blunt these smears and make it backfire bigtime on the Rodentia.


64 posted on 09/02/2008 6:57:13 AM PDT by puroresu (Enjoy ASIAN CINEMA? See my Freeper page for recommendations (updated!).)
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To: igoramus08

Kerry was never higher than plus +2.8 on a weekly average in Rasmussen’s poll.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2004/week_by_week_numbers


65 posted on 09/02/2008 6:57:15 AM PDT by LadyNavyVet
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To: pissant

yes, of course. But the VP slot has always been used to balance the ticket. That’s why Reagan ran with Richard Schweiker in 1976.


66 posted on 09/02/2008 6:57:16 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: ubaldus
Then there is still a chance to turn it around.

LOL. There are way too many nervous nellies out there.

Palin is a great pick. The next two months are going to be fun. Hold onto your hat....
67 posted on 09/02/2008 6:57:23 AM PDT by Antoninus (McCain/Palin -- The winning ticket!)
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To: austinaero

Every poll, even the good ones, have a bad sample every so often. It’s just the way it works. This could just be a bad sample. Wait a few days. We should never panic over one poll result. Nothing happened yesterday that would give Obama a big bump. Millions of people didn’t change their minds overnight, which is what would have had to have happened if this poll is accurate.


68 posted on 09/02/2008 6:57:48 AM PDT by nailspitter
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To: syriacus; Edit35
When did it happen?

1986.

Hardly "recent."

69 posted on 09/02/2008 6:57:55 AM PDT by Corin Stormhands (McCain-Palin '08)
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To: Artemis Webb
We shall see. If the GOP can't turn it around during convention week, then its highly unlikely they win the election. Bush came out with the lead in 2004 from his convention and kept it all the way through to Election Day. John McCain has never had the lead except Sunday and it was statistically insignificant.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

70 posted on 09/02/2008 6:58:17 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: ubaldus
Wow. Great analysis. Obama gets a 5-6% bump from his convention ( billed as the greatest story ever told by the media)compared to the 15% bump most 'Rats get following their convention, and you're ready to concede him a permanent lead. Geez...I'd hate to share a foxhole with you!

Have a little patience! Suck it up for chrissake! Our convention starts tonight. Let's see what kind of a bounce McCain can generate before you pronounce him DOA.

71 posted on 09/02/2008 6:58:21 AM PDT by pgkdan (Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions - G.K. Chesterton)
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To: pa mom

Wow the people from my church see it the exact opposite


72 posted on 09/02/2008 6:58:26 AM PDT by italianquaker (Great choice Mccain in Governor Sarah Palin)
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To: Edit35

I guess you didnt notice that the DUI was 22 years ago?


73 posted on 09/02/2008 6:59:32 AM PDT by italianquaker (Great choice Mccain in Governor Sarah Palin)
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To: syriacus
re: DUI.

22 years ago before they were married. He was 22 at the time.
74 posted on 09/02/2008 6:59:42 AM PDT by MarkeyD (Steele for VP! Palin isn't too bad either.)
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To: TitansAFC
So I take it you want Palin to step down so Romney can step in, eh?

Say what you want about Romney, but the man is squeaky clean.... having been vetted multiple times by the national media, and through scrutiny of the leftist nutjobs.

It's too early to tell if this pregnancy thing will hurt the McCain/Palin ticket, but I am not among those who think it will help. (despite claims by pundits that it will create sympathy)

All the good will and female support that would have come to the GOP because of Palin will, in my opinion, be negated by the daughter pregnancy thing.

Millions of moms across America are saying to themselves right now, "Gee, my daughter might think it OK to get pregnant at 17 if the daughter of the Vice President did.

I am an ardent conservative, and I LOVE Sarah Palin.... but I fear this could hurt.

Then again, I've been wrong about almost everything up until now, including Obama not picking Hillary, and McCain not picking Romney.

75 posted on 09/02/2008 7:00:01 AM PDT by Edit35 (.)
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To: ubaldus
Then there is still a chance to turn it around.

You're basing this statement on a single-digit poll taken on the weekend after the DNC Convention? Please.

Remember the narrative for an Obama victory - open up a single-digit lead before the convention, rouse up the idiots during the week of the DNC, and lead by mid double-digits (ala Kerry, Dukakis, etc.) the following week. That didn't happen, and I'd give odds that the Dem power brokers are scared crapless.

76 posted on 09/02/2008 7:00:20 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (Government intervention helped make the Great Depression great.)
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To: ubaldus

What would one expect? Number one, the convention hasn’t even started...but I’m surprised with all the negative 24/7 coverage of Palin that he only got a 3 point bounce out of it. I haven’t seen a feeding frenzy like went on yesterday since Thomas or Bork.

Here’s how I feel about the whole thing. I think McCain did the right thing in picking Palin. If he had picked Romney, we would have heard houses/rich white men/ etc from the press all day yesterday which also probably would have resulted in a drop in the polls. No matter who McCain chose, it was going to be negative. David Brooks said he should have chosen Bob Gates or Portman, that’s a laugh, what would the press have said about them.

So McCain did right...and remember everybody counted him out in the primaries too, but he perservered. I don’t agree with him on a lot of stuff, but I think he has grit and the determination to stay in there and fight. That’s the only thing that’ll win for him because Obama is the favorite whether we like it or not.


77 posted on 09/02/2008 7:00:27 AM PDT by Dawn531
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To: Edit35
But now I read in the local newspaper today (Tuesday) that Sarah's husband Todd recently had a DUI.

Which local paper?

I can only find reference to his DUI in 86.

78 posted on 09/02/2008 7:00:35 AM PDT by syriacus (FIRST check out the Alaska state webpages. THEN tell me that governing Alaska is easy.)
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To: Edit35

Relax. Todd Palin’s DUI was in 1986. By North Slope roughneck standards, a single 22-year-old DUI makes him Carrie Nation.


79 posted on 09/02/2008 7:00:46 AM PDT by Fabozz
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To: Edit35
Dear Edit35,

“I don't mind saying I'm disgusted.”

The only person with whom you should be disgusted is yourself.

“By time someone has five kids, is pushing 50, and is a responsible adult, they know enough to not get behind the wheel if they've had too many.”

Mr. Palin isn't quite pushing 50 - he's 43.

However, Mr. Palin didn't recently get a DUI.

Mr. Palin’s DUI came in 1986 when he was 22 years old.

Crawl back under your rock.


sitetest

80 posted on 09/02/2008 7:01:14 AM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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