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Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll (no change,JM43%-BO48%, but w/Leaners=JM45%-BO50% was 51%)
Rasmussen ^ | 9-3-08 | na

Posted on 09/03/2008 6:50:08 AM PDT by frankjr

Wednesday, September 03, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 48% of the vote while John McCain earns 43%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 50%, McCain 45%.

Both Obama and McCain lost a little ground in the polls after announcing their Vice President running mate. Obama lost three points after the Joe Biden selection was announced and McCain lost two points after Palin was announced.

Obama then enjoyed a fairly typical bounce from his convention and it remains to be seen how what kind of bounce McCain will get.

Fifty-two percent (52%) of Americans have a favorable opinion of Palin.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; mccain; obama; rasmussen
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This should include all of the Monday negative main stream media blitz on Palin but no GOP convention impact yet (I think).
1 posted on 09/03/2008 6:50:09 AM PDT by frankjr
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To: frankjr

The leftist Obama hate candle towards Gov. Palin that burns at both ends, burns half as long.


2 posted on 09/03/2008 6:56:18 AM PDT by DallasBiff
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To: frankjr

Not bad, it appears that Monday was a very bad polling day for McCain, it went to Obama by 10 pts or oven more.

Tuesday was not that bad, McCain trailing by 3-4 pts in a daily sample. If we get any convention bounce, we should get within 2 by the middle of next week, I hope.


3 posted on 09/03/2008 6:56:35 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: frankjr

obama with 5% lead right now...ill take it!
just wait a week after sarah palin and McCain favorables go thru the roof. tonite is going to be the stuff of legend!!


4 posted on 09/03/2008 6:57:35 AM PDT by housedeep
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To: housedeep

after that love fest in invesco field...80k strong...and obama is only up by 5% in a rolling poll four days later?
oh my!


5 posted on 09/03/2008 6:59:19 AM PDT by housedeep
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To: ubaldus

Labor day is a Dem sitting by the phone day !


6 posted on 09/03/2008 7:00:55 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: housedeep

Unfortunately, that’s all it takes to win...:( McCAIN has to do better, much better and I’m beginning to think that we are going to need the LORD to help us break through the evil schemes and cheating that will take place. We are now getting a small taste of what Sept-election time will bring. We need a prayer chain of fasting and seeking for God’s power for a victory. THIS IS A BATTLE! Make no mistake, OsAMA has a better chance of winning and that scares the hell out me to the point that I’m willing to fast,prayer and work hard to give McCain a victory!


7 posted on 09/03/2008 7:04:07 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: All

Just announced on Fox, McCain camp is fighting back, they are PISSED! New ad will be out at noon, Lieberman press conference today as well as to the leftist attack on Palin as a nazi sympathsizer (because once she wore a Pat Buchanan campaign button) Things are heating up plus Rudy speaks tonight and he is also pissed.


8 posted on 09/03/2008 7:04:49 AM PDT by LegalEagle61 (If you are going to burn our flag, please make sure you are wearing it when you do!)
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9 posted on 09/03/2008 7:06:00 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: RoseofTexas

Yes Rose we must continue to pray for our country and McCain and Gov. Palin and their families.

Its a shock to even think Obama could get 10% of americans to buy in to his facade.


10 posted on 09/03/2008 7:06:46 AM PDT by housedeep
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To: RoseofTexas

It’s not just a question of how many voters Obama has. He may have lots of voters, but they may be concentrated in certain states. Look at Kerry. He came reasonably close to Bush on the popular vote, but a picture of the electoral map was virtually all red.


11 posted on 09/03/2008 7:07:08 AM PDT by Bishop_Malachi (Liberal Socialism - A philosophy which advocates spreading a low standard of living equally.)
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To: RoseofTexas
I think I have to agree with you. This is Obama's campaign to lose, and up to the Palin announcement, McCain was starting to catch up. Now, it appears that McCain has lost about 2-4 weeks just trying to counter all of the attacks on Palin.
12 posted on 09/03/2008 7:07:50 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: LegalEagle61
Things are heating up

Men On Fire! YES!

13 posted on 09/03/2008 7:07:57 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: theophilusscribe

WOW! Where’d that come from?!


14 posted on 09/03/2008 7:09:16 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: LegalEagle61

Any more details? Dang it I have a Dr. appointment and I’m gonna miss the fireworks AND Rush...OH help me Lord!!


15 posted on 09/03/2008 7:09:25 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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Didn’t Ras have BO +6 and now it’s +5?


16 posted on 09/03/2008 7:09:37 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: frankjr
just heard this on radio

If you were lying on an operating table waiting for open heart surgery, and you had a choice between a young out of Med School Doctor or an older Doctor who performed Open Heart surgery 1000’s of time, who would you pick...?

Great analogy

17 posted on 09/03/2008 7:10:14 AM PDT by forYourChildrenVote4Bush (Today, July 16th I no longer donate money for Israel)
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To: frankjr
...two days of the Labor Day weekend (+3 -1 = +2), Obama's Greek Temple convention "bounce" (+3), Palin bounce minus Palin media smears +0. +5 is about right.

Everyone should be watching Palin's speech tonight, when the general voting public sees she's not really an Alaskan redneck who looks and speaks like an extra out of "Deliverance" McCain should get a bounce from that. At most they saw her brief speech on Saturday. Really need to wait for the polling released Thursday and Friday the 11th and 12th to see.

18 posted on 09/03/2008 7:10:37 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: AmericaUnited; All

What time does she speak tonight?


19 posted on 09/03/2008 7:10:56 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: AmericaUnited

My brain.


20 posted on 09/03/2008 7:11:22 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: CatOwner

McCain is down because the Dems just had a convention. He’s only down 5 because the Palin announcement blunted the bounce. Now we’re having our convention and we’ll get a bounce. It should be pretty close to even after the dust settles, and then McCain can start taking Osama Obama apart, piece by terrorist-communist-racist-linked piece.


21 posted on 09/03/2008 7:13:08 AM PDT by nailspitter
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To: CatOwner

I’ve been getting this terrible gut feeling when Clinton was ahead of President Bush and Bush never caught up or that gut feeling when W DUI was released a week from the election. GOD I pray I’m totally wrong. PLEASE HELP US LORD counter their EVIL SCHEMES!


22 posted on 09/03/2008 7:14:32 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: CatOwner

The Palin selection may have caused a slight drop, but it’s done wonders in firing up the passions of conservatives. No other pick (at least none of the more notable ones: Romney, Pawlenty, or Lieberman) could have had this much of a positive effect on the core conservatives.

Just how this translates in other numbers remains to be seen- but the selection of Palin has an upside like no other one did. Her speech tonight, and her performance in the debate will be critical.


23 posted on 09/03/2008 7:14:38 AM PDT by TravisBickle (Are you talkin' to me?)
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To: theophilusscribe

You need to get a job working for the campaign or something. Because that is one of the best graphics I have seen. The campaign should find some way to adapt into a television add because it takes all of the dems attacks and points out how these things make her relate better to the average american.


24 posted on 09/03/2008 7:16:43 AM PDT by dschapin
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To: RoseofTexas
Unfortunately, that’s all it takes to win...:(

Sure, if the election is the first week of September.

25 posted on 09/03/2008 7:17:26 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: All

The Monday night sample must have been horrendous for McCain. It will roll off Friday.

Frankly, it’s even worse than one would think. Ras says August GOP representation in his sampling was up, so that means he adjusts his robot targets to keep calling until they get the desired partisan mix.

Even with that adjustment, the Monday sample resulted. I am a little fearful it’s not just normal post convention bounce. The three day average yesterday was of Monday, Sunday and Saturday nights. Friday night, the first time sampling was done after the Obama speech, rolled off.

But there has always been talk of convention bounces being delayed (though it’s never described as why).


26 posted on 09/03/2008 7:18:10 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Bishop_Malachi
Look at Kerry. He came reasonably close to Bush on the popular vote, but a picture of the electoral map was virtually all red.

That is WAY removed from reality. Kerry came within ~100,000 votes in Ohio of winning the electoral college and the Presidency. But Bush defeated him by over 3 million total votes.

27 posted on 09/03/2008 7:19:14 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: RoseofTexas

You are absolutely on target. I see a lot of flippant remarks here. Believe me it is going to be a battle. Donate, talk to people, fast, pray. It is going to take a lot. I am sending my check into today


28 posted on 09/03/2008 7:19:14 AM PDT by mel
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To: CatOwner
Now, it appears that McCain has lost about 2-4 weeks just trying to counter all of the attacks on Palin.

Oh, good grief. Perhaps others around here are buying your nonsense, but not me. LLORT!

29 posted on 09/03/2008 7:20:15 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: RoseofTexas

See my tagline


30 posted on 09/03/2008 7:21:35 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: theophilusscribe

That’s awesome. Push it out somewhere to get distribution!


31 posted on 09/03/2008 7:21:48 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: dschapin; theophilusscribe

Ditto those remarks. GRAND SLAM GRAPHIC!!!


32 posted on 09/03/2008 7:23:57 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: dschapin

Thank you! I am very humbled by that. I was just thinking about her today and I realized, “they are attacking her because she’s one of us.”

She’s a normal, everyday American with normal, everyday trials just like the rest of us. When they attack her, they attack every person who has had a disabled loved one, gone through a divorce, etc., etc., It’s not right, and we need to let the MSM and Dems know it isn’t right.


33 posted on 09/03/2008 7:24:53 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: CatOwner

The “attacks” on Sarah Palin will turn into puffs of smoke and dust, as they are directed more by emotion than by any substantiated fact.

The “sisterhood” of the leftist feminists has had a hand grenade thrown in their midst, and they think they can shout it to death, having neither the wit nor presence of mind to pick it up and toss it away. They have devoted their efforts to denying the hand greande exists, that Sarah Palin is an anomaly, and cannot possibly be real.

They cannot help themselves, and they are compelled to say these things for public consumption by the groupthink mentality held by so many on the left. But inside, there is building a little pocket of superheated steam, which may or may not explode once they get into the secrecy of the voting booth.

This “feminine mystique” finally has become a knife that can cut both ways.


34 posted on 09/03/2008 7:26:39 AM PDT by alloysteel (Are Democrats truly "better angels"? They are lousy stewards for America.)
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To: frankjr

IMO those whom focus on the dreams of the Pollsters are in for a shock this coming November.

The Pollster’s blew it last couple of elections, and this one is even more volatile. The Pollsters are going to prove to be worthless.


35 posted on 09/03/2008 7:27:17 AM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, Call 'em what you will, they ALL have Fairies livin' in their Trees.)
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To: RoseofTexas

None yet...but it is supposedly going to be handled today...I was at a hillary forum and the women there are super angry and the threads are all about helping Sarah. It is not even about Hillary anymore (GOOD!)They HATE Obambi. Honestly, I am not sure about these polls all because people lie especially when they think they may be perceived as a racist. I also believe there are more Hillary supporters that WON’T back Obama than they realize.


36 posted on 09/03/2008 7:27:31 AM PDT by LegalEagle61 (If you are going to burn our flag, please make sure you are wearing it when you do!)
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To: AmericaUnited

Thanks! Do you know where I could email it to?


37 posted on 09/03/2008 7:29:07 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: frankjr

Again...we will not see where this race truly stands until next Monday or Tuesday.


38 posted on 09/03/2008 7:30:41 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: theophilusscribe

Try the McCain and RNC websites for contact info!


39 posted on 09/03/2008 7:33:27 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: TravisBickle; CatOwner

Exactly, and look at this from Rasmussen:

Fifty-two percent (52%) of Americans have a favorable opinion of Palin.

Now, with all that crap that’s been thrown at her since last Friday, I think that’s pretty damn good.


40 posted on 09/03/2008 7:33:37 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

I totally agree with you.


41 posted on 09/03/2008 7:33:39 AM PDT by LegalEagle61 (If you are going to burn our flag, please make sure you are wearing it when you do!)
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To: Owen
Has it ever occurred to anyone that Monday's supposedly "bad day" for McCain could simply be a bad sample? Polls are only considered 95% accurate when perfectly conducted.

I'm sorry, but the campaign raising $10 million in three days (over a holiday weekend) carries FAR more weight with me than some post-convention polls. Unless the election is being held this week, they simply do not matter.

42 posted on 09/03/2008 7:35:31 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: AmericaUnited

I’ve tired posting it on McCain’s blog, but there is not html allowed. I will try the info email address. Thanks!


43 posted on 09/03/2008 7:36:10 AM PDT by theophilusscribe
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To: impeachedrapist

It’s not that removed from reality. Bush had 50.7% of the popular vote, but he had 53.1 % of the electoral college. Where the voters are located matters greatly.


44 posted on 09/03/2008 7:39:24 AM PDT by Bishop_Malachi (Liberal Socialism - A philosophy which advocates spreading a low standard of living equally.)
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To: RoseofTexas

Wait a minute. George W never ran against Clinton.


45 posted on 09/03/2008 7:39:35 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart
George W never ran against Clinton.

George H. Bush in 1992...

46 posted on 09/03/2008 7:42:29 AM PDT by latina4dubya (self-proclaimed tequila snob)
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To: latina4dubya; RoseofTexas

Sorry..I didn’t not read ROT’s post properly (SEE POST #22). She was citing two examples of past elections; the race in 1992 and the one in 2000.

Anyway, W did win regardless of their dirty tricks with the DUI the weekend before the election.
Also, in 1992 the elder Bush had Perot in the race sucking 19% of his voters away. At least I think most Perot voters were people angry at Bush for raising taxes when he said he wouldn’t, and there was a recession at the time.


47 posted on 09/03/2008 7:51:28 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: frankjr
Good to see Obambi's lead didn't grow further.

Tonight is a huge night. I think most agree Palin was a "big risk / big reward" kind of pick. So far, Palin's impact on the ticket has been slightly negative because of the hit job by the RATs and the MSM.

If she does well tonight, and I think she will, then we will see the "big reward" start to pay off.

48 posted on 09/03/2008 7:53:05 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: housedeep
just wait a week after sarah palin and McCain favorables go thru the roof.

McCain should fight back IMMEDIATELY by putting Gov. Sarah Palin on several campaign TV and radio commercials touting her excellent qualities.

First, THAT would put to rest these dipwad lib media types who claim that Palin will quit.

Secondly, it would immediately introduce the tough and effective Sarah Palin to millions of people who don't watch political conventions.

Gov. Palin has so many excellent qualities it's hard to know which one to feature in the ad.

Her tough handling of the Alaska budget?

The fact that she fights corruption vigorously?

Her avid stances in favor of children and life?

Sarah Palin is so fabulous, it makes me want to move to Alaska and see if she has any long lost sisters.

49 posted on 09/03/2008 7:54:03 AM PDT by Edit35 (.)
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To: theophilusscribe

You might also try posting it as a standalone vanity post here on Free Republic. That way people will see it who aren’t digging through all of these other posts.


50 posted on 09/03/2008 7:54:52 AM PDT by dschapin
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