Rasmussen: 9/6/2008: Obama 46% McCain 45%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll ^

[CatOwner]

Rasmussen is unchanged from yesterday, and now includes two days of Palin's speech and one day of McCain's speech. Either Wednesday was a really bad polling day for McCain, or we are overestimating the bounce, if any, that McCain-Palin got.

[Nervous Tick]

[Miss Didi]

Scott and another pollster were on with Bill O. last night and said to not expect to see real convention results until Wednesday of next week.

[frankjr]

I knew that coin was coming. You gotta be awake 24/7 with that pic ready to go for any poll post! ;)

[NoobRep]

On Fox last night, Rasmussen said you won’t see the accurate RNC “bounce” numbers until Monday at the earliest. He said Tuesday or Wednesday may be more accurate.

[SampleMan]

Either Wednesday was a really bad polling day for McCain, or we are overestimating the bounce, if any, that McCain-Palin got.

Overestimating the sincerity of the pollsters is more likely.

[VOR78]

I’m not worried about it. Even we’re looking at the same number on Monday or Tuesday, its still just a 1-3% lead for Obama.

But lets not forget that we were all laughing about the non-bounce for the Dems this time a week ago. Then, early in the week, it started to show in the polls. I think it’ll be the same here. Give it a few more days.

[tcrlaf]

It takes 3-5 days for a tracking poll to show movement trends, and up to TWO WEEKS for it to start showing in the State-By-State polling.

[Wilder Effect]

Thanks for the info on RAS. After the DEM Convention Obama’s bounce did not happen until about noon on Labor Day, the Monday after his speech.

Fact is Obama is only up 46 to 45, before McCain’s bounce.

[org.whodat]

or we are overestimating over hypped the bounce

[Nervous Tick]

>> I knew that coin was coming. You gotta be awake 24/7 with that pic ready to go for any poll post! ;)

It’s not a coin, it’s a “token”. Subtle but important point. ;-)

As for 24/7... Mrs. Tick has already warned that I’d better NOT spend the day surfing FR! I’m inclined to take her seriously!

[Wilder Effect]

Exactly well said.

[Friendofgeorge]

We know they got a bounce its just that the pollsters do not want to show it.

[dubie]

For the month of August, the targets were 40.6% Democrat, 31.6% Republican, and 27.8% unaffiliated

[BunnySlippers]

[BunnySlippers]

The Obama bounce was late.

[Sooth2222]

As McCain has begun to chip away as Obama’s convention bounce, most of his gains have come among women voters. Obama still leads 51% to 44% among women, but that seven-point edge is just half the fourteen point lead he enjoyed last Tuesday. McCain leads by three among men, little changed in recent days.

Interesting. The polls released next Thursday and Friday should tell us something.

[Snurple]

I dont even bother keeping track of these polls. They mean nothing at this point.

[Old Retired Army Guy]

You will know about Tuesday or Wednesday. Saw Rasmussen on Fox this morning and that is what he said.

[Nervous Tick]

Where’s John?