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Hurricane Ike Live Thread Part II
NOAA/NHC ^ | 10 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/10/2008 2:18:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Texas began issuing mandatory and voluntary evacuations as Hurricane Ike continued to strengthen and slowly moved toward an uncertain landfall destination in the western Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Rick Perry issued a disaster declaration in advance of the storm. Louisiana Governor Jindal released several hundred buses to Texas for evacuation assistance.

Reports from Cuba indicate widespread damage from Hurricane Ike, which raked the length of the island nation. The U.S. State Department again offered Cuba humanitarian assistance after a previous offer was declined by the Cuban government.

The stock market Wednesday rose as investors bought oil stocks and and oill futures fell.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; ike; louisiana; texas; topical; tropical; weather
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Please limit graphics to ~50KB, and do not post animated graphics.

Godspeed to all in Hurricane Ike's path.

1 posted on 09/10/2008 2:18:38 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

bump


2 posted on 09/10/2008 2:20:47 PM PDT by Deaf Smith
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To: NautiNurse

Headed straight for DFW, as a TS, but could be a bunch of tornadoes still associated with it.


3 posted on 09/10/2008 2:22:22 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: NautiNurse
Looks like it's headed straight for Corpus.

Cubar really took a pounding to knock this thing down from Cat 3.

4 posted on 09/10/2008 2:23:46 PM PDT by colorado tanker ("I just LOVE clinging to my guns and my religion!!!!" - Sarah Palin)
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To: NautiNurse
One thing I hated to see was the speed dropping
from 14 MPH to 8 MPH which makes it more dangerous.
5 posted on 09/10/2008 2:23:49 PM PDT by HuntsvilleTxVeteran (Remember the Alamo, Goliad and WACO, It is Time for a new San Jacinto!)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the thread. We are in AR with parents in Magnolia, near Conroe, north of Houston. What is the prediticted effects in that area???? Trying to decide whether to evacuate them or not...thx


6 posted on 09/10/2008 2:23:58 PM PDT by BlessedAmerican (Pray for our President and those who are fighting to preserve our freedom!)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
Watches and warnings issued for the Gulf Coast...

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from the mouth of the
Mississippi River westward to Cameron Louisiana.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Cameron westward to
Port Mansfield Texas.

Hurricane Ike is moving NW at 8 mph. Winds 100 mph, 958 mb.

Ike is a very large tropical cyclone. Hurricane force winds extend
outward up to 90 miles from the center and tropical storm force
winds extend outward up to 205 miles.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

7 posted on 09/10/2008 2:24:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: NautiNurse
You do great work, NN.

Prayers up for all in Ike's path.

8 posted on 09/10/2008 2:25:02 PM PDT by LasVegasMac (Islam: Bringing the world death and destruction for 1400 years!)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanx for the ping NN.


9 posted on 09/10/2008 2:26:42 PM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (An inadequately policed Conservative)
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To: NautiNurse

Track trend is rightwards. It would be interesting to see where Rita was forecast to go at this point.


10 posted on 09/10/2008 2:28:13 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse

My shipments going to the Houston area have been cancelled for now. Everybody in the area is stocking up and evacuating. I hope that this doesn’t become another Galveston-like hurricane from 1900 or Hurricane Mitch.


11 posted on 09/10/2008 2:29:07 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: NautiNurse
Ike's gotten bigger as he moved slowly over the warmest water in the Gulf

Now he's going to pull his arms in like a spinning skater over slightly cooler water, spin faster and slowly pick up forward speed

Prayers up for those in his path

.

12 posted on 09/10/2008 2:29:17 PM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: NautiNurse

Anywhere north of Corpus looks bad for me - I’m on the southwest side of the greater Houston area -


13 posted on 09/10/2008 2:29:32 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Sarahcuda!!!)
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA

Praying like crazy for all in the path of this storm for it to weaken somehow. Everyone stay safe!


14 posted on 09/10/2008 2:32:33 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (DRILL HERE-DRILL NOW-PAY LESS)
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA

Are you planning to evacuate?


15 posted on 09/10/2008 2:33:43 PM PDT by SaveTheChief (Chief Illiniwek (1926-2007))
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To: NautiNurse
TWINS!


16 posted on 09/10/2008 2:36:39 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse

Watching closely in Seabrook.

Frgds,
3/M


17 posted on 09/10/2008 2:36:44 PM PDT by ThirdMate
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To: NautiNurse

after being rather slow, pressure has dropped a lot in the past hour or so...

temperature between inner and outer eyewall has increased...

looks go for some strengthening here.


18 posted on 09/10/2008 2:36:55 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: NautiNurse

One of our glorious local TV stations here in Houston has in its crawler that Bell County has announced voluntary evacuation.

Ha! Bell County is in the center of the state.

It is Bee County, according to the Beeville news webpage, which is under voluntary evacuation.

Funny stuff. The TV station can’t get the name of the county right.


19 posted on 09/10/2008 2:37:13 PM PDT by i_dont_chat (The elephant is dancing for the lady from Alaska)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks again.


20 posted on 09/10/2008 2:37:40 PM PDT by 2Jedismom
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA

I’m from Alvin.


21 posted on 09/10/2008 2:38:59 PM PDT by 2Jedismom
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To: NautiNurse

Somebody on TV was saying it could reach the Austin/San Antonio area as a category 2 hurricane. Don’t think Austin has been hit by a category 2 hurricane before, but I’m guessing that I won’t be sitting in the stadium watching UT beat Arkansas come Saturday afternoon.


22 posted on 09/10/2008 2:40:16 PM PDT by af_vet_rr
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; All
Texas

Hurricane Watch, Hurricane Statement:
Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Jackson, Liberty, Matagorda

Hurricane Watch:

23 posted on 09/10/2008 2:40:28 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: ThirdMate

Hey ThirdMate ... I’m also a Seabrook resident. Stay safe!


24 posted on 09/10/2008 2:41:48 PM PDT by girlscout
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To: dirtboy

Interesting comparison


25 posted on 09/10/2008 2:42:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: Elle Bee

Colder water means less energy and lower wind speeds. Forward speed is determined by atmospheric conditions, not water temperature.


26 posted on 09/10/2008 2:43:31 PM PDT by E=MC2
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To: NautiNurse
Please limit graphics to ~50KB, and do not post animated graphics.

Is this a FR limit? I haven't seen that before. His graphic is 37k and I didn't see any animations. Thanks for the feedback.

27 posted on 09/10/2008 2:46:44 PM PDT by E=MC2
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To: i_dont_chat

TV people can be rather stupid.

Thank goodness I am a newspaper reporter....

(not that there are not dumb ones among us as well, but I have seen a lot more glaring TV errors for things like this than newspaper).


28 posted on 09/10/2008 2:46:59 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: NautiNurse
Refugio, Texas, is fairly far inland, but I think it might get hit by a large Hurricane surge.

I believe it is extremely flat between Refugio and the Gulf of Mexico...

South of Corpus Christi, Padre Island will take some of the Hurricane Surge (be a partial barrier).

But the part of the Texas coast between Corpus Christi and Victoria seems to be very vulnerable...

As long as that historic ol' Mission survives (from the Battle for Texas Independence)...

29 posted on 09/10/2008 2:47:07 PM PDT by topher (Let us return to old-fashioned morality - morality that has stood the test of time...)
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To: af_vet_rr

From what I have seen, that is incorrect....maybe cat 1 though.

It is hard to judge from the maps the public see.

DEFINITELY tropical storm winds though.


30 posted on 09/10/2008 2:49:45 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: 2Jedismom

Oh man, that’s closer than I am! lol Do you still have family there?


31 posted on 09/10/2008 2:51:53 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Sarahcuda!!!)
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To: af_vet_rr

I guess we can expect numerous twisters this weekend.


32 posted on 09/10/2008 2:52:12 PM PDT by txhurl (Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana. - stolen)
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.noaawatch.gov/2008/ike.php

So much for my weekend camping trip. Oh well everyone keep safe. One thing, Texans have the best Emergency Response state wide system in the Union, we started it back in the 1960s after so many hurricanes hit the Texas coast.
http://governor.state.tx.us/news/press-release/11110/
Update on Texas Preparations for Hurricane Ike


33 posted on 09/10/2008 2:52:35 PM PDT by pwatson
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To: NautiNurse

And Rita’s forecast track started trending north at this point as well. But Rita happened two weeks later, and the troughs were probably a bit stronger by then. I’m inclined to think the track will keep trending rightwards but not as pronounced as Rita’s track. Unfortunately, splitting the difference puts Ike right into the Houston area.


34 posted on 09/10/2008 2:53:50 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: sheikdetailfeather

Thanks - I’m sure everyone appreciates it


35 posted on 09/10/2008 2:54:05 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Sarahcuda!!!)
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To: E=MC2

I don’t know who pissed in your Wheaties, but you have jumped into this thread with nothing but criticism. Find another thread to rain on, Debbie Downer. Thanks.


36 posted on 09/10/2008 2:54:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: SaveTheChief

No we are not. We may regret it later - but we evacuated for rita - and then Fey was supposed to come dead on to Galveston - turned north..... I’m not being smug but think we’ll stay and see what happens....


37 posted on 09/10/2008 2:55:44 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Sarahcuda!!!)
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To: NautiNurse
I don’t know who pissed in your Wheaties, but you have jumped into this thread with nothing but criticism. Find another thread to rain on, Debbie Downer. Thanks.

I posted a question because you were setting limits on posts that I was not aware of. I made NO criticism in my post to you. Why the bitterness? If they are FR limits I would like to know. What is so evil about that?

38 posted on 09/10/2008 2:57:22 PM PDT by E=MC2
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To: ThirdMate

Good luck from Fort Bend County


39 posted on 09/10/2008 2:57:56 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Sarahcuda!!!)
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To: i_dont_chat

I’m in Bell county. We just got a notice from KISD that bus service may not be available on Friday because they may be needed for evacuations.


40 posted on 09/10/2008 2:58:09 PM PDT by TexasBeth
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To: girlscout

You stay safe as well.

We are not contemplating eveacuation yet, but laying in supplies.

Frgds, 3/M


41 posted on 09/10/2008 2:58:47 PM PDT by ThirdMate
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To: i_dont_chat
Has the tv station corrected the mistake yet? Bad time for an error like that when everyone is one edge.

They'll be getting a flood of phone calls about it.

42 posted on 09/10/2008 2:59:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

I wonder if Palin will cancel her trip to Houston. I feel we are right in its path, wish me luck.


43 posted on 09/10/2008 3:00:35 PM PDT by Orange1998
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To: BlessedAmerican
Our neighbors here in California are currently at their second home in Conroe....they decided just this afternoon to delay their trip home and "ride it out".

They figure they'd better be on scene if there's wind or water concerns.

44 posted on 09/10/2008 3:00:47 PM PDT by ErnBatavia (...forward this to your 10 very best friends....)
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you


45 posted on 09/10/2008 3:01:03 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Sarahcuda!!!)
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To: dirtboy

Though I’m not sure it can hit cat 5 in the GOM, Ike may dwarf Rita in terms of U.S. impact.


46 posted on 09/10/2008 3:01:17 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: E=MC2
Look noob, I know a troll when I see one. Best to find another sandbox to throw rocks. While you are at it, pick up a copy of "How to Win Friends and Influence People." You need it.

The end.

47 posted on 09/10/2008 3:03:30 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: Orange1998

Maybe she’ll reschedule for Austin?

Wouldn’t that be great?

This town would have a collective aneurysm.


48 posted on 09/10/2008 3:04:01 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: rwfromkansas

San Antonio news now... waiting to see what they say we could get from this - besides the obvious rain and breezes. A strike in CCTX would be the worst for us, but better probably then a Rita path which takes it over the Petro-areas.


49 posted on 09/10/2008 3:04:08 PM PDT by Tuxedo (Just call her Sarah)
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To: dirtboy

Wow - that comparison is pretty spooky. Ike’s path keeps moving to the East - should be an interesting week and weekend in H-Town.

Maybe some of our Katrina evacuees will head for greener pastures :)


50 posted on 09/10/2008 3:05:07 PM PDT by BradyBug (Holy Rolling Redneck)
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