Skip to comments.Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.
The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.
Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.
Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours
Discussion Updated every 6 hours
Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar
Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi
Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management
|Category||Wind Speed||Barometric Pressure||Storm Surge||Damage Potential|
|< 39 mph
< 34 kts
|39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
|74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
|28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
|4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
|Minimal damage to vegetation|
|96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
|28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
|6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
|Moderate damage to houses|
|111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
|27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
|9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
|Extensive damage to small buildings|
|131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
|27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
|13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
|Extreme structural damage|
|Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
|Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
|Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
|Catastrophic building failures possible|
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)
Don’t create new screen names. Only one allowed per customer.
2 am landfall with surge, plus high tide, plus wave height on top of all that. Wow! Per channel 13.
I like it.
And not just t-shirts... Allegra would surly like some YIKES socks.
See post #73 this thread, and the post#51 map it refers to.
Well her shenanigans make a mockery of people who are on the island and are in grave danger.
“Ghost of” indeed. She should be ashamed.
Fire-something to do w/ oil industry— CNN? Did I hear that right?
Actually, some of the models have shifted west, and the radar trends tend to confirm it will hit just slightly west.
Correction now, it’s a fire at a boat storage area that ff can’t access.
Large indoor boat storage facility w 500g diesel tanks engulfed in flame.
oh crud! i forgot about Tookies! Now, I am just gonna cry...
First, prayers to all. I have literally been sick today, as I realized how horrible this storm is, and to only be able to sit here, knowing that many will not survive.
Second, we here in St. Louis have been warned that massive flooding is in our future. Well, I have filled sandbags before and I am ready to again.
I’m watching CH 13 on the net.
There is a fellow that goes by Robinson that has several!
YIKES hip boots may be in order.
PAtricia- the woman FOX has spoken to a few times today- who has stayed in Galveston- said NOW she’s a little concerned because she’s hearing there are a couple/few fires in town..
Said her house has been standing since 18something - she feels safe.
Not sure what to think about that..seems the storm surge is going to be worse than the 1900 storm.
I think that there may be some local gas problems, but that unless something unexpected happens, it will only be a blip most places.
Certainly the money people aren’t expecting major effects.
My concern is that supposedly other areas have high tide about that time...maybe the water will be bottled in and not be able to go out. We will see I guess.
Ike looks better getting closer to land unfortunately. Hopefully it will do what is expected and not intensify quickly.
She’s kinda stuck there now isn’t she?
Sitting just south of Tomball knowing we’ll be getting hurricane force winds all night. And more than likely will lose electricity which means it’ll be hot and muggy for weeks.
Lost electricity this morning....power company said it was a “line fuse”. Took ‘em 3 hours to fix it. I can only imagine how long it will take when 3,000,000 households are without. And that’s what they’re predicting.
This is a bad storm!
Most places are out of gas.
40% of all Galvestonians remained behind for the storm...I guess the ones that survive will have interesting stories...others won’t.
It’s going to be a tricky forecast for surge. What passes for the eye is probably 60-70 miles across. I think the computer models for the surge work with a much smaller eye. Only one way to find out what will really happen from here. Hopefully the experts are wrong on the low side, or Ike takes a bit of a wobble in the next few hours and goes a bit more eastward.
Some 20,000 people from what they said.
I don’t blame her. I would have done the same. In fact I as going to suggest she do so before she did!
Geraldo says he’s not so sure about the “certain death” predictions...unsual for him to be DE-hyping...
What do the locals think about the San Luis? Is it good for the duration? He said it’s 30 plus feet above...
Are you sure about the Kemah Dairy Queen? I don’t live far from there and that is scary to me.
As I sit here looking at a map of the Houston area, it sure looks like the storm surge (combined with high tide) is gonna send a sh**load of water up Galveston Bay and into every bayou and creek.
The east side of Galveston Bay (to me) looks relatively unpopulated but the west side looks like it has a lot of industry and residences.
It looks like the same kind of thing could happen to Sabine Pass leading up to Beaumont/Port Arthur.
This isn’t looking good at all...
Wow — that’s one heck of an Opus, E!
Water will come around the backside of the island. It will get the worst of the surge according to hurricane center guy.
KPRC reporting via laptop camera....trying to head to the yacht fire.
Hurricane center guy says: Rise of water 15-20 feet with waves on top. If people remember Miss coast after Katrina, homes damaged or removed completely, that’s what will occur on Galveston and inland. Yikes.
Where? There’s plenty of gas here in Central NY.
Has Anyone else heard this cause Mom is fretting something fierce over our friends safety and I would like to be able to calm her down a bit.
50 Feet is like a Tidal Wave. It just sounds too fantastic to be true.
I got family down on Braes Bayou... how about YIKES canoes?
Those people on the freighter make me think of the men on the boat in tge film Perfect Storm. I hope and pray they aren’t killed.
Why wouldn’t the officials tell the public about evaluations?
Not sure, but if that means 20-ft storm surge, plus wave height, plus high tide, maybe it could be that high.
Good luck to you sir and thanks for your Seabee service I read about.
I have only been in Houston for about 15 minutes when Amtrak stopped there once decades ago.
Did you ever see any pics of the Louisiana coastline after Hurricane Rita?
Lots of little beach communities like Johnson’s Bayou and Holly Beach were just flattened.
The inland communities like Hackberry were extremely water-logged and severely damaged by the winds.
Has anyone confirmed the status of the Kemah DQ and Tookies?
25 feet is the max according to the latest advisory.
I thought of Perfect Storm too. God help them.
normal tidal flows should not create undo problems ... range between mean high tide and mean low tide at galveston is only 2.4 feet
I think it’s an eye at this point.
Hip boots won’t do, even neck boots won’t be enough.
My daughter lives in an area south west of houston that the eye is going to pass directly over.
She lives in an apartment building, and I am worried that even that won’t be strong enough. She lives on the first floor and I pray that she has enough sense to go up to the second floor when the waters start rising.
Their is a drainage ditch in front of her apartment which overflows onto the street in any heavy rain and they are close enough to the shore and galvaston bay that they WILL get hit by the surge. The high tides aren’t helping things either.