Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-50 ... 1,051-1,1001,101-1,1501,151-1,200 ... 2,851-2,863 next last
To: texasredtop

Don’t create new screen names. Only one allowed per customer.


1,101 posted on 09/12/2008 2:32:37 PM PDT by Admin Moderator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 634 | View Replies]

To: backhoe; ghost of texasredtop
There's television on The Other Side?

No, she's turning it on to frighten the living! It's hard work being a poltergeist, you know.
1,102 posted on 09/12/2008 2:32:44 PM PDT by Zechariah_8_13 ("If we give the bureaucrats our children, we may as well give them everything else." - J. G. Machen)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1067 | View Replies]

To: All

2 am landfall with surge, plus high tide, plus wave height on top of all that. Wow! Per channel 13.


1,103 posted on 09/12/2008 2:32:48 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1098 | View Replies]

To: TheMom; Allegra
YIKES

I like it.

And not just t-shirts... Allegra would surly like some YIKES socks.

1,104 posted on 09/12/2008 2:32:48 PM PDT by glock rocks (The American presidency is not supposed to be a journey of personal discovery. -Sarah Palin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 833 | View Replies]

To: Royal Wulff

See post #73 this thread, and the post#51 map it refers to.


1,105 posted on 09/12/2008 2:33:06 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1055 | View Replies]

To: AFPhys

Well her shenanigans make a mockery of people who are on the island and are in grave danger.

“Ghost of” indeed. She should be ashamed.


1,106 posted on 09/12/2008 2:33:33 PM PDT by Royal Wulff
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1097 | View Replies]

To: metmom

Fire-something to do w/ oil industry— CNN? Did I hear that right?


1,107 posted on 09/12/2008 2:33:42 PM PDT by Dysart
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1098 | View Replies]

To: TheRightGuy

Actually, some of the models have shifted west, and the radar trends tend to confirm it will hit just slightly west.


1,108 posted on 09/12/2008 2:33:43 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1024 | View Replies]

To: Dysart

Correction now, it’s a fire at a boat storage area that ff can’t access.


1,109 posted on 09/12/2008 2:35:03 PM PDT by Dysart
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1107 | View Replies]

To: metmom

Large indoor boat storage facility w 500g diesel tanks engulfed in flame.


1,110 posted on 09/12/2008 2:35:05 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture™)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1098 | View Replies]

To: Syntyr

oh crud! i forgot about Tookies! Now, I am just gonna cry...


1,111 posted on 09/12/2008 2:35:37 PM PDT by DrewsMum (Out of La Porte, TX now, just waiting and watching and freeping...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1071 | View Replies]

To: metmom
Hello,

First, prayers to all. I have literally been sick today, as I realized how horrible this storm is, and to only be able to sit here, knowing that many will not survive.

Second, we here in St. Louis have been warned that massive flooding is in our future. Well, I have filled sandbags before and I am ready to again.

MOgirl

1,112 posted on 09/12/2008 2:35:49 PM PDT by MOgirl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1089 | View Replies]

To: steve86

I’m watching CH 13 on the net.


1,113 posted on 09/12/2008 2:35:59 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture™)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1110 | View Replies]

To: Admin Moderator
Don’t create new screen names. Only one allowed per customer.

There is a fellow that goes by Robinson that has several!

;<)

1,114 posted on 09/12/2008 2:37:07 PM PDT by Eaker (Dutch expression "You can give a monkey a gold ring, but it stays an ugly thing." - EscapedDutch)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1101 | View Replies]

To: glock rocks

YIKES hip boots may be in order.


1,115 posted on 09/12/2008 2:37:18 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1104 | View Replies]

To: MOgirl

PAtricia- the woman FOX has spoken to a few times today- who has stayed in Galveston- said NOW she’s a little concerned because she’s hearing there are a couple/few fires in town..

Said her house has been standing since 18something - she feels safe.

Not sure what to think about that..seems the storm surge is going to be worse than the 1900 storm.


1,116 posted on 09/12/2008 2:39:03 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1112 | View Replies]

To: metmom

I think that there may be some local gas problems, but that unless something unexpected happens, it will only be a blip most places.

Certainly the money people aren’t expecting major effects.


1,117 posted on 09/12/2008 2:39:16 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1070 | View Replies]

To: dirtboy

My concern is that supposedly other areas have high tide about that time...maybe the water will be bottled in and not be able to go out. We will see I guess.

Ike looks better getting closer to land unfortunately. Hopefully it will do what is expected and not intensify quickly.


1,118 posted on 09/12/2008 2:39:52 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1033 | View Replies]

To: SE Mom

She’s kinda stuck there now isn’t she?


1,119 posted on 09/12/2008 2:39:59 PM PDT by pnz1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1116 | View Replies]

To: steve86

Sitting just south of Tomball knowing we’ll be getting hurricane force winds all night. And more than likely will lose electricity which means it’ll be hot and muggy for weeks.

Lost electricity this morning....power company said it was a “line fuse”. Took ‘em 3 hours to fix it. I can only imagine how long it will take when 3,000,000 households are without. And that’s what they’re predicting.

This is a bad storm!


1,120 posted on 09/12/2008 2:40:09 PM PDT by Terry Mross
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1113 | View Replies]

To: BurbankKarl

1,121 posted on 09/12/2008 2:40:12 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 997 | View Replies]

To: AFPhys

Most places are out of gas.


1,122 posted on 09/12/2008 2:41:42 PM PDT by Terry Mross
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1117 | View Replies]

To: AFPhys

40% of all Galvestonians remained behind for the storm...I guess the ones that survive will have interesting stories...others won’t.


1,123 posted on 09/12/2008 2:42:15 PM PDT by antivenom (Obama's parsed and lawyerly language is empty of any credible meaning...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1117 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas

It’s going to be a tricky forecast for surge. What passes for the eye is probably 60-70 miles across. I think the computer models for the surge work with a much smaller eye. Only one way to find out what will really happen from here. Hopefully the experts are wrong on the low side, or Ike takes a bit of a wobble in the next few hours and goes a bit more eastward.


1,124 posted on 09/12/2008 2:43:25 PM PDT by dirtboy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1118 | View Replies]

To: antivenom

Some 20,000 people from what they said.


1,125 posted on 09/12/2008 2:43:56 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1123 | View Replies]

To: Royal Wulff

I don’t blame her. I would have done the same. In fact I as going to suggest she do so before she did!


1,126 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:10 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1106 | View Replies]

To: antivenom

Geraldo says he’s not so sure about the “certain death” predictions...unsual for him to be DE-hyping...

What do the locals think about the San Luis? Is it good for the duration? He said it’s 30 plus feet above...


1,127 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:15 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1123 | View Replies]

To: Syntyr

Are you sure about the Kemah Dairy Queen? I don’t live far from there and that is scary to me.


1,128 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:23 PM PDT by DrewsMum (Out of La Porte, TX now, just waiting and watching and freeping...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1081 | View Replies]

To: Abigail Adams

As I sit here looking at a map of the Houston area, it sure looks like the storm surge (combined with high tide) is gonna send a sh**load of water up Galveston Bay and into every bayou and creek.

The east side of Galveston Bay (to me) looks relatively unpopulated but the west side looks like it has a lot of industry and residences.

It looks like the same kind of thing could happen to Sabine Pass leading up to Beaumont/Port Arthur.

This isn’t looking good at all...


1,129 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:49 PM PDT by MplsSteve
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1103 | View Replies]

To: Eaker

Wow — that’s one heck of an Opus, E!

;-)


1,130 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:59 PM PDT by L,TOWM (Mcwhatshisname/PALIN, '08!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1114 | View Replies]

To: Abigail Adams

Water will come around the backside of the island. It will get the worst of the surge according to hurricane center guy.


1,131 posted on 09/12/2008 2:45:01 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1125 | View Replies]

To: MplsSteve

KPRC reporting via laptop camera....trying to head to the yacht fire.

http://www.click2houston.com/video/10903347/index.html


1,132 posted on 09/12/2008 2:45:47 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1129 | View Replies]

To: Terry Mross
Sitting just south of Tomball knowing we’ll be getting hurricane force winds all night. And more than likely will lose electricity which means it’ll be hot and muggy for weeks. Lost electricity this morning....power company said it was a “line fuse”. Took ‘em 3 hours to fix it. I can only imagine how long it will take when 3,000,000 households are without. And that’s what they’re predicting. This is a bad storm!

They did a pretty good job after Rita. We lost power for about 10 hours. With all the outages they were faced with that was pretty quick.
1,133 posted on 09/12/2008 2:45:49 PM PDT by OC_Steve (The hatches are battened down here in Cypress.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1120 | View Replies]

To: MplsSteve

Hurricane center guy says: Rise of water 15-20 feet with waves on top. If people remember Miss coast after Katrina, homes damaged or removed completely, that’s what will occur on Galveston and inland. Yikes.


1,134 posted on 09/12/2008 2:46:34 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1129 | View Replies]

To: Terry Mross

Where? There’s plenty of gas here in Central NY.


1,135 posted on 09/12/2008 2:46:51 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1122 | View Replies]

To: antivenom
My mom just called me and told me our friends in Texas are claiming they are getting OFFICIAL Warnings that the Tidal Surge could TOP 50 FEET.

Has Anyone else heard this cause Mom is fretting something fierce over our friends safety and I would like to be able to calm her down a bit.

50 Feet is like a Tidal Wave. It just sounds too fantastic to be true.

1,136 posted on 09/12/2008 2:47:21 PM PDT by Mad Dawgg ("`Eddies,' said Ford, `in the space-time continuum.' `Ah,' nodded Arthur, `is he? Is he?'")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1123 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse
YIKES hip boots may be in order.

I got family down on Braes Bayou... how about YIKES canoes?

1,137 posted on 09/12/2008 2:47:58 PM PDT by glock rocks (The American presidency is not supposed to be a journey of personal discovery. -Sarah Palin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1115 | View Replies]

To: Xenalyte
Thanks, Xena. I'll be here till the power goes out.
1,138 posted on 09/12/2008 2:48:28 PM PDT by ishmac
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1030 | View Replies]

To: spectre

Those people on the freighter make me think of the men on the boat in tge film Perfect Storm. I hope and pray they aren’t killed.


1,139 posted on 09/12/2008 2:48:35 PM PDT by dougherty (I saw the angel in the marble and carved until I set him free. - Michelangelo)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 914 | View Replies]

To: Texas_shutterbug

Why wouldn’t the officials tell the public about evaluations?


1,140 posted on 09/12/2008 2:48:59 PM PDT by DrewsMum (Out of La Porte, TX now, just waiting and watching and freeping...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1083 | View Replies]

To: Mad Dawgg

Not sure, but if that means 20-ft storm surge, plus wave height, plus high tide, maybe it could be that high.


1,141 posted on 09/12/2008 2:49:28 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1136 | View Replies]

To: Terry Mross

Good luck to you sir and thanks for your Seabee service I read about.

I have only been in Houston for about 15 minutes when Amtrak stopped there once decades ago.


1,142 posted on 09/12/2008 2:49:39 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture™)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1120 | View Replies]

To: Abigail Adams

Did you ever see any pics of the Louisiana coastline after Hurricane Rita?

Lots of little beach communities like Johnson’s Bayou and Holly Beach were just flattened.

The inland communities like Hackberry were extremely water-logged and severely damaged by the winds.


1,143 posted on 09/12/2008 2:49:55 PM PDT by MplsSteve
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1134 | View Replies]

To: DrewsMum

Has anyone confirmed the status of the Kemah DQ and Tookies?


1,144 posted on 09/12/2008 2:50:36 PM PDT by sweet_diane (Fairhope AL with family in League City TX (evacuating to New Braunsfel (sp?))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1128 | View Replies]

To: Mad Dawgg

25 feet is the max according to the latest advisory.

What location?


1,145 posted on 09/12/2008 2:50:38 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1136 | View Replies]

To: dougherty

I thought of Perfect Storm too. God help them.


1,146 posted on 09/12/2008 2:50:51 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1139 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas
My concern is that supposedly other areas have high tide about that time...

normal tidal flows should not create undo problems ... range between mean high tide and mean low tide at galveston is only 2.4 feet

1,147 posted on 09/12/2008 2:51:45 PM PDT by TheRightGuy (ERROR CODE 018974523: Random Tagline Compiler Failure)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1118 | View Replies]

To: dirtboy

I think it’s an eye at this point.


1,148 posted on 09/12/2008 2:51:47 PM PDT by nwctwx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 982 | View Replies]

To: dougherty
Yes. I was also thinking of the movie "The Perfect Storm". Horrible ending.

sw

1,149 posted on 09/12/2008 2:51:54 PM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife (Is He the one?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1139 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

Hip boots won’t do, even neck boots won’t be enough.

My daughter lives in an area south west of houston that the eye is going to pass directly over.

She lives in an apartment building, and I am worried that even that won’t be strong enough. She lives on the first floor and I pray that she has enough sense to go up to the second floor when the waters start rising.

Their is a drainage ditch in front of her apartment which overflows onto the street in any heavy rain and they are close enough to the shore and galvaston bay that they WILL get hit by the surge. The high tides aren’t helping things either.


1,150 posted on 09/12/2008 2:52:31 PM PDT by dglang
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1115 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-50 ... 1,051-1,1001,101-1,1501,151-1,200 ... 2,851-2,863 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson