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RealClearPolitics State of the Electoral College as at September 27,2008
RealClearPolitics ^ | Sep 27,2008

Posted on 09/27/2008 7:19:03 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Here's the state of the US Presidential race based on the Electoral College estimates as garnered from aggregate statistics taken from various polls as at Sep 27,2008 ( again, you need 270 electoral votes to win ) :

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; elections2008; electoralcollege; mccainpalin
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1 posted on 09/27/2008 7:19:03 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m not certain if this reflects the way the American people think BEFORE or AFTER the first debate.


2 posted on 09/27/2008 7:21:29 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Way too close.

We have work to do!


3 posted on 09/27/2008 7:21:44 AM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie (GOD BLESS GEORGIA! SAVE GEORGIA, OUR ALLY, NOW!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Put Palin out there campaigning PLEASE
4 posted on 09/27/2008 7:22:09 AM PDT by scooby321 (Cai)
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To: SeekAndFind

the numbers do not look clear on breakdown....Virginia going Blue....very doubtful....


5 posted on 09/27/2008 7:22:10 AM PDT by cherry
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To: SeekAndFind

Well, McCain hasn’t been campagining and he hasn’t effectively fought back against Obama’s smears. The economy is always going to hamper a republican. The good news is that the polls are flexiable and will fluctuate between now and election day. Didn’t one poll have Kerry up by 4 on election day in 2004?

McCain needs to go negative and go negative hard.


6 posted on 09/27/2008 7:23:27 AM PDT by navymom1 (I support Free Speech. Defeat the Fairness Doctrine.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Almost certainly before. Not enough time to do any really polling post debate.


7 posted on 09/27/2008 7:23:34 AM PDT by Non-Sequitur
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To: SeekAndFind

I think McCain will take Pennsylvania and will put him over 270. Hillary cleaned Obama’s clock in PA and many of her supporters are voting for McCain, according to some sources.


8 posted on 09/27/2008 7:24:00 AM PDT by toomanygrasshoppers ("In technical terminology, he's a loon")
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To: SeekAndFind

Obama’s foreign policy is a RUSE.

It is a PROJECTION intended to obscure his REAL intentions.

Obama is a totalitarian collectivist, he is a COMMUNIST.

If the American people knew this, his numbers would be below 30%

The American people do not know this, and Obama ans his goon squad are squashing every attempt to reveal it.


9 posted on 09/27/2008 7:24:07 AM PDT by Westbrook (Having more children does not divide your love, it multiplies it.)
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To: cherry
Virginia going Blue....very doubtful....

They really have Virginia as a toss up. But latest polls have been trending Obama.

10 posted on 09/27/2008 7:24:43 AM PDT by Non-Sequitur
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To: Westbrook
If the American people knew this, his numbers would be below 30% above 51%, because the Sheep want Socialism.

There, fixed for honesty.

11 posted on 09/27/2008 7:26:55 AM PDT by Old Sarge (Illic Haud Deus Est)
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To: toomanygrasshoppers
well its clear than...take what is the red and add Virginia and either Colorado or Pa.....all doable I think....

Iowa...shame on you.....thought you people were the good people of the mid west...but oh well....

12 posted on 09/27/2008 7:27:00 AM PDT by cherry
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To: Non-Sequitur
Almost certainly before. Not enough time to do any really polling post debate.

Debate or no debate Obama shouldn't be within 20% of McCain

Country is in sad shape
13 posted on 09/27/2008 7:27:02 AM PDT by uncbob
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To: Westbrook

Why isnt McCain exposing him? Enough with this ‘my friend the senator from Illinois’ crap. The libs are seriously going to destroy this nation - if they are not stopped here we can expect a radically different nation in four years. McCain and the rest of the GOP better be ready to be brought up on charges of dissent in the future because the dems are ready to change the constitution forever.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MGT_cSi7Rs


14 posted on 09/27/2008 7:27:19 AM PDT by sasafras (Diversity Programs = Mandated Racism)
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To: uncbob

sadly - Obama LOOKS good.
He SOUNDS good while he lies.

There are alot of people out there who care more about style.


15 posted on 09/27/2008 7:28:47 AM PDT by Scotswife
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To: toomanygrasshoppers

If you flip Virginia and New Hampshire to McCain the vote goes to 269 apiece. Scary. In my opinion Pennsylvania is the key to this election. I’m convinced it can be turned. We just have to watch out for all of the districts in Philadelphia who have 110% participation.


16 posted on 09/27/2008 7:32:25 AM PDT by RU88 (The false messiah can not change water into wine any more than he can get unity from diversity.)
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To: cherry
Iowa...shame on you.../i>

With all due respect to the good people of Iowa, it's called "Ethanol Subsidies Ueber Alles"

17 posted on 09/27/2008 7:34:58 AM PDT by scottinoc
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To: Westbrook
Obama is a totalitarian collectivist, he is a COMMUNIST.

Do you think he will suspend elections once he gets in? Is there a risk of him carrying out these plans?
18 posted on 09/27/2008 7:35:07 AM PDT by itsPatAmerican
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To: Recovering Ex-hippie

Too many voters do not understand what would happen in a B.H. Obama White House.


19 posted on 09/27/2008 7:35:17 AM PDT by FreedBird (t)
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To: sasafras

That’s for sure:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XIenDGSAdPA


20 posted on 09/27/2008 7:35:37 AM PDT by Bushwacker777
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To: cherry

Dem Gov, Dem Senator, soon to be another Dem Senator, Northern VA is now the border for the Northeast.

Old Dominion is seriously trending that way.


21 posted on 09/27/2008 7:35:43 AM PDT by misterrob (Obama-Keep the Change!)
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To: SeekAndFind
That map includes leaners that are "too close to call".

Heres the actual RealClearPoltics Map, showing actual poll results:

Actual Realclearpolitics Map

Keep in mind they are using discredited polls such as ABC etc, and also please keep in mind these polls have never been 100% accurate and have even exceeded their margins of error. When they are right its probably more from luck than anything else.

22 posted on 09/27/2008 7:36:38 AM PDT by 1-Eagle ( watch before voting: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VqzMB-gA6Ro .)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s really inconceivable to me that the American people can be so stupid.

The fact is that whoever is elected in 2008 is going to inherit a nightmarish mess that perhaps no president can survive.

O, how I wish that the people who want socialism would move to some socialist country, and leave us who love freedom to pursue capitalism and liberty!


23 posted on 09/27/2008 7:36:50 AM PDT by ottbmare
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To: Scotswife

he looks like a skinny jerk in a suit....


24 posted on 09/27/2008 7:37:55 AM PDT by cherry
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To: SeekAndFind

Hey, everybody, click back on 1984. It’s fun.


25 posted on 09/27/2008 7:38:13 AM PDT by Tublecane
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To: FreedBird

Its hard to argue issues with the Dem raw emotional “feelings”..believe me I have tried with Libs, their eyes just glaze over.


26 posted on 09/27/2008 7:39:26 AM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie (GOD BLESS GEORGIA! SAVE GEORGIA, OUR ALLY, NOW!)
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To: itsPatAmerican
I'd like to answer that....he's already directing law enforcement in Missouri to go after people that are "misleading" the public about Zero..he's gone after the NRA...his people threatened the IRS on the people wanting Palin in NY for the anti Iran rally.....

and you question if he is a communist?

27 posted on 09/27/2008 7:40:12 AM PDT by cherry
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To: Non-Sequitur

Obama is in trouble in NoVA, he won’t get what Kerry got in 2004.


28 posted on 09/27/2008 7:40:30 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vice President Sarah H Palin - Make it happen !!!!)
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To: ottbmare

“O, how I wish that the people who want socialism would move to some socialist country, and leave us who love freedom to pursue capitalism and liberty!”

There’re too many to choose from. Canada and Cuba are right next door, and Europe’s full of em. How about Zimbabwe? It’s exotic.


29 posted on 09/27/2008 7:40:39 AM PDT by Tublecane
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To: scooby321

Put Palin out there campaigning PLEASE

And let her be Sarah! THAT’s the person America fell in love with!

Colonel, USAFR


30 posted on 09/27/2008 7:40:53 AM PDT by jagusafr ("Bugs, Mr. Rico! Zillions of 'em!" - Robert Heinlein)
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To: cherry

to us he does.

Unfortunately - I know I’m going to hear my mother say “Obama looked good and he sounded good”

sigh.


31 posted on 09/27/2008 7:41:12 AM PDT by Scotswife
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To: scooby321

It makes me sick to say it but they should follow Clinton’s example and buy on hour on Lifetime and televise a townhall meeting without the media bias.
Let McCain and Palin talk directly with voters and there might be a chance, otherwise...hope we can survive 4 years of BO


32 posted on 09/27/2008 7:41:25 AM PDT by TechTom
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To: Westbrook
You can place the blame squarely on the head of the MSM / DBM...

IMO, they are the most dangerous entity in this nation.

33 posted on 09/27/2008 7:42:37 AM PDT by Osage Orange (MOLON LABE)
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To: cherry
and you question if he is a communist?No, I didn't. But for sake of argument the things you list are evidence of being a totalitarian not a communist. China has proven they are not the same.
34 posted on 09/27/2008 7:43:12 AM PDT by itsPatAmerican
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To: misterrob

Why is that I wonder? I’m curious.


35 posted on 09/27/2008 7:44:38 AM PDT by SpookBrat (God is good)
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To: SeekAndFind
According to this map VA and Co are key. RealClearPolitics has them both in Obama's column for a total of 22 EV's. Put them in McCain's column and it's over.

For the record...I still expect McCain to win 40 -45 states.

36 posted on 09/27/2008 7:47:22 AM PDT by pgkdan
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To: Osage Orange

I think Carter was also ahead by this much in 1980. Or was that Mondale in 84, or Dukakis in 88, or Bush in 2000, or Bush in 2004?

I been seeing the same crap for 28 years now. Clinton was the best at 43% and 47%. And he was white and got 90% of the black vote. Does anyone in their right mind think that blue collar democrats in PA, Ohio and Michigan are going to vote for Bambi?

I remember last election cycle, someone said if Kerry had 65,000 more Ohio votes he would be President. Hillary won Ohio big. McCain will win Ohio by 200,000 votes easy.

This isn’t going to be close.


37 posted on 09/27/2008 7:47:43 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (McCain/Palin 2008)
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To: TechTom
the townhall format is excellent...

look I rarely give to presidential politics but this year I've given what I consider a nice sum....

they must have the money to do this.....

and yes...give Sarah a speech if you have too...get her out there infront of the crowds....

this is McCains to lose no matter what people want to say.....

its RIGHT there McCain...in your grasp....

38 posted on 09/27/2008 7:47:57 AM PDT by cherry
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To: pgkdan

and I LOVE you for that my friend...


39 posted on 09/27/2008 7:48:52 AM PDT by cherry
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To: EQAndyBuzz
I remember all those races...also.

Hope you are right, FRiend.

Personally I think we are screwed either way...

This country is continuing to slide into the Socialism trap...and the Sheeple don't care. Heck, they want it!!

40 posted on 09/27/2008 7:52:36 AM PDT by Osage Orange (MOLON LABE)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think we have to face the reality that the economic mess is going to stick on the Republicans up and down the ticket.

We need to get that settled down, give the facts a chance to percolate and then change the subject. Else, we will look a lot like France in 4 years.


41 posted on 09/27/2008 7:53:24 AM PDT by IamConservative (On 11/4, remember 9/11...)
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To: SeekAndFind

..Pennsylvania, NH, VA and possibly CO go red in November


42 posted on 09/27/2008 7:55:06 AM PDT by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: Osage Orange
You can place the blame squarely on the head of the MSM / DBM... IMO, they are the most dangerous entity in this nation.

I agree with you on this one. The reason elections are so close is because of the constant barrage of pro liberal activism in media. We (conservatives) are lucky to get the wins we do get in this atmosphere. The propaganda comes from every direction...schools, magazines, newspapers, TV shows, movies, nightly news, music...all left wing, all the time.
43 posted on 09/27/2008 7:56:32 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SeekAndFind

Looks grim...


44 posted on 09/27/2008 7:58:45 AM PDT by pointsal
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To: RU88
I agree. Voter fraud could make all the difference in this race. I think it will be all about Pennsylvania. McCain's people need to be on the ground in PA from now until the election to stop any “mischief”. (using my Rumsfeld voice lol)
45 posted on 09/27/2008 8:00:28 AM PDT by toomanygrasshoppers ("In technical terminology, he's a loon")
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To: RU88
110% participation?? try 125%
46 posted on 09/27/2008 8:00:51 AM PDT by zwerni (*** PALIN/mccain 2008 ***)
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To: jagusafr

ON PALIN:
i think they are keeping palin out of it for a reason. not sure why. i’m sure they know what they are doing.

is she too green?
are they coaching her and getting her up to speed?
do they not want her to say something they’ll regret?
is she a secret weapon?
do they want to keep the mystique with the public?
do they not want to overexpose her too early?


47 posted on 09/27/2008 8:04:38 AM PDT by zwerni (*** PALIN/mccain 2008 ***)
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To: Osage Orange
"You can place the blame squarely on the head of the MSM/DBM. IMO, they are the most dangerous entity in this nation." Amen Brother
48 posted on 09/27/2008 8:06:13 AM PDT by zwerni (*** PALIN/mccain 2008 ***)
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m bitterly clinging to my patriarchal sky god, my boomsticks and my giant unicycle made out of a big round rock, and voting for the old white guy.


49 posted on 09/27/2008 8:08:07 AM PDT by Argus (Obama: All turban and no goats.)
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To: itsPatAmerican
Do you think he will suspend elections once he gets in? Is there a risk of him carrying out these plans?

He wouldn't do anything that inflammatory. As a hard core Marxist he will simply gut the elections of any meaning.

The Soviet Union, Cuba, etc, had elections every so often, but of course they were meaningless. This may be the last election in the US that means anything, although the charade will be maintained for appearances' sake, and to forstall violent resistance..

50 posted on 09/27/2008 8:10:10 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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