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To: FocusNexus
The vast majority of polls had Reagan winning as of the last week of the 1980 campaign. Some by a healthy margin. It is true that only one or two predicted the landslide of 10% but the result final result was not in doubt if you followed the polls. See “1981 the pre election polls, a review” by CBS News.
22 posted on 11/02/2008 10:49:24 AM PST by brydic1
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To: brydic1

“See “1981 the pre election polls, a review” by CBS News.”

LINK? The article you are citing sounds more like the MSM trying to justify their total bias and being wrong.

THIS article says:

“For weeks before the presidential election, the gurus of public opinion polling were nearly unanimous in their findings. In survey after survey, they agreed that the coming choice between President Jimmy Carter and Challenger Ronald Reagan was “too close to call.” A few points at most, they said, separated the two major contenders.

At the heart of the controversy is the fact that no published survey detected the Reagan landslide before it actually happened. Three weeks before the election, for example, TIME’S polling firm, Yankelovich, Skelly and White, produced a survey of 1,632 registered voters showing the race almost dead even, as did a private survey by Caddell. Two weeks later, a survey by CBS News and the New York Times showed about the same situation.

Some pollsters at that time, however, were getting results that showed a slight Reagan lead. ABC News-Harris surveys, for example, consistently gave Reagan a lead of a few points until the climactic last week of October. “


26 posted on 11/02/2008 11:03:30 AM PST by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: brydic1

“The vast majority of polls had Reagan winning as of the last week of the 1980 campaign. Some by a healthy margin. It is true that only one or two predicted the landslide of 10% but the result final result was not in doubt if you followed the polls. See “981 the pre election polls, a review”by CBS News.”

Your statement is COMPLETELY INACCURATE.

I found the article you are referring to and it says the opposite — it says what the TIME Mag article I just posted says, that the polls were wrong and Reagan surged in the last few days, but the polls DID NOT show that.

Here is the link for everyone to see.

THE 1980 PRE-ELECTION POLLS: A REVIEW OF DISPARATE METHODS AND RESULTS

Warren J. Mitofsky, CBS News

http://www.amstat.org/sections/SRMS/proceedings/papers/1981_011.pdf

“There has been much speculation about what went
wrong with the pre-election polls of 1980. All
the major published polls seriously understated
Ronald Reagan’s margin of victory over Jimmy
Carter (table i) based mostly on interviewing
completed late in the week before election day.”


27 posted on 11/02/2008 11:10:26 AM PST by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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