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Posted on 11/02/2008 12:30:36 PM PST by Retired Greyhound
On a brief jump flight from Philadelphia to Scranton, McCain adviser Charlie Black and Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback came back to talk up the campaign's conviction that the glass if half full. "Four years ago at this point, George W. Bush was down five points in Iowa," Brownback said. "Today John McCain is down one point in Iowa."
He was citing an unreleased internal McCain campaign poll of the state, which was completed last Thursday, said Black. (The campaign stopped doing its own polling after Thursday, he added, because television time through the election all had to be purchased by Friday.) However, public polls in Iowa suggest that McCain is still in a big hole. Last week, the Des Moines Register poll, which has a good record of prediction in that state, put McCain's deficit at 17 points, with Barack Obama garnering 54 percent of the support.
"McCain is in a good position to win every red state," Black said. "Plus he is probably going to win Pennsylvania and Iowa." Polls have narrowed sharply in Pennsylvania in recent weeks, though Obama still has a sizable lead of 7 points in the Real Clear Politics average. Black said he had seen a poll recently that showed McCain tied in the Philadelphia suburbs, a crucial swing region of the state.
(Excerpt) Read more at swampland.blogs.time.com ...
Regardless, just get out and vote!
For the record..Charlie Black to us..is like Bob Shrum to the Democrats..that is not a compliment.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Duly noted.
Good to see some optimism, though.
My expectation is that we’re actually going to know pretty early on Tuesday evening who the next president will be. Pennsylvania is on EST, so its outcome should be known by 9 or 10 pm, I’m thinking. If McCain wins PA, then it is to me an obvious sign that he is winning the whole thing. If not, the race isn’t lost without it (Dubya never won PA), but it means I’ll be up a while later.
I can't wait! I can't wait!! I CAN'T WAIT!!!
I it NOVEMBER 4th YET?!?!
Grrrrr Come ON already!!!!
I regret that I have but ONE vote to give for my country.....
Is Black basing his comments on internal numbers or only on optimism?
What’s up with all this internal polling, anyways? Do they not trust any polling agency?
Bush won Ohio in 2004; ACORN has pulled out all the stops on their fraud this year (early/often/duplicate voting), and Sec. of State Brunner is making sure there is no Republican win here this year.
From his lips to God’s and the voters’ ears and fingers on the levers or similar devices.
I just read on another thread that the Cedar Rapids Gazette has endorsed McCain. One FReeper mentioned that this is the second largest metro paper in Iowa. Another believes it tends to be a pretty liberal paper. Good news!
Holy smoke. If that's true, M/P wins Pennsylvania going away.
See, this isn’t good news........a big lead for O.
It is hard to imagine a poll being THIS far off:
“Last week, the Des Moines Register poll, which has a good record of prediction in that state, put McCain’s deficit at 17 points, with Barack Obama garnering 54 percent of the support.”
But, with other polls closer, it is hard to imagine we can’t still win, even in IA.
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Sad but true. The only thing that makes me feel better is McCain has the younger guy Steve Schmidt.
They know but they never tell what the real numbers are. I hope the red states include CO, NV, VA and NC.
Get out and vote.
I’d feel better if we didn’t have Rove’s fuzzy math of 2006 hanging over our heads.
I am optimist and think McCain will pull this out despite Charlie Black..point is Charlie Black is a loser always has been
You are joking right?
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