Skip to comments.Electoral Math: For McCain, the Numbers Aren't Adding Up
Posted on 11/03/2008 5:25:21 AM PST by conservativeinbflo.
Barring an extraordinary shock, Barack Obama will win more than 270 electoral votes on Tuesday, giving him the White House. Hours before voting starts, John McCain has no clear path to reaching that same goal. In fact, based on interviews with political strategists in both parties, election analysts and advisers to both presidential campaigns - including a detailed look at public and private polling data - an Obama victory with well over 300 electoral votes is a more likely outcome than a McCain victory. Under the Electoral College system, a candidate wins all of a state's electoral votes as long as he or she achieves a popular vote victory of any margin. Obama's commanding position results from the fact that he holds seemingly impregnable popular vote leads in twenty-four states, plus the District of Columbia, with 291 electoral votes, more than he needs to win. Obama's geographic anchors are the northeast, the mid-Atlantic, the upper industrial Midwest and the west coast, all areas that Democratic presidential candidates have dominated for several election cycles. But he is encroaching on other states as well that have recently been gone dependably Republican, including Nevada, Virginia and Colorado.
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This IS in the left's plan. If they lose the election, the destruction of property, riots, murder, mayhem, etc. after the election will allow them to preach THE STOLEN ELECTION, THE USA IS RACISTS, blab, blab, blab. That is their game plan. You can bet that a President McCain is going to have an even worse time with a dominate left congress than Bush did. The Marxists in congress will still try to push through their agenda. Then if McCain vetoes it, they will use their super 60 majority in the senate to over ride the vetoes anyway. So, either way, they are going to get what they want and crush anything positive that McCain tries too do. AS ALWAYS, it is up to the American people voting to stop this crap. But, it seems that there are way more who want free stuff, want too vote in the first black, yada, yada, yada, than want a free country.
I have talked with a lot of veterans about this, and we all agree, that THERE IS NO WAY IN HELL, that America could fight WWI, WWII or even Vietnam in todays America. Can you imagine the left's CNN reporters going ashore at Iwo Jima or Omaha Beach and reporting on all those first day deaths??? The screams of pull out now would be massive 24/7. No, America is not the America as founded, not the America that won WWI and WWII and the Cold War. No, we are the country of appeasement now. Give me mine free and too hell with freedom.
I wouldn’t go by what Rove says. If anybody has a higher mountain to climb it is BHO. It is McCain who has more options then Obama.
Think about it. Who is more likely to retain 90-95% of their party’s base? Obama or McCain. Which party’s voters are more likely to switch? The Dems or GOP. I think we know the answers to these questions.
I just redid the map and I have McCain/Palin at 344.